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Do you think there will be Xbox360 shortages?

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Vieo

Member
I was wondering.. Do you think there will be Xbox360 shortages? If they're all sold out within the first week of launch, do you think more will arrive before christmas or will that pretty much be it until next year?

Also, eh... if someone.. >_> wanted to sell one, when do you think best time would be for them to price gouge it on eBay; the period between launch and christmas or right after christmas?
 
I don't think there will be shortages. I believe that Microsoft will keep shelves stocked. I think that you will see more of the non-retard pack, though.

Best time to sell is 2 weeks before xmas.
 
Hell yes. And it ain't gonna be because Microsoft aint' shipping enough. With a worldwide simultaneous release + first next gen console + a plethora of spectacular launch games = 1st day sellout with new weekly shipments being sold out within hours through the end of the year.

End of Thread.
 
sonycowboy said:
new weekly shipments
Click to expand...
ya.... AFAIK, Microsoft has stated that they intend to make shipments of Xbox 360 s approximately every week .... So, there will be the initial batch of Xbox 360 s on launch day, then around a week after that a new batch should arrive, then a around week after that a new batch, etc. ...... However, they have not indicated exactly how many Xbox 360 s will come with each new shipment..
 
sonycowboy said:
Hell yes. And it ain't gonna be because Microsoft aint' shipping enough. With a worldwide simultaneous release + first next gen console + a plethora of spectacular launch games = 1st day sellout with new weekly shipments being sold out within hours through the end of the year.

End of Thread.
Click to expand...

:lol

We shall see.
 
sonycowboy said:
Hell yes. And it ain't gonna be because Microsoft aint' shipping enough. With a worldwide simultaneous release + first next gen console + a plethora of spectacular launch games = 1st day sellout with new weekly shipments being sold out within hours through the end of the year.

End of Thread.
Click to expand...

System is overpriced. No one outside of the hardcore will buy the system past launch day. I expect to see plenty of 400 dollar systems on the shelves come Xmas.

/thread over
 
My prediction, very early of course.

Microsoft will have 1.5M units available for the North American launch, with 1.35M of those in the US, and will sell 1.1M on November's NPD.

Of course, if the PS2 has a price drop, I'd expect the PS2 to top that.
 
sonycowboy said:
My prediction, very early of course.

Microsoft will have 1.5M units available for the North American launch, with 1.35M of those in the US, and will sell 1.1M on November's NPD.

Of course, if the PS2 has a price drop, I'd expect the PS2 to top that.
Click to expand...

Where did you get those numbers? 1.5 million would be a huge launch shipment. I suppose it makes sense since they are releasing the system three days before Black Friday.
 
I'm bookmarking this thread.

I have no idea what will happen (well, neither does SC either for that matter) but anyway, I doubt MS will drop the ball and not be able to meet demand. MS is hungry. I don't forsee something along the scale of a PS2 release - that is for damn sure.
 
Mrbob said:
I expect to see plenty of 400 dollar systems on the shelves come Xmas.
Click to expand...
if that situation does indeed materialize (I don't know if it will or not), it would be quite unsatisfactory for Microsoft, which wants to take advantage of their 'first mover advantage', as much as possible..
 
Mrbob said:
Where did you get those numbers? 1.5 million would be a huge launch shipment. I suppose it makes sense since they are releasing the system three days before Black Friday.
Click to expand...

My ass. But, Microsoft did sell 700k in November when the Xbox originally launched. True it was only the US and it was released earlier in the month, but they've been stocking up on parts for a LONG time given that the chips were finalized last year.
 
Aika'svyse said:
Black Friday will dry shelves of 360s count on it.
Click to expand...

Yeah, but that wasn't the question necessarily. He was talking about keeping shelves stocked over the holiday season - not Black Friday. That's an entirely different scenario.
 
Mrbob said:
Where did you get those numbers? 1.5 million would be a huge launch shipment. I suppose it makes sense since they are releasing the system three days before Black Friday.
Click to expand...

sonycowboy said:
My ass.
Click to expand...

:lol

Indeed.

No one knows whats gonna happen - except for maybe Microsoft (they may have an inkling of what will happen).
 
Dr_Cogent said:
:lol

Indeed.

No one knows whats gonna happen - except for maybe Microsoft (they may have an inkling of what will happen).
Click to expand...

I have a pretty good idea that retailers have gotten some pretty solid numbers from Microsoft at this point. I don't see EB & Gamestop rearranging their sales floor, giving premium position to the 360, almost 90 days out unless they expect a damn big shipment.

You don't give up sales floor for a product that's 90 days away in retail ever.
 
I'm surprised no one is addressing the concern over Gas prices this winter. Many people are predicting Americans are going to hold on their spending this holiday season due to the higher than usual prices for natural gas.

Are people willing to spend $400+ on a new console when they are going to spend a **** load of money for heating bills?

I expect a weak christmas season this year, not sure how that will effect MS.
 
