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[IGN] What to Expect From Xbox in 2026

LectureMaster

Or is it just one of Adam's balls in my throat?






Well, I can confidently say one thing about being "the Xbox guy" at IGN: it's never boring. Granted, it is often frustrating, depressing, weird, and occasionally shocking. But there's almost never a dull moment. So went Xbox's 2025. As I looked back on last year's version of this column, I found that I got plenty of my forecasting right, a few things wrong, and there was some stuff I could've never predicted. And so as I look ahead to Xbox's 2026, I will once again expect the unexpected – but I'll also dig into everything we can reasonably surmise about what could maybe, possibly be the last full calendar year of the Xbox Series generation before Microsoft seemingly gears up to release a console/PC hybrid.



The thing is, a month ago, this piece would've been a heck of a lot easier to write. It would've been all about Microsoft's Big Four – Halo, Gears of War, Fable, and Forza – all returning in the same year for the first time in over a decade(!) to deliver Xbox's biggest and possibly best lineup since the Xbox 360 days. But then Galactus, aka Grand Theft Auto 6, showed up to consume everything in its path, as it's been delayed from May to November of 2026 and will now effectively have November onwards – a key holiday-shopping window of Q4 every year – all to itself. Any game company executive that willingly ships a game anywhere near GTA 6 should be fired and institutionalized. It's not just a bad idea, it's business suicide.

Clash of the Titans


And yes, nearly every major publisher will be affected by this to some degree; Sony has the long-anticipated Marvel's Wolverine slated for the Fall, and Nintendo…well, maybe Nintendo is the exception to the Grand Theft Auto rule. But Microsoft is potentially the most screwed by Rockstar's shifted timeline. Halo: Campaign Evolved is surely intended to ship right near Halo's 25th anniversary on November 15. Uh-oh. Meanwhile, Gears of War: E-Day was almost certainly scheduled for the Fall (to wit: none of the five mainline Gears games has ever shipped outside of the Fall season), Fable's hugely anticipated revival was probably penciled in for the holiday season after Playground Games delayed it, and Forza Horizon 6? OK, I'd bet on that one dropping sooner rather than later, because a Forza Horizon game doesn't need a big public relations or marketing campaign. It's such a powerhouse franchise with a sterling reputation that all fans need to know is where it's set (Japan), what new cars are in it (TBD), and how soon they can play it. Once Forza Horizon 6 was announced at the Tokyo Game Show in late September, I figured it would probably be out within six months. And I still think that.

And what about Call of Duty for 2026, which the franchise's alternating development timeline suggests is probably Modern Warfare 4 from Infinity Ward? Historically, Activision's annual juggernaut always arrives within a two-week window between the last week of October and the first week of November. Considering how much overlap I'd guess there is between Call of Duty and GTA in the Venn Diagram of Casual-Leaning Gamers Who Only Buy a Couple Games a Year, which one do you think those people are going to choose if they can only afford to buy one of them (particularly given that they're each likely to cost at least $80)? I know which one I'd pick…

Step Up or Back Off?


In fact, what happens to all of Microsoft's big presumed Fall plans now that Rockstar has planted its flag in the ground for November 19? The short answer is that I'm not sure all five of Xbox's biggest first-party games can ship in 2026 anymore. Not if Microsoft wants to make any money on them, anyway. The good news is that all of these games have a great chance to be fantastic titles that score big with critics and fans alike. Microsoft just has to make sure they don't get squashed like bugs under Grand Theft Auto 6's Godzilla-sized feet. It's reasonable to expect one or both of Fable and Gears of War: E-Day to push into the first half of 2027, while I'd bet on Call of Duty being moved up as much as possible – mid-October might be as far forward as they can pull it without crunching all of its developers to death. And if Forza Horizon 6 isn't already planned for the first half of 2026 (and again, I'm confident that it is), I'd guess that somewhere around August is the new plan.

