These are preorders for Smash while preorders are not officially open yet.
Yeah, Smash will do good on Wii U.
Media Create Sales: Week 36, 2014 (Sep 01 - Sep 07)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
Yeah, Smash will do good on Wii U.
theprodigy
Member
wouldn't that barometer be over worldwide sales, not just Japan?
because the rest of the world is where the comparison gets harder
Not sure if a video of it has been posted before, but here is some footage showing the terribleness of DQX 3DS:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BikTFP80dtY#t
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BikTFP80dtY#t
I agree. Pre-orders for Smash for Wii U are not open yet in Japan. I don't know why COMG is accepting when they shouldn't.
So if it's already charting that means Wii U version will be alright.
Here a video with a decent internet connection. Looks quite good.
DQX 3DS gameplay
About the previous Level5 discussion I want to add that it´s quite interesting that in almost a decade Level5 was far more successful in establishing new IPs on handhelds or consoles in Japan than SQEX. SQEX has still alot of success with their big IPs DQ and FF but that´s likely more due to the legacy of former titles and talents involved.
Apparently, Japan doesn't give a fuck.
I wonder how much/if the issues that pushed SE to stop the distribution will hurt the game.
Yes, but the game is out first in Japan and then it'll be out in the ROTW. One step at a time
How many units sold Brawl WW? 12 million? Yep, it'll be more difficult to make this numbers in the West but there're 2 versions too... I think it'll be a close call.metalslimer
Member
Yeah it's going to be a really close battle worldwide. I still think the Wii U version will be a lot closer to the 3ds version in the west. I was surprised that a bunch of my friends are buying 2ds to get Smash 3DS. They should have made a 2ds bundle as well.
I foresee something similar to MH3U ww (with bigger sales in the West for both version, and 25% lower in Japan, 3DSWIIU combined)
I'm not sure MH3U sold more than MH3 in the west? MH3 did over 400k NPD and last we'd heard 3U 3DS+U were still below that.
Japan was where 3U did much better really.
Oh, I thought you were doing predecessor comparisons (Smash Brawl/3DSU, MH3/U).
Honestly I feel like Smash combined is going to outsell 3U combined in Japan too.
sörine;130102550 said:
Of course it will. It will outsell Brawl too (3DS version only).
I'd better not talk again.
Cygnus X-1
Member
Ok, thanks for the answer bud
Hellraider
Member
sörine;130102550 said:
Easily. I expect Smash 3DS alone to do that.
sörine;130102550 said:
Really? It could be...I was thinking about MH4 numbers for some reason...
For Famitus (correct me if I'm wrong!) the game sold
3DS: 1,585,493
3DS: The best: 363.383
Wii U: 207.627
The toal is around 1948.876 for 3DS + 207.627 for Wii U = 2.156.500
yes, I think that 3DS+WiiU numbers could be highet in Japan for Smash. Especially if the Wii U version will not bomb like a rock (the comments that stated that the COMGNET preorders are actually still closed and yet people is pre-ordeding the game anyway make me a believer now!)
yes, I dont know why but I had MH4 numbers in mind.
I'm starting to understand why Chris define you as the minimum bar for Japanese sales predictions! (jokin'!)
More like the terribleness of that guy's internet connection.
BishopLamont
Banned
smash bros for wii u should still sell well and provide the wii u a good boost. smash bros brawl sold for years, plenty of people will still buy it, I can see it performing aswell as mario kart at the least.
At this point I wouldn´t even exclude it outselling FF15 in lifetime sales in Japan.
BishopLamont
Banned
I think ff15 should outsell the wii u version, if only because the 3ds version exists.
besides that, i think the days of 20k-30k weekly for home consoles is gone. i don't think any game will be able to push the ps4 or wii u baseline past that for too long.
and the longer the ps4 goes without software, the smaller the baseline will get, i mean the ps4 launched later than the wii u and is behind by a mil, and yet its selling at the same rate. i really hope once the exclusives come the baseline improves significantly.
It's very unlikely to see growth outside of Japan.
Both systems combined will end selling much less than Wii, and people buy fewer games than on Wii.
