bitbydeath
Gold Member
Even with that as a possibility PC is not bringing anything to the table that will boost it above a new console launch.
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Jason Schreier 2025 predictions
- Thread starter cormack12
- Start date
Punished Miku
Banned
The idea I think is that in 8 years everyone will have access to whatever a Switch 3 is. Whether its cloud, PC, phone, TV, other consoles. They can try to sell you what you already own and hope you buy it again. Or just broaden and sell to everyone on what they have. That also becomes more attractive for a family friendly company that wants to get low cost consumers if console manufacturing keeps increasing in cost. Just skip the expensive part.
bitbydeath
Gold Member
Cloud isn't becoming relevant anytime soon, and that will replace the need of a PC if it were to ever gain traction.
Punished Miku
Banned
I dont know why you fixate on PC. Itll just be an app. Run it locally on what you have or stream it. Locally includes PC, console, handheld, phone.
ShaiKhulud1989
Gold Member
His 2024 perdictions were, and I'm being kind here, shabby. The most probable things he predicts is common knowledge for anyone who can read the writings on the wall written in 72 Arial.
Complistic
Member
Bioware is shut down
Ubisoft is bought out
Ubisoft is bought out
HoodWinked
Member
imagine having this level of insider industry information and making a list of the most obvious shit.
bitbydeath
Gold Member
Focusing on PC because Jason thinks it's going to do big things this year. That's what my original comment was about.
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VAVA Mk2
Member
Jason will be fine with it. They will gift him with another handheld PC to occupy himself with along with juice box outside the bedroom door.
Money.
balls of snow
Member
Aight time to remove gta 6 from my wishlist this year.
Exactly, losing a sale with 100% revenue on PSN to only have 70% on STEAM, is less money better for Sony?
All single player games will be at least exclusive for a period of time to ensure that Sony sells all possible copies on the PlayStation where they have 100% of the revenue.
And it doesn't stop there, for Sony it is better to sell a game with a 30% discount on PSN than at full price on STEAM.
They have already stated at least 5 times that Single Player will continue with an exclusivity period and after sales stopped on the Playstation they received a Port for PC, exactly dissuading those who buy at launch from using STEAM and cutting 30% of the game's revenue for Sony.
But I'm tired of it, it's exactly the same rhetoric as "day one on the subscription service"... Which "Sony too" would do despite Sony having denied it countless times.
I can't wait for MS to stop manufacturing the Xbox and these "Sony too" opinions will stop.
They have already decreased significantly with the end of the "xbox ambassadors" program
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Punished Miku
Banned
It will be a forever game. A MMO. A highly detailed giant world to play online and buy shark cards for 20 years. They have to prep all of it and 3 years of updates for the content rollout
Bernardougf
Gold Member
At this point anything beyong 2026 is a ps6 game.
Its not even close from what the whispers say
Bernardougf
Gold Member
MS will eventually peace out of the console business.. without direct competion is easy for sony to go day one on pc ... nintendo will never have the hardware for beying third party for sony ... so sony without real exclusives is the easiest prediction ever if you consider Playstation as the only "high end" home console + all games being released on pc at some time
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Topher
Identifies as young
Yeah, you are probably right about all that. I just don't see it as a viable prediction to come true in the next 12 months. I guess we could see some progress in that direction though.
Bernardougf
Gold Member
Oh yes.. not in the next twelve months but that dufos can always say "well its coming just you wait" eventually he will be right
Gamer_By_Proxy
About to beat off
Sony won't let a Lego game launch on Xbox, and won't let Astrobot devs mention the name Nintendo during a speech, but yes, they'll definitely bring all their games day 1 to Xbox in 2025 . . .
POKEYCLYDE
Member
I'd say he was maybe 1/5 right with his 2024 predictions.
As for 2025's predictions, they're shit.
Ubisoft will under go a transformation? No shit Sherlock. They're stock has plummeted and no video game on the horizon will save them. They either close, go private or get acquired.
"The industry will rebound because of PC gaming." What does this even mean? The only part of the industry that is failing is AAA modern audience slop. Plenty of other games were amazingly successful. Palworld. Balatro. Black Myth Wukong. Erdtree. Metaphor. Just because a few select titles shit the bed, deservedly, doesn't mean the industry is in a slump.
