Lovely Salsa
Banned
Why pay rent and eat for a month when you could own that awesome jacket? SMH
SHENMUE 3 kickstarter (PC/PS4) - FINAL DAY - NEW KS RECORD GO GO GO!
- Thread starter Mr. RPG
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Why pay rent and eat for a month when you could own that awesome jacket? SMH
Doctor_Thomas
Member
Stupidly close to $3.5m.
Theonik
Member
You mean I have to choose between the jacket and dinner?!
But yeah I think people are taking this the exact opposite direction now which they shouldn't. You are SCARING people away with worries they will lose their money which simply isn't happening.
I think everyone realises the KS isn't the only funding source and certainly like other KS the budget will balloon during development. If I wasn't confident that was the case I wouldn't have pledged at all. However they have already stated that the scope of the game is dictated by the KS results and well that's correct. At $10m on KS it might end up drawing $15m by the end through additional funding and pre-orders. However, they will not grow the game if they don't get KS funds so it is profoundly important that people contribute.
But yeah I think people are taking this the exact opposite direction now which they shouldn't. You are SCARING people away with worries they will lose their money which simply isn't happening.
ArisenDragon
Member
Jacket and dinner are gone we are back up again.
Jo Shishido's Cheeks
Member
My thinking is he can't make the 'true' sequel on $10m total.
I think $10m from Kickstarter would allow him to get a higher number of additional funding from elsewhere, bringing the grand total to $20m (for example) which is the true amount he needs. So yeah $10m from Kickstarter is certainly everything he needs, from Kickstarter, but less than that now from the fans will lead to him getting significantly less from elsewhere.
Doctor_Thomas
Member
Dinner and original jacket are all gone again!
Ghost_Messiah
Member
My point still stands. "Majority of the funds" - not the game's entire and final budget. A successful $7 million KS could still mean the game's final budget is closer to $10 million via the inclusion of the secured additional funding sources and thus Yu is given the ability to fully realise his dream with sufficient funds available. They have multiple funding sources in addition to the KS. We already know from the co-producer one of those funding sources and investors is Sony and they have invested money even if that money is marginal and below the level of funding achieved by the KS.
My point is that the KS does not represent Shenmue 3's final budget. They state right there on the KS page they have secured multiple funding sources and have multiple investors. Even if that funding represents the minority of the game's budget we could still be looking at multiple millions which would thus boost Shenmue 3's final budget to the level Yu requires to achieve and realise his dream. Don't panic is what I'm saying. There's already secured funding available outside of this campaign. I wouldn't even be shocked to see Yu approached by additional investors post-KS now that the campaign has exploded in popularity. Shenmue 3's budget could yet increase even further in the months to come.
Die Squirrel Die
Member
The dinner and the original jacket have been snapped up again, but I'm not convinced they are genuine bids.
Could be trolls, or it could even be people who were freaked out by the drops so they've pledged for them without intending to fulfill it, just so they can see the numbers go up.
Could be trolls, or it could even be people who were freaked out by the drops so they've pledged for them without intending to fulfill it, just so they can see the numbers go up.
PewDiePie and his followers would definitely have a field day with the awkward voice acting in Shenmue. He'd bring a lot of new fans to the franchise.
funkystudent
Member
At this stage I wont be shocked if this KS doesnt get spammed with a bunch of troll backers for that stuff that all pull out at the last minute.
Lovely Salsa
Banned
I just got an email from apparently the UK couple that won 166 million pounds jackpot. I have been selected to recieve 1,5 mil from them. All I need to do is give them my name, adress and phone number.
Maybe this will help you guys? Thats like 2 million dollars right there
Maybe this will help you guys? Thats like 2 million dollars right there
ArisenDragon
Member
That's awesome, wish I can donate more had a rough last couple of months so I'm in for only 29 bucks for now. I am so mad because I am a huge huge fan of these games. Hopefully by the end I can put up 60 or so.
Come to think of it, I know a Nigerian prince who would love to fund Shenmue entirely. He's stranded in Laos right now, so all I have to do is fill out a money order and...
Lovely Salsa
Banned
my dreams are crushed
btw, can a mod add Shenmue 3 to my list of trash since this is from kickstarter? Thanks
I'm thinking a traditional publisher will step in eventually, like we've seen with many other Kickstarters. Koch Media/Deep Silver is a logical candidate and if Sony markets the game that's money they don't have to spend. Still, this campaign needs to be as successful as it can be, but we can't ignore that there are many people who are uninformed about Shenmue. I've see quite a few reaction streams about the Sony conference where everybody loses it at the FF 7 remake while the Shenmue announcement flies by them without any reaction.
Micrsoft will step in, but let Sony advertise it as a Playstation game primarily.
Quick, everyone! Give Yu your energy!
Tricky I Shadow
Banned
That's....not a bad idea....
IIRC Adam Boyes indicated on the Giant Bomb late night stream on Thursday that it pretty much had to be self-published due to IP rights.
indigo-cyclops
Member
Good suggestions, and the NPC bit would work perfectly. The more iI think about it the more I realize I would definitely up my pledge if I could get a physical PS4 copy, as well as a physical PC copy.
Die Squirrel Die
Member
Do you even know if Evilore is a Shenmue fan to begin with?
Don't know if this is the right place to ask, but I'll chance it.
I'm probably just being really stupid here, but I'm not sure if the capsule toys mentioned in the backing rewards are actually physical toys you receive, or if they're exclusive in-game items. Can anyone help clarify that one for me?
Left myself a little tight after the Steam and Good Old Games summer sales, but when I get paid at the end of the month I'll be donating. Thinking of going for the 120 option.
