Box Office Challenge! 5 highest grossing films worldwide of the next three years?

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John Dunbar

correct about everything
probably avatar 2, which is absolutely baffling since i'm pretty sure nobody actually liked the first one as anything but a tech demo and for being the highest grossing film of all time it totally disappeared from pop culture as soon as it was out of the theaters.

after that it's probably other safe bets like star wars, finding dory, avengers 2, that batman movie. boring stuff all around. hopefully as little of marvel's trash as possible.
 

Matt_

World's #1 One Direction Fan: Everyone else in the room can see it, everyone else but you~~~
1. Avatar 2
2. Avengers 2
3. Star wars 7
4. Batman vs Superman
5. Finding Dory

The top 3 will all cross $1.5B but I really struggled to fill the last two
If another avatar, star wars or iron man comes out in this time they will surely make the list. As would another Ice age or transformers but I'm not sure on what the schedule
 

JB1981

Member
1. Avatar 2
2. Avengers 2
3. Star Wars Ep 7
4. Captain America 3
5. Finding Dory

Batman vs. Superman will underperform because it will not be a good movie and won't have the legs needed to keep up with the above.
 
1. Avengers 2 - You know this one will break records left and right.
2. Superman vs Batman - It's Batman AND Superman..together. It wouldn't matter even if it was terrible.
3. A Pixar movie, sequel or new title.
4. Avatar 2/Transformers 5 - I hope neither one makes nearly as much money as its predecessor though.
5. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 - with the current success of the first one and its appeal to critics, comic nerds and children, this is gonna be the new Iron Man for Marvel.
 

Matt_

World's #1 One Direction Fan: Everyone else in the room can see it, everyone else but you~~~
Copy-cat! :p

Heh.

I do find it odd that people are putting avengers over Avatar (or anything over avatar)
Just to put it into perspective, Avatar grossed $2.788B,which is $1.270B more than what the avengers did. The difference in the two alone would rank it as the 6th highest grossing film of all time.
Avatar will surely drop in the US and other already established markets, but with the massive expansion of the overseas markets, even from 2009, will make up the difference easily. I mean before Avatar in China the highest grossing film was 2012 which did just under $70M and avatar grossed $200m there. Since then 40 films have come out to beat 2012 and transformers just beat Avatar by $100M. Avatar 2 will almost definitely reach $500M there
 

John Dunbar

correct about everything
Heh.

I do find it odd that people are putting avengers over Avatar (or anything over avatar)
Just to put it into perspective, Avatar grossed $2.788B,which is $1.270B more than what the avengers did. The difference in the two alone would rank it as the 6th highest grossing film of all time.

you're just saying that because you have a james cameron avatar.
 
1 - Star Wars Episode VII
2 - Avatar 2
3 - Avengers: Age of Ultron
4 - Batman v Superman
5 - Guardians of The Galaxy 2 (More like wishful thinking on my part)

Runners up: Finding Dory, Captain America 3, Fast & Furious 7 and Justice League (If BvS is good).
 

Hindle

Banned
1 - Star Wars Episode 7
2 - Avengers Age of Ultron.
3 - Fantastic Beasts and where to find them.
4 - Avatar 2
5 - Xmen Apocalypse

Xmen is the wild card I know, but I think Days of Future Past being as good as it was will boost the sequel. Plus Channing Tatum as Gambit, and if they can get the casting of Apocalypse right, I think they have a shot.
 

Matt_

World's #1 One Direction Fan: Everyone else in the room can see it, everyone else but you~~~
you're just saying that because you have a james cameron avatar.

You did not just come for the queen of baking Mary Berry.
I'm not even that into avatar but to ignore it's Box Office potential is just foolish. It was a beast like no other and as long as Cameron can put together a decent story and expand the visuals in to new unseen places it will make bank
 

inm8num2

Member
Avengers 2
Avatar 2 (if it comes out :p)
Star Wars Ep VII
Justice League
Batman v Superman

Others: Finding Dory, Fantastic Beasts, Tran5former5, Pirates 5
 

FoneBone

Member
Why is Dory even part of this discussion?

Finding Nemo made close to $1 billion worldwide, and that was in 2003, when overseas box office wasn't as big as it is now. Would be silly to discount it.

Anyway:

Avatar 2 (I could actually see this disappointing relative to the first one, but then I also thought that would bomb, so I'm going to ignore that thought)
Star Wars Episode VII
Avengers 2
Finding Dory
Justice League (IF it makes 2017)

I don't expect Avatar 3 or Star Wars Ep 8 to be out before 2018.
 

