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Hungary overwhelmingly votes against migrant quotas, referendum void due to turnout

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CCS

Banned
The majority have rejected EU migrant quotas, but the turnout wasn’t high enough to pass the 50% threshold to make it valid.

Gergely Gulyas an MP from the ruling party said that voter turnout will be around 45 percent based on exit poll data, and that around 95 percent of Hungarians will have rejected the quotas.

Prime minister Viktor Orban is strongly opposed to Brussels’ plan to relocate 160,000 migrants across the bloc. Over the last year, Hungary has sealed its border with Serbia and Croatia in response to the migrant crisis.

The failure to pass the threshold will be a disappointment for the premier, despite the majority supporting his opposition to Brussels’ policy.
 
That's really interesting that 95% voted for something, but only 45% of the eligible population actually voted. How does that happen?
 

KDR_11k

Member
So at least for now they still have to meet the quota?

I don't think the EU requires a referendum for its plans to go ahead. This is mainly Hungary trying to prove that this measure is unpopular, I don't think a successful referendum would legally stop the EU's move.
 

Wiseblade

Member
I don't think the EU requires a referendum for its plans to go ahead. This is mainly Hungary trying to prove that this measure is unpopular, I don't think a successful referendum would legally stop the EU's move.
Still though, 2016 doesn't have the best track record for non-binding EU referendums.
 
To be fair most of the opposing parties advocated for staying at home with the exception of liberals who said to vote yes and the far right party supporting no along with the ruling party.
There were a bunch of people who went to make invalid votes as a way of protest.

12825140_09f47495e72b08989ffcbbae5e00c045_wm.jpg

The lovely gov spent more money on bullshit fearmongering than UK did for the ENTIRE Brexit campaign (both Leave and Stay combined) while the country's in the shitter.The best thing about this is that it was from the taxpayers' money.
Oh and the entire thing was pointless from the beginning.Brussel wouldnt have given a shit about our votes either way.

It all makes sense
ICmM7MD.jpg
 

Iksenpets

Banned
That's really interesting that 95% voted for something, but only 45% of the eligible population actually voted. How does that happen?

In elections with a turnout requirement, the side that feels it's likely to lose often resorts to a boycott to deny the winning side the necessary turnout. So the only people who turned out were the ones voting for it, while those against stayed home to get just this result.
 

V_Arnold

Member
Faith in Hungary's sanity restored a little.
One of the lowest turnouts for such a referendum ever.

And FIDESZ did everything they could imagine doing, I am not even going to list the amount of bullshit spread in the past half year, the unlawful stop of OTHER, more important referendums (while this was of course went through), the constant stream of propaganda, the creeping on people's fears.

It failed. The people voting "no" for this were less than the people voting for Fidesz and Jobbik (the two far right parties in Hungay) combined, in 2014. Good.
 

Heshinsi

"playing" dumb? unpossible
In elections with a turnout requirement, the side that feels it's likely to lose often resorts to a boycott to deny the winning side the necessary turnout. So the only people who turned out were the ones voting for it, while those against stayed home to get just this result.

That's fucking genius.
 

Engell

Member
That's really interesting that 95% voted for something, but only 45% of the eligible population actually voted. How does that happen?

Well it was the smart move for people voting against.. a somewhat low turnout is a normal thing, so its easier to keep the status quo by not voting.
 

Dalibor68

Banned
Faith in Hungary's sanity restored a little.
One of the lowest turnouts for such a referendum ever.

And FIDESZ did everything they could imagine doing, I am not even going to list the amount of bullshit spread in the past half year, the unlawful stop of OTHER, more important referendums (while this was of course went through), the constant stream of propaganda, the creeping on people's fears.

It failed. The people voting "no" for this were less than the people voting for Fidesz and Jobbik (the two far right parties in Hungay) combined, in 2014. Good.

Please don't confuse voter turnout with political opinions. Referendums usually don't get a big turnout, even less so if they are "unasked" for. 45% isn't that bad from that perspective, but ultimately it doesn't matter because they still failed to reach the necessary 50%. Neither does this mean that somehow people are actually pro-refugees - Fidesz isn't losing to the left, which is at an all time low, but to the extreme right (Jobbik) who is even more against refugees.

The whole thing is stupid to begin with anyways because a) the whole distribution isn't working anyways b) no refugees want to stay in Hungary c) Hungary doesn't want them either.

The only thing this succeeding would've given Orban would have been a bigger boost vs the EU commission, but ultimately it's also pointless.
 

V_Arnold

Member
Actually, no, FIDESZ is much more radical at this point than Jobbik is on refugees. They are both calling them economic migrants, they both want people to think that ALL of them are terrorists, and that Hungary is somehow fighting a war and an ongoing invasion, but the propaganda machine of Fidesz outdid them in every front possible.

