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Theresa May Statement: June 8th General Election requested

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My MP is Owen Paterson; I'd love to vote him out, but North Shropshire is like one of the safest Tory seats and voted heavily to leave the EU.

Ugh.
 
I ultimately don't think the party survives in the long run anyways. With Brexit happening I don't think we can each the point of building the obama coalition in the UK. The party is too reliant on the white working class vote, and that can't be made up by the coalition of the ascendant in the same way. I think we will have to suffer a lost decade, until we get another centrist leader and the party decides to put practicality in front of purity and actually *doing something*.

(Note : to forestall your point, I know white working class was part of obamas coalition, but it was a smaller part than it is in the Labour Party in the uk. The balance isn't the same).

Right, but I don't think centrist means what you think it means. 'centrist' seems to be used synonymously with 'Blairite neoliberal' (you know what I mean :p ). That's not 'centrism' any more - it's not where the median voter is at. A genuinely centrist Labour Party, at the centre of the British political spectrum, is going to look more small-c conservative, is going to be bigger on patriotism, tougher on immigration, anti-globalism, and so on. They're going to look *more* like Kate Hoey, not less.
 
A snap general election purely about politics and tactics to increase their majority.

A snap general election a few weeks after the PM ruled it out, categorically.

A snap general election a few weeks after triggering Article 50.

The tories are cunts. Don't vote for cunts.
 
Christ.

Is this a GE, or a disguised second referendum?

It's awful that we've had the Tories in power doing Tory things for seven years or so, but people keep voting for them. I expect this election to be no different.

The only benefit I foresee is that Corbyn finally gets kicked to the kerb and we somehow get the opposition we deserve.
 
The worst part is this is win-win for the Tories.

They actually win, they get to run the UK into the ground themselves. They don't win, Labour has to do it and then they can run the next election based on "Hey look at the bad shit Labour did, we probably wouldn't have even done a Brexit or something."
Come on.

Losing the election is in no shape or form going to be a win for the Tories. I mean it's not gonna happen but there is cynicism and then there is plain nonsense.
 
Unfortunately a centrist in post-Tory-Brexit-landslide Britain is 'well I think corporations should pay SOME tax...'.

To be fair, and I'm sure cyclops & crab will take me down for this from both sides, but there are some fairly decent arguments on the left for getting rid of corporation tax and replacing it with something else. It ultimately doesn't work very well, fails to achieve what it's suppossed to do, and seems to be deeply regressive - the bigger the corporation, the easier it is to avoid.
 
There is no demand for an election from the people and no great backing for the opposition. Low voter turnout and just generally apathy will see people vote for the usual.
 
Nothing will come out of this, the Tories will win again and even if they don't then Labour will have to deal with all the shit and see it through.
 
Given how Jeremy Corbyn is just a pumpkin set atop an old suit jacket found in a student union I can absolutely see why the Tories would see blood in the water.

While I don't doubt that the Tories have done a ton of research and feel confident I still feel like there could yet be a sting in the tail as someone like the Liberal Democrats put themselves forward as the party that could 'reverse' Brexit.
 
Personally:
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Ok wow, I had no idea. Yeah that's pretty bad.
 
Christ.

Is this a GE, or a disguised second referendum?

It's awful that we've had the Tories in power doing Tory things for seven years or so, but people keep voting for them. I expect this election to be no different.

The only benefit I foresee is that Corbyn finally gets kicked to the kerb and we somehow get the opposition we deserve.

Corbyn staying would be awful. Kinda hope that if that happens some people in Labour and others get the guts to break from New Labour etc and maybe form a new party. Or the rebirth of the Lib Dems, maybe. But once Tim Farron has hosted HIGNFY I can never take him seriously...
 
Labour needs a young untouched Tony Blair - looking at the leadership of the party since his departure - Brown, Milliband, Corbyn - what a selection of window-lickers.

As things stand, this labour voter is most likely going LibDem
 
Then my apologies for any offence caused. Obviously I meant it in the way you'd expect it to be interpreted in a UK environment, and expected it to be taken as such in a UK thread about UK issues.

I stand 100% behind the position it was meant to express, though. At any time, not voting for the reasons expressed is a foolish and dangerous thing to do. In the current political climate that is very obviously doubly true, and it's due at least in part to people who took that approach recently that we're in the mess we are right now. I have no tolerance for the idea that it's a sane position to hold right now.

Pretty daft to suggest that that kind of thing is alright in a "UK environment" imo. You can express your position better surely?

