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Pixar will release 2 movies per year !

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Prudential Equity Group believes that Pixar will release 2 films per year from 2009. This is good news for Pixar fanboys. :D

Source: Forbes (link )

Prudential Equity Group upgraded Pixar to "overweight" from "neutral weight" and raised the price target to $75 from $40. "[O]ur price target increases regardless of whether or not Pixar strikes a deal with The Walt Disney Co.," the research firm said. "We think that a renewed distribution deal is possible, based on what we believe to be a small economic difference between what both Pixar and Disney will want versus what they can actually live with." Prudential also increased its earnings-per-share estimate for fiscal 2006 to $1.15 from 86 cents. The research firm cited two reasons for upgrading the stock: higher box office estimates and the assumption that Pixar will begin releasing more than one film per year. "Specifically, we've assumed that starting in [2009], Pixar will release two films per year, every other year," Prudential said.
 
Every other year...Does that mean they're going to be releasing no movies one year and then two the next? Assuming they've got multiple "studios"(or whatever you would call smaller groups within a studio) within Pixar, each working on one of the two movies, why not just stagger them and release one movie every year?
 
Can't be any worse than the crap from Dreamworks or Fox. It'd take awhile for them to drop to the level of Shark Tale.
 
SuperPac said:
Can't be any worse than the crap from Dreamworks or Fox. It'd take awhile for them to drop to the level of Shark Tale.

Rest assured, as long as John Lasseter and Steve Jobs are there, you'll never see a Pixar film stoop to that level.
 
Archaix said:
Every other year...Does that mean they're going to be releasing no movies one year and then two the next? Assuming they've got multiple "studios"(or whatever you would call smaller groups within a studio) within Pixar, each working on one of the two movies, why not just stagger them and release one movie every year?
No, that's not what Prudential is saying. They're anticipating Pixar will begin releasing an additional film every other year. So they'll do two films in '09, one in '10, two in '11, etc. I'd like to know what their specific basis for this speculation is, as I'm not aware of any large expansions.

Anywho, I also think the CGI film arena is going to start getting real crowded. In addition to Fox, Dreamworks, Pixar, Disney and Sony, I've been reading about lots of other independent development houses starting their own projects (surely hoping to get distribution with one of the big guys later). Just as there was a traditional animation boom in the early-mid 90s, we're getting a CGI one now, and I somewhat anticipate another bust for a lot of these guys.

I mean, for 2005 we've got:
Robots
Madagascar
Valiant
Chicken Little

For 2006:
The Barnyard
Ice Age 2: The Meltdown
The Wild
Over the Hedge
Cars
Monster House (motion capture)
Flushed Away
Happy Feet
Foodfight!
Open Season
A Day With Wilbur Robinson
Hoodwinked: The True Story Of Red Riding Hood (?)

For 2007:
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
Ratatouille
Shrek 3
Bee Movie
Surf's Up
American Dog
(plus a few of the following)

Other CGI films I know to be in the works:
Shrek 4
Puss N Boots
Ollie
Fraidy Cat
Rapnuzel Unbraided
Robots 2
Crood Awakening (or is this stop-motion?)
Toy Story 3
Toy Story 4
(other Pixar sequels)
Bonesaw
The Wall and the Wing
Rockfish
Horton Hears a Who

And that's excluding other kinds of animated films. Starting in 2006, it's going to get real crowded, real quick. It'll be interesting to see if the market can take it, especially since all of those listed except for two or three are family-oriented films.
 
Yeah, that was supposed to be Chicken Little. Sorry, it's not so hard to mix up some similar titles when trying to recall the 20-30 CGI films in the near future.
 
The Cars teaser does nothing for me either, but since it's Pixar, I'll give them the benefit of the doubt. I didn't think they could pull off Nemo either, but damn if they didn't prove me wrong. :)
 
Flynn said:
Maybe they're counting the Pixaren't sequels (Toy Story/Bugs Life/Finding Nemo/Monster Inc., etc.)...
Clearly not. Especially since that Disney studio will be pumping out one a year starting in 2007.
 
I must be the only person that thought Finding Nemo was utter trash. It doesn't even compare to a classic Disney movie, like Lion King. The pacing, "acting" and entire story was just lame. All I can guess is that Finding Nemo got such rave reviews from the press and people just automatically assume it's good. Isn't that like a meme or something?
 
God's Hand said:
I must be the only person that thought Finding Nemo was utter trash. It doesn't even compare to a classic Disney movie, like Lion King. The pacing, "acting" and entire story was just lame. All I can guess is that Finding Nemo got such rave reviews from the press and people just automatically assume it's good. Isn't that like a meme or something?

I bought it for my neice for a Christmas present, but I haven't been tempted to sit down and watch it. The few moments I catch of it are about as interesting to me as Pocahontas.

Incredibles on the other hand was great stuff...just got the DVD for that last week, used and reduced at Blockbuster.
 
I think that there is very much a chance that we'll see Pixar knocking out two films every two years, with one in between. And there is a specific reason for this. It is my belief that, come October, we will see the reunion of Pixar and Disney. And, as a result, Pixar will take over development of Toy Story 3 and other Pixar sequels. Starting in 2007/2009, Pixar will release one sequel and one original film in the span of a year. Disney can release its own films in the February or Late Summer spots to combat the releases from Sony/Fox/Dreamworks while Pixar rakes in the dough where they're known for it (May/November).

I think that Disney has a lot of good projects on the horizon...but nothing will be as successful for them as a Pixar sequel or a new film from Pixar. I mean, while I concur that the Cars teaser is a little weak, none of the brilliance of Monsters Inc. was seen in its Teaser Trailer, and the best parts of that film wouldn't be expected purely on concept. The same goes for almost all Pixar films...the best parts about them are how they break away from what you expect and create great film. And, really, Cars will be a huge success. Expect excessive Nascar tie-ins to bring in the expanding Nascar Dad revolution in America, and the general Pixar audience will still see the film, in all likelihood. Whether it's a creative highpoint or not, it seems like it will be able to perform extremely well commercially.

There is going to be a saturation of the market...hell, we might even see that this upcoming weekend with Madagascar. I think that Pixar has the least to worry about; they have the only true brand name that doesn't need franchises for huge success. Dreamworks is attempting to recreate Shrek but can't do it. It's always going to be "From the Makers of Shrek" for all Dreamworks films, and they can only ride on that for so long before people realize the rest of the films are mediocre (Or that Shrek 2 was mediocre, but $440 Million can't be wrong). Pixar has not fallen into the franchise trap quite yet, and I think the occasional sequel wouldn't be too harmful for the idea as a whole.

Here's hoping for some insanely fantastic stuff from everyone. And less Shark Tales.
 
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