Jobbik staggered much when Orban decided to sweep that far-right voter ever since the terror attack in France (Charlie Hebdo). Fidesz is not going to democratically lose the next election to anyone, they did enough changes to the voting laws and gerrymandered enough so that last time, 44% of the votes netted them 66% of the seats, giving them absolute power at that point... so yeah, Jobbik is not a threat either.
 
45% is actually pretty high for a referendum. Wish they would have done that 50% turnout requirement here in Holland with the Ukraine trade deal referendum earlier this year.
 

V_Arnold

Member
The end result is actually around 40%, with 43% minus the 6.5% part invalid votes (intentionally invalid, mostly).
 

Dalibor68

Banned
The end result is actually around 40%, with 43% minus the 6.5% part invalid votes (intentionally invalid, mostly).

It is 40,4% of which 98,24% voted for No. More people voted against mandatory EU quotas than people voted to join the EU in 2003 (where also "only" 45,6% voted). In perspective, only 29% voted in the last hungarian EU elections(europewide 42,61%). All the recent Polls have Fidesz + Jobbik (who want even stricter policies) at 63-71%.

Trying to spin this as a majority of Hungarians being against Orbans refugee/migrant policies or this somehow being a huge failure for Orban is absolutely ridiculous. It failed formally, but that's about it.
 

Alx

Member
It' a bittersweet result, on one hand the vote against refugees didn't pass, on the other hand it still shows a strong popular opposition.
I can understand countries and people arguing about sovereignty and the level of authority that Brussels should and should not have, but welcoming refugees shouldn't be one of those cases : it's something that follows our common moral values, and also a way of dispatching the burden among all members of the union, instead of letting the most exposed deal with it alone. An alliance is about sharing benefits, but also hardships.
 

KonradLaw

Member
So at least for now they still have to meet the quota?

No. The quota system is dead. Aside from Sweden and Germany nobody wants to take those migrants in and nobody will be able to force anyone to do it.

The knowledge that the whole idea is dead likely sucked a lot of life out of hungaria's willingness to go to referendums. But make no mistake, majority of the country is completely against taking in any migrants from middle east and africa. The moment Orban would agree to it would be the moment his political careeer would be over.
 
It is 40,4% of which 98,24% voted for No. More people voted against mandatory EU quotas than people voted to join the EU in 2003 (where also "only" 45,6% voted). In perspective, only 29% voted in the last hungarian EU elections(europewide 42,61%). All the recent Polls have Fidesz + Jobbik (who want even stricter policies) at 63-71%.

Trying to spin this as a majority of Hungarians being against Orbans refugee/migrant policies or this somehow being a huge failure for Orban is absolutely ridiculous. It failed formally, but that's about it.

It is a failure because they have spent a tons of money for misleading ads for quite a long time, and in the end still didn't manage to get the voter turn out above 50%. If it weren't for Orban to monetize on nationality on naive people, the turn out would be non existent.

The biggest shame of all, that he objectifies national values, and still lose.
 

Polk

Member
A lot of these referendums have a low turnout. I remember Poland having a referendum last year with a turnout of 8%?
To be fair that referendum was beyond pointless and took place only because acting president wanted some votes during campain (he didn't got them anyway).
 
It is a failure because they have spent a tons of money for misleading ads for quite a long time, and in the end still didn't manage to get the voter turn out above 50%. If it weren't for Orban to monetize on nationality on naive people, the turn out would be non existent.

The biggest shame of all, that he objectifies national values, and still lose.

Not to mention that 50 million euros were spent on a useless poll. In comparison the Brexit cost around 40 million, and was targeted towards a population of 65 million compared to the 10 million of Hungary.

A poor country basically burned a lot of cash. Orban probably took some for himself so it was a win-win situation for him.
 

Joni

Member
The people that want immigrants were smart. They just needed to stay home to win. If there was more than 50% in favor of letting them in, then the only path to victory would be all of them voting or none.
 

Dalibor68

Banned
The people that want immigrants were smart. They just needed to stay home to win. If there was more than 50% in favor of letting them in, then the only path to victory would be all of them voting or none.

If you are implying that somehow all those, or even just a very big number of those who stayed home somehow want immigrants, then you are wrong and need to look at the statistics that have been pointed out in this very thread.
 

Joni

Member
If you are implying that somehow all those, or even just a very big number of those who stayed home somehow want immigrants, then you are wrong and need to look at the statistics that have been pointed out in this very thread.
No, I'm thinking that those in favor of migration that stayed home where the smart ones. The ones that went in and voted posed a bigger risk. The referendum was lost and they would have always lost unless they are 50% of the population and they all voted.
 
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