And that's not even everything. State of Decay 3, Clockwork Revolution, and Hideo Kojima's OD feel like they're a little further out than next year, but there's one lesser-known game that might stand toe-to-toe with anything else Xbox has coming up: promising pixel-art potential masterpiece Replaced. The debut game from Sad Cat Studios will finally land as an Xbox exclusive in 2026. I've played it, and it sets off my Spidey Sense as something that could be truly special – a possible generation-defining indie game, like how Limbo and Braid were for the Xbox 360 and Inside was for the Xbox One.

The Cavalry Has Arrived


Regardless of exactly when each of Xbox's blockbusters finally drop, though, the Xbox's Big Four couldn't be lining up to land at a better time, because the Xbox brand image is in tatters. Repeated mass layoffs. Game cancellations. Studio closures. Halo heading to PS5, which was the biggest, clearest white flag Microsoft waved to tell gamers, "It's fine, you don't need an Xbox; you can play any and all of our games on other platforms if you want to." It was a Covenant energy sword through the heart for long-loyal Xbox fans.

All Xbox gamers have ever wanted is a Sony-like pipeline of awesome games on a consistent basis. It would seem we've finally got what we've wanted – over the past 12 or so months, Xbox has shipped Black Ops 6 and 7, STALKER 2, Indiana Jones and the Great Circle, Avowed, South of Midnight, Flight Simulator 2024, Doom: The Dark Ages, Ninja Gaiden 2 Black and Ninja Gaiden 4, Gears of War Reloaded, The Outer Worlds 2, and The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered — but not without the monkey's paw curling in the process.

Split Personality

And so as we look ahead to what to expect from Xbox in 2026, software shines brighter than ever. Hardware…well, rumors of the next-gen Xbox/PC hybrid are flying fast and furious, so could that mean an official announcement at the 2026 Xbox Showcase in June followed by a release in Fall 2027? And as for the platform? I'm not sure what, if anything, can be done to revive excitement in that.

So where does that leave Xbox heading into Year 6 of the Series X|S generation? Paradoxically, it is both better and worse off than it's ever been, for all of the reasons I've already gone over. Exclusives are dead, but great games are plentiful. Hardware is more expensive than it was at launch, but there's a pretty sweet handheld now. Life as an Xbox fan is both awesome and terrible, and I'm not sure I can sum it up any better than that.
 
agggnl.jpg
 
Wow, pre made cope.
That's the only thing you can do with Xbox. It's like taking heroin - you know how it will end, but you are still in for the ride.

I would have loved to rebuy and play Fable 2 and 3 on PC, but apparently Microsoft doesn't think it's important to bring the series to the new audience given the last game was released 15 years ago.
 
All they had to do was release Halo MCC on Playstation and they couldn't even get that right. I don't care about another remake of the first game.
Season 4 Episode 20 GIF by Friends
 
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The situation is surreal: Halo, Gears, Fable, and FH6 are all supposedly coming out in the same year, while Xbox sales are plummeting. The PS5 will be the beneficiary of those games, and GTAVI will be released in 2026, if it even comes out...
 
Those pillars of Xbox are dead. With the exception of Forza Horizon. No one is going to care about Halo and Gears. Fable was never a huge seller to begin with. Won't make an impact. Hoping the games turn out good though.
 
coming out in the same year, while Xbox sales are plummeting
MS makes the same mistake like they did with the XSX.
They released the last episodes of their biggest IPs also for the last gen (One S) and both generations got crossgen titles.
The XSX gets this year all the games and their next xbox gets next year only ports and crossgen titles.
 






Well, I can confidently say one thing about being "the Xbox guy" at IGN: it's never boring. Granted, it is often frustrating, depressing, weird, and occasionally shocking. But there's almost never a dull moment. So went Xbox's 2025. As I looked back on last year's version of this column, I found that I got plenty of my forecasting right, a few things wrong, and there was some stuff I could've never predicted. And so as I look ahead to Xbox's 2026, I will once again expect the unexpected – but I'll also dig into everything we can reasonably surmise about what could maybe, possibly be the last full calendar year of the Xbox Series generation before Microsoft seemingly gears up to release a console/PC hybrid.



