Analyst: If Xbox One Tanks, It Could Be Microsoft's Last Console

Analyst: If product doesn't sell, future business propositions potentially at risk.
What about ValueAct getting a seat on the board of directors, a new CEO and a new head of the Xbox division that doesn't give two shits about vidya gaems? Those things factor in heavily.
 
Ehh. I don't put much stock in stuff like this. The PS2 had no competition (its market share was over twice the other three combined) and game design didn't become atrophied or formulaic.

Yeah and then we got the PS3 launch, Giant Crabs , 599, "get a second job", etc etc.Imagine if no 360 or Wii were there to give Sony a proper kick in the ass. Inagine what the PS4 would be like now. Imagine if Sony were not around to put the pressure to MS a few months ago, there would e no "180's" i can tell you that. I know most console warrior types( not talking about you, just in general) don't like an sort of competition to the brands they shill for, so they don't like to acknowledge these kinds of things. These corporations aren't your friends the second there is no meaningful competition they do not hesitate to get arrogant and start pulling shit they otherwise would have thought twice about if there was a powerful rival on their asses that can take away their costumers.
 
Seems like Sony is actually gaining marketshare going into the next generation based on pre-order numbers. Sure, it's early, but seeing that PS3 caught up and surpassed the 360 this generation (coming out a year later, people seem to gloss over that fact, the PS3 has year-over-year beaten the 360 if you look at sales numbers), looking at where the mindset is with the PS4 vs the XBO at this point in all of those polls and pre-order charts (which are all wrong obviously, even if they all show the same exact thing), I think Sony is probably feeling pretty good about their situation going into next gen.

And again, Nintendo and Sony and most companies out of Japan will fight tooth and nail for a position of notoriety for the respect of having tried if nothing else, while a company like Microsoft will look at financials on just about anything and bail on a whim if their previous record is any indication.

PS3 sold less than PS2
Vita sells less than PSP

If Sony can't reverse this trend with the PS4 then they may decide to pull out, who knows. Let's not forget we are talking about the same Sony who have been completely incapable of turning round the Vita, they have had nearly 2 years and can't do it.

If MS go from 80m consoles to 50m next gen then their marketshare will be in decline and they may think about pulling out as well.
 
I hope it tanks. That will teach them not to fuck with Scandinavia.

Good to see some old fighting spirits up north!
vikings-history.jpg
 
quire the opposite actually
Every single piece of data we have suggests they are in for a rough time.

Fifa pack-in panic move.
Sony having 3:1 in pre-orders.
MS having a small launch and pretending there is no supply issues.
MS not having a concise message for direction.
The atmosphere across any hardcore gaming circle leaning heavily in the favour of Sony.

There is more but I'm on my iPad and hate typing with it. I don't see how a rational person can honestly think MS is in prime position gong into this next generation at all. Hate to break it to you and MS but I highly doubt this casual leaning is going to save the division.
 
If Microsoft Goes The Game Industry Goes Also. How many threads will be made though? -__-
You Guys Really Think The Industry Will Survive With Only Sony And NIntendo?

Like Be Real.

Competition Is Good.
Who's Going To Take Microsoft Place?

Amazon? Lmao

Apple? LMao

Microsoft Isn't Going Anywhere. I thought this was Gaf, you people posting like i'm in systemwars.
Man, you're on a roll here. Keep it up!
 
It's been profitable the last few years but the returns are a drop in the bucket compared to their cash cows like Office and Windows. Plus the entire Xbox project is about $6B in the red but chalk that up to sunk costs.

Thanks for the reply. So it's not that far fetched that MS might consider getting out of the business, if this isn't AS successful as they want it to be.

These memes do little to contribute to intelligent discussion, and now they set a distinctly negative tone to essentially every thread they are used in. The fact that they were the 1st and 2nd responses to a new thread is what got the users banned. I equate that to shouting "FIRST" in reply to a new topic. They are not banned per se, but tossing them out as a kneejerk response to anything MS related has run its course.

