Wkd Box Office 12•25-27•15 - Star Wars never changes. 1B+ global BO for new record

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Bobby Roberts said:
Speaking of which, I was out at the Goodwill earlier today, saw this in the vinyl racks, and thought of you silly motherfuckers and your mindless catchphrases

http://i.imgur.com/QbSGdBr.jpg[img][/QUOTE]

If you ever make an avatar bet (you don't tend to iirc) and lose, that's the winner right there.
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kswiston said:
Assuming (for the sake of argument) that The Force Awakens finishes at $950M, an Age of Ultron level drop for Episode 8 would mean that it bombs with only $700M domestic.


Dibs on the "What Went Wrong?" and "Has Star Wars fatigue started?" threads in July 2017.
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It just means it's not really relevant anymore. The same when Avatar 2 fails to pass $2B.
 
kswiston said:
Assuming (for the sake of argument) that The Force Awakens finishes at $950M, an Age of Ultron level drop for Episode 8 would mean that it bombs with only $700M domestic.


Dibs on the "What Went Wrong?" and "Has Star Wars fatigue started?" threads in July 2017.
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LOL the thread i will be waiting for when EP VIII grosses "only" $700M is the one that will get someone the tag: "I spent a year systematically cataloguing everyone who said Star Wars wasn't irrelevant"
 
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
 
orochi91 said:
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
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It's on 500m worldwide after a week. It's definitely making more than 700m.
 
orochi91 said:
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
Click to expand...

Are you quoting someone to laugh at them?
 
orochi91 said:
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
Click to expand...

Wait, what? I double-checked and this is definitely not a thread from 2014. It's at $544m in the US after a week, it would basically have to head to the dollar theaters right now for that to happen.
 
orochi91 said:
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
Click to expand...

I love that you put 600M as the lower end of your range. It will be at 600M before the next weekend and over 700M after that same weekend.
 
Bobby Roberts said:
Speaking of which, I was out at the Goodwill earlier today, saw this in the vinyl racks, and thought of you silly motherfuckers and your mindless catchphrases
Click to expand...

Quick Edit for Box Office GAF

Bomba.png
 
orochi91 said:
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
Click to expand...
lol, that domestic prediction. It should surpass those numbers within a week.
 
orochi91 said:
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
Click to expand...
post-53126-Bill-Murray-looks-at-camera-gi-68fK.gif



In all seriousness this is perhaps the worst box office prediction in the history of box office GAF. Predicting a movie to top out a number that it is already mere days way from sailing past. Holy shit. I guess that is somewhat impressive in its own way.
 
orochi91 said:
I've got this pegged at 600-700 million domestic, and maybe 1.7B worldwide.

I don't see this getting any major boost from regions like Asia (China specifically).

99% of the hype seems to be in the West, specifically NA.
Click to expand...

Your post has been quoted several times. You got what you wanted.
 
Bronx-Man said:
Tomorrowland already killed any chances of Tron: Ascension being made.
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Movies like Tron Legacy, John Carter, and the like are the reason Disney moved to acquire Marvel and Lucasfilm. Instead of trying to force their own internal franchises on a public that has no interest why not buy the biggest franchises already well established in the market? Tomorrowland just helped solidify that decision.
 
Tomorrowland was ok. It needed to be rewritten. John Carter was fantastic though. Lone Ranger was trash outside of the train chase at the end, the whole movie should have had that tone.
 
Jeffolation said:
I hope in a couple years people start figuring out what a neat little movie The Lone Ranger was.
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the revisionism already started with some critics. it's got that problem that gore verbinski has had where it's too damn long but man i had a lot of fun with it. end chase scene is one of the best hollywood action scenes in a while.
 
Discotheque said:
the revisionism already started with some critics. it's got that problem that gore verbinski has had where it's too damn long but man i had a lot of fun with it. end chase scene is one of the best hollywood action scenes in a while.
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To think you got a guy like Verbinski in director jail while Trevorrow is being given Episode 9.
 
Cheebo said:
In all seriousness this is perhaps the worst box office prediction in the history of box office GAF. Predicting a movie to top out a number that it is already mere days way from sailing past. Holy shit. I guess that is somewhat impressive in its own way.
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Nah. We had someone clinging to $500-600M WW for The first Hobbit Film well into late December if I remember correctly.
 
SCULLIBUNDO said:
To think you got a guy like Verbinski in director jail while Trevorrow is being given Episode 9.
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Trevorrrow is a young filmmaker who made small films which got some attention and then broke out with a huge blockbuster success that probably would not have been better in the hands of anyone else given the requirements of the studio and the troubling script history of the project.

Gore Verbinski is an established filmmaker known for going overbudget with lavish productions who released expensive films which earned less and less money. It wasn't just Lone Ranger, it was World's End declining from Dead Men's Chest, Rango underperforming, and THEN Lone Ranger crashing and burning.
 
Discotheque said:
the revisionism already started with some critics. it's got that problem that gore verbinski has had where it's too damn long but man i had a lot of fun with it. end chase scene is one of the best hollywood action scenes in a while.
Click to expand...
When that William Tell Overture stars. Fuuck.

It's overlong but it's vastly underrated. Great cinematography, music and action, a proper nasty villain and probably one of Depps better recent roles.

Honestly the last several years of shitbusters were being fed are making Pirates 2 and 3 look better day by day.
 
I am curious to see what JJ Abrams does next. He is clearly very tired of doing franchise films and has said so. He likely has the post-The Dark Knight card that Nolan had to do whatever the hell he wants for whatever budget he wants. Curious to see what he decides to "cash in" on.
 
Cheebo said:
I am curious to see what JJ Abrams does next. He is clearly very tired of doing franchise films and has said so. He likely has the post-The Dark Knight card that Nolan had to do whatever the hell he wants for whatever budget he wants. Curious to see what he decides to "cash in" on.
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Abrams doesn't strike me as someone who has a particularly dedicated fanbase like Nolan to warrant a free pass to do whatever he wants if that includes over $150M for a non-franchised film.
 
Discotheque said:
yeah, mediocre director but man he did some masterful ass-kissing to get into the spielberg/marshall/kennedy camp. dude will go far.
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Yep, Kennedy being part of the Spielberg/Marshall/Spielberg trio who produced Jurassic World (and nearly every single Spielberg and Amblin film going back to E.T.) is how he got that gig. Dude clearly got into the Spielberg camp very well and now Lucasfilm is sort of an extended family of the Spielberg clan now thanks to Kennedy.
 
Cheebo said:
I am curious to see what JJ Abrams does next. He is clearly very tired of doing franchise films and has said so. He likely has the post-The Dark Knight card that Nolan had to do whatever the hell he wants for whatever budget he wants. Curious to see what he decides to "cash in" on.
Click to expand...

Seems like he likes producing more than directing.
 
kswiston said:
Abrams doesn't strike me as someone who has a particularly dedicated fanbase like Nolan to warrant a free pass to do whatever he wants if that includes over $150M for a non-franchised film.
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I agree he doesnt have the same dedicated following, but directing and writing a film that looks like it may end up close to a billion dollars domestically gives him a lot more leeway than he ever had before from Star Treks much more modest success
 
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