The thing is, a month ago, this piece would've been a heck of a lot easier to write. It would've been all about Microsoft's Big Four – Halo, Gears of War, Fable, and Forza – all returning in the same year for the first time in over a decade(!) to deliver Xbox's biggest and possibly best lineup since the Xbox 360 days. But then Galactus, aka Grand Theft Auto 6, showed up to consume everything in its path, as it's been delayed from May to November of 2026 and will now effectively have November onwards – a key holiday-shopping window of Q4 every year – all to itself. Any game company executive that willingly ships a game anywhere near GTA 6 should be fired and institutionalized. It's not just a bad idea, it's business suicide.

Clash of the Titans


And yes, nearly every major publisher will be affected by this to some degree; Sony has the long-anticipated Marvel's Wolverine slated for the Fall, and Nintendo…well, maybe Nintendo is the exception to the Grand Theft Auto rule. But Microsoft is potentially the most screwed by Rockstar's shifted timeline. Halo: Campaign Evolved is surely intended to ship right near Halo's 25th anniversary on November 15. Uh-oh. Meanwhile, Gears of War: E-Day was almost certainly scheduled for the Fall (to wit: none of the five mainline Gears games has ever shipped outside of the Fall season), Fable's hugely anticipated revival was probably penciled in for the holiday season after Playground Games delayed it, and Forza Horizon 6? OK, I'd bet on that one dropping sooner rather than later, because a Forza Horizon game doesn't need a big public relations or marketing campaign. It's such a powerhouse franchise with a sterling reputation that all fans need to know is where it's set (Japan), what new cars are in it (TBD), and how soon they can play it. Once Forza Horizon 6 was announced at the Tokyo Game Show in late September, I figured it would probably be out within six months. And I still think that.

And what about Call of Duty for 2026, which the franchise's alternating development timeline suggests is probably Modern Warfare 4 from Infinity Ward? Historically, Activision's annual juggernaut always arrives within a two-week window between the last week of October and the first week of November. Considering how much overlap I'd guess there is between Call of Duty and GTA in the Venn Diagram of Casual-Leaning Gamers Who Only Buy a Couple Games a Year, which one do you think those people are going to choose if they can only afford to buy one of them (particularly given that they're each likely to cost at least $80)? I know which one I'd pick…

Step Up or Back Off?


In fact, what happens to all of Microsoft's big presumed Fall plans now that Rockstar has planted its flag in the ground for November 19? The short answer is that I'm not sure all five of Xbox's biggest first-party games can ship in 2026 anymore. Not if Microsoft wants to make any money on them, anyway. The good news is that all of these games have a great chance to be fantastic titles that score big with critics and fans alike. Microsoft just has to make sure they don't get squashed like bugs under Grand Theft Auto 6's Godzilla-sized feet. It's reasonable to expect one or both of Fable and Gears of War: E-Day to push into the first half of 2027, while I'd bet on Call of Duty being moved up as much as possible – mid-October might be as far forward as they can pull it without crunching all of its developers to death. And if Forza Horizon 6 isn't already planned for the first half of 2026 (and again, I'm confident that it is), I'd guess that somewhere around August is the new plan.

And that's not even everything. State of Decay 3, Clockwork Revolution, and Hideo Kojima's OD feel like they're a little further out than next year, but there's one lesser-known game that might stand toe-to-toe with anything else Xbox has coming up: promising pixel-art potential masterpiece Replaced. The debut game from Sad Cat Studios will finally land as an Xbox exclusive in 2026. I've played it, and it sets off my Spidey Sense as something that could be truly special – a possible generation-defining indie game, like how Limbo and Braid were for the Xbox 360 and Inside was for the Xbox One.

