2 Super 2 Tuesday |OT| I'm Really Feeling (The Bern) (3/15, 3/22, 3/26 Contests)

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CNN exit polls show Kasich and Clinton winning Ohio. No projection in either.

Exit polls show Trump and Cruz tight in North Carolina, Hillary the clear winner (though somewhat more narrowly than you might expect).
 
I'm not sure if this is a sound calculation, but it looks like republicans are turning out 1.5:1 compared to democrats.

Dems: 590/5,810 precincts (10.1%) reporting. 711,505 total votes
Repubs: 421/5,810 precincts (7.2%) reporting. 864,607 total votes

711505 / .101 = 7,044,603
864607 / .072 = 12,008,430

Keep in mind they have 4 candidates running right now, Democrats only have 2. That could explain the higher turnout.
 
I don't understand this line of thinking. I don't agree with them on everything (especially guns) BUT they are the most honest and upfront people in the business. Stuff like the NPR complaint is valid. They don't just make stuff up, they're literally pulling in quotes for all of this kind of stuff.

I feel like when I see people bitching about TYT being "crazy!" its because they can't accept facts when people they are comfortable with or are supporters of are called out on the show for something. This isn't the "liberal equivalent of Brietbart!!!" here, they're actually citing sources and using the reporting that the mainstream media is providing. This isn't "spout some shit and never back it up because our focus is generating anger" like Fox News. TYT have their Bernie bias but they aren't shy about it and they don't beat around the bush when it comes to talking about his shortcomings. I watch them every day, they are the most genuine thing we have going in terms of political reporting.

I agree they give facts but then they just throw them out the window for "gut feelings". They literally had a video the other day thats whole premise was that the Trump would be more progressive than Clinton. And its not equal on Sanders either. They give him a pass on everything but Hilary sneezes and shes a bitch who is lying and secretly hates blacks.
 
I'm not sure if this is a sound calculation, but it looks like republicans are turning out 1.5:1 compared to democrats.

Dems: 590/5,810 precincts (10.1%) reporting. 711,505 total votes
Repubs: 421/5,810 precincts (7.2%) reporting. 864,607 total votes

711505 / .101 = 7,044,603
864607 / .072 = 12,008,430
I don't believe precincts are proportional to population.
 
Good friends with someone who is. They are delusional. He already announced he won't drop out, even if he loses.

Bizzare. After this he'll die in the polls. He'll very publically lose support and finance and people close to him will see the mood and back Kasich.
 
Swing states are important. Nobody talks about Massachusetts or Utah.

It usually comes down to the swing states honestly. If you can win, say, Ohio, Florida and Michigan you've usually got it in the bag.

If you can make a dent in your opponents safe states even better, but that tends to be much rarer.

Alright, so I guess I mistakenly took the focus on my state and applied it to the rest of the South. That helps me understand that a bit.
 
I finally caught up with the thread. Now I can freak out with you guys in real time. Bernie losing Florida is no surprise, but I hope that by the time polls close he'll be behind her by 15% or so.
 
Little Marco said:
I can't guarantee a win today. I'm telling you I expect to win tonight, but we are not 20 points behind. I mean, that's absurd!

It may seem absurd, it may seem impossible, but that is only because your cold metal circuits can't compute the power of humanity! Of free will! We decide our fate!

Prepare to be Trumped!
 
Rubio campaign has been:

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Staying in or not.
 
Are there any winner-take-all states today? Would make even narrow victories huge.

GOP:

Florida: 99 (Winner-take-all)
Illinois: 69 (Winner-take-most)
Missouri: 49 (Winner-take-most)
North Carolina: 72 (Proportional)
Ohio: 66 (Winner-take-all)
Northern Mariana Islands: 9 (Winner-take-all)
 
Ouch. I just don't see what people in the south see in Hillary (or not in Bernie).

Also lol Rubio.

The whites tend to be a bit less liberal, and Clinton has been supportive of the AA and Latino communities for years. So it's not surprising that she's winning there.
 
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