It was a good call. It's basically the same thing as someone saying "Cool story bro" as the first reply. It adds nothing to the conversation and basically derails what the OP is saying by dismissing the content.
 
We need competition.
But I think that we lose Nintendo pretty soon in the home console market. MS will stay.

Nintendo's IPs are irreplaceable. They will always be able to sell hardware with mario, zelda, pokemon etc. MS barely has that advantage. As I said Halo would still be big on the PC which is FPS territory.
 
What about ValueAct getting a seat on the board of directors, a new CEO and a new head of the Xbox division that doesn't give two shits about vidya gaems? Those things factor in heavily.

1) That stuff isn't mentioned in the headline at all. I'm making fun of the headline.

2) The ValueAct thing, while certainly worth mentioning and thinking about, doesn't seem to be the big deal people are making out of it (unless there's some info I missed). I can't imagine the board of directors consisting of 3 people. From the way people talk you'd think this was an episode of It's Always Sunny, where if one member of the gang can be swayed things are going to go in a radically different direction.
 
While these memes do little to contribute to intelligent discussion, and now they set a distinctly negative tone to essentially every thread they are used in, it is the fact that they were the 1st and 2nd responses to a new thread is what got the users banned. I equate that to shouting "FIRST" in reply to a new topic. They are not banned phrases per se, but tossing them out as a kneejerk response to anything MS related has run its course.

That's good to hear. There are certainly valid critiques of all consoles, but the silly, tired and frankly stupid replies waste so much space in any MS thread posted in the last 3 months. It'll be nice to see that abate just a bit.
 
You'll Be Happy Hundreds Of People Lost Their Jobs? Wow

I'm already unemployed. Give me support (money?) before helping others please.
(job begging is bannable? lol)

This thread is hilarious. Very excited to see what will change in future, with or without Microsoft. We are on the verge of seeing many major Chinese companies rise to dominance worldwide, and notably in electronic and entertainment markets.
 
As long as another western powerhouse steps in to take their spot, I'm good with it.

I have no faith in Japanese companies to innovate online and focus on services for the platform.

I have no faith in microsoft to innovate by creating new games. Because, for me, that's what video games are... games, not services.
 
1) That stuff isn't mentioned in the headline at all. I'm making fun of the headline.

2) The ValueAct thing, while certainly worth mentioning and thinking about, doesn't seem to be the big deal people are making out of it (unless there's some info I missed). I can't imagine the board of directors consisting of 3 people. From the way people talk you'd think this was an episode of It's Always Sunny, where if one member of the gang can be swayed things are going to go in a radically different direction.

For the last 3 years there have been multiple talks and rumors about dissolving the entertainment section of MS.
 
PS3 sold less than PS2
Vita sells less than PSP

If Sony can't reverse this trend with the PS4 then they may decide to pull out, who knows. Let's not forget we are talking about the same Sony who have been completely incapable of turning round the Vita, they have had nearly 2 years and can't do it.

If MS go from 80m consoles to 50m next gen then their marketshare will be in decline and they may think about pulling out as well.

Vita is not important to Sony, do not use that thing as a example. Sony sole 80 million PS3s because they actually had competition this time, Wii was a revolution and 360 was doing everything right for the core gamers(and they STILL turned PS3 around).
 
Thanks for the reply. So it's not that far fetched that MS might consider getting out of the business, if this isn't AS successful as they want it to be.

I think if they focused on software they could really give EA a run for their money. I think owning the hardware is a big component of their current strategy but I think it's ultimately going to bust for them and they will do a Sega (and be more successful at it).
 
The same argument can be made for Sony and Nintendo. This generation is going to be extremely critical for all three companies, with the rising propulsion of the realm of causal off beat gaming, dumping in a million dollars on a game like Halo or Uncharted will not be very financially viable.