The barometer to gauge would be to just look at how terribly exclusive Wii U software sells in general, and how much more a 3DS version will help.
BishopLamont
Banned
Thats if they even release on the xbone in japan.sörine;130116620 said:
Psycho_Mantis
Banned
Yeah at this point, it wont even sell more than P5 D:
L5 is so lucky!
ZSaberLink
Media Create Maven
Really how well do you expect P5 to sell exactly? 400K? 500K? even more than that? Smash Wii U will likely do alright all things considered. It's still a very popular local multiplayer game, and folks are still buying Brawl after all these years. It'll be released around xmas time and will likely at least break Persona 4's 300K...
theprodigy
Member
bouncing from one laughable extreme to the other, are we
Don´t get me wrong that wasn´t a prediction, just teasing both, the current Dreamcast-esque PS4 lifetime sales, which simply are ridiculous considering all the 3rd party support it gets in comparison and Final Fantasys downward-spiral last gen.
Going with FF15 is the safest you can do, so far the past main entries always had explosive starts with something ridiculous like 80% of it´s lifetime sales in its launch-week and were guaranteed great system-sellers, while a decline is possible I think most of its fanbase will give the franchise another chance, with the excuse that maybe FF13 was just an exception and its direct sequels/spinoffs (13-2 and Lightning Returns) will simply get ignored in this equation...
If Smash for WiiU can match MK8 it would be really a good performance. MK8 looks like it will reach 800k units by the end of the year and because I think it will be an evergreen title it should also cross the million barrier in its lifetime. The biggest problem for SSB WiiU isn´t the 3DS version but the combination of the 3DS version and more important the release of the new3DS launch so close to the holidays. Because there is no doubt that new3DS will dominate every system this holiday season.
Kandisky's an expert in this.
MK8 isn't done selling either. It still has it's first holiday ahead of it and a hardware bundle in the future wouldn't surprise me either.
MK8 outselling FFXV is something I could see happening.
Hino is genius.
KillerMan91
Member
sörine;130128107 said:
Even with another huge half million drop FFXV should sell at least something like 1.4 million. Really don't see MK8 selling that much without massive bundling (that could happen though).
metalslimer
Member
Considering we have no idea how the PS4 will be doing when FF15 comes out, when FF15 will come out, the quality of FF15, there is no way to judge what will outsell what and is also a useless comparison anyway
Relaxed Muscle
Member
Capcom trying to pull a Level 5 and failing like the losers they are.
Eddie Griffin
Banned
I always come back to this thread to look at those hilarious Xbox sales. If they don't sell as much or more than 25k this wednesday. It could be the end.
A drop to 10k could be acceptable to since that would possibly mean that it still has some people keeping an eye on it but if below 10k I would say it will be nearly impossible to turn it around because if it drops below 10k I would have to say the frying pan has no eggs so what are you cooking?
That 25k was pretty much without hype for 4 days or so of tracking. Now it has a whole week, so if it does not at least manage above 10k for this whole week, then it's over. It's not getting to even 200,000. I'd almost say 100,000 is out of reach.
Anyway I wonder how New 3DS will do.
A drop to 10k could be acceptable to since that would possibly mean that it still has some people keeping an eye on it but if below 10k I would say it will be nearly impossible to turn it around because if it drops below 10k I would have to say the frying pan has no eggs so what are you cooking?
That 25k was pretty much without hype for 4 days or so of tracking. Now it has a whole week, so if it does not at least manage above 10k for this whole week, then it's over. It's not getting to even 200,000. I'd almost say 100,000 is out of reach.
Anyway I wonder how New 3DS will do.
This Capcom press release was from April 2013, this was before the first game launched.
SwiftDeath
Member
10k for week 37 for XB1 in Japan would greatly surprise me. If it followed PS4's sale curve it would hit around 5500 this week. Perhaps the complete lack of marketing resulted in Xbox consumers in Japan being unaware of the launch? Seems unlikely though
Will it really? FF are usually front loaded with how things are going for PS4 It will have a hard time reaching 1 million in the first week. I'm not saying MK8 or Smash will outsell it I just think that the drop of for XV may be pretty substantial compared to previous FF's.
Try something closer to 5k for the week.