Dead

well not really...yet
1. Avatar 2 $2B+
2. Avengers 2 $1.5B
3. Star Wars 7 $1.3B
4. Jurassic World $1B if good. $850M if it's average

I think Jurassic World could be huge as it will be the first major JP movie in this expanding worldwide movie market. If it's actually good, I definitely see it hitting a Bil.
 

Dan

No longer boycotting the Wolfenstein franchise
1. Jupiter Ascending
2. Untitled Pixar Animation (2017)
3. Untitled Kevin Lima Bollywood Musical
4. Fifty Shades of Grey
5. Entourage
 
1 - Star Wars Episode 7
2 - Avengers Age of Ultron.
3 - Fantastic Beasts and where to find them.
4 - Avatar 2
5 - Xmen Apocalypse

Xmen is the wild card I know, but I think Days of Future Past being as good as it was will boost the sequel. Plus Channing Tatum as Gambit, and if they can get the casting of Apocalypse right, I think they have a shot.
I did think about putting X-Men Apocalypse in there. But even with DofP, the franchise just doesn't seem to be able to reach that high.
 

StoOgE

First tragedy, then farce.
1. Avengers 2
2. Star Wars 7
3. Amazing Beasts
4. Batman Superman
5. Whatever Transformers thing I guess

Don't think Avatar 2 will actually come out on time.
 

jett

D-Member
1.- ABADAR 2: Na'vi Boogaloo
2.- Avengers 2: Age of Ultron
3.- Batman v Superworstmovietitleever
4.- Star Blargh 23, I guess.
5.- Transdongers Cinco
 
To the people only saying Star Wars 7, I think you're forgetting that they're planning to make episodes every two years, so episode 8 would still fit into this timeline (unless you're predicting 8 will do much worse)
 

Cheebo

Banned
1. Avatar 2
2. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
2. Avengers 2
3. Pirates of The Caribbean 5
5. Star War Episode VII


????? Star Wars Episode VII to way less than Revenge of the Sith did adjusted for inflation?

This makes no sense at all.

And Episode III was prior to 3D, and prior to the overseas explosion. This post literally hurts my head.
 

Hindle

Banned
I did think about putting X-Men Apocalypse in there. But even with DofP, the franchise just doesn't seem to be able to reach that high.

DOFP restored the goodwill that was around the series after X2. I think casting is key, if they can get that right, then an Xmen film may reach that high. Whether its Apocalypse though remains to be seen.
 

Cheebo

Banned
Also this is IF Avatar 2 comes out in time. I don't think it will.

1. Star Wars Episode VII (1.9 bil)
2. Avatar 2 (1.75 bil)
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron (1.6 bill)
4. Batman v. Superman (1.3 bil)
5. Finding Dory (1.25 bil)
 
1) Star Wars VII
2) Avatar 2
3) Avengers 2
4) Batman v. Superman
5) Hunger Games: Mockingjay part 2

I mean, I'm basically kicking open the door to a darkened room and just unloading buckshot into it, and then waiting three years to find out if I hit something.

edit: aaaaaaaaalmost picked Bond for that fifth slot.
 
To think about it, why would Avatar 2 make more than/as much as the first one?
Avatar 1 basically started this whole 3D gimmick, 3D wasn't as common before. People got tired of 3D these days.. not to mention that the movie didn't really have an interesting plot.

I just don't see how could this sequel have that much hype..especially in world where we have 2 Marvel movies a year.
 
To think about it, why would Avatar 2 make more than/as much as the first one?
Avatar 1 basically started this whole 3D gimmick, 3D wasn't as common before. People got tired of 3D these days.. not to mention that the movie didn't really have an interesting plot.

I just don't see how could this sequel have that much hype..especially in world where we have 2 Marvel movies a year.

Heh.

I do find it odd that people are putting avengers over Avatar (or anything over avatar)
Just to put it into perspective, Avatar grossed $2.788B,which is $1.270B more than what the avengers did. The difference in the two alone would rank it as the 6th highest grossing film of all time.
Avatar will surely drop in the US and other already established markets, but with the massive expansion of the overseas markets, even from 2009, will make up the difference easily. I mean before Avatar in China the highest grossing film was 2012 which did just under $70M and avatar grossed $200m there. Since then 40 films have come out to beat 2012 and transformers just beat Avatar by $100M. Avatar 2 will almost definitely reach $500M there

