Washington post: Investors want MS to kill Xbox

Yeah, people are always surprised at how unprofitable Xbox and Playstation have been. Even in boom times, the margins have been thin.

Sony shouldn't sell the Playstation business, though. In a weird sort of semi-compliment to Microsoft, MS is simply in a vastly better business position overall, and what represents a mediocre performance for them represents a solid performance for a company like Sony who doesn't have anything remotely like Microsoft's business/office/windows segments.
I thought Sony showed at least decent profits for Playstation.... nowhere near Nintendo, but at least profitable enough that they wouldnt consider cutting it (well maybe at the beginning of the PS3 lifecycle)
 
No, it's not. The opportunity cost of a choice is the value of the best alternative forgone. What I'm saying is that there is no alternative forgone due to the Xbox capital requirements. If they weren't putting it into Xbox it'd be in T bills.

I'm beating my head against the wall here, but I think I just have to come back to your entire point being if they have money in the bank, the money they have spent and, more importantly, will spend on Xbox is not an opportunity cost. I just have to forever differ here. The money in the bank is not important. It doesn't exist, for the purposes of evaluating Xbox. The entire decision point is if whatever they're spending on Xbox could be spent better. The money they're not spending is not at all relevant. (On that note, if they had today's information in 1999, they might have said "you know, actually leaving that money in the bank at negative growth considering inflation actually would be more profitable than this venture." If they're thinking of the next 15 years, who's to say that evaluation changes.)

In reality, Microsoft has multiple multiples of decision points on what to do, and Xbox has continually made that cut, as has frankly just keeping some capital on the sidelines. However, it is not inconceivable that investors that want Microsoft's money out of consumer devices and into further enterprise development could win out.
 
Isn't the whole reason for Xbox existing because MS imagined a future where an all-encompassing multimedia/game Playstation would take over the living room uncontested?

I feel like that was a bad read. The landscape has changed so much. I don't think that scenario is the biggest threat to Microsoft.

Sorta, or at least they wanted to be that box. Keep in mind this was pre-mobile, now the living room is less interesting because everyone has their own screen and that's how media is increasingly consumed.

That said there is a resurgence of interest in the living room. It's not the end-all like people though in 2000, but it represents a huge area of growth for Google, Amazon and Apple. People still like to use TVs to do some things like movies and games and they would all love to push their TV/music/movie/game content into the space more aggressively. It would be bad for the current 3 if any of them wedged their way in as current transition models are unsustainable.
 
So basically, some people think that if Microsoft wants to "take over the living room" it should do so purely through its software and services on other devices.

Some people think "taking over the living room" is a stupid and outdated concept when the actual 'always with you' screen turned out to be the smartphone, and MS have completely missed that boat.
 
The thing is, they don't actually need a physical Xbox console for any of this. Xbox LIVE and Kinect are already strong brands on their own (arguably stronger than Xbox itself), and MS could really just license out Xbox LIVE to run on multiple platforms, like iOS, Android, Mac OS, and eventually even competitor platforms. Then they can still hook people and push their services.

What incentive is there for Apple and Google to support this now and long term when they have their own competing offers? Even if those offers are immature now they won't be forever.

As Nadella said, owning the hardware means they can enable innovative experiences that draw people to the brand. He said there will be more focus on delivering those innovative experiences he believes that Microsoft is resourced to create and deliver to market.
 
Isn't the whole reason for Xbox existing because MS imagined a future where an all-encompassing multimedia/game Playstation would take over the living room uncontested?

I feel like that was a bad read. The landscape has changed so much. I don't think that scenario is the biggest threat to Microsoft.

It was a bad read, as was throwing weight behind a dying medium in broadcast TV. The living room is long gone, which is why Sony is being more successful this generation... They realized it's a lost battle and focused on games adapting to a market that is much more strict and finite then "every living room"... A market that doesn't exist
 
Whether you like Microsoft/Xbox or not, this would be bad for the industry as a whole just as if Nintendo or Sony collapsed.

Meh
monopolies are horrible but at the rate ms drags down standards in console land it might as well be on anyhow

how much worse can it get
I don't even want to imagine
 
Isn't the whole reason for Xbox existing because MS imagined a future where an all-encompassing multimedia/game Playstation would take over the living room uncontested?

I feel like that was a bad read. The landscape has changed so much. I don't think that scenario is the biggest threat to Microsoft.

It was.

If only they had someone on staff who could have foreseen the importance of PC gaming as a platform, a man with the technical skills and doggedness to grow gaming on the PC and make it an entity that could stand on its own in the world of consoles, drawing millions of people with no need for professional home computing to constantly buy newer and better Windows PCs purely for the sake of playing games...

He'd have to have been a strong man, a virile man; oh, if only Microsoft's staff had included such a stalwart stallion...
 
This will be so bad for the industry. But investors always say all sorts of dumb shit.

Industry will be fine. And while you may think this is stupid, sit on something that you lost bllions on and 10 years in you still have not seen a return. It's not stupidity it's pragmatism.
 
