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[Carl]

Newcastle going for the first results tonight, god speed. Sunderland will take some beating

 

[CCS]

BBC Exit polls are normally pretty accurate aren't they? Be interesting to hear those in a few minutes.

Unfortunately they're not doing one.

 

[SuperSah]

It seems a LOT of people I have spoken to have voted Leave.

Furthermore, the Guardian reporting these final polls putting both ahead in different polls makes this thing seem a lot more close than expected.

For some reason, I think Leave actually stands a very good chance of happening. I still think Remain will win, but Leave is certainly creeping up.

 

[JonathanEx]

There'll be no exit poll tonight. A couple of 'on the day' polls, but they're not as accurate.

Though - to be fair - YouGov's indyref one was pretty damn close.

 

[Audioboxer]

Quote confident it will be remain. Fairly close, but not by 1%.

Lets go.

 

[Hazzuh]

BBC got some classy music right now.

 

[Graphics Horse]

Bong

 

[Delusibeta]

Yes, Jeremy Vine has a ludicrous virtual set, featuring the finish line outside a virtual 10 Downing Street.

 

[Chinner]

There'll be no exit poll tonight. A couple of 'on the day' polls, but they're not as accurate.

Though - to be fair - YouGov's indyref one was pretty damn close.

What time they due? Now??

 

[avaya]

Sky's poll will be useful

As will GBPUSD movement sibxe it's hedge fund hotel at the moment.

 

[Gormless Noodle]

Refs generally show a decent swing towards the status quo in the last week. People on the fence usually choose the safer option.

Probably yes. I think that's the case in general actually, I don't think there's a high chance the UK would leave. But you can never be sure of course.

 

[SymbiantXenos]

Well here we go.

See you all on the other side.

 

[JonathanEx]

Polls are closed! And so are the NeoGAF Brexit Predictions.

We had a total of 66 guesses, which is fantastic.

Our average prediction as team GAF is...
Remain: 53%
Leave: 47%
Turnout: 70%

In total, 76% of people thought Remain will win. 21% think it's leave, with 3% plonking for too close to call.

The most common predictions are 54% Remain, with a 72% turnout.

As the night rolls in and we get final results, we'll see who got closest on both the results and the turnout. And maybe even an overall prediction winner, if that looks plausible and we can calculate.

Thanks everyone who gave their best guesses!

BRING ON DIMBLEBOT.

 

[BumblebeeCody]

Now closed!

 

[Cub3h]

I'm nervous GAF . This whole referendum is a huge source of stress for us EU immigrants in the UK.

 

[Lagamorph]

Unfortunately they're not doing one.

Damn, that's a shame.

Watching the BBC and the talk about Newcastle aiming to declare first though....I worry about places racing to count as fast as possible to declare quickly...it's not exactly confidence inspiring for accurate results.

 

[Par Score]

so it was trending towords brexit before the assassination right? So that guy basically sabotaged it.

No, it had already started swinging back to Remain.

Won't stop some particularly callous Leavers bleating about it though.

 

[GAMEPROFF]

So, Have a nice election night and have a lot of fun

Spoiler

And please dont break up europe :/

 

[CCS]

Huge turnout in Gibraltar!!

Basically pointless but hey

 

[Jezbollah]

WOW 84% turnout in Gibraltar. Not surprising given the territory, but it's 10% up on the election.

 

[Hazzuh]

Some polling booths still open due to the weather.

 

[PackAPunchedMick]

I'm conflicted.

Stay awake to watch the 'IN' landslide take effect, but feel like a zombie for work in the morning, or sleep it over and watch the results in the morning. hmmm decisions, decisions!

 

[Geminosity]

It seems a LOT of people I have spoken to have voted Leave.

Furthermore, the Guardian reporting these final polls putting both ahead in different polls makes this thing seem a lot more close than expected.

For some reason, I think Leave actually stands a very good chance of happening. I still think Remain will win, but Leave is certainly creeping up.

I think it'll be similar to the scottish referendum: a sizeable leave vote but a winning remain vote as people stick with the devil they know or are swayed by the 'sky will fall' stuff the remain team have been putting out (not that the muck the leave campaign have been flinging is much better admittedly ¬.¬ )

 

[Par Score]

Gibraltar 84%, not bad.

 

[JonathanEx]

Farage thinks Remain have done it:

BREAK: @Nigel_Farage tells me: it's been an extraordinary referendum, exceptionally high turn and looks REMAIN will edge it. #EUref
https://twitter.com/DMcCaffreySKY/status/746085435915501568

 

[GazzaScotland]

Farage quote confirmed. Says he thinks remain have edged it.

 

[nature boy]

Farage has said "seems Remain will edge it".

 

[Fergie]

 

[Sumio Mondo]

I think it'll be similar to the scottish referendum: a sizeable leave vote but a winning remain vote as people stick with the devil they know or are swayed by the 'sky will fall' stuff the remain team have been putting out (not that the muck the leave campaign have been flinging is much better admittedly ¬.¬ )

Both sides were fear mongering. People are easily manipulated in either direction.

 

[SuperSah]

Well, turnout in some area I can't type was 84+%, much larger than a prior election/referendum thing.

EDIT: Farage reckons Remain has edged it, huh? I'd not be surprised tbh.

 

[killer_clank]

Sky saying garage thinks remain will edge it.

 

[Jezbollah]

Farage thinks Remain have done it:

BREAK: @Nigel_Farage tells me: it's been an extraordinary referendum, exceptionally high turn and looks REMAIN will edge it. #EUref
https://twitter.com/DMcCaffreySKY/status/746085435915501568

"edge" it from him means they have it by around 5% imo.

 

[painey]

this chap on Sky News reporting from Downing Street is AWFUL and he is blinking 1000 times a minute

 

[CCS]

Good early signs for Remain

 

[Acosta]

I'm nervous GAF . This whole referendum is a huge source of stress for us EU immigrants in the UK.

Don't worry.

 

[uncleniccius]

Good times. Not over but sounds promising for remain.

 

[Hazzuh]

Probably the biggest indicator that Remain have it.

 

[Des0lar]

Sky saying garage thinks remain will edge it.

I love it

 

[BumblebeeCody]

84% from Gilbraltar!

 

[QuicheFontaine]

BBC Dimbleby all day every day. Isn't a vote without him.

Isn't this Dimblebro's last election? I'm sure I heard that somewhere

 

[Anth1888]

Sky had much better coverage in the GE and seemed to get everything 'quicker' especially after that Farage quote again tonight.

Edit YouGov poll on Sky now

 

[PackAPunchedMick]

"edged it" my arse, it'll be a landslide.

 

[Macho Madness]

 

[SymbiantXenos]

Farage mind games. To try and spur leave voters on.

 

[Lonestar]

sky news live on youtube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y60wDzZt8yg

:lol, watching bins of ballots passed along a line like a water bucket to a fire.

Interested to see what happens

 

[Roberto Larcos]

Right, off to the shop to buy as many energy drinks as I can carry in two arms.

If you were wondering, the answer was five. Five cans.

 

[Nielm]

I'm pretty sure the UK is going to vote to remain.

54% Remain
46% Leave

 

[Garrett Hawke]

ET?

 

[FunkyMonk]

Sky saying garage thinks remain will edge it.

Autocorrect strikes again;-)

 

[pbsapeer]

"edged it" my arse, it'll be a landslide.

I agree. I still reckon a 60/40 split.