Avatar 2 could be down 46% from Avatar's WW box office and still tie for Avengers WW. The first movie was a colossal monster of epic proportions and yes I'm sure a lot of that will be due in large part to being a cultural phenomenon at the time but I really don't see how you can't fathom Avatar 2 having profound success financially considering the success of the first movie combined with the state of the WW box office and how well iMax has been doing in the last 10 years of which Avatar plays strongly towards

It's certainly a possibility that another movie takes the crown from Avatar 2 in this comparison but Avatar 2 is going to do extremely well unless something goes horribly wrong
 

Metallix87

Member
Going with:

1.) Star Wars Episode VII
2.) Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice
3.) Avengers: Age of Ultron
4.) Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
5.) Jurassic World
 

kswiston

Member
Avatar 2 could be down 46% from Avatar's WW box office and still tie for 2nd best movie WW of all time as of today.

2nd highest grossing movie worldwide is Titanic at just under $2.2B, so Avatar 2 isn't coming in 2nd of all time if it drops more than 21.5%

Avatar 2 is tough to call (if it even makes that 2017 release). I think Domestic, most of Europe, Australian, and Japanese grosses will be down over the first film, but China, Mexico and Brazil will be notably up. Russia is a toss up as its cinema seems to be slowing down at the moment. $400M+ is not unreasonable for China, but I don't think that will offset the losses elsewhere, so if I had to guess, I'd put Avatar 2 at around $2B.


I would have to think about which 5 movies would make that top 5, but those of you picking films should probably keep in mind that the cutoff is likely going to be >$1.25B based on current trends.
 
2nd highest grossing movie worldwide is Titanic at just under $2.2B, so Avatar 2 isn't coming in 2nd of all time if it drops more than 21.5%

Avatar 2 is tough to call (if it even makes that 2017 release). I think Domestic, most of Europe, Australian, and Japanese grosses will be down over the first film, but China, Mexico and Brazil will be notably up. Russia is a toss up as its cinema seems to be slowing down at the moment. $400M+ is not unreasonable for China, but I don't think that will offset the losses elsewhere, so if I had to guess, I'd put Avatar 2 at around $2B.


I would have to think about which 5 movies would make that top 5, but those of you picking films should probably keep in mind that the cutoff is likely going to be >$1.25B based on current trends.

Ah a fool's mistake. For some odd reason I assumed that was the 2nd highest WW for no reason. Albeit Titantic being number 2 to Avatar really indicates Cameron as having the ability to sell to the masses although I'd have to look at how sequels of his movies do

Personally I don't think Avatar 2 will do Avatar 1 numbers but it doesn't have to in order to make the list. I think over $2B is likely for it
 
To think about it, why would Avatar 2 make more than/as much as the first one?
Avatar 1 basically started this whole 3D gimmick, 3D wasn't as common before. People got tired of 3D these days.. not to mention that the movie didn't really have an interesting plot.

I just don't see how could this sequel have that much hype..especially in world where we have 2 Marvel movies a year.

I don't think there's many people that think Avatar 2 will make more than the first. But it makes sense that it could come within spitting distance of it worldwide. Even if the sequel suffered a $500m drop WW from all territories EXCEPT China, China has since exploded like crazy since the first film essentially opened that market for the taking. Cameron and Fox have been very savvy about partnering with the right Chinese distributors and production houses since to make sure that when the sequels do hit, China will be where they hit ridiculously hard.
 
1 - Star Wars Episode 7
2 - Avengers Age of Ultron.
3 - Fantastic Beasts and where to find them.
4 - Avatar 2
5 - Xmen Apocalypse

Xmen is the wild card I know, but I think Days of Future Past being as good as it was will boost the sequel. Plus Channing Tatum as Gambit, and if they can get the casting of Apocalypse right, I think they have a shot.

I'm most excited for xmen. Then avatar 2 (although I dislike the universe, Cameron sequels are blessed)

Young jean, cyclops and storm. Gambit and wolverine. Great young Xavier and Magneto casting. Quicksilver joining the squad, possible return of scenes with the old cast and my bae blink

This sounds like comic book movie of the forever
 

Son Of D

Member
1. Avatar 2
2. Avengers 2
3. Star Wars VII
4. Batman v Superman
5. Finding Dory

It's tough to be honest. I could see Avatar 2 and Avengers 2 both topping $2 billion (or coming very close in Avengers case). Star Wars will be in the upper end of $1 billion with Bats/Supes and Dory being mid to low ends of $1 billion.
 
While it will make a lot, I have a feeling the next Hunger Games movie is going to suck hard. The last one was good because it had very decent writing talent behind it. But make no mistake, it will open huge.
 
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