Rise of the Tomb Raider timed Xbox exclusive for Holiday 2015 (No PS/PC, SE publish)

I actually think alot of Halo gamers play Tomb Raider and vice versa. Have you bought and played both? I have.

I never said people didn't play both i said the fanbases are vastly different. The people who would be inclined to buy a console for Halo are not the same people who would be inclined to buy a console for a 3rd person action adventure Tomb Raider game. They are completely different fanbases.
 
That's a different discussion though.

At a basic level if the positive impact of creating a larger interval between a PS4 SKU and Uncharted outweighed the negative impact of a delayed SKU, which most assuredly it doesn't, then Square Enix would likely be doing this without any influence from Microsoft.

I'm not entirely sure what you mean here. Would you mind elaborating a bit?
 
Sure, my point was that the people in charge of that studio felt it was worth taking the money, which tells me they felt it was necessary.

Necessary? Just because they took the deal doesn't it was necessary for them to take it. It only mean they found it better than going multipat
 
Oh so PS4 sales if it does come out on it compared to PS4 sales of Uncharted... Wait, so combined PS4 and XBO sales VS PS4?
So a multiplatform game may sell more than an exclusive? That's a bold prediction he is making...

Edit: No, he is saying if they are both released at the same time, Tomb Raider will sell more, right?

No, he's saying TR will sell better in 2015 (same period of UC) than it will sell in 2016.
 
Microsoft all you need now is to get Mass Effect, KOTOR, Fallout or Elders Scrolls exclusivity and you could change the game.

Jesus christ lol. You realize 3rd party exclusivity is a bad thing right? Microsoft needs to invest in their own studios, not existing ones to blackball everyone else out.
 
Wat? Is that true? Or do you mean the timed content crap?

Timed (like this deal with SE). Why else would they make multi-year deals with Activision just for some DLC? Same with the unprecedented partnership (lol) with EA.

They're obviously trying very hard to instill the idea that you can get the biggest games and must-have DLC (lol) on Xbox One first. It's the most powerful card they have left to play since Sony has trumped them on every other front. Does it work? Given the amount of money I imagine they're throwing around I'd say they have evidence suggesting it does.

Personally, and I say this as someone who really enjoys his Xbox One, MS deserves all the hardship three times over and I want to see them suffer this gen. I want them to suffer until they get into a regular groove of investing in compelling new IP and return franchises (Banjo, Viva Pinata, Conker, Perfect Dark) like they should have been doing, instilling a sense that Xbox 4 will truly be a must have for a wide variety of real exclusives. Locking up a game for 5 hot minutes that was going to come to the platform anyway doesn't make me feel any better about my purchase. Showing a crudely drawn Banjo-Kazooie with 2032 as the target release would have done more for me than this TR announcement. Anywho, the optimist in me hopes these lock-up tactics are short term while they find more partners/studios for actual exclusives. We'll see.
 
Necessary? Just because they took the deal doesn't it was necessary for them to take it. It only mean they found it better than going multipat

Meaning they felt it was worth some negative blowback they knew they'd get. That tells me they felt it was a necessary move to keep their studio going for the long term.
 
I don't think they're scared of it..

If both games release Holiday 2015... they are similar games.. MOST Playstation owners, if making a choice, would choose Uncharted. That's not scaring S-E, that's just fact. The other fact is that Tomb Raider sells well.. So what does this more than likely mean? That Tomb Raider 2 would be a "later" purchase. And likely a discounted purchase.

By giving MS exclusive rights through the Holiday, S-E isn't really losing a ton of sales on PS4 because many of them wouldn't have been there to begin with. And to that effect, if S-E release Tomb Raider 2 6 months later at full price, it will probably come out ahead a little from PS gamers who are fine coming into it new in spring.

Honestly this is a fine deal for S-E and they probably won't lose out on a ton of sales. I don't even know if there's really a loser here except for the PS gamers who really want to play this day one. I really don't even think MS is losing.. though I'm also not sure how much they are winning either. I don't think TR will do much for console sales except add itself to the chalkboard. They got the PR today but that will really only matter if they can keep obfuscating the "Exclusive" arrangement through the holidays. If it becomes official at all that it's just timed it's going to piss away most of today's PR.