The Cavalry Has Arrived


Regardless of exactly when each of Xbox's blockbusters finally drop, though, the Xbox's Big Four couldn't be lining up to land at a better time, because the Xbox brand image is in tatters. Repeated mass layoffs. Game cancellations. Studio closures. Halo heading to PS5, which was the biggest, clearest white flag Microsoft waved to tell gamers, "It's fine, you don't need an Xbox; you can play any and all of our games on other platforms if you want to." It was a Covenant energy sword through the heart for long-loyal Xbox fans.

All Xbox gamers have ever wanted is a Sony-like pipeline of awesome games on a consistent basis. It would seem we've finally got what we've wanted – over the past 12 or so months, Xbox has shipped Black Ops 6 and 7, STALKER 2, Indiana Jones and the Great Circle, Avowed, South of Midnight, Flight Simulator 2024, Doom: The Dark Ages, Ninja Gaiden 2 Black and Ninja Gaiden 4, Gears of War Reloaded, The Outer Worlds 2, and The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Remastered — but not without the monkey's paw curling in the process.

Split Personality

And so as we look ahead to what to expect from Xbox in 2026, software shines brighter than ever. Hardware…well, rumors of the next-gen Xbox/PC hybrid are flying fast and furious, so could that mean an official announcement at the 2026 Xbox Showcase in June followed by a release in Fall 2027? And as for the platform? I'm not sure what, if anything, can be done to revive excitement in that.

So where does that leave Xbox heading into Year 6 of the Series X|S generation? Paradoxically, it is both better and worse off than it's ever been, for all of the reasons I've already gone over. Exclusives are dead, but great games are plentiful. Hardware is more expensive than it was at launch, but there's a pretty sweet handheld now. Life as an Xbox fan is both awesome and terrible, and I'm not sure I can sum it up any better than that.

Poop Pup GIF


That's what I expect and its exactly what we will in point of fact, be offered from microsoft.
 
Those pillars of Xbox are dead.
The last Fable episode came out fifteen years ago and nobody seems to be happy with the new one.
Halo is so dead/broken as an IP, that we'll get only remakes..
Getting a Gears Prequel because the new characters aren't the hit says alot about the future of this IP.
Those IPs were great during the Xbox and 360 generations, but the One generation destroyed everything..
The same with Forza Motorsport and even everything from Rare (except maybe Sea of Thieves).
 
My prediction…

Forza and Halo are the only ones that release this year

The big "plans" Xbox has for this year leave everyone going… "that was it?"

Phil announces his retirement

Gamepass fails to deliver the 75 day one games that was guaranteed as part of the price increase
 
It's funny to read someone claim to be an Xbox fan now. And the article is kinda sad. Strikes me much like what a sad person would say after their spouse left them while promising the relationship is still as strong as ever.

All that shilling for a company that don't give a shit and never did is just hard to read. Poor guy. Years lost. And for what?

Also dude, they aren't the same company who is finally making all these games for its "fans." As a technical matter of course they are the same company at the top of the umbrella, but let's not dance around the truth. They did not get their shit together and figure out how to make COD or Bethesda games. They just bought a bunch of other companies and some haven't been shut down yet.
 
Those pillars of Xbox are dead. With the exception of Forza Horizon. No one is going to care about Halo and Gears. Fable was never a huge seller to begin with. Won't make an impact. Hoping the games turn out good though.
Yea Fable was never that big which was why I was surprised they invested so much into it with playground. Its never going to make its money back.
 
What I expect in 2026

- Microsoft shuts down Double Fine
- Microsoft shuts down Arkane Lyon
- Microsoft shuts down inXile
- Microsoft shuts down Ninja Theory
- Microsoft shuts down Rare
- Microsoft shuts down The Coalition
- Microsoft shuts down Undead Labs
- Microsoft shuts down Playground Games
- Microsoft adds AI garbage everywhere, in Minecraft, in Halo, in Call of Duty, just everywhere
 
This is going to be a fantastic year for Xbox. Especially for sales on Playstation. So good infact Sony will finally commit to putting more of their own games on other consoles because they aint got shit new worth a damn to offer their own playerbase this year.
 
