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[KuwabaraTheMan]

Nevada is going to be very interesting for the Democrats. Especially as there's been virtually no polling for the state.

 

[Maxim726X]

So has Nate Silver admitted he was wrong?

 

[ChosenPredator]

Trump vs Bernie ........ mmmm delicious a good shake up :-3

 

[MetalGearZed]

Accurate

Accurate. He's almost certainly winning by 15% or more

He is winning by like 20% as of now.

Clinton conceded so accurate.

The media called him and Trump winning.

Accurate.

The AP, CNN, and pretty much everybody else called it about 10 minutes ago

They likely called it after the projections by msm

On the money. All networks are calling it for the Bern.

k so Bern and Trump wins. Night Night

 

[Brinbe]

lol CNN desperate for some semblance of a horserace . LOOK AT THIS RACE FOR 2nd!

I mean, I know they have to fill time and provide some entertainment, but it's hilarious in how pathetic it all is. Trump is up by like 20%

 

[RPGCrazied]

Trump vs Bernie ........ mmmm delicious a good shake up :-3

Bernie would destroy Trump, its true.

 

[Pryce]

GILMORE INTO DOUBLE DIGITS.

 

[kirblar]

Kasich is my guy .. But I can't see him winning

I could see him winning if he got the financing to run a campaign.

I can't see him getting that financing.

 

[TheOfficeMut]

Was Bernie expected to win NH? Other than Wikipedia, anyone have a good place to read up on how primaries and caucuses function? I'm still a little confused aside from the general election.

 

[thefro]

looking like those Google Search numbers are 2 for 2 as far as predicting which way voters break at the end.

 

[diffusionx]

Right now Marcobot is running in 5th. If he finishes there I don't see how he recovers.

 

[Soroc]

lol CNN desperate for some semblance of a horserace . LOOK AT THIS RACE FOR 2nd!

LOL just said the same thing to myself. Nothing to talk about but 2nd places tonight!

 

[Zophar]

Was Bernie expected to win NH? Other than Wikipedia, anyone have a good place to read up on how primaries and caucuses function? I'm still a little confused aside from the general election.

He was.

 

[Vincent Alexander]

lol CNN desperate for some semblance of a horserace . LOOK AT THIS RACE FOR 2nd!

I mean, I know they have to fill time and provide some entertainment, but it's hilarious in how pathetic it all is. Trump is up by like 20%

But 2nd is super duper important! It will decide the presidency!

 

[Hoho for breakfast]

Was Bernie expected to win NH?

Yes it was expected he'd win by around this much.

 

[ivysaur12]

Nevada is going to be very interesting for the Democrats. Especially as there's been virtually no polling for the state.

I doubt there will be a lot, since caucuses are so hard to poll.

 

[maabus1999]

Bernie would destroy Trump, its true.

Unless Bloomberg runs...

 

[Kickz]

CNN called it Trump/Sanders

Very happy Trump got the win, this will keep him going (considering he had like no ground game)

Rubio Bot looks like he is gonna fall to fourth place

Awesome if these results hold true!!!

I hope Roboto finishes even lower.

Best part is we get to have Trumps antics keep going until the convention

 

[A Human Becoming]

Democrats
Voting percentage reported 13%

Bernie Sanders 56%
Hillary Clinton 42%

Republicans
Voting percentage reported 10%

Donald Trump 34%
Marco Rubio 10%
John Kasich 16%
Ted Cruz 11%
Jeb (John E. Bush) 12%
Chris Christie 8%
Carly Fiorina 4%
Ben Carson 2%

 

[Schattenjäger]

I could see him winning if he got the financing to run a campaign.

I can't see him getting that financing.

Yea maybe NH will open some eyes

 

[User 85168]

Was Bernie expected to win NH? Other than Wikipedia, anyone have a good place to read up on how primaries and caucuses function? I'm still a little confused aside from the general election.

Yes. Fivethirtyeight.com had him at 99.9% chance to win. What to watch for is what the margin is going to be on the Democratic side.

 

[RPGCrazied]

Unless Bloomberg runs...

That would be a mistake, not only would he lose, he would lose millions of dollars, and maybe handing it over to Trump.

I bet Trump could make him run. lol

Who knows anymore.

 

[Switch Back 9]

Does every state do this at some point in the next year?

I'm entirely ignorant as to how any of this works.

 

[cpp_is_king]

DecisionDesk now calling it for the GOP too, although they haven't called it for Sanders yet. Trump more than double the next closest competitor.

 

[Linkyn]

And... below 40.

 

[ThisGuy]

Is this significant or does nothing really stand out till super Tuesday?

 

[The Lamp]

I have so many insecurities. I like Bernie's policies the most but I like Clinton and her tenure and experience too. But people don't trust her so maybe Bernie needs to be the nominee. But people think Bernies a crazy socialist so he is in trouble too. But then again, Trump and Cruz are insane and they're in the lead. If they become president I am literally planning to leave the US. But I don't want a less crazy Republican like Kasich to win because that makes it harder for the democrat to win. But less crazy candidates means overall less odds of a crazy crazy president.

Nail-biting times for me.