This is so weird to me. People buying a 400$ console can't afford to buy two 60$ games? The explanation are becoming more far fetched. Somehow MS also ruined Tales of now too.

If they were really scared of Uncharted they could have simply delayed the game till the next quarter or release it before Uncharted. Nothing even guarantees that Uncharted will be out in holidays 2015. That seems a very poor reason to sign an exclusivity deal.
 
I fully believe UC4 will do better than or close to Halo 5. Yes, it's going to be that big. I think people are underestimating it.

I'm not going to say that's a definite yes, but it certainly is a possibility. Between the relatively low sales of the Xbone (and inversely, higher sales for Playstation), Halo not being the franchise it used to be (it's not the shooter anymore), Call of Duty eating its lunch for the past few years, Destiny on the horizon, and Halo 4 alienating a lot of fans, yeah, I could see it.

By AC I thought you meant Assassins Creed

I guessed that might be the case. I assumed that since the person I was quoting clearly stated Ace Combat that people would catch that AC in my post would mean Ace Combat, not Assassin's Creed.
 
I fully believe UC4 will do better than or close to Halo 5. Yes, it's going to be that big. I think people are underestimating it.

That's a bold claim. I could see them selling similar quantities mostly due to XB1s smaller install base but outselling Halo 5 is a tall order. Time will tell.
 
I don't think they're scared of it..

If both games release Holiday 2015... they are similar games.. MOST Playstation owners, if making a choice, would choose Uncharted. That's not scaring S-E, that's just fact. The other fact is that Tomb Raider sells well.. So what does this more than likely mean? That Tomb Raider 2 would be a "later" purchase. And likely a discounted purchase.

By giving MS exclusive rights through the Holiday, S-E isn't really losing a ton of sales on PS4 because many of them wouldn't have been there to begin with. And to that effect, if S-E release Tomb Raider 2 6 months later at full price, it will probably come out ahead a little from PS gamers who are fine coming into it new in spring.

Honestly this is a fine deal for S-E and they probably won't lose out on a ton of sales. I don't even know if there's really a loser here except for the PS gamers who really want to play this day one. I really don't even think MS is losing.. though I'm also not sure how much they are winning either. I don't think TR will do much for console sales except add itself to the chalkboard. They got the PR today but that will really only matter if they can keep obfuscating the "Exclusive" arrangement through the holidays. If it becomes official at all that it's just timed it's going to piss away most of today's PR.

Interesting theory.

edit: Of course if Uncharted falls to 2016, it's probably a big loss in revenue for SE, not having a PS4 version.
 
Meaning they felt it was worth some negative blowback they knew they'd get. That tells me they felt it was a necessary move to keep their studio going for the long term.

We only know that SE felt this deal is more profitable than going full multipat, it doesn't mean it was necessary, just a better deal.
 
Microsoft all you need now is to get Mass Effect, KOTOR, Fallout or Elders Scrolls exclusivity and you could change the game.

If you truly believe this, then you are detrimental to the gaming industry, Sir.

You don't think Tomb Raider is a bigger franchise than Ace Combat? Really?

How well do/did Ace Combat games usually sell? I can't imagine that much (comparatively that is).

oooh Ace Combat hahaha AC is Assassin's Creed now
 
That game got very little advertising on XB1. Don't think I ever saw a tv commercial. It's not a big budget project.
I completely agree that it's not a very big project. But it just seems like EA and especially Sony are indifferent to it. And depending on the market reaction to Rise of Tomb Raider, this could very well be Sony's response to a potential late release of the title. Indifference where they don't bother to help out with advertising outside of the requisite Playstation Blog Post from the developers when it's announced and one more post the week it comes out. However, on the chance that Rise of the Tomb Raider explodes and becomes a very popular and very successful title (aka a killer app), then Sony would definitely put a lot more effort.
 
Good move for MS and I wonder if we'll see more moves like this one. Tomb Raider isn't a huge loss to me personally, but still it's a good get. If they could swing something huge like Mass Effect than things will get interesting.
 
Timed (like this deal with SE). Why else would they make multi-year deals with Activision just for some DLC? Same with the unprecedented partnership (lol) with EA.

They're obviously trying very hard to instill the idea that you can get the biggest games and must-have DLC (lol) on Xbox One first. It's the most powerful card they have left to play since Sony has trumped them on every other front. Does it work? Given the amount of money I imagine they're throwing around I'd say they have evidence suggesting it does.