I'm probably just being really stupid here, but I'm not sure if the capsule toys mentioned in the backing rewards are actually physical toys you receive, or if they're exclusive in-game items. Can anyone help clarify that one for me?
Left myself a little tight after the Steam and Good Old Games summer sales, but when I get paid at the end of the month I'll be donating. Thinking of going for the 120 option.
Don't know. But Evilore has never had an issue backing kickstarters
El_Cinefilo
Member
The $120 option is a physical capsule toy.
Thanks =D
Ghost_Messiah
Member
Just some quick and rough math so we can get an indication of where we're going to end up.
Day 3: 268,596
Day 4: 174,434
Day 5: 88,380
Day 6: 91,538
Excluded the madness that was the first two days as obviously that's when the KS was exploding in popularity. Looking at the numbers we're seeing an average of around ~89K per day now that the campaign has slowed down. So presuming we hit this every day until the final last minute boost in the campaign's final days:
Current funding: 3,495,728 minus the 12,160 accumulated today
Current (adjusted) funding: 3,482,568
Add ~89K of projected daily pledges to that over the next 24 days:
3,482,568 + (~89K times 24 = 2,136,000) = 5,618,568
Now let's round the numbers to make this easier (math is hard!) so 5,600,000 or 5.6 million. Assuming the final two days of the KS match the first two days it's 5.6 million plus 2.8 million = 8.4 million. Let's say the boost isn't that significant and the upswing only amounts to 2.0 million = 7.6 million.
So with these rough calculations and at our current pace? Optimistic estimate: 8.4 million. Realistic estimate: 7.6 million.
We have to maintain the ~89K daily average and this assumes a significant boost in the twilight of the campaign.
Short of the 10 million objective but still the most successful videogame KS ever by a significant margin. Looking at the numbers I'm quite optimistic.
Day 3: 268,596
Day 4: 174,434
Day 5: 88,380
Day 6: 91,538
Excluded the madness that was the first two days as obviously that's when the KS was exploding in popularity. Looking at the numbers we're seeing an average of around ~89K per day now that the campaign has slowed down. So presuming we hit this every day until the final last minute boost in the campaign's final days:
Current funding: 3,495,728 minus the 12,160 accumulated today
Current (adjusted) funding: 3,482,568
Add ~89K of projected daily pledges to that over the next 24 days:
3,482,568 + (~89K times 24 = 2,136,000) = 5,618,568
Now let's round the numbers to make this easier (math is hard!) so 5,600,000 or 5.6 million. Assuming the final two days of the KS match the first two days it's 5.6 million plus 2.8 million = 8.4 million. Let's say the boost isn't that significant and the upswing only amounts to 2.0 million = 7.6 million.
So with these rough calculations and at our current pace? Optimistic estimate: 8.4 million. Realistic estimate: 7.6 million.
We have to maintain the ~89K daily average and this assumes a significant boost in the twilight of the campaign.
Short of the 10 million objective but still the most successful videogame KS ever by a significant margin. Looking at the numbers I'm quite optimistic.
El_Cinefilo
Member
$3,500,000 hit! let's hope it doesn't go down again.
Edit: Back to $3,491,000 :-(
Edit: Back to $3,491,000 :-(
That's for him to decide. Don't bother other people. I'm sure he knows of the existence of this KS. He can decide if he wants to pledge or not without spamming his PM box. That will only serve to paint people that are trying to raise awareness to this as crazies. And I'm almost starting to believe that that was the intent of the poster of that idea.
breakYODAy
Member
Suzuki said during his AMA that more pledge tiers are in the works. I imagine some time this week. I think it makes sense to stagger like this, to keep eyes coming back to the project throughout the month.
Theonik
Member
Yes, this is getting out of hand.
Look man. I'm a HUGE shenmue fan and I even lost hope before this announcement. I was even saying Shenmue fans should just pack it up lol.
I can't blame them for being excited. They are a rabid fanbase but I do agree. Evilore knows about this and he'll donate if he wants to. Hell he probably already has.
Lovely Salsa
Banned
easy now, people.
it was a joke since some people actually contacted Mojang and asked him to fund the game
it was a joke since some people actually contacted Mojang and asked him to fund the game
JonathanNemo
Member
Paging Tomonobu Itagaki. This is your chance for a second life changing chat with Yu Suzuki, if you haven't signed up for one already.
(If you were curious about the first.)
Honestly. It would never have made 10 million. People just need to accept reality of kickstarter. This could potentially do over 5.5 million but it would never make 10 million. That's just too much. Not to mention this is the inevitable lull period of KS. Where donations slow until the last 2 or 3 days. Where people up their pledges and new people start to pledge.
Ghost_Messiah
Member
What the hell? Dropped 10K from 3.5 million and then just dropped another 10K? The trolls must be trolling.
Ghost_Messiah
Member
And now it has jumped again. lol I think it's amazing how many of us have this campaign permanently open in a browser tab. I know I have since Monday.
publicpwnerer
Member
Even if he isn't, he loves each and every one of us, even the red headed step-child that is the Nintendo fans.
indigo-cyclops
Member
I'd like to thank in advance all the assholes, trolls and flip-floppers for making sure Suzuki's honest and good-hearted attempt to bring us fans some closure is discredited and squandered.
Ghost_Messiah
Member
3.5 million and beyond! Hope it's for real this time.
It's not been closed once since I backed it last Monday.
And we're over $3,500,000. It's as exciting as watching the Euro value fluctuate against the Pound. And I say that from a place of genuine interest. We all have our hobbies.
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