Possibly. I was also thinking they'd wait until NPD to say anything definitive to give a good reason to boast. That said they'll probably say something ahead of their earnings calls.
NPD Sales Results for April 2016 [Sony, MS, & Nintendo refuse to comment on hardware]
- Thread starter Nirolak
- Start date
Possibly. I was also thinking they'd wait until NPD to say anything definitive to give a good reason to boast. That said they'll probably say something ahead of their earnings calls.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Oh yeah, I forgot about that.
Primethius
Banned
Given the relative increases in the other markets, I'd honestly be surprised if UC4 doesn't break a million in the US for its first month.
First month WW will probably end up being around 2 million just from the data we do get.
First month WW will probably end up being around 2 million just from the data we do get.
Im thinking more like 2.5 million WW with US+UK projected being not far off 1.5 million for the month - doesnt seem that implausible for the RoW to make up the difference...
Actually think you agree considering the data we will get - probably more optimistic even...
ps3ud0 8)
Nightengale
Member
The limited data set we have already has U4 higher than TLoU's opening sales, and that went on to do 3.4 million in 3 weeks.
2 million is low-balling it.
2 million is low-balling it.
Which ultimately begs the question why has Sony been so quiet about it? It's bizarre that not only did we not get an NPD statement but we've also had no PR about what is by every indication a phenominaly successful first party launch.
Cool, I was out shopping in my local lidl store and I turned around and uncharted 4 stand selling the game to my surprise was there, to my mind it's the first time I've sen a videigame for sale at this particular chain so yeah I think the game has reach
Primethius
Banned
Right, I meant that with regards to data that we usually actually get (US numbers if leaked, UK and Japan, with a mix of a couple other EU countries).
Otherwise, we are reliant on Sony to fill in the gaps as to how the ROTW is doing.
Beautiful Ninja
Member
Probably going to talk about it at E3.
DriftingSpirit
Member
NPD and E3 will allow them to speak on as many sales as possible for the full effect.
Maybe but a million in month for NPD still shows growth in the franchise. I'm still sayin they wait until NPD next month to openly talk about sales.
In the US?!?!? No way dude that would be 4x the highest previous debut for the series. Not happening. At absolute most it would sell 1.5 million but even that is a stretch. It's likely to be just over a million.
Gamer @ Heart
Member
Are you talking about hopes and dreams or reality?
Call of duty can pull 3 million in a month. Not uncharted. Seriously, at least look at what the previous games did before coming to a conclusion like that.
But TLOU had an excellent word of mouth, amazing critical reception and one of n the b quietest period of year and generation as a competition. I doubt stars have aligned this well for UC4.
Night Angel
Member
excellent word of mouth - check
amazing critical reception - check
quietest period of year - maybe? What else was there to compete against, Doom? Ehhh
I can see UC4 performing incredibly well. Maybe not quite TLOU because of it's smaller install base, but I wouldn't be shocked if it performed proportionally as well as TLOU.
PdotMichael
Banned
Uncharted should have some nice legs, especially if it also gets a Neo mode.
Nightengale
Member
I said first 3 weeks, not month 2/3 onwards.
Word of mouth pushed TLoU to over 8 million. I'm solely comparing opening week till first month sales, which from precedent, isn't really all too determined by long-tail word-of-mouth, but rather excellent out-the-date reception, critical reception, marketing, etc.
Which UC4 is enjoying tremendously. Not to the levels of TLoU, but across the board it's recognised as a must-buy.
Bitch Pudding
Member
Given its success in UK, I asume UC4 sold 800.000 units in the US. In the first week. So, my guess is that by the end of the month if should be around 1,3mn units sold.
slavesnyder
Member
I still don't get why people say TLOU is thematically more attractive than Uncharted.
Uncharted is adventure-action-popcorn cinema. The last of us is dark stuff. Normally, Uncharted should appeal to more people.
Uncharted is adventure-action-popcorn cinema. The last of us is dark stuff. Normally, Uncharted should appeal to more people.
In fact Uncharted 4 is selling better in Japan, Uk and Spain. We'll se in Germany( if we are lucky ) and USA next month.
SnowFlakeCake
Member
It's more to do with TLOU being the better game, significantly so actually. UC4 picked up but it never reached the heights of TLOU, there is nothing special about UC4. I can't in any way, shape or form see it having the kind of legs TLOU did. Actually my thought is the game is going to drop hard as fuck from now on, as I said earlier 5 million lifetime is a lock but not much more than that.
