December 2013 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes January 13

The fact XB1 was not supply constrained at all. They should dominate PS4. Being US is home territory and MS biggest support. I fully expect XB1 to dominate NPD.
 
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A little more than 24 hours remain until the NPD season is among us!

damn, I'm gonna miss the party lol
 
The real news will be in NPD january. December both consoles sold very well.

The news that everybody's anticipating is how the Wii U fared this month.



To be clear:

Wii U sold 223K last month. It managed 463K last December, but that was because it was a launch month.


Nintendo's past Decembers with the Wii:

2006 - 604K
2007 - 1350K
2008 - 2150K
2009 - 3810K
2010 - 2355K
2011 - 1060K
2012 - 472K

Nintendo's past Decembers with the GameCube:

2001 - 573K
2002 - 590K
2003 - 1158K
2004 - 796K
2005 - 606K


Anything below 500K would be bad for the console.

Anything below 400K would be horrible for the console.

Anything below 300K...I don't want to even go there.
 
Dreamcast sold just shy of 450k in its December, so I guess thats the figure to beat!
 
Wii U isn't going to do better than its launch month. Let's not get crazy here.
 
The fact XB1 was not supply constrained at all. They should dominate PS4. Being US is home territory and MS biggest support. I fully expect XB1 to dominate NPD.

I am entirely unconvinced that's the case, I'm actually suspecting that Microsoft has satisfied early adopter demand for the Xbone during the month and that the PS4 will beat it this month due to sky-high demand for Sony's machine.

We shall see in the forthcoming hours who is right.
 
I am entirely unconvinced that's the case, I'm actually suspecting that Microsoft has satisfied early adopter demand for the Xbone during the month and that the PS4 will beat it this month due to sky-high demand for Sony's machine.

We shall see in the forthcoming hours who is right.



Well I'm curious to see the numbers, there are so many dynamics at play it will be very interesting.
 
The Wii U only did 220k in November. If it breaks 500K for December, I'd be surprised.

223K to be more precise.

For Nintendo's sake, I sure hope we don't see a phenomenon similar to Vita's 2012 performance (218K November -> 245K December), or Wii's 2012 performance (420K November -> 472K December).

A slight rise from 223K would be devastatingly awful.
 
The news that everybody's anticipating is how the Wii U fared this month.



To be clear:

Wii U sold 223K last month. It managed 463K last December, but that was because it was a launch month.


Nintendo's past Decembers with the Wii:

2006 - 604K
2007 - 1350K
2008 - 2150K
2009 - 3810K
2010 - 2355K
2011 - 1060K
2012 - 472K

Nintendo's past Decembers with the GameCube:

2001 - 573K
2002 - 590K
2003 - 1158K
2004 - 796K
2005 - 606K


Anything below 500K would be bad for the console.

Anything below 400K would be horrible for the console.

Anything below 300K...I don't want to even go there.
I will. I'm going for 224k.
 
223K to be more precise.

For Nintendo's sake, I sure hope we don't see a phenomenon similar to Vita's 2012 performance (218K November -> 245K December), or Wii's 2012 performance (420K November -> 472K December).

A slight rise from 223K would be devastatingly awful.

I wouldn't be surprised if it were just that, or even worse, around the same ball park.
 
Wii U isn't going to do better than its launch month. Let's not get crazy here.

There's nothing crazy about that. Its launch month, and 2nd month (Dec) were nothing special at 425k and 460k respectively. Quite frankly, if it does less than that, it's officially dead (and of course, it may well be).

Even the "revived" DS and 3DS never had a dead December.
 
This is the chart to keep track of regards WiiU disaster level:
kRW3ZlW.png


I'm sure the guy that does them, thanks Terry Travis!, is ready and raring for the December update.

If it was suddenly a straight line flat across to another 250k like number, that would be historically appalling. Like... no. I don't think it can get that bad with the Christmas effect in play.
 
There's nothing crazy about that. Its launch month, and 2nd month (Dec) were nothing special at 425k and 460k respectively.

Uh... You do know that 425k and 460k in a month in one country for a Console Launch is actually quite good right?

The PS4 and Xbox One sales are Unprecedented due to supply, they are not the rule for Console Gaming Launches.
 
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this calculation, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
 
Do we typically get NPD number holding leakers in these threads?
 
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this route, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)

u wot m8
google search interest? haha
 
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this route, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but I searched the term "Wii U" several thousand times.
 
The Wii U sold 55.750 units per week in November (November is 4 weeks).

December includes 5 weeks, so if we take the same pace the Wii U should be around 278.750 units.


http://www.google.de/trends/explore#q=wii+u&geo=US

Googles search interest index for the Wii U in December was at 62 compared to 46 in November (factor 1,35).


Going by this calculation, Wii U could've sold 376.313 units. (278.750 × 1,35)

Woah on here folks we got someone using math
 
I'm seriously interested in seeing how Wii U fared, not just next gen obviously. It could be an indication of how much rampant the rage will be on January 30th.
 
That struggling consoles chart....
I did't know Wii U was tracking behind the Dreamcast. I just can't believe it.
 
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