Deep South doesn't count. Caucuses don't count.
Democrat Debate 10 |CNN| Sometimes I just wanna punch you in your perfect teeth.
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Deep South doesn't count. Caucuses don't count.
eBay Huckster
Member
The Pope isn't even gonna be in the same damn east-west half of Europe
Except Trump been leading in the delegate count since New Hampshire. Bernie has not lead it once, in fact he is 253 delegates behind. The math for him to win is not there.
ShironRedshift
Member
Fuck no, and I don't get why anyone would really want that, especially if they love what Sanders has done in the Senate. The Vice Presidency is a practically powerless position, now more than ever with all the obstructionism in Congress. All the VP can do is act as a tiebreaker in Congress, which is pointless anyway with constant filibuster nonsense. Sanders can do much, much more in the Senate then he would be able to as VP so even if they were to bury the hatchet and Clinton were to offer him the position, I'd hope he would decline because it would be a great loss with no actual benefit, especially since Sanders really wouldn't add much to Clinton's ticket anyway which is the one true purpose of the vice-presidential pick.
Even if he had a slight majority of pledged delegates he'd still need to swing the super delegates, which is where he'd lose the nomination as well.
I need a drink...
RustyNails
Member
You seem overly bullish. Just make sure you're there in the NY primary thread to cash that.
Ogrekiller
Member
Sure why not? He's not making up the gap in any meaningful manner.
Ah yes, the momentum. Bernie will win the nominee despite losing the pledged delegate count, superdelegate count, state count and popular vote.
Trump? He's the frontrunner. At least he can claim to be number one, with or without the momentum.
This is my personal prediction, based on what numbers I've seen and what momentum I feel Bernie has.
It's not at all based on cold hard facts besides some polls I saw.
Thus, even if it doesn't come true, I won't be disappointed. There are more opportunities in the future to win more delegates (until there aren't any). Then we can see if he can persuade super delegates at the convention.
User 463088
Banned
If I had to venture a guess?
His internal polling isn't good (see a lot of the comments his campaign has made), and he can use his trip as an excuse to explain if he loses.
It kinda tells you how his camp feels about his chances. Devine and Weaver had a lot of infighting over it too.
eyeball_kid
Member
I don't think I've ever seen a political couple who love each other, aside from the Reagans, as much as Bernie and Jane Sanders. They are so adorable.
Primethius
Banned
Momentum > Delegates
If Sanders loses NY 51-49, wins California 53-47 and wins every other primary 60-40 he'll still have less pledged delegates.
He's already down by 250 pledged delegates. If he loses NY and CA to Hillary, why in the world would any supers switch over to him?
The phase we are in is math.
Hillary from this point on to the convention won more than Obama in 08 and she still lost the nomination.
He needed momentum for super Tuesday, not now.
A 50-49 result for Bernie means he has to win CA by an even bigger margin than 60%, him winning there was already a big hill to climb and a loss in NY makes it impossible.
I'm sorry, do the Obamas not exist?
Well, this is clearly not true.
There isn't a single poll that has her winning by only one percentage point. Are these polls in your head?
smokeymicpot
Beat EviLore at pool.
Yes if this was a football game and it was a tie.
It was a planned sketch.
Bernie Sanders is an honorable man.
Dude's gonna lose anyway, so fuck it.
At least we get a conversation about Israel-Palestine relations that doesn't consist of Netanyahu ball washing.
Right because the media pundits has been so accurate in this election. All 13 times they said Donald Trump is finished has been correct. And Hillary is currently sweeping her way to the nomination, just like they said. Awesome job media pundits!
Lights and Waves
Member
So...what you're saying is that given the fact that today's polls reveal that Hillary has further widened the gap between her and Bernie, with estimates having her at 57% of the vote, that your gut feeling is telling you she'll only win by 50%?
TheLostBigBoss
Banned
Listen, none of this is going to happen.
He's not a democrat. He doesn't have the popular vote. He doesn't have momentum because the polling shows that he's not going to win NY which is a closed primary.
I understand you want him to win, but thinking there is a remote chance of supers swapping sides when he literally has nothing to show is not in the realm of reality.
Michael F. Assbender
Banned
The emotion that blinds people from the arithmetic is almost not fair. I honestly should look into this.
eBay Huckster
Member
They've been pretty accurate on state calls on the Democratic side, actually, if you're done dodging the post you're responding to.
The Rubio Effect
Momentum is a crazy and unquantifiable.
PatThePassive
Member
Kennedy's wife loved him I know its dark but when he was shot she started trying to save parts of him. that is the most chilling part of the assassination to me.
JesseEwiak
Member
Right because the media pundits has been so accurate in this election. All 13 times they said Donald Trump is finished has been correct. And Hillary is currently sweeping her way to the nomination, just like they said. Awesome job media pundits!
According to online polls, Ron Paul won every Republican debate.
Did you read my post? I said I based my prediction on polls that I have seen and my feeling on how the spread will be different come voting time.
I've seen polls where he's down by like 15 or 17 points. I think it's much closer than that because of his momentum.
eyeball_kid
Member
Yeah, the Obamas look like they have a rock solid relationship. But Jane and Bernie are on another level, like they're still young lovers.
Did you read my post?
Show me *one* poll that has her winning by only one point.
I'll wait.
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
How has momentum done ANYTHING this election?
It's the biggest bullshit line pull by the media. There is absolutely no evidence to support it exists.
That's in 5 days!
eBay Huckster
Member
Hi, Dean Chambers!
What? LOL, no. She didn't try to clean anything up. It was all planned.
Garrett Hawke
Member
Hillary is OVER!
balladofwindfishes
Member
My memory is foggy on that part, but did Bernie ever actually say he was taking this to the convention during the question that asked it?
Momentum AND feelings.
I'll say it again. You didn't read my post. This is my personal prediction. How can I show you a poll based on something only I have predicted myself?
RustyNails
Member
All the polls he's pulling his predictions from reside in his ass.
New York is a SUPER closed primary, if you didn't switch to the democratic party back in OCTOBER, you can't participate in it.
Momentum means nothing in NY since anyone that decided they like Sanders more in the last 5 months won't be able to vote for him.
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