Primethius
Banned
Sounds like you should make a bet.
slavesnyder
Member
Lidl? That's a shocker. What country?
Are these kind of spot deals in discounters tracked by NPD?
If in the US of course.
How would it be, theoretically, with 7eleven, filling stations and so on?
This seems more opinionated than anything based on hard data.
UC4 is basically the PS4's first must own game with mass appeal, should do great numbers in territories beyond US/UK where PS4 has insane leads.
Primethius
Banned
OléGunner;204262162 said:
It's definitely opinionated. We'll have a decent indication of legs soon but I think people just forget that as a series gets more and more popular, you'll inevitably have a larger amount of people who don't enjoy the game.
That and I would never use the GAF consensus on videogame titles to determine sales success and legs.
Think you've hit the nail on the head there.
Crazy to talk about legs already and all that yet with zero NPD data (although next week UK charts could be a fair indicator).
Gaf sentiment is a poor way to measure game success too agreed, otherwise platinum would sell 5m+ with every game haha.
This could be HUGE.
They already have a 3DS pricedrop For the holidays, now if they make another 2DS pricedrop + Pokèmon Moon an Sun in November 3DS gonna have a nice holidays.
5:1 ? lol
...it was 9:1 in June 2015, and the gap Always increase a lot ( was 5:1 At first, then 7:1 and then 9:1 )
It's easy 10:1 now, maybe even 12:1.
P.S
The Division all console combined was ~30,000
I meant world wide. But it will definitely do over a million in the US also.
Magic Mushroom
Member
I much prefer UC4 actually and I doubt I'm the only one. Five million? It will do way more than that.
Ah ok.
gundamkyoukai
Member
I already have UC selling over a million in NPD .
First month WW i going with 4.5 to 5 million .
That could change when i see the PAL charts next week .
First month WW i going with 4.5 to 5 million .
That could change when i see the PAL charts next week .
slavesnyder
Member
*cough*
Just wanted to be mild, as always.
OrbitalBeard
Member
Hopefully The Last Guardian as well!
Obviously not a huge seller but man, I hope it releases this fall.
They were set either way even without GT Sport due to the multiplats. If anything, I think a Holiday release will hurt GT Sport in America (where the racing genre has gone down in popularity) since it's such a busy period for gaming releases but we'll see.
Nightengale
Member
GT/Forza games thrive & fail on how they do in European and non-American territories anyway.
Even if they chart in America, they drop like a rock instantly. It's in UK/Germany/etc charts where they hold for months and months on end.
GT5 shipped more than 3ML in USA, GT6 more than 1 ML. GT5 had very good legs.
Nightengale
Member
etc error
DriftingSpirit
Member
Yeah, I think the bulk of support will be coming outside of US anyway. Perhaps the holidays can help the US version.
Unknown?
Member
GT Sport will do very well if they advertise like they did Uncharted 4... GT6 literally got no advertising and GT5 only had one Kevin Butler commercial and advertising on Gillette shavers.
Yep -- definitely agree. Those countries are helping Americans like me continue on getting games from a genre that we enjoy this gen.
RandyRaceCar
Banned
Also didn't Horizon o better in the U.S. than anywhere else? (2 specifically? or about even?) and didn't Forza 5 have legs in the U.S.?
The reason why GT and Forza SEEM to drop is because of the other games releasing right after them.
Unlikely.
Unknown?
Member
It still sold 4.8 Million as of December. I all the articles about how GT5 wasn't going to sell as well as traditional GT games when it's debut month in the US was 700k. Went on to sell 3.4 Million in the US and a total of 11.9 Million making it the second best selling GT game of all time! So much crow was ate on that game!
GT Sport will do well on PS4 and bring back long time fans who only had a 360 last gen. It's what everyone said they wanted, a new GT game that started from scratch ditching old assets ala GT3. It is reported to have great physics too.
DeepEnigma
Gold Member
Well I did say last month I would not be shocked if R&C is in the top 3. I even when ahead and corrected it to being top 2 with Dark Souls 3.
I hope this is a sign to come for other beloved platforming franchises to make a comeback.
I hope this is a sign to come for other beloved platforming franchises to make a comeback.