The way I look at it is that Nintendo will soon exit the so called console market and focus most of its development on handheld devices

Microsoft will still remain in the hardware business, but the cross platform play between PC and the "Xbox" brand is likely to grow. They are going to turn the Xbox brand into a software, a one stop shop for games and other forms of entertainment

Sony well, I dont know if they are ever going to replicate the success of the original playstation and its successor, the tides have changed, I honestly do not see them last for too long in the business of hardware, most of their other electronics divisions are already suffering and Sony's as a company has never been a proponent of software

By the end of this generation all we will be left is the fond memories of a culture that used to be defined people who were passionate and dedicated to the realm of gaming...
 
If they decide to exit the business for whatever reason somebody will most likely take their place, maybe Apple, Samsung, Steam. Perhaps they will all join forces and create the A.S.S.box.
 
As long as another western powerhouse steps in to take their spot, I'm good with it.

I have no faith in Japanese companies to innovate online and focus on services for the platform.

joke post?

MS innovated by making you pay for what was free for years ahead of Xbox live, sadly Sony followed suit, but MS didn't innovate shit. I really hate this argument. PC had online gaming years before consoles and didn't charge for the service either.
 
I'm currently in the console wars panel at dragoncon in Atlanta. Any gaffers in here right now? Guy that worked on Saints row is here as well as Capps that used to work at Epic.
 
PS3 sold less than PS2
Vita sells less than PSP

If Sony can't reverse this trend with the PS4 then they may decide to pull out, who knows. Let's not forget we are talking about the same Sony who have been completely incapable of turning round the Vita, they have had nearly 2 years and can't do it.

If MS go from 80m consoles to 50m next gen then their marketshare will be in decline and they may think about pulling out as well.
Why would either pull out when they're guaranteed to make more money this generation? Sony isn't taking a 200 dollar loss on each system sold and Microsoft put together a console that wont cost them a billion dollars to fix after it kill itself in 4 years or less. There no way they don't make more money this time around.
 
Every single piece of data we have suggests they are in for a rough time.

Fifa pack-in panic move.
Sony having 3:1 in pre-orders.
MS having a small launch and pretending there is no supply issues.
MS not having a concise message for direction.
The atmosphere across any hardcore gaming circle leaning heavily in the favour of Sony.

There is more but I'm on me iPad and hate typing with it. I don't see how a rational person can honestly think MS is in prime position gong into this next generation at all. Hate to break it to you and MS but I highly doubt this casual leaning is going to save the division.

And all it takes is one game to take off, and the console will follow. We can account for all these variables, but there are still plenty of unknowns that could happen. If there is a game everyone wants to play then all of that other stuff gets erased. Things are very fluid at this point in the game.
 
While these memes do little to contribute to intelligent discussion, and now they set a distinctly negative tone to essentially every thread they are used in, it is the fact that they were the 1st and 2nd responses to a new thread is what got the users banned. I equate that to shouting "FIRST" in reply to a new topic. They are not banned phrases per se, but tossing them out as a kneejerk response to anything MS related has run its course.

Thank you Modus, it was getting tiring.
 
I don't believe it will tank, why would it? The 360 didn't, the dudebros will still be there to run out and buy whatever CODs or whatever sells these days.

Personally though, i'd be in heaven with just Sony and Nintendo on the console front, that is assuming they wouldn't go ever go crazy like MS has and come up with ideas to fuck up existing business models/introduce new ones in order to screw the customers/increase profit at ANY cost!
 
Thank you Modus, it was getting tiring.

Getting?

The only funny one was the Ouya/Towerfall variant


On topic, I agree but it's not really saying much. They may even be the final consoles in a traditional sense even if they're a success. If the PS4 tanks, I think Sony would have to make huge changes to their division, maybe stick a bunch of people on smartphone games or something...
 
While these memes do little to contribute to intelligent discussion, and now they set a distinctly negative tone to essentially every thread they are used in, it is the fact that they were the 1st and 2nd responses to a new thread is what got the users banned. I equate that to shouting "FIRST" in reply to a new topic. They are not banned phrases per se, but tossing them out as a kneejerk response to anything MS related has run its course.