And people still think to this day that the Xbox Division has this comically huge fantasy warchest to endlessly pull money from.
 
I don't even know why MS sees Xbox as the key to the living room anymore. They should just work with TV companies or cable companies to make OS features directly for those items. Was the goal with Xbox every to become dominant in gaming? I thought the idea was always to let them get a foothold into the living room, not necessarily because of gaming. Gaming was just a way to sell their entertainment. They're better off creating something like chromecast, working with Comcast on a cable box OS, or working with Samsung/Sharp/Etc to develop a unified TV OS that seemlessly connects with PC OSes.
 
It was a bad read, as was throwing weight behind a dying medium in broadcast TV. The living room is long gone, which is why Sony is being more successful this generation... They realized it's a lost battle and focused on games adapting to a market that is much more strict and finite then "every living room"... A market that doesn't exist

It's the price difference, performance difference and bad word of mouth from the DRM/Kinect big brother stuff. TV is still popular.
 
Lets assume this happens, they kill the One and they end up selling the parts of the business piece by piece (devs, Live, etc). I can't imagine who would buy the Live infrastructure. It must be massive and very costly to maintain, hence the subscription. The upfront cost to buy it would be huge and you would have to charge to maintain the upkeep. It would be more attractive to those looking to build their own console platform than a third party publisher.
 
To be honest, for me it's Bing. Biggest upside in both revenue and profits. For X1, I see the division at best flat-lining compared to last gen.

But if Bing becomes a decent second to Google, there's massive ad money to be had for Microsoft. And frankly, Bing is Google's only real competitor in the search space. I don't want Google to be a monopoly again in search.

Edit - And Microsoft can push people to Bing unlike XBox. Windows Phone, Windows, IE, XBox, Surface, et all can all use Bing as their default search engine. It's easily integratable into a bunch of their devices and software.

The thing is... people aren't buying windows tablets, and windows PC sales are done YoY. Microsoft doesn't have the leverage to push Bing because people are moving out of Microsoft's environment.

They either have to regain that share (very hard to do, Apple and Google have the mobile segment on lockdown) OR if they want to push Bing, they need to drop surface and make Microsoft branded Android devices akin to Amazon doing so with Kindle. People aren't willing to have separate devices for all of their apps anymore.
 
No harm, no foul. Don't understand the need to jettison xbox when it's hardly even a drop in the bucket for them. If anything keep it for the "brand".
 
I'm beating my head against the wall here, but I think I just have to come back to your entire point being if they have money in the bank, the money they have spent and, more importantly, will spend on Xbox is not an opportunity cost. I just have to forever differ here. The money in the bank is not important. It doesn't exist, for the purposes of evaluating Xbox. The entire decision point is if whatever they're spending on Xbox could be spent better. The money they're not spending is not at all relevant.

I think you're not grasping the idea of opportunity cost. In terms of capital, which is what you brought up originally, the Entertainment division existing is not preventing unrelated investment elsewhere. That money in the bank *does* have bearing in a conversation about the merit of liquidating a division so that capital could be used elsewhere.
 
Could you elaborate on why you think they should call it a day with Xbox ? Not being aggressive or anything, just curious to see a shareholders perspective.

The sum total of Microsoft's Xbox venture is still negative. Even in the few years during which it actually generated a yearly profit, the return on investment was low. Getting rid of Xbox would increase Microsoft's profitability and thus the shareholder value.
Furthermore, as a gamer I think Microsoft is bad for the video game industry. Therefore I would consider MS killing Xbox a win-win situation.
 
And people still think to this day that the Xbox Division has this comically huge fantasy warchest to endlessly pull money from.

Xbox is an entertainment play, Microsoft's only entertainment play, across Windows devices.

So long as Microsoft chases consumers they will chase devices and entertainment. There are tens of billions already invested across Surface, Windows Phone, and Xbox. None of them are going away anytime soon. Chances are more likely you'll lose interest in gaming before Microsoft does.
 
Profit from it does not make up for losses in other areas.

Online is the only area that makes a loss.

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I can understand it from a investor standpoint but for a gamer this would be terrible, and problem is the xbox devision could not live on its own they need MS money to survive in the future.

Why? Xbox wouldn't dissapear, probably Lenovo/Samsung/Amazon would buy it and keep the business going.
 
And people still think to this day that the Xbox Division has this comically huge fantasy warchest to endlessly pull money from.

Exactly what I've been thinking. Their investors won't allow Microsoft to keep taking a ton of the company's money to pour it into the Xbox brand if it's not making them a huge return in profit. And it certainly hasn't, which is one of the reasons why they want to get rid of it.
 
What incentive is there for Apple and Google to support this now and long term when they have their own competing offers? Even if those offers are immature now they won't be forever.
It would be the same incentive for them to support things like Netflix, Hulu, Kindle, and other services that compete with their own businesses. What MS would do is market the Xbox LIVE brand to be the only means to play "Xbox games," and if it catches on, the likes of Apple and Google would not want to be the only platform that does not have the service, since that would drive customers to their competitor. Half the work for this is actually already done, since Google will approve pretty much anything for Android, so there's a bargaining chip to use against Apple right there.