I doubt it. 400 smackers is still a lot of money to a lot of people. If Sony does their job right with PS3 hype, Xbox 360 will be on shelves all through December. Even if Sony drops the ball, I still don't think the public will be Xbox 360-crazy after the first-day crowd gets their systems.
 
littlewig said:
I'm surprised no one is addressing the concern over Gas prices this winter. Many people are predicting Americans are going to hold on their spending this holiday season due to the higher than usual prices for natural gas.

Are people willing to spend $400+ on a new console when they are going to spend a **** load of money for heating bills?

I expect a weak christmas season this year, not sure how that will effect MS.
Click to expand...

It's certainly a possibility, but I'd expect it to hurt the "mass market" more than the hardcore, which will be who's buying the 360. For those folk, gaming is a first priority and will buy the system with credit if they have to. For the more casual market, I can see folks tightening the belt somewhat this holiday season, especially in colder climate areas where heating costs will be extremely high.
 
sonycowboy said:
I have a pretty good idea that retailers have gotten some pretty solid numbers from Microsoft at this point. I don't see EB & Gamestop rearranging their sales floor, giving premium position to the 360, almost 90 days out unless they expect a damn big shipment.

You don't give up sales floor for a product that's 90 days away in retail ever.
Click to expand...

It's not just a question of numbers. It's also a question of demand.

How do we know a bunch of people aren't going to just hold out for the PS3?

Can you predict the future sony? No, no one can. You can guess though. My guess was no. Your guess is yes.

That's about it.

I know people who are holding out for PS3 simply because it will support BlueRay and Xbox 360 doesn't.

littlewig said:
I'm surprised no one is addressing the concern over Gas prices this winter. Many people are predicting Americans are going to hold on their spending this holiday season due to the higher than usual prices for natural gas.
Click to expand...

Indeed. This country really is getting hit hard with gas price gouging from the oil refineries. Some people are not going to spend as much on luxuries when the cost of heating their home is going to skyrocket.
 
It'll sell out. Retard packs will fly,guaranteed.

Its the best weapon they have to play with in building a userbase faster than they would with a 400 dollar package. Casuals will suck up the 300 dollar package while the hardcores will pick up the more expensive 400 one.
 
truffleshuffle83 said:
speevy comes in every xbox360 thread and mentions the fact the he won one through the pepsi promo in some way. we get it.....you lucky bastard
Click to expand...


:lol

It's gotten to the point where I just can't help it. I try to relate to the people who don't think it's worth $400 to make the next-generation leap, or the folks that are camping out on launch day. I'm just filled with artificially inflated excitement about the 360.
 
MAN IM BLOATED FROM DRINKIN SO MUCH GOD DAMN DIET MOUNTAIN DEW!!! code red diet is somewhat decent but diet pepsi, diet mountain dew, and diet fuckin sierra mist are asstastic
if i drop my hundred plus codes in and dont win ill be pissed
 
ofcourse. Next gen Madden is going to be the biggest selling game along with PD Zero, these games will insure both causals and hardcore will buy Xbox360s, and most probably cause a nationwide sellout.
 
Speevy said:
:lol

It's gotten to the point where I just can't help it. I try to relate to the people who don't think it's worth $400 to make the next-generation leap, or the folks that are camping out on launch day. I'm just filled with artificially inflated excitement about the 360.
Click to expand...

Well, I guess that promotion worked on you, huh?

[joking]
If you were REALLY hardcore, you'd make a video of you destroying your Xbox with pure, seething hatred and then post it to all of the big gaming forums until you got slashdotted and wanged for it. Then all of the positive momentum of that contest could be completely reversed.

I have no clue how well it'll sell initially. All I know is that no one I know wants it, they're all talking about PS3 and Rev, which makes me wonder who beyond ghetto rappers and hardcore gamers who can put up with owning the system that spawned WallGuy are really going to buy the thing.

And I don't think EB/Gamestop floor plans mean shit. Microsoft has paid them off for all sorts of little favors before, I wouldn't be shocked if Microsoft offered to pony up the cash for the shelf space this early for hype's sake, or intentionally allocated some of the Xbox shelf space to 360 stuff.
 
Juice said:
W
I have no clue how well it'll sell initially. All I know is that no one I know wants it, they're all talking about PS3 and Rev, which makes me wonder who beyond ghetto rappers and hardcore gamers who can put up with owning the system that spawned WallGuy are really going to buy the thing.

And I don't think EB/Gamestop floor plans mean shit. Microsoft has paid them off for all sorts of little favors before, I wouldn't be shocked if Microsoft offered to pony up the cash for the shelf space this early for hype's sake, or intentionally allocated some of the Xbox shelf space to 360 stuff.
Click to expand...

can you do us all a favor? if you see a topic with 360 in the title, can you just skip over it? Do your part to reduce the rampant trolling on GAF. its ruining the forum.

thx in advance.
 