Is it a shitpost? Saying fuck off in response to a post that stupid shouldn't really be considered shitposting.

Definitely shitposting. Even cut off the tail end of the post that explained why he wasn't voting. It's not really conducive to discussion to do that, is it?
 
Good luck English friends.

If only there was a candidate named Harriet Jones. Although I'd be more worried if there was one called Harold Saxon.

Can't help it, Doctor Who fan. Sorry.
 
Right, but I don't think centrist means what you think it means. 'centrist' seems to be used synonymously with 'Blairite neoliberal' (you know what I mean :p ). That's not 'centrism' any more - it's not where the median voter is at. A genuinely centrist Labour Party, at the centre of the British political spectrum, is going to look more small-c conservative, is going to be bigger on patriotism, tougher on immigration, anti-globalism, and so on. They're going to look *more* like Kate Hoey, not less.

Depends - didn't Ashcroft polling last time around show that Blair was the most popular leader still with people who previously voted labour and now voted Tory?

I just think hoey is a dead end. She's not a working class rep for labour anymore than I am (hell, I was at least born to a very working class northern family!). She's a DUP politician transplanted to london, and I'd argue that outside of Brexit and smoking she's out of sync with the white working class as well in England.

And by centrist, I mean centre left. I don't think either party will ever cross to the other side, but I'd do think there's now a decent amount of room to move back to the middle. Mays been trying very hard to claim that territory but there is space there for a Labour Party that sells a message of economic ambition and opportunity.

Labour, ultimately, has to stop talking about the top 10% and the bottom 10%. That's not how you win votes or elections.
 
A snap general election purely about politics and tactics to increase their majority.

A snap general election a few weeks after the PM ruled it out, categorically.

A snap general election a few weeks after triggering Article 50.

The tories are cunts. Don't vote for cunts.

I really have no idea why they are so popular currently. Its been a complete shit show for a while.

Usually I vote Green but Labour will get my vote this time purely because I don't want them to fall even further behind.
 
Labour needs a young untouched Tony Blair - looking at the leadership of the party since his departure - Brown, Milliband, Corbyn - what a selection of window-lickers.

As things stand, this labour voter is most likely going LibDem

I wonder if the memory of Blair is (one thing) hurting Labour's popularity. During the EU referendum he had worse unfavourables than Corbyn and that was before Chilcot came out.
 
TBH, I'm starting to see the positives in this. There is absolutely fuck all chance that the Tories don't romp home, no matter what tactical voting people do but they are already pursuing their ridiculous brexit policy unopposed so on that front nothing much changes/

Reasons to be positive

- Labour collapse brings forward the end of Corbyn's reign by three years, his replacement may be a more effective check and balance on the brexit process.

- Corbyn would likely have contested 2020 election and lost just as hard, now we have a chance of change of government in 2022, not 2025.

- election may crystallise a formal anti-brexit movement consisting of SNP, resurgent Lib-Dems and a possible rebel Labour movement which may again curb government excesses on brexit.
 
Labour needs a young untouched Tony Blair - looking at the leadership of the party since his departure - Brown, Milliband, Corbyn - what a selection of window-lickers.

As things stand, this labour voter is most likely going LibDem
I can't say I know of a single labour MP that fufills that. The party is one part blairites, one part blair-lite holier than thou career shysters, and one part marxist limpets
 
TBH, I'm starting to see the positives in this. There is absolutely fuck all chance that the Tories don't romp home, no matter what tactical voting people do but they are already pursuing their ridiculous brexit policy unopposed so on that front nothing much changes/

Reasons to be positive

- Labour collapse brings forward the end of Corbyn's reign by three years, his replacement may be a more effective check and balance on the brexit process.

- Corbyn would likely have contested 2020 election and lost just as hard, now we have a chance of change of government in 2022, not 2025.

- election may crystallise a formal anti-brexit movement consisting of SNP, resurgent Lib-Dems and a possible rebel Labour movement which may again curb government excesses on brexit.

+1
 
I wonder if the memory of Blair is (one thing) hurting Labour's popularity. During the EU referendum he had worse unfavourables than Corbyn and that was before Chilcot came out.

The people who still like Blair are the people who count, electorally. He remains the most favorable labour leader in the eyes of the single most important voting group in the county - labour voters who switched to the conservatives in 2010.

So whilst Labour Party members hate him because of Iraq, and tories hate him because he's Blair, there's a really important group of voters out there who still think he was the best placed to speak to them.
 
It's cool, like I said, 100% agree with your thoughts, regardless of what way people vote. Everyone should use their vote and not be complacent.