 

[Tesseract]

Was Bernie expected to win NH? Other than Wikipedia, anyone have a good place to read up on how primaries and caucuses function? I'm still a little confused aside from the general election.

only if your long-term memory is fried

 

[Voysa Reezun]

eh? Trump has a MASSIVE lead there. no way he loses it, given how NH has turned out

I said what I *want* to happen, not what will happen.

 

[Hoho for breakfast]

Trump with double the votes of Kasich now.

I really hope for Sanders vs Trump overall.

 

[TheOfficeMut]

Yes. Fivethirtyeight.com had him at 99.9% chance to win. What to watch for is what the margin is going to be on the Democratic side.

Which is why I'm confused. Why does the margin matter?

 

[MetalGearZed]

i hope Bernie pulls a 20% win. it'll be a good note.

 

[Kickz]

Bernie victory means nothing unless he has 20%+ margin of victory.

Nice Hillsplainin

 

[renegade_dewitt]

Was Bernie expected to win NH? Other than Wikipedia, anyone have a good place to read up on how primaries and caucuses function? I'm still a little confused aside from the general election.

Primaries are where you cast a ballot and vote.

Caucuses are where you are in a room and then get split up into different groups based on who you want to vote for. There are no paper ballots involved (at least as far as I know). People try to talk to you and convince you to change your mind and at the end of the day, tallies are counted based on how many people are in each nominee's "corner."

Hope that helps.

 

[eBay Huckster]

Was Bernie expected to win NH?

There was about a month last year where it might've been in question, but otherwise you might say it's generally been seen as... inevitable.

Other than Wikipedia, anyone have a good place to read up on how primaries and caucuses function? I'm still a little confused aside from the general election.

I've found this site to be reasonably helpful (linking to their NH page in particular): http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NH-D#0209

They also go into detail regarding how delegates are actually apportioned on the Dem side: http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/D-Math.phtml

Which is why I'm confused. Why does the margin matter?

For the aforementioned pledged delegate math - a relatively low margin means Clinton overperforms in that respect - and because NH is very, very favorable to Sanders demographically.

 

[UraMallas]

lol CNN desperate for some semblance of a horserace . LOOK AT THIS RACE FOR 2nd!

I mean, I know they have to fill time and provide some entertainment, but it's hilarious in how pathetic it all is. Trump is up by like 20%

You're absolutely right but the 2nd place slot is the most interesting part to me. We all knew Trump was going to win but if Cruz and Rubio perform poorly and Bush and Kasich perform well they all continue to march on, which helps Trump. Which is what I want.

 

[cpp_is_king]

Which is why I'm confused. Why does the margin matter?

Because it's an indicator of how well he'll do in future states.

 

[Schattenjäger]

I have so many insecurities. I like Bernie's policies the most but I like Clinton and her tenure and experience too. But people don't trust her so maybe Bernie needs to be the nominee. But people think Bernies a crazy socialist so he is in trouble too. But then again, Trump and Cruz are insane and they're in the lead. If they become president I am literally planning to leave the US. But I don't want a less crazy Republican like Kasich to win because that makes it harder for the democrat to win. But less crazy candidates means overall less odds of a crazy crazy president.

Nail-biting times for me.

I think you are exaggerating a little bit
The President really does not affect your day to day

 

[thefro]

Clinton lost female voters in NH by 6% per Exit polls.

 

[Linkyn]

Which is why I'm confused. Why does the margin matter?

New Hampshire is very demographically favourable to Bernie. If Hillary can more or less keep up with him here, that does not bode well for Sanders, who is polling significantly worse in states with a larger minority vote.

 

[danm999]

Which is why I'm confused. Why does the margin matter?

They proportionately assign delegates based on how you do. It's not winner takes all.

 

[User 85168]

Which is why I'm confused. Why does the margin matter?

Basically as a test to see if Bernie can expand his demographics.

 

[GregLombardi]

Basically as a test to see if Bernie can expand his demographics.

Among white people?

Okay.

 

[JinjoUnchained]

So this is the for Christie and Fiorina, right?

 

[OpinionatedCyborg]

Which is why I'm confused. Why does the margin matter?

If he's weak where he's supposed to be strong, and Hillary is strong where she is supposed to be weak, that bodes well for Hillary. It also influences the media narrative as well as how people feel about each candidate.

here's howo they were polling:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-hampshire-democratic/

Clinton lost female voters in NH by 6% per Exit polls.

and she was massacred among 18-29 year old women.

 

[Oriel]

Was Bernie expected to win NH?

Comfortably, which is why no one is terribly surprised by this result. After Iowa and NH though things are going to get tougher for Bernie. The easy races are out of the way and it's all downhill from here on for the Bern.

 

[Prodigal Son]

Lol who the fuck is Gillmore?

 

[Cornbread78]

Any big areas of cities that might throw curve balls when they report in that I should be looking out for. Can't say I know NH too well.

Nashua and Manchester are the biggest and pretty split across party lines.

 

[Holmes]

It's a good night to be a Sanders supporter, but the next slate of states are all rough territory for him. He needed this win to hopefully mitigate the beating he'll get in Nevada, South Carolina and Super Tuesday.

 

[Thunder Monkey]

only if your long-term memory is fried

It took all of a month with Sanders running to make NH competitive, and all of three to put him in the lead. To say it's been Sanders to lose forever is about as accurate as saying SC is Hillary's to lose.