Rubio's Exit Leaves Trump With an Open Path to 1,237 Delegates

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TaterTots

Banned
"After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

But Mr. Trump still needs to win most of the remaining delegates to avoid a contested convention."

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/03/16/upshot/trump-cruz-kasich-republican-delegate-lead.html?_r=0

I would love to see it come down to a contested convention, but more and more republicans are beginning to back Trump. The last time I checked it was at 53%.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/yougov-economist-24084
 

Goro Majima

Kitty Genovese Member
While it'd be fun to watch the republican party burn, I can't imagine a scenario where Trump isn't the nominee.

Anything else would be an amazing subversion of what voters have been by and large voting for, however crazy it is.
 

TaterTots

Banned
While it'd be fun to watch the republican party burn, I can't imagine a scenario where Trump isn't the nominee.

Anything else would be an amazing subversion of what voters have been by and large voting for, however crazy it is.

I understand the chances are extremely low, but how we can imagine.
 
While it'd be fun to watch the republican party burn, I can't imagine a scenario where Trump isn't the nominee.

Anything else would be an amazing subversion of what voters have been by and large voting for, however crazy it is.

I think Republicans will invoke Reagan and not choose yrump as the nominee. I want them to destroy themselves by doing so
 

DeviantBoi

Member
All this talk about Bernie Sanders' supporters not voting for Hillary when it's really those Trump voters who will not vote for any other Republican if they take the nomination from him.
 
Just saw a Republican female I know from College say she will be voting for Hillary if Trump is the nominee. I hope this holds true for many other voters.
 

Aureon

Please do not let me serve on a jury. I am actually a crazy person.
HoC S4 very minor spoilers:

After House of Cards s4, let's get a republican contested convention.

THE clown show to end all clown shows, and hopefully, enough media attention to expose the clowns as what they are.
 

Wiz

Member
I think that at this point, it's 50-50 between Trump winning on the first ballot or a contested convention happening.

Yeah it could really go either way, but I think regardless he will be the nominee. Republicans will either fall in line behind Trump or try to prop up a third option. Really a lose-lose for the party.
 

MetatronM

Unconfirmed Member
I can't see how this isn't going to result in a contested convention.

Even if the convention somehow isn't contested, I still think a rogue group will splinter off to push a conservative candidate as a third option. Not for the sake of winning, mind you. Just for the sake of preventing Trump from winning without having to actually vote for Hillary. Even if they only got 5-10% of the general election, that would almost certainly be more than enough to torpedo Trump and gift the presidency to Clinton. It would essentially be putting a bet on the idea that they could pull the party back together again to take her down in 2020.
 

Downhome

Member
I think it's just flat out cute how the media, just about all of television media, is trying their hardest to build up how Trump wont have enough delegates, how it will go to the convention, and so on. It's just darn adorable how badly they want to convince the country that is how it will play out. STAY TUNED!

He is going to gain enough delegates before the convention, just wait and see.
 
The GOP kept fucking the chicken at every turn until we've arrived at this scenario. Wasted everyone's time with joke candidates who simply refused to drop out even well after their time was up. Jeb should've dropped long ago, and why the fuck is Kasich still here.

Everything from the RNC is so incompetent I actually seriously think they're half hoping to see how much support Trump can get so they can go for a hail mary. They hate Trump but will absolutely whore themselves out and back him in the general if they think there's a possibility of him winning.
 

oti

Banned
After House of Cards s4, let's get a republican contested convention.

THE clown show to end all clown shows, and hopefully, enough media attention to expose the clowns as what they are.

As a European I don't really get this point. Over here everyone knows that the Republican party is a mess and nothing but joke material. One would naturally assume that's even more apparent in the US itself but after all the reports and all the media coverage the Republican party shitfest has gotten people still seem to stick to them and to Trump.

I don't think it matters to the Republican voters. Maybe they even like that they're clowns.
 

jmdajr

Member
Now that the south is basically done, I wonder if Trump will turn down the racist/anti-immigrant rhetoric.

Granted haters everywhere, but the south is extra special.
 

Mudcrab

Member
Now that the south is basically done, I wonder if Trump will turn down the racist/anti-immigrant rhetoric.

Granted haters everywhere, but the south is extra special.

I don't understand how you can claim this, when Trump's hateful rhetoric didn't start in the south, wasn't specifically different in any other state outside of the south, and seems to be resonating in every Republican contest throughout the nation.
 
Yeah it could really go either way, but I think regardless he will be the nominee. Republicans will either fall in line behind Trump or try to prop up a third option. Really a lose-lose for the party.

I'm waffling every day on who wins in the convention. Not picking Trump would likely be riotous. Cruz is likely to be second in delegates, and might actually work as a compromise candidate, but he is general election poison and hated by his colleagues. Picking Kasich is the same as picking someone who didn't even run. If it goes to a second ballot, I'd still put odds on Trump winning, but it definitely opens a window for the RNC.
 