While we're at it, I hope you guys do the same for the tired "Please understand" shit when it comes to Nintendo threads. It's getting as, if not more, irritating than this Titanfall and cloud thing.

Just leave "Please be excited" alone though. Square-Enix deserves that shit.
 
I'm happy to pay for quality and convenience.

What MS did with Live this gen is move console gaming to a online focus across the board. I'm personally very thankful for that. You might not be.

having a paywall for Netflix/amazon/hbo go/p2p and everything else is quality? You my friend are delusional.
 
PS3 sold less than PS2
Vita sells less than PSP

If Sony can't reverse this trend with the PS4 then they may decide to pull out, who knows. Let's not forget we are talking about the same Sony who have been completely incapable of turning round the Vita, they have had nearly 2 years and can't do it.

If MS go from 80m consoles to 50m next gen then their marketshare will be in decline and they may think about pulling out as well.

The Vita was well into R&D when smartphones gobbled up the intended market for it. Sony is doing what is financially responsible with it - slow profitable burn knowing they can't take over the market with it and therefore avoiding risks. I doubt we see another handheld from them and they'll instead move on to smartphone gaming for portable services (likely cloud based).

The home console line however is a tent pole product for them. They aren't scrapping their TV line where they've lost way more money and marketshare than the Playstation line, and with fewer positives on the horizon. Their current CEO was hired explicitly because of how he handheld the home console division post-Kutaragi. He's a Playstation man first and foremost.

If J Allard is the next CEO of Microsoft you might be on to something, but until then their commitment to the home console sector isn't remotely the same as Sony's.
 
If Microsoft Goes The Game Industry Goes Also. How many threads will be made though? -__-

I don't think so. MS has already the most dominant gaming platform on the market, and the one they have completely ignored. The pc. If the Xbox went away not everyone would go to Sony. Amazon is looking to get into the gaming business. There have been rumors with Google. Not to mention the Steambox.
 
Every single piece of data we have suggests they are in for a rough time.

Fifa pack-in panic move.
Sony having 3:1 in pre-orders.
MS having a small launch and pretending there is no supply issues.
MS not having a concise message for direction.
The atmosphere across any hardcore gaming circle leaning heavily in the favour of Sony.

There is more but I'm on my iPad and hate typing with it. I don't see how a rational person can honestly think MS is in prime position gong into this next generation at all. Hate to break it to you and MS but I highly doubt this casual leaning is going to save the division.

Because half of the things you mentioned are rumor or speculation.... and ignoring the obvious that a lot of people see a pretty amazing product and a well improved follow up to a very successful 360.

You don't have to believe me now but it is less hopeful thinking on my part than it is wishful thinking on the naysayers and their "evidence" to the contrary.

I think all the doom and gloom a little humorous to be honest :)


In fact the more people try to convince themselves of these "facts" and speculation the more I realize how less likely it is to happen.
 
Why would either pull out when they're guaranteed to make more money this generation? Sony isn't taking a 200 dollar loss on each system sold and Microsoft put together a console that wont cost them a billion dollars to fix after it kill itself in 4 years or less. There no way they don't make more money this time around.

I don't think either of them will, all I said was there was more chance Sony would in my opinion.

The smartest thing Sony have did so far is make PS+ compulsory for online gaming, they may also want to consider not giving away so many games for free.
 
Don't think Sega has the money to enter the game again with a console, maybe samsung will jump in to the game if either microsoft or nintendo or even sony exit the hardware gaming business.
 
I'm sure Apple is envious of the profits the Xbox and PlayStation bring in each year. /s

It's not about the profits, but about consoles being a trojan horse/loss leader to widen the scope/breadth of your ecosystem. AppleTV hasn't been a resounding success, which is why such acquisition could potentially make sense (not that it necessarily does). Microsoft/Sony have what Google/Apple do not; an access to your living room.

Microsoft could scale back their console efforts if the X1 fails, but unless the failure is catastrophic (i.e. Wii-U type), X1 / 360 still represents a big part of their consumer ecosystem strategy - selling it would definitely put an end to these efforts.
 
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