I'm not sure about how inflated the prices are going to be on eBay. Nothing since the PS2 launch has been very crazy. I thought there was going to be some craziness with the Xbox or Cube when they launched but it never happened. Same goes with the PSP. I imagine there will be some inflation on eBay because the system is launching by itself at Christmas time, but don't expect anything like the 1000 dollar PS2 situation.
 
Mrbob said:
System is overpriced. No one outside of the hardcore will buy the system past launch day. I expect to see plenty of 400 dollar systems on the shelves come Xmas.

/thread over
Click to expand...


Do you exist for any reason other than to troll Xbox 360 threads?

Dr_Cogent said:
It's not just a question of numbers. It's also a question of demand.
I know people who are holding out for PS3 simply because it will support BlueRay and Xbox 360 doesn't.
Click to expand...

Do you really think the mass market, especially the people buying the core package know what blueRay is? The suggestion that it will have any impact on sales is asinine.
 
Ehhhhh, they'll blow through the initial allocation, but they're only going to be able to keep that going if the launch games manage to catch some really good word of mouth. It's still a lot of money, and it's going up against a very much alive trio of inexpensive systems in the PS2, PSP, and DS.

I think it'll probably sell about as well as the Xbox and the GCN did at launch. Low stock, but reasonably easy to find if you want it. And still getting absolutely spanked by the PS2.
 
bitwise said:
can you do us all a favor? if you see a topic with 360 in the title, can you just skip over it? Do your part to reduce the rampant trolling on GAF. its ruining the forum.

thx in advance.
Click to expand...

I think I earned the right to make a joke about it when I owned the board by pulling the correct pricing structure out of my ass two weeks early and got railed for it. By just about everyone.

Threads about how well launches are going to go are a mere shadow of how interesting launches really are from a speculative standpoint, which is not very. It's getting a little predictable at this point. Hardcore gamers, whether they think they will yet or not, go and buy the system at launch in November. Nobody else knows what the fuck is really up with it until the news and word of mouth picks up, either slightly before the launch or by the time stock is replenished. Then a bunch of parents by the thing for the kids and it's a virtual sell-out.

I'd be surprised if the 360 launch is much different.

But just coming out and saying that wouldn't make for a really interesting thread, where I say something in jest and you come out and declare that I should ignore 360 threads. Don't worry, I'm a complete toolbag and I'll probably have purchased one by mid-January. Which for me would be a feat of self control. Once that happens, I'm sure I'll still speak my mind about what I think is good and what I think is bad about it. Right now all we can do is go by what we hear and see online, which isn't a very good indicator for either hype-level or quality of launch software; neither of which look extraordinary through that murky window, however.

And Prine: I actuall return by the end of December. And I was referring to my friends back in America. I don't know whether any of the Japanese I know have heard of the system.
 
The hype factor isn't anywhere near where it should be at this point. Microsoft hasn't dropped the ball, but they're fumbling it pretty badly.

Nonetheless, it will sell out unless they ship crazy numbers.
 
I expect in Australia you'll be able to walk into a Kmart or Target and get a 360 any time you want after launch with no hassles.

I've never noticed any console here going through a period where you couldn't get one, the only problem we have is delayed launches (PSP was only launched here 3 weeks ago!)
 
There shouldn't be a shortage. But judging by MS's past performance in handling the x360(pricing, marketing, press events, etc), I'm not so sure.
 
truffleshuffle83 said:
if i drop my hundred plus codes in and dont win ill be pissed
Click to expand...
You're just gonna throw it on eBay with the other four you're scalping anyways :lol
 
no i would keep this one since its coming a week early scalp the rest of them and make pure profit, not have to turn right around and spend my profit on my personal 360. even better :)
 
sonycowboy said:
Hell yes. And it ain't gonna be because Microsoft aint' shipping enough. With a worldwide simultaneous release + first next gen console + a plethora of spectacular launch games = 1st day sellout with new weekly shipments being sold out within hours through the end of the year.

End of Thread.
Click to expand...

Absolutely, completely correct. Anyone who doesn't believe this is the truth is going to either be in for a sour disappointment or a super nice surprise, depending on where your biases are at.

Xbox360 is gonna be hotcakes SELLA.
 
bwah? no one has mentioned the halo 2 level pre-orders yet? when i paid off my preorder this week i had expected that the orders wouldnt be as strong with the whole 399, split price "fiasco". Clerk said i was lucky i preorderd mine when i did then proceeded to show me the 3 stacks of pre orders for the poor suckers who wont make the 1st shipment. :lol
 
Amir0x said:
Absolutely, completely correct. Anyone who doesn't believe this is the truth is going to either be in for a sour disappointment or a super nice surprise, depending on where your biases are at.

Xbox360 is gonna be hotcakes SELLA.
Click to expand...

Damn right it is. The best next gen console, available November 2005. :D
 
Mrbob said:
Damn right it is. The best next gen console, available November 2005. :D
Click to expand...

A current gen console can't get that honor. You're thinking of PS3 launch, Spring 2006 in Japan. The tagline for the launch is: "PS3 - a true next-gen console. All the best support, all the best games. Except Halo."
 
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