Personally, and I say this as someone who really enjoys his Xbox One, MS deserves all the hardship three times over and I want to see them suffer this gen. I want them to suffer until they get into a regular groove of investing in compelling new IP and return franchises (Banjo, Viva Pinata, Conker, Perfect Dark) like they should have been doing, instilling a sense that Xbox 4 will truly be a must have for a wide variety of real exclusives. Locking up a game for 5 hot minutes that was going to come to the platform anyway doesn't make me feel any better about my purchase. Showing a crudely drawn Banjo-Kazooie with 2032 as the target release would have done more for me than this TR announcement. Anywho, the optimist in me hopes these lock-up tactics are short term while they find more partners/studios for actual exclusives. We'll see.

This guy gets it. These sort of deals really fail to make XB1 a compelling long term investment. Its basically a bandaid for the fact they have little to no first party support/content outside of a handful of franchises being milked into oblivion.
 
I'm not entirely sure what you mean here. Would you mind elaborating a bit?
The implication that S-E are moving a PS4 SKU to avoid Uncharted suggests they'll actually increase unit sales rather than decrease them. As such, it would behoove them to do so regardless of a MS deal. This is without considering the time value of money though I suppose.
 
*wanders into thread, glances at page count*

What in the hell??

What is being discussed in a non-E3 press conference thread to tally a 100+ pages in an afternoon? Damn! I mean the announcement is pretty straightforward, along woth some SQ regret maybe?
 
That's a bold claim. I could see them selling similar quantities mostly due to XB1s smaller install base but outselling Halo 5 is a tall order. Time will tell.

I'm not going to say that's a definite yes, but it certainly is a possibility. Between the relatively low sales of the Xbone (and inversely, higher sales for Playstation), Halo not being the franchise it used to be (it's not the shooter anymore), Call of Duty eating its lunch for the past few years, Destiny on the horizon, and Halo 4 alienating a lot of fans, yeah, I could see it.

The Uncharted games sold about 5-6 million each, one one platform. Since then, ND's brand has only grown, with TLOU well on it's way to 10 million (albeit on two consoles). By the time UC4 comes out, the PS4 will have easily crossed 25 million, and it'll be close to 30. ND is Sony's premiere studio, which means they're going to be pushing it hard, plus it looks friggen amazing so there will no doubt be tons of hype (not to mention, it's supposed to be the final game).

Halo 5 comes on the heels of a disappointing Halo 4, on a console with sales that are less than impressive. By the time it comes out, the X1 will be lucky to have crossed 15 (maybe it'll be at 16 or 17 million). While there will certainly be a lot of hype, I feel that all these factors will combine and lead to UC4 outselling Halo 5. Especially since Sony now holds NA as well, which means they have an audience that they may not have had last gen (a lot of 360 gamers switching over) along with their established base.

TLOU2 will be even bigger.

what did that have to do with his argument?

It was in regards to the theory that SE may have been scared to compete with UC.
 
I don't think they're scared of it..

If both games release Holiday 2015... they are similar games.. MOST Playstation owners, if making a choice, would choose Uncharted. That's not scaring S-E, that's just fact. The other fact is that Tomb Raider sells well.. So what does this more than likely mean? That Tomb Raider 2 would be a "later" purchase. And likely a discounted purchase.

By giving MS exclusive rights through the Holiday, S-E isn't really losing a ton of sales on PS4 because many of them wouldn't have been there to begin with. And to that effect, if S-E release Tomb Raider 2 6 months later at full price, it will probably come out ahead a little from PS gamers who are fine coming into it new in spring.

Honestly this is a fine deal for S-E and they probably won't lose out on a ton of sales. I don't even know if there's really a loser here except for the PS gamers who really want to play this day one. I really don't even think MS is losing.. though I'm also not sure how much they are winning either. I don't think TR will do much for console sales except add itself to the chalkboard. They got the PR today but that will really only matter if they can keep obfuscating the "Exclusive" arrangement through the holidays. If it becomes official at all that it's just timed it's going to piss away most of today's PR.

1) Delayed releases usually (always?) don't sell well
2) People are unlikely to pay full price for delayed release.

RoTR will sell like shit when released later in PS4.
 
