Its time to test your game industry ESP skills. In preparation for the coming holiday season, I think it would be a fun exercise to see how well everybody does in predicting sells and industry trends.
Below are thirty questions that some of you submitted in an earlier thread. I have compiled them here.
Some rules:
1) I will close the polls and collect your answers at midnight (P.S.T.) September 15.
2) Feel free to edit your answers up until the polls close.
3) I'll tally the results after the December 2004 NPD data is released. I think by that time all the answers will be revealed.
4) I will throw out any question that becomes irrelevant. (Question #9 will become irrelevant if Gran Turismo 4 slips in 2005, for example.)
5) If a GAF mod agrees, can we award the winner a tag of his/her choice?
(drum roll)
Here are the thirty questions plus tie-breaker:
1) What will be the best-selling game of 2004 (according to NPD)?
2) Nintendo DS will launch with how many games?
A) 1-3
B) 4-6
C) 7-9
D) 10 or more
3) What will be the best-selling game for November?
4) PSP will launch at:
A) Under 20,000 yen
B) 20,000 yen - 29,999 yen
C) 30,000 yen - 39,999 yen
D) 40,000 yen - 49,999 yen
E) Over 50,000 yen
5) What will be the best-selling movie tie-in game of 2004?
6) What will be the best-selling game for PlayStation 2 in 2004?
7) What will be the best-selling game for Xbox in 2004?
8) What will be the best-selling game for GameCube in 2004?
9) What will be the best-selling game for Game Boy Advance in 2004?
10) What 2004 game will average out with the highest score at Gamerankings.com? (Gamerankings.com scores will be tallied January 15, 2005)
11) What racing game will sell the most units after Gran Turismo 4?
12) True or False: Doom III for Xbox will ship in 2004.
13) True or False: The Xbox version of Mortal Kombat: Deception will sell the more units than the PlayStation 2 version.
14) True or False: At least one of the big four online game sites (Gamespot, IGN, GameSpy, 1UP) will score Killzone higher than Halo 2.
15) True of False: Half-Life 2 will ship in 2004.
16) True or False: Halo 2 will sell over two million copies in November.
17) True or False: At least one of the big four online game sites (Gamespot, IGN, GameSpy, 1UP) will give a 2004 release a perfect score.
18) True or False: Metal Gear Solid 3 will sell more than Madden NFL 2005 (PS2). (U.S. Sales)
19) True or False: Doom III will sell more than Half-Life 2 in 2004.
20) True or False: PSP ship this year in Japan.
21) True or False: The Madden curse will continue this NFL season. (Season ending with Super Bowl)
22) True or False: Tecmo will release a second Hurricane Pack by the end of 2004.
23) True or False: At least one version of Goldeneye: Rogue Agent (PS2, Xbox, GameCube) will slip into 2005.
24) True or False: Half-Life 2 will score higher on Gamerankings than Doom III. (Gamerankings.com score will be tallied January 15, 2005.)
25) True or False: Rare will announce its support of Nintendo DS in 2004.
26) True or False: No holiday GameCube releases will sell over a million copies in 2004. (holiday = released August 29 December 31)
27) True or False: Madden NFL 2005 (PS2 version) will sell more than Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas in 2004.
28) True or False: Prince of Persia 2 will sell more than its predecessor. (Xbox, PlayStation 2, GameCube sells combined)
29) True or False: Dragon Quest VIII will ship in Japan this year.
30) True or False: Nintendo will announce Famicom Mini Series Volume 4 by the end of 2004.
TIE BREAKER: How many copies will Paper Mario 2 sell in 2004? (U.S. sales)
Below are thirty questions that some of you submitted in an earlier thread. I have compiled them here.
Some rules:
1) I will close the polls and collect your answers at midnight (P.S.T.) September 15.
2) Feel free to edit your answers up until the polls close.
3) I'll tally the results after the December 2004 NPD data is released. I think by that time all the answers will be revealed.
4) I will throw out any question that becomes irrelevant. (Question #9 will become irrelevant if Gran Turismo 4 slips in 2005, for example.)
5) If a GAF mod agrees, can we award the winner a tag of his/her choice?
(drum roll)
Here are the thirty questions plus tie-breaker:
1) What will be the best-selling game of 2004 (according to NPD)?
2) Nintendo DS will launch with how many games?
A) 1-3
B) 4-6
C) 7-9
D) 10 or more
3) What will be the best-selling game for November?
4) PSP will launch at:
A) Under 20,000 yen
B) 20,000 yen - 29,999 yen
C) 30,000 yen - 39,999 yen
D) 40,000 yen - 49,999 yen
E) Over 50,000 yen
5) What will be the best-selling movie tie-in game of 2004?
6) What will be the best-selling game for PlayStation 2 in 2004?
7) What will be the best-selling game for Xbox in 2004?
8) What will be the best-selling game for GameCube in 2004?
9) What will be the best-selling game for Game Boy Advance in 2004?
10) What 2004 game will average out with the highest score at Gamerankings.com? (Gamerankings.com scores will be tallied January 15, 2005)
11) What racing game will sell the most units after Gran Turismo 4?
12) True or False: Doom III for Xbox will ship in 2004.
13) True or False: The Xbox version of Mortal Kombat: Deception will sell the more units than the PlayStation 2 version.
14) True or False: At least one of the big four online game sites (Gamespot, IGN, GameSpy, 1UP) will score Killzone higher than Halo 2.
15) True of False: Half-Life 2 will ship in 2004.
16) True or False: Halo 2 will sell over two million copies in November.
17) True or False: At least one of the big four online game sites (Gamespot, IGN, GameSpy, 1UP) will give a 2004 release a perfect score.
18) True or False: Metal Gear Solid 3 will sell more than Madden NFL 2005 (PS2). (U.S. Sales)
19) True or False: Doom III will sell more than Half-Life 2 in 2004.
20) True or False: PSP ship this year in Japan.
21) True or False: The Madden curse will continue this NFL season. (Season ending with Super Bowl)
22) True or False: Tecmo will release a second Hurricane Pack by the end of 2004.
23) True or False: At least one version of Goldeneye: Rogue Agent (PS2, Xbox, GameCube) will slip into 2005.
24) True or False: Half-Life 2 will score higher on Gamerankings than Doom III. (Gamerankings.com score will be tallied January 15, 2005.)
25) True or False: Rare will announce its support of Nintendo DS in 2004.
26) True or False: No holiday GameCube releases will sell over a million copies in 2004. (holiday = released August 29 December 31)
27) True or False: Madden NFL 2005 (PS2 version) will sell more than Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas in 2004.
28) True or False: Prince of Persia 2 will sell more than its predecessor. (Xbox, PlayStation 2, GameCube sells combined)
29) True or False: Dragon Quest VIII will ship in Japan this year.
30) True or False: Nintendo will announce Famicom Mini Series Volume 4 by the end of 2004.
TIE BREAKER: How many copies will Paper Mario 2 sell in 2004? (U.S. sales)