As Nadella said, owning the hardware means they can enable innovative experiences that draw people to the brand. He said there will be more focus on delivering those innovative experiences he believes that Microsoft is resourced to create and deliver to market.
I half-agree with this, but it really isn't the Xbox that's driving innovation; it's Kinect. They can still have that around and just have it work with any future Xbox LIVE-enabled platforms.
 
Killing xbox would be short sighted and dumb. IBM made this mistake in the 80's and could have been the biggest Tech company today if they didn't bow out of things like software.
 
meanspartan said:
And then, if at the tail end of this generation the division still isn't making decent profits, no next gen Xbox.

Problem is that they need to decide if it's worth it to invest in R&D for the next system right now.
 
Won't happen and would be a disaster for the games industry.
Not if they sold the assets off to another company. Win-win for everyone, especially the games industry, since another company might figure out how to make the Xbox brand relevant to gaming again.
 
Why? Xbox wouldn't dissapear, probably Lenovo/Samsung/Amazon would buy it and keep the business going.

None of them would buy it to keep the current console model. Unless you like the elcheapo andoid style console with xbox branding. Especially Samsung they are used to god like margins on electronics they are not going to sell them at a large loss for years to make up later. None of them will buy the division and sink tons of money to keep it up that includes funding games.
 
I'm beating my head against the wall here, but I think I just have to come back to your entire point being if they have money in the bank, the money they have spent and, more importantly, will spend on Xbox is not an opportunity cost. I just have to forever differ here. The money in the bank is not important. It doesn't exist, for the purposes of evaluating Xbox. The entire decision point is if whatever they're spending on Xbox could be spent better. The money they're not spending is not at all relevant. (On that note, if they had today's information in 1999, they might have said "you know, actually leaving that money in the bank at negative growth considering inflation actually would be more profitable than this venture." If they're thinking of the next 15 years, who's to say that evaluation changes.)

In reality, Microsoft has multiple multiples of decision points on what to do, and Xbox has continually made that cut, as has frankly just keeping some capital on the sidelines. However, it is not inconceivable that investors that want Microsoft's money out of consumer devices and into further enterprise development could win out.

Eh, I suppose we'll just have to agree to disagree. I just don't feel like the xbox's capital usage is a big part of the business strategy decision. I don't believe it constrains them at all.

I do think you make an interesting point about the decision they might have made in 1999. In hindsight, it looks like a big waste of money. But MS hasn't proven to be particularly prescient for many years. The Ballmer years is a long stretch of missed opportunities covered by enormous profits from their existing businesses.
 
I think you're not grasping the idea of opportunity cost. In terms of capital, which is what you brought up originally, the Entertainment division existing is not preventing unrelated investment elsewhere. That money in the bank *does* have bearing in a conversation about the merit of liquidating a division so that capital could be used elsewhere.

money isn't the only thing being spent, you're also looking at the opportunity cost in terms of personnel and management, both of which can't be scaled infinitely
 
Not if they sold the assets off to another company. Win-win for everyone, especially the games industry, since another company might figure out how to make the Xbox brand relevant to gaming again.

xbox one only just begun (Not perfectly) but this is still fresh lets see where it heads a few years from now.
 
I find it strange.

Then how are they allowing MS to buy expensive exclusives like Titanfall or the Gears IP?
 
Xbox division had
-Lost billions from the Xbox 1
-Profit a bit from the 360 (Huge profit - R&D - those RRoD repairs)
-Spend millions for the R&D of the Xbone

So far..
 
Killing xbox would be short sighted and dumb. IBM made this mistake in the 80's and could have been the biggest Tech company today if they didn't bow out of things like software.

IBM is still number 6, and a head of Sony and MS.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_largest_information_technology_companies

they are still so huge because they gave up the home market and focused on business hardware/software (just like Investors are suggesting MS should do)
 
The revenue for the entertainment division are rather small. So it dosnt realy matter for them.

The xbox name does matter for them. Its a brand name that people know and it sells. We aren't too far off from online services being really big. Selling off the division now would be dumb.
 
It's the price difference, performance difference and bad word of mouth from the DRM/Kinect big brother stuff. TV is still popular.

well, considering the TV function is next to useless outside of the US, combined with the fact that part of the performance difference stems from its TV function, they severely misread the market.

I'd also wager that the people who buy consoles in the first year and also the people who are more likely to not have broadcast TV anymore.

TV is popular by sheer numbers but is declining rapidly
 
Between Sonys financial situation, the Wii U selling like dirt and this...I worry about the future of gaming.

I welcome out future apple, amazon and samsung gaming overlords.
 
I find it strange.

Then how are they allowing MS to buy expensive exclusives like Titanfall or the Gears IP?

That was under old management. Now that a new head is in place stock holder will put extreme pressure on him to gut the money losing parts to focus on the money makers like enterprise.
 
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