If you truly believe this, then you are detrimental to the gaming industry, Sir.



oooh Ace Combat hahaha AC is Assassin's Creed now

This is how you play the game boy. All i want is that both Sony and Microsoft sells their hardware enough to have another generation of gaming. Competition is a good thing sir.
 
I guessed that might be the case. I assumed that since the person I was quoting clearly stated Ace Combat that people would catch that AC in my post would mean Ace Combat, not Assassin's Creed.

I totally jumped the comment gun there. Thought you might have moved on to comparing them since their similar genres. I dunno.
 
This is how you play the game boy. All i want is that both Sony and Microsoft sells their hardware enough to have another generation of gaming. Competition is a good thing sir.
You do realize that asking for sales parity between consoles means you are arguing against there being any actual competition right? If Microsoft or Sony dropped out of the console businesses, either company would still face fierce competition from other factors.
 
Yep, we're already seeing that manifesting with PvZ:Garden Warfare. Lots of hype at launch when it came out for Xbox, now, a couple of weeks until release on PlayStation, and we aren't hearing shit about the game, there's no marketing at all.

Honestly, timed exclusives might as well be full exclusives, because they pretty much have the same effect, kill sales on the rival console.
Lots of hype? I must have missed that. I thought it had no advertismements and was regarded as a joke. I think it will do fine because the xb1 version generated positive word of mouth which the ps4 version will now benefit from.
 
You do realize that asking for sales parity between consoles means you are arguing against there being any actual competition right? If Microsoft or Sony dropped out of the console businesses, either company would still face fierce competition from other factors.

He didn't specify sales parity, only that which warrants their continued business to keep pushing each other.
 
Probably, considering that Microsoft and Square Enix are big companies that both have employees who are paid to figure out if deals like this are advantageous.

Given the PR and business decisions we have seen out of MS and the odd localization decisions out of SE i dont really think this is a sound argument to make. It's attributing a level of competency that is simply not evident.

In my own opinion, you're massively overestimating the long term "ill will" that is going to drawn to either party, and underestimating the possible benefit to Microsoft. Especially if this game turns out to be completely kickass and gets great word of mouth alongside their marketing efforts.

I suppose anything is technically possible but given the past entry it's safe to assume it will be successful but not "kickass" at least as far as sales are concerned. But hey you could be right. I will however say that you are underestimating the impact of ill will especially when it is consistently reinforced as MS continues to do with these sort of deals. It's not just matter of the fanbase forgetting when they are reminded on a regular basis.

Also, after Square's completely unrealistic sales expectations for Tomb Raider 2013, their #1 priority with this one is risk mitigation... get a bunch of money upfront and "see how it goes" on one platform, with also being able to fall back on ports once the exclusivity period is up. They literally can't lose, they just might not make as much as they could have.

Well I would argue that the impact this could have on the franchise as a whole has the potential to a significant loss for them. Also the way you are defining loss clearly differs form the way a business like SE would define the term. To them Tomb Raider making a modest profit is not a win. They are aiming to create a blockbuster franchise. You are right that this deal likely ensures that they will end up with some sort of profit but in the long term as a franchise it handicaps their sales potential with both this and future releases. It's not a smart long term decision it's a reactionary short term decision to avoid taking a hit. It's like a boxer dodging a face jab but creating a potential opening for a haymaker in the process. Inevitably time will tell but the potential for negative impact is there.
 
Tomb Raider could be a better game with this exclusivity. They can use the cloud to do something especial like Crackdown 3 physics. When you doesn't have to worry about different hardware's you can focus your entire team to squeeze one platform. The Rise of Tomb Raider could be the 2015 Game of the Year. That was a BIG BIG move by Microsoft.
 
Tomb Raider could be a better game with this exclusivity. They can use the cloud to do something especial like Crackdown 3 physics. When you doesn't have to worry about different hardware's you can focus your entire team to squeeze one platform. The Rise of Tomb Raider could be the 2015 Game of the Year. That was a BIG BIG move by Microsoft.

power of the cloud confirmed?
 
Tomb Raider could be a better game with this exclusivity. They can use the cloud to do something especial like Crackdown 3 physics. When you doesn't have to worry about different hardware's you can focus your entire team to squeeze one platform. The Rise of Tomb Raider could be the 2015 Game of the Year. That was a BIG BIG move by Microsoft.