Exclusives have been slowly going away. Microsoft has almost fully gone 3rd party and Sony has started to embrace PC more. It's not entirely a prediction if you just extrapolate the already established trend.
"AI will have it's icarus moment." I think this is just wishful thinking for industry people afraid of losing their jobs. The fact is with how expensive and time consuming it is to develop games, AI is needed. Not only to speed up production, but to cut some bloat in studios. Games don't need 8 year dev cycles and 300 million dollar budgets.
Halflife 3: Something half life related was teased recently right? Not that big of a prediction if true.
GTA 6 delay: Super ambitious, large, actual AAAA title getting a delay is the safest of predictions.
Silksong 2025 release: A game announced close to 6 years ago releasing sometime in it's 7th year of development isn't that crazy of a prediction either.
As for 2025's predictions, they're shit.
Ubisoft will under go a transformation? No shit Sherlock. They're stock has plummeted and no video game on the horizon will save them. They either close, go private or get acquired.
"The industry will rebound because of PC gaming." What does this even mean? The only part of the industry that is failing is AAA modern audience slop. Plenty of other games were amazingly successful. Palworld. Balatro. Black Myth Wukong. Erdtree. Metaphor. Just because a few select titles shit the bed, deservedly, doesn't mean the industry is in a slump.
Exclusives have been slowly going away. Microsoft has almost fully gone 3rd party and Sony has started to embrace PC more. It's not entirely a prediction if you just extrapolate the already established trend.
"AI will have it's icarus moment." I think this is just wishful thinking for industry people afraid of losing their jobs. The fact is with how expensive and time consuming it is to develop games, AI is needed. Not only to speed up production, but to cut some bloat in studios. Games don't need 8 year dev cycles and 300 million dollar budgets.
Halflife 3: Something half life related was teased recently right? Not that big of a prediction if true.
GTA 6 delay: Super ambitious, large, actual AAAA title getting a delay is the safest of predictions.
Silksong 2025 release: A game announced close to 6 years ago releasing sometime in it's 7th year of development isn't that crazy of a prediction either.
Ridicululzz
Member
Interested in what he means by AI having its Icarus moment. Is he referring to potential backlash against AI, or maybe companies regretting using AI in some of their products? 
ExtendEmbraceExtinguish
Member
Good predictions. I have always thought if someone bought gameloft infused them with 1b in funding for Nintendo software clones. What would happen?
ExtendEmbraceExtinguish
Member
My 2025 predictions:
Sony starts funding AA games based on old ips to appeal to its core audience.
Nintendo switch 2 lives or dies depending on its advertising to casual gamers.
Msft does its convergence between windows & Xbox os. Then either buys Ea or T2.
Sony starts funding AA games based on old ips to appeal to its core audience.
Nintendo switch 2 lives or dies depending on its advertising to casual gamers.
Msft does its convergence between windows & Xbox os. Then either buys Ea or T2.
Dirk Benedict
Gold Member
I predict his hair will regrow itself without the aid of human science.
OceanGaming
Member
He was sooo right ....
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near
Gold Member
Jason, is that you? Our lord and saviour?
DeepEnigma
Gold Member
He is literally the "insider trading" of "predictions."
OceanGaming
Member
Dr Bass
Gold Member
So far I see three out of seven, and saying GTA VI would slip and Silksong wouldn't isn't exactly Nostradamus levels of prediction. Heck, not even Nostradamus is Nostradamus. But I digress.
I dunno about the Ubisoft "prediction." They haven't been doing well for awhile and I don't follow them much or care anyway.
So yeah, not impressed.
blacktout
Member
A few weeks too early for the bump, but so far we've got:
Nope, but we probably can't be 100% sure for a few weeks, given how many rumors there are that an announcement is imminent.
Pretty sure this is a no. PC gaming is doing well enough, but I don't think there's been an industry rebound. Hardware sales are up for the last few months, thanks to the Switch 2, but the industry as a whole still seems to be in a slump relative to a few years ago. Correct me if I'm wrong here.
Not yet, but boy is there a lot of smoke. Jason might just miss on this one.
. Not even close.