Microsoft changes plans for Xbox every quarter.
Nobody knows "What To Expect From Xbox in 2026". NeoGaf's guesses are just as likely to be correct as whatever Sarah Bond is planning at the moment.
 
The last Fable episode came out fifteen years ago and nobody seems to be happy with the new one.
New Fable is the spitting image of Microsoft

Sony releases Horizon Zero Dawn from the studio that only knew how to make FPS games
Phil Spencer goes online saying that "single player games no longer have an impact"
But what Phil does is internally say "I want one too, boo-hoo" and tells the studio that only knows how to make open-world racing games to make an RPG

It's always this frustration and resentment with the success of Playstation... Officially he says "oh, it doesn't matter" but internally he's full of envy.
 
Well, I can confidently say one thing about being "the Xbox guy" at IGN

is that you never know if you're in the next round of layoffs or not.

New Fable is the spitting image of Microsoft

Sony releases Horizon Zero Dawn from the studio that only knew how to make FPS games
Phil Spencer goes online saying that "single player games no longer have an impact"
But what Phil does is internally say "I want one too, boo-hoo" and tells the studio that only knows how to make open-world racing games to make an RPG

It's always this frustration and resentment with the success of Playstation... Officially he says "oh, it doesn't matter" but internally he's full of envy.

That's Phil in a nutshell, and it's why he's a laughingstock. Jealousy can be healthy in moderation, if you let it motivate you to genuinely do better. Envy is never good and always leads to bad results.

This is going to be a fantastic year for Xbox. Especially for sales on Playstation. So good infact Sony will finally commit to putting more of their own games on other consoles because they aint got shit new worth a damn to offer their own playerbase this year.

It's not 2006 anymore. Catch up.


Ah, this brings back nightmares of that commercial.
 
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Do people actually give a shit about Halo and Gears right now though?

Halo hasn't had a good entry in like 15 years and Gears is the most 2004 ass dudebro franchise in the history of the medium.
 
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What I expect in 2026

- Microsoft shuts down Double Fine
- Microsoft shuts down Arkane Lyon
- Microsoft shuts down inXile
- Microsoft shuts down Ninja Theory
- Microsoft shuts down Rare
- Microsoft shuts down The Coalition
- Microsoft shuts down Undead Labs
- Microsoft shuts down Playground Games
- Microsoft adds AI garbage everywhere, in Minecraft, in Halo, in Call of Duty, just everywhere

Playground are safe
 
That big emphasys on their list seems like one huge amount of copium. And also theres the big chance of all this turn for the worst because as they moved to AI to finish up things quicker.

Goddamn every time I see that monstrosity of Fable I want more and more for their creators to be shutdown. Wtf they are thinking with that ugly abobination.
 
This is going to be a fantastic year for Xbox. Especially for sales on Playstation. So good infact Sony will finally commit to putting more of their own games on other consoles because they aint got shit new worth a damn to offer their own playerbase this year.

Let's take a deep dive at what Sony's got in store for 2026:

crickets-crickets-chirping.gif


Fucking grim
 
They got nothing. They aren't even trying. They aren't even trying to push anything as a third party. There is zero hype coming from them ... for anything.
 
If Xbox want impact they need their Next Box 'Magnus' on shop shelves in Nov 2026.

GTA6 is coming in as the hottest console exclusive of all time and PC bro's without prior allegiance are going to be sorely tempted if they can buy a very powerful console that feels like true next gen that they can play GTA6 on.
 
Gears is the most 2004 ass dudebro franchise in the history of the medium.
Meaning GIF


First one is awesome. And E-Day is literally my most anticipated game except The Elder Scrolls VI. You would rather have a game tailored for a "modern audience" ??

Most big franchises are either as old or older and is kept old and intact or has been modernized and become worse.

You should be forever thankful to see Marcus in this one. Imagine if they had done another one with Kait or Del.
 
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