I wasn't offended, but thanks for the apology. It was more of an observation and expression of frustration of how I feel visiting GAF at the moment (I know, not the time or place so apologies for going off topic).

Yeah, but Lashley might have been offended, and genuinely no offence was meant. If my best friends were to say the same thing I would happily say the same to their faces.
 
"If there's not an election now, game playing will continue"

Having an opposing political view isn't 'playing games' May, you vile old trout. That's what the job of opposing political parties entails. Also, isn't saying there won't be an election then suddenly calling for one playing games?

Come on UK, wake up and see through this shit. Please. If Trump can win, some crazy things can happen here. Even a hung parliament would be magical.
 
I really have no idea why they are so popular currently. Its been a complete shit show for a while.

Usually I vote Green but Labour will get my vote this time purely because I don't want them to fall even further behind.

The Conservative way of doing things does benefit a lot of upper class/elites. They've always been popular in many parts of England. Labour used to be able to joust with them, so the real story of England is the utter collapse of Labour. Losing 40 seats in Scotland just further enforces how badly the party has died.

I think those not in the upper class may view The Conservatives as the party of "British values". Proper/posh/elite/well-educated and the party of The Queen. Even although the Queen and Royal Family are supposed to be apolitical. Still, mix all of that together and you may well get lower class/working class thinking "this is a proper British party, they have my vote..... WHY IS THE NHS NOT HELPING ME/WHERE IS MY BENEFITS?".

Yeah, the irony involved in people on the outskirts of society voting Conservative is palpable.
 
First general election that I'm old enough to vote in. I guess I'll vote labour, Nic Dakin will probably win again anyway.
 
I really have no idea why they are so popular currently. Its been a complete shit show for a while.

Usually I vote Green but Labour will get my vote this time purely because I don't want them to fall even further behind.

Because uk voters place a high priority on the appearance of competence, and right now May looks to be the only adult in the room. Corbyn is a disaster pr wise, and Faron is invisible, so !ay gets the support.

There's a lot of 'I'm not comfortable with what's happening, but someone has to be in charge and Mays the only decent one one offer' going on right now. Labour have completely and utterly failed in their main duty as opposition.
 
I completely forgot the Lib Dims existed until I saw a party political broadcast recently. It's still a 2 party race between Labour and the Tories but I think the SNP will have massive gains after the Brexit referendum.
 
I'll swallow the seething rage I feel for Corby and vote Labour. It won't do any good, but anything that shakes the Tories even a little bit is a victory in its own right.

I'm sort of the same. Except I can't vote for Labour in good conscience (in their current state). So it's gotto be the Lib Dems. Someone check my thinking for me.
 
May's gonna walk it, but hey at least we can finally be rid of Corbyn sooner rather than later.

Lots of people saying to vote for a specific party, but really, if you truly don't want the Tories you should cast your vote for whoever polls right behind the Conservatives. No use voting for a party that always performs poorly in your constituency, when there's a candidate that just needs that little boost in votes to edge it.
 
I completely forgot the Lib Dims existed until I saw a party political broadcast recently. It's still a 2 party race between Labour and the Tories but I think the SNP will have massive gains after the Brexit referendum.

Actually it's almost impossible for them to have big gains. The most likely option is they lose one or two seats to the tories. They might pick up the lib dem seat in Scotland though.

When you're already in control of 90% of the seats for your area it's hard to improve on that...;-)
 
The people who still like Blair are the people who count, electorally. He remains the most favorable labour leader in the eyes of the single most important voting group in the county - labour voters who switched to the conservatives in 2010.

So whilst Labour Party members hate him because of Iraq, and tories hate him because he's Blair, there's a really important group of voters out there who still think he was the best placed to speak to them.

Partly this...

But there seems to be nothing in the pipeline regarding a new upcoming leader.

I had slight hopes for Chuka Umunna - but he might have some skeletons in his closet.
 
It actually needs two-thirds majority in Parliament to pass. Corbyn waving the white flag means it'll happen though.

Well done, Jezza.

The two thirds rule was put there as a safeguard for the coalition. It's utterly irrelevant outside of those circumstances. No leader of the opposition, no matter HOW they feel about an election, would be able to vote against it. They would immediately get pilloried in the media from all sides, and there's no real defense against the accusation you're tying to stop voters having their say in an election.

As you can judge from my post history, I'm hardly Corbyn biggest fan, but the two thirds rule was never anything other than a formality once we were outside of the coalition.
 
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