How About That Weather?

I went out in the snow in my Star Wars nerd coat.

1Fdwjuu.jpeg
 
FYI my weather bros.

Last weekend we got some snow, it had thawed by Tuesday (or so I thought). When walking to get the mail I slipped one some ice (picture Bambi on ice) and hurt my knee pretty bad.
Be careful of anti-thaw ice my weather bros.
 
Getting col, but pretty much snow free still. When it snows it disappears fast, especially if you shovel.

But next bunch of days are supposed to be cold at about -10 to -18C around here. Doesn't look like a lot of predicted snow which is good. So dont have to be outside except going from the parking lot to the office.
 
Typically don't talk weather here on GAF much, but surprised nobody has for this event.

Currently unraveling is what looks to be a pretty historic tornado outbreak, parameters are all meeting well, models are showing a nasty situation from now until Sunday along largely the Dixie Alley southeast region (Ms, Al, etc).

I am a weather nerd who has followed for years (and seen my fair share of tornados, including a few direct hits - one of which in 2024 led to my house getting severely damaged - but hey, got a partial rebuild for free! Lol).

This system is nasty, even on some of the weather forums and discussions I am on, meteorologist are sounding the alarms here.

Definitely one to watch over the next 3 days. Prayers for all who will be affected.
 
0neAnd0nly said:
Typically don't talk weather here on GAF much, but surprised nobody has for this event.

Currently unraveling is what looks to be a pretty historic tornado outbreak, parameters are all meeting well, models are showing a nasty situation from now until Sunday along largely the Dixie Alley southeast region (Ms, Al, etc).

I am a weather nerd who has followed for years (and seen my fair share of tornados, including a few direct hits - one of which in 2024 led to my house getting severely damaged - but hey, got a partial rebuild for free! Lol).

This system is nasty, even on some of the weather forums and discussions I am on, meteorologist are sounding the alarms here.

Definitely one to watch over the next 3 days. Prayers for all who will be affected.
Click to expand...

Yeah this is intense

ySuWCmt.png


Ryan Hall is livestreaming if anyone wants to follow along.
 
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Last weekend, beautiful 10 centigrade sitting in the sun drinking tea. Washing the car, thinking this is the end of the season of road salt. Soon time for summer tyres.

Today, minus 2 centigrade, road salt. Me raging.
 
AJUMP23 said:
At least the highest rating is only 30%
Click to expand...

30% is not the probability of a tornado happening, it is the probability of seeing such severe event (tornado) within 25 miles on any given point on the map inside of that area. Using climatology this will tell you the increased value of seeing a tornado.

In essence, 30% is massive. I have personally only seen 30% a few times in years of following, 45% like twice? It's an uncommon thing to see. Last year I was hit direct on a 10% day.

New model runs are absolutely intense tomorrow. Please stay safe if you are in that zone!
 
0neAnd0nly said:
30% is not the probability of a tornado happening, it is the probability of seeing such severe event (tornado) within 25 miles on any given point on the map inside of that area. Using climatology this will tell you the increased value of seeing a tornado.

In essence, 30% is massive. I have personally only seen 30% a few times in years of following, 45% like twice? It's an uncommon thing to see. Last year I was hit direct on a 10% day.

New model runs are absolutely intense tomorrow. Please stay safe if you are in that zone!
Click to expand...
In 2011 I had 6 or 7 tornados go within visual distance of my house. We are at the beach and should be good. My wife is worried about the chickens but I have the coop pegged down.
 
AJUMP23 said:
In 2011 I had 6 or 7 tornados go within visual distance of my house. We are at the beach and should be good. My wife is worried about the chickens but I have the coop pegged down.
Click to expand...
In 2009, my family and I lived in Missouri, and our house was hit by three different tornados (though technically the insurance ruled one as just a "microburst"). We moved to the West Coast in 2010, and in 2011 the city we lived in in Missouri (Joplin) got totally wiped out.

Tornados suck.
 
jshackles said:
In 2009, my family and I lived in Missouri, and our house was hit by three different tornados (though technically the insurance ruled one as just a "microburst"). We moved to the West Coast in 2010, and in 2011 the city we lived in in Missouri (Joplin) got totally wiped out.

Tornados suck.
Click to expand...

Joplin is, without a doubt, one of the worst Tornado incidents on US soil in near every metric.

The raw Mike Bettes video from the Weather channel right after the Tornado hits is haunting (and available on Youtube, if you so wish). Just an hour + of him walking around, people injured dead and confused. He struggles to find words. The devastation in unreal. The most surreal moment from that video is when a guy approaches him and ask "what street are we on" as he frantically looks for a house. Hits you that the dude doesn't recognize the area he obviously lives in, and is looking for something or someone.

Can't imagine. Most people can't imagine what a high end EF4 - EF5 can do. Incredible damage.
 
AJUMP23 said:
In 2011 I had 6 or 7 tornados go within visual distance of my house. We are at the beach and should be good. My wife is worried about the chickens but I have the coop pegged down.
Click to expand...