Are you a PR person or what.
 
Tomb Raider could be a better game with this exclusivity. They can use the cloud to do something especial like Crackdown 3 physics. When you doesn't have to worry about different hardware's you can focus your entire team to squeeze one platform. The Rise of Tomb Raider could be the 2015 Game of the Year. That was a BIG BIG move by Microsoft.

Its coming to xbox 360 also.
 
He didn't specify sales parity, only that which warrants their continued business to keep pushing each other.
I was more addressing that Microsoft needs to be there to give competition to Sony. Like there is some sort of natural order where both need to exist in the console space in order for there to be competition. It doesn't. There are so many factors that if either company bowed out, there would still be fierce competition happening.
 
The Uncharted games sold about 5-6 million each, one one platform. Since then, ND's brand has only grown, with TLOU well on it's way to 10 million (albeit on two consoles). By the time UC4 comes out, the PS4 will have easily crossed 25 million, and it'll be close to 30. ND is Sony's premiere studio, which means they're going to be pushing it hard, plus it looks friggen amazing so there will no doubt be tons of hype (not to mention, it's supposed to be the final game).

Halo 5 comes on the heels of a disappointing Halo 4, on a console with sales that are less than impressive. By the time it comes out, the X1 will be lucky to have crossed 15 (maybe it'll be at 16 or 17 million). While there will certainly be a lot of hype, I feel that all these factors will combine and lead to UC4 outselling Halo 5. Especially since Sony now holds NA as well, which means they have an audience that they may not have had last gen (a lot of 360 gamers switching over) along with their established base.

TLOU2 will be even bigger.

I completely understand your argument but it is still a bold claim to make. The hang up will be the attach rate. It is pretty much guaranteed that Halo 5's attach rate on XB1 will phenomenal where as I7m not so confident about UC4's attach rate on PS4. It all boils down to whether or not the sales gap will be enough to make up for the potential gap in attach rate across the two titles. Time will tell inevitably
 
The implication that S-E are moving a PS4 SKU to avoid Uncharted suggests they'll actually increase unit sales rather than decrease them. As such, it would behoove them to do so regardless of a MS deal. This is without considering the time value of money though I suppose.

Ah ok. That's an interesting argument. But given that PS4 titles are retaining full market value well past their release I don't think the impact of a release along UC4 would be as impactful as some seem to think it would be. But it's not really something that occurred to me at all so cheers on bringing that up. No way to know for sure either way.
 
I was more addressing that Microsoft needs to be there to give competition to Sony. Like there is some sort of natural order where both need to exist in the console space in order for there to be competition. It doesn't. There are so many factors that if either company bowed out, there would still be fierce competition happening.

My bad. Agreed.
 
This will be something about money, of course. But nobody is talking about the ressources, MS is able to give to developers. Just think about azure for development.
For a big project like TR, giving good price drops for using such things could be a huge contract point, couldn't it?
 
Tomb Raider could be a better game with this exclusivity. They can use the cloud to do something especial like Crackdown 3 physics. When you doesn't have to worry about different hardware's you can focus your entire team to squeeze one platform. The Rise of Tomb Raider could be the 2015 Game of the Year. That was a BIG BIG move by Microsoft.

Yeah of course, even Phil Spencer thinks that way
Speaking to CVG at Gamescom, Phil Spencer said the partnership will allow developer Crystal Dynamics to achieve its ambitions for the title, while Microsoft has secured a high profile game that fits well within its 2015 line-up.

What a fucking joke!
 
This will be something about money, of course. But nobody is talking about the ressources, MS is able to give to developers. Just think about azure for development.
For a big project like TR, giving good price drops for using such things could be a huge contract point, couldn't it?

huh?
 
Tomb Raider could be a better game with this exclusivity. They can use the cloud to do something especial like Crackdown 3 physics. When you doesn't have to worry about different hardware's you can focus your entire team to squeeze one platform. The Rise of Tomb Raider could be the 2015 Game of the Year. That was a BIG BIG move by Microsoft.

Wow.... yea no as many others have said this coming out on last gen as well so any argument that it will magically improve due to exclusivity on XB1 is immediately negated by the fact that it is also handicapped by being developed on last gen hardware and being confined to the limits of that hardware. But you have some serious spinning skills.
 
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