The GOP kept fucking the chicken at every turn until we've arrived at this scenario. Wasted everyone's time with joke candidates who simply refused to drop out even well after their time was up. Jeb should've dropped long ago, and why the fuck is Kasich still here.

Everything from the RNC is so incompetent I actually seriously think they're half hoping to see how much support Trump can get so they can go for a hail mary. They hate Trump but will absolutely whore themselves out and back him in the general if they think there's a possibility of him winning.

Not if they don't believe he is a Republican. There's a not insignificant chance he flips democtrat if elected. That's probably the greatest fear.

Kasich is still there because he's actually a decent candidate. He's a hell of a lot better than Cruz.
 
I don't understand how you can claim this, when Trump's hateful rhetoric didn't start in the south, wasn't specifically different in any other state outside of the south, and seems to be resonating in every Republican contest throughout the nation.

Lol. The south is where racism is passed down like mashed potato recipes
 

jmdajr

Member
I don't understand how you can claim this, when Trump's hateful rhetoric didn't start in the south, wasn't specifically different in any other state outside of the south, and seems to be resonating in every Republican contest throughout the nation.

No, but the primaries were gonna run there pretty early.

Not gonna be surprised if nothing changes.
 

Grizzlyjin

Supersonic, idiotic, disconnecting, not respecting, who would really ever wanna go and top that
I'm surprised the GOP didn't prop up Rubio just to block Trump. But after Lil Marco lost his home state, it's hard to make the case to keep him in. Plus, it sounds like half the GOP is down with a contested convention and the other half isn't.

Kasich is sorta blocking, but his campaign is dangerously low on cash right now and he has to go bigger now.
 

Mudcrab

Member
Lol. The south is where racism is passed down like mashed potato recipes

Where isn't racism passed down? You think the dudes in Chicago or anywhere else trying to start fights with Black Lives Matters protestors or other activists had the idea pop into their heads the day of Trump's rally?
 

GuyKazama

Member
Actually, it kind of does.

Republicans believe if they would have ignored the delegates in 1976, Reagan could have won the general against Carter.

Well yeah, Ford pardoned Nixon. Still, in 1976 it would have been a mess to deny the candidate with the plurality. They couldn't do it then, and certainly couldn't now. Cruz is no Reagan -- he's barely human.
 
There simply isn't enough potential Trump voters out there for him to win a general election. His comments and policies have restricted his appeal to a limited demographic.

If there is a contested convention, the GOP will lose pretty much all of the Trump voters in anger and a new candidate therefore won't have enough support to win a general election. Trump may even go independent even though he promised not to.

At this stage, I don't see any realistic scenario where Clinton doesn't become President.
 

jmdajr

Member
I'm surprised the GOP didn't prop up Rubio just to block Trump. But after Lil Marco lost his home state, it's hard to make the case to keep him in. Plus, it sounds like half the GOP is down with a contested convention and the other half isn't.

Kasich is sorta blocking, but his campaign is dangerously low on cash right now and he has to go bigger now.

The GOP were idiots having so many people run.
 
The GOP kept fucking the chicken at every turn until we've arrived at this scenario. Wasted everyone's time with joke candidates who simply refused to drop out even well after their time was up. Jeb should've dropped long ago, and why the fuck is Kasich still here.

Everything from the RNC is so incompetent I actually seriously think they're half hoping to see how much support Trump can get so they can go for a hail mary. They hate Trump but will absolutely whore themselves out and back him in the general if they think there's a possibility of him winning.
Kasich is still in because he's the only candidate left who could carry the GE. Swing state voters aren't gonna go for trump or cruz.

Unfortunately the party's base went totally insane this year, so I don't think it's gonna matter in the end.
 
Well yeah, Ford pardoned Nixon. Still, in 1976 it would have been a mess to deny the candidate with the plurality. They couldn't do it then, and certainly couldn't now. Cruz is no Reagan -- he's barely human.

Sure, I think the GOP establishment would rather nominate Reagan's corpse than Cruz, as well. In their best case scenario, a brokered convention doesn't land on Trump or Cruz.
 

Mengy

wishes it were bannable to say mean things about Marvel
The GOP kept fucking the chicken at every turn until we've arrived at this scenario. Wasted everyone's time with joke candidates who simply refused to drop out even well after their time was up. Jeb should've dropped long ago, and why the fuck is Kasich still here.

Kasich is actually probably the best Republican candidate they've had this year. Which is of course why none of the Republican voters are voting for him, lol! No, the base loves the racist, fascist bully egotist who is just a mascot for his brand instead.

It will be Hillary vs Trump one way or another at this point. What scares me is that Hillary is such a weak candidate for the general election that I fear Trump might actually have a chance of beating her. She has a lot of weaknesses and is very unlikable to the population.
 
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