Ah, you are in AL or MS, then. 4/27 was an incredibly sad event, though 6 or 7 within viewing distance seems intense even for that particular day, but yeah - it was a ridiculous event... that this event is starting to be compared to (as far as potential tomorrow) by even meteorologist I know that are usually hesitant and reserved in their language. I Use to rollerblade with a dude who was in school in Tuscaloosa during the 2011 super outbreak, dude didn't like to talk about it at all.
 
- Tornadoes and severe storms killed at least three people in Missouri. Two deaths were confirmed in Ozark County and one person was killed in Butler County.
- At least three deaths from dust storm car crashes in Amarillo County in the Texas Panhandle, according to the Associated Press.
- Damage from severe storms and tornadoes in several towns in Missouri, Illinois and Mississippi.
- Winds sparked more than 100 wildfires in the central U.S.; homes and structures were destroyed in multiple fires.
Click to expand...
weather.com

Monster Storm Unleashes Wind, Wildfires, Tornadoes | Weather.com

It was a night of tragedy and destruction as severe storms pounded the middle of the country. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com
weather.com weather.com
 
Freezing rainy snow today. Already put away my snow brush in the garage. Lucky it didnt freeze to my car winshields. But as dumb as it looked I had to brush off the snow from my car using a nylon shopping bag.

Was too lazy to check rest of week weather, so when I got home I shoveled the slushy stuff in the freezing rain to prevent any of it freezing over night.

Waste of time. Tomorrow is supposed to warm up so it'll all melt anyway!
 
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jshackles said:
In 2009, my family and I lived in Missouri, and our house was hit by three different tornados (though technically the insurance ruled one as just a "microburst"). We moved to the West Coast in 2010, and in 2011 the city we lived in in Missouri (Joplin) got totally wiped out.

Tornados suck.
Click to expand...
When I see these places on TV, I always think "Why do Americans ever settle in these places". Even if there is a 10% chance a decently powerful tornado hits within 10 years, why take that chance to live there? Gotta be a mental strain to deal with that.
 
kpopSuperstar said:
When I see these places on TV, I always think "Why do Americans ever settle in these places". Even if there is a 10% chance a decently powerful tornado hits within 10 years, why take that chance to live there? Gotta be a mental strain to deal with that.
Click to expand...

I think part of it is because people were just born into it. living there their whole life and can't imagine living anywhere else. I can understand that, even thou I would strongly advise them to move away if possible. then there's also the fact that relocating your whole livelihood also cost a lot of money and it can still be hard to find jobs in wherever you want to/able to move to. sometimes it's just life dealing you a rough hand.
 
kpopSuperstar said:
When I see these places on TV, I always think "Why do Americans ever settle in these places". Even if there is a 10% chance a decently powerful tornado hits within 10 years, why take that chance to live there? Gotta be a mental strain to deal with that.
Click to expand...
I walsy thought the same thing. How can a family keep living in an area there there's risk of tornadoes/hurricanes leveling a town every 5 or 10 years? And we all know only certain parts get hit. It's not like it's 100% random hits around the globe.

Robot Carnival said:
I think part of it is because people were just born into it. living there their whole life and can't imagine living anywhere else. I can understand that, even thou I would strongly advise them to move away if possible. then there's also the fact that relocating your whole livelihood also cost a lot of money and it can still be hard to find jobs in wherever you want to/able to move to. sometimes it's just life dealing you a rough hand.
Click to expand...
Ya, I think some of it is being born into it or costs and hassles of moving. Not just due to job relocation but if all your fam and friends are in Town X, you probably want to stick close by.

But I think another part of it is simply just rolling the dice. It's not like in tornado country every town in a 500 mile radius gets blasted every 3 years. It's going to be a small number of towns that actually get nailed out of the 1000s of cities and towns across the eastern states that get hit. So probability wise, it's low.

It's like snowstorms. My area gets hit with snow, but it's rarely humongous snowfalls with towering snow piles or major iced up roads and driveways. I'm anal and try to clear that shit asap so it doesnt pile up or my driveway ice over overnight. Most people arent as proactive as me (I can tell by looking out my bedroom window). Many homes let it pile up not giving a shit. And guess what? Technically they are right sitting back because the snow eventually melts or they just drive over it and only once in 10 years have I ever experienced a overnight ice over that killed the roads where almost everyone stayed home for a few days. But you never know, maybe one day we'll get 3 ft high snow and icy roads that last 2 weeks. But hasnt happened yet, so nobody gives a shit going that far or moving away.
 
kpopSuperstar said:
When I see these places on TV, I always think "Why do Americans ever settle in these places". Even if there is a 10% chance a decently powerful tornado hits within 10 years, why take that chance to live there? Gotta be a mental strain to deal with that.
Click to expand...
We live here because it's cheap lol. The anxiety is real though. NOAA and local news hype these storms saying there's a 60% chance of tornadoes the day before the storm comes making everyone nervous. Often times we dont even see one. But I lived in tornado alley all my life, it's not that bad. We deal with this weather for about two months out of the year. I had a EF0 tornado go over my house last year and recorded it, didnt lose a shingle that night. There's the big ones but they're usually out in the rural areas. And most of us have storm shelters so that helps ease our minds.
 
Took a picture of my tv a few weeks ago while watching the weather channel:

VkrNgtj.jpeg
how high wtf GIF


In four days "confirmed" tornado outbreaks here in the States.
 
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