Ehhhh. Microsoft took some significant steps in this direction this year, but the other big two are pretty much exactly where they were in January. Sony is just doing late PC ports, with the Helldivers Xbox port being the only real new development, and Nintendo is still strictly doing first party exclusives, barring a few mobile games.
I guess he did OK, but he missed on his biggest swings and really only has two confirmed calls so far. Guess we'll see where we are in a month and some change.
Nope, but we probably can't be 100% sure for a few weeks, given how many rumors there are that an announcement is imminent.
Pretty sure this is a no. PC gaming is doing well enough, but I don't think there's been an industry rebound. Hardware sales are up for the last few months, thanks to the Switch 2, but the industry as a whole still seems to be in a slump relative to a few years ago. Correct me if I'm wrong here.
Not yet, but boy is there a lot of smoke. Jason might just miss on this one.
. Not even close.Ehhhh. Microsoft took some significant steps in this direction this year, but the other big two are pretty much exactly where they were in January. Sony is just doing late PC ports, with the Helldivers Xbox port being the only real new development, and Nintendo is still strictly doing first party exclusives, barring a few mobile games.
I guess he did OK, but he missed on his biggest swings and really only has two confirmed calls so far. Guess we'll see where we are in a month and some change.
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Gamer_By_Proxy
About to beat off
I don't know why people think Sony will give up on exclusives. They're not gonna follow MS to being only 3rd party. I don't even think they got the capacity to bring everything to pc. I don't even think some of their 3rd party exclusives go to pc. Most do eventually.
Fermbiz
Gold Member
Ooff.... I'm eating my words....
Tiago Rodrigues
Member
He was? First point is a no so far, second one i'm sure a Switch 2 release did a lot more for the industry than PC market, Ubisoft...what happened? There's rumors about them selling but nothing so far, the AI moment...what happened exactly? And exclusives being a thing of the past, Ghost of Yotei isn't anywhere but PS5 as far as i know (Sony's only huge AAA game this year)
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Zacfoldor
Gold Member
Predictions
- Half Life 3 announcement - Rumored but not announced(I think this one will end up being right)
- The industry will rebound driven by PC Gaming primarily - Not sure I'd call it a rebound. Not sure I've give credit to PC gaming. Arguable
- Ubisoft to undergo significant transformation - Facts
- GTA VI won't be a 2025 title - Facts
- Hollow Knight: Silksong will be a 2025 title - Facts
- AI will have its Icarus moment - False. I didn't listen to the podcast, but if this means that AI flew too close to the sun and was diminished, then no, there was some pushback on a couple of titles though including Arc Raiders and Where the Winds Meet but it was small and short lived, mostly from journos.
- Exclusives will become a thing of the past for Sony and Microsoft (wait and see with Nintendo but expecting its 'when' not 'if') - Mostly Facts but Sony may pull back(rumor) but what Sony is doing now they were doing last year, so I'm not sure on this one. PREMATURE and the Nintendo expectation INCORRECT this year.
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Danny22
Member
My predictions for next year:
AI will keep growing next year as well and I feel the only reason people like him talk about its Icarus moment is to be in the good books of censorship friendly people.
Gta 6 wont even release in 2026.
Ubisoft will go private.
Exclusives will remain the way they are, nintendo aren't going to be so easily convinced.
AI will keep growing next year as well and I feel the only reason people like him talk about its Icarus moment is to be in the good books of censorship friendly people.
Gta 6 wont even release in 2026.
Ubisoft will go private.
Exclusives will remain the way they are, nintendo aren't going to be so easily convinced.
Men_in_Boxes
Snake Oil Salesman
So the NeoGAFians tried to drag him but he was...5 for 5?
On AI's icarus moment... how can you say he's not even close? when this bubble pops it's going to be a bloodbath and there's speculation it's right around the corner.
How is being on the knife edge of a massive global financial disaster not flying too close to the sun?
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Poppinfresh
Banned
The AI bubble will burst eventually, but even if it does, it's never going to have an "Icarus" moment. All that will happen is that the cream will float to the top and a bunch of AI-startups will cease to exist. Beyond that, even with the bubble bursting, I think AI will continue to become a bigger and bigger part of the development process.
Agree 100% with everything else you've said.