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May 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes June 9th

Javin98 said:
Sure, but keep in mind that the XB1 won April mostly because of the GS trade in deal. Now the deal is gone and instead the PS4 has deals at BB and GS this month IIRC.
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Yes, but I think the introduction of the white XB1 bundle as well as people waiting for the Batman PS4 bundle will even things out a bit.

I view the latter a bit similarly to XB1 sales in May 2014 being impacted by the early announcement of the kinectless XB1; People holding out for what they feel to be the better bundle/deal. If I'm wrong then it's "whatever" (haha) -- it's going to be a very low month for console sales either way. I pretty much feel the same way as RexNovis.
 
Bgamer90 said:
Yes, but I think the introduction of the white XB1 bundle as well as people waiting for the Batman PS4 bundle will even things out a bit.

I view the latter a bit similarly to XB1 sales in May 2014 being impacted by the early announcement of the kinectless XB1; People holding out for what they feel to be the better bundle/deal. If I'm wrong then it's "whatever" (haha) -- it's going to be a very low month for console sales either way. I pretty much feel the same way as RexNovis.
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This really depends on how many white XB1 bundles were available, really. According to Abdiel, it didn't do much, but of course, other stores could see a different thing.
 
Svartafaran said:
thx for the info, I need to follow these threads more. Do you remember if MKX sold more on the xbox one since sony had the marketing deals.
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In the UK, Mortal Kombat X had the biggest opening in the franchise history and we saw more than 61% of copies sell through on PlayStation 4 whilst just under 39% sold through on Xbox One. (UK console market via GfK Chart-Track).

In the USA, Mortal Kombat X had the biggest opening month in the franchise history with over more than 1.25 million units sold through to end users. Approximately 59% of all copies were sold through for the PlayStation 4 computer entertainment system whilst the remaining 41% were for Xbox One. (Via CreamSugar, unverified)
 
donny2112 said:
2/3rds of the growth. So take last year's April XB1 revenue (they're almost definitely talking about revenue), see how much XB1 sold in revenue this year (should be a 63% YOY increase), and GameStop's XB1 YOY growth in revenue would be 2/3rds of the 63% YOY growth in revenue that XB1 had in April.

With example numbers:

April 2014 XB1 industry spend = $150m (making this up, just an example)
April 2015 XB1 industry spend = $150m * 1.63 = $245m

April YOY growth in revenue for XB1 = $245-$150 = $95m

GameStop's YOY XB1 revenue growth = 2/3 * $95m = $63m

That's how I'd interpret it, anyways.
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Oh, this makes sense. Thanks!
 
[PS4] 200K
[XB1] 180k
[3DS] 85k
[WIU] 55k

Subject to change, but since we already got retail Gaf input, I think this may be it.

Edit: While I am always happy to be the flag bearer for optimistic Gaf, I do not feel comfortable being so much higher than everyone else... small adjustments^^
 
Abdiel said:
Heh. I posted in a different thread a few days ago, talking with Cosmic; it's really hard to make clear statements when things were as close as they were last month. We didn't see anything in our stores to reflect the XB1 winning last month; and considering how much larger the percentages are for GS, that makes sense.

When I check numbers in various districts, the PS4 is consistently the better seller, on a week/week basis. That's been pretty consistent outside of specific outliers, from the Best Buy angle. It's not a tremendous gap, but it is still generally selling better. How that reflects on the larger spectrum? (shrug)

The White XB1 didn't really accelerate things for us. Sells to those looking for a different color, but it's not like they made a big deal out of it, like with the Destiny PS4s last year. But again, that's Best Buy. I can't speak for walmart or GS impact.
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I guess the fact Gamestop had a full month of trade-ins for Xbone changed the perception last month for retailers to retailers... the Best Buy had only for a few days in April and few days in May (I guess April 26 to May 5).

Thanks BTW.
 
Do we have any indications on what sort of stock the Limited Edition Batman Bundle will have next month? All signs so far point to it being rather supply limited. As such I'm curious whether this is more a reflection of high demand or low stock. An answer will help set the barometer for what sort of impact to expect on PS4 sales in June NPD as well as helping to gauge the impact demand for the bundle might have had on May NPD.
 
RexNovis said:
Do we have any indications on what sort of stock the Limited Edition Batman Bundle will have next month? All signs so far point to it being rather supply limited. As such I'm curious whether this is more a reflection of high demand or low stock. An answer will help set the barometer for what sort of impact to expect on PS4 sales in June NPD as well as helping to gauge the impact demand for the bundle might have had on May NPD.
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If I were to guess, the LE one with the custom paint job is pretty limited and the one thats regular just with Batman for free becomes the standard sku for the month
 
Obliterator said:
If I were to guess, the LE one with the custom paint job is pretty limited and the one thats regular just with Batman for free becomes the standard sku for the month
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Having a popular bundle pushing all others beside will cause a nasty effect on the annual amazon sales ranking of PS4 SKUs, everybody's second-favorite analysis tool.
Most favorite is hourly charts of course.

Anyway, it's tough for the fans but somehow honest that the limited edition seems really to be limited. But they should have produced more of it. Seemed pretty clear that this would sell a lot, and manufacturing costs normally go down with higher production.
I don't want to know what happens if someday there is a strictly limited edition last guardian PS4...
Or PS5?
 
I'm surprised at the number of people who think the Wii U is going to sell worse than April even with Splatoon releasing at the end of the month...
 
ZSaberLink said:
I'm surprised at the number of people who think the Wii U is going to sell worse than April even with Splatoon releasing at the end of the month...
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Not sure about worse, but I'm not expecting too large of a jump at all. April->May 2014 only had a ~12k bump (~48k -> ~60k), and that was with Mario Kart 8 in a similar tracking period as Splatoon.
 
[PS4]200K
[XB1]210K

That White XBO sold like hotcakes and MS also was the only place The Witcher 3 could be advertised so I'll give it to XB by a small margin.
 
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