People saying/assuming that just announcing new consoles will be enough are amusing as there are dozens of things that Sony/Microsoft could do to kill hype, or at least dampen it (at least for me).
-Less than expected visual jump
-No (or limited) actual footage (CG only)
-Anti-used games policy
-2014 release date
-Overly focusing (10+ minutes demos) on 'casual' concepts like Kinect 2.0, Move, or Wonderbook.
-Increase in cost of basic online service (with/without noticable improvements to said service)
-Region locking
->US$400 for the 'basic model'
-'Sameness' about game concepts (Ridge Racer! Gears of War! Forza 99! Assassain Creed 3: Brotherlations etc)
-Unfavorably received new controllers (like Sony's Boomerang) or 'me too' tablet controllers.
-Lack of next-gen exclusive 3rd party titles (strong focus on 'cross-gen' games for the first Christmas)
-Stage demos working poorly
-Providing insufficient details
-Ungainly OS
-Awkward or glitchy stage demos
-Cringe-worthy presenters or presentations
And so on.
Picked out some I think will likely happen.
Visual Jump? I think it'll meet my expectations but I expect a lot of 'showing light from different angle' bollocks; some might be concerned that this is the first 3D gen that isn't going to see a real jump in IQ; so I think some people have some impossible standards. Meanwhile any taking advantage of resolution will be rendered a bit useless by the over abundance of PC builds for the last few years.
I actually wasn't worried about CG, it seemed superfluous. But I realised with Dark Souls that devs would be announcing games that are due of the next 2 years or so and the only real content they'll have is some early material or less. Needing CG involvement. But am not overly worried, and I think the game play there will make up for it.
I still think MS won't announce a
date. Sony? Who knows. 2013 release date could cause some good spark. 2014 for both would kill the conference; especially if their sitting discussing current gen games for Winter 2013.
Price will be high I suspect. But who knows, maybe one of them will bite looking to gain the world market. Though I doubt it; its profit time for everyone and MS are moving to create a cheap SKU that I suspect is there just because they realised the 720 couldn't compete with Sony for gamers and the lower price less game orientated market at the same time; basically to see films, TV, subscription services etc. Sign of a bit more of a higher price than 360 anyway; as are current tech costs.
Controllers. If one of them makes a small 4" screen or so; purely for OS and online functionality, I'll be excited. However I suspect MS will be showing off Surface for 20 minutes. Mostly because I doubt Kinect will get much of a showing whatsoever.
OS. I suspect Sony will shine with a new OS (moving on Nintendo's Miiverse too); but unless the Windows 8 sales have allowed the Xbox team to push back against Microsoft's cannibalisation I think this is going to be a seriously sore point of their conference. Expect time spent with the second SKU showing off the Metro functionality, and also how 720's now like Windows and can INTERACT WITH OFFICE OF A TABLET or something.
Region locking/Anti-Used will be present (I expect if MS aren't licensing out Xbox to Japan they'll drop that regions lock); but go unmentioned. Leaking out over the next few months through word of mouth.
Pleasant Surprises I suspect to see:
- Third parties shine, they've been working on new game concepts furiously for 2-3 years now; dropping them due to last gen capabilities. First parties I do expect the 'sameness' to the degree that they'll mostly be ignored.
- Kinect given a backseat. Okay I know the usual thing is 'Sony are irrational' but looking at the likes of Windows 8 its clear that Microsoft has gone a bit fucking barmy. Good sound logic says the Kinect will get a backseat. Its selling much poorer than MS were surely expecting this year. Its just not something the market is interested in all that much. Possible the second SKU will have Kinect focus though (it will have games, we just don't know what); in which case a bigger push may be made if MS really is taking two different platforms in two different directions. Generally though Kinect 2.0 will get its own conference and possibly not release till 2014.
MS presenters will still act like a bunch of fucking mental loony people and say 'Xbox' all the time to do things.
- Sony/MS both seem very close and competitive. Although this is maybe not a good thing as there is no 'cheaper option'.
- Xbox Live gets new features and a price drop when bought on a 720. Such a good goal for MS to score and basically kickstart the upgrading. Every Live purchase for a consumer on a 360 is now a negative purchase if their planning to one day upgrade. And you can bet the 720 will also be planned around selling people even more stuff. So this would all be great.
- Better multiplatform quality. Less ports and more cross development at the initial stages.
- Uber-Minecraft.
- If all this fails, Samsung teamed up with their newly bought SEGA will be round the back with a bunch of stuff they can mix and match to come and come in and take over the market whilst doing the traditional South Korean Dance; Gangnam Style. If its successful, awesome! If it fails, lol!