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Circana Jan 2026: #1 PS5 (-17%), #2 NSW2, #3 XBS (-27%), #4 NSW (-79%) / #1 CoD BO7, #11 Code Vein 2

It's hard to compare because Switch 2 sold so much at first. The first Switch was a slow burner.

I do think as this year progresses we will see how sales will happen for most Nintendo games. I'm sure another Pokemon, Mario or Zelda game will always move a lot of units for Nintendo.


PSOne is only selling so well because Sega and Nintendo are failing with Saturn and N64
PS2 is only selling because it has a DVD reader
PS3 is just a cheap Blu Ray player since the slim model, that's why it made a comeback
PS4 is only recovering for Sony because Xbox failed with Xbox One.
"ps5 is only selling this good cause xbox is dead"

Consoles are slowing down because...have you seen how the world is right now? Everything is expensive as fuck.

I missed posts like this actually. Sony isn't doing anything right....they don't have promos happening, they aren't working to have those units moved. No...they only sell cause everyone is failing. /s
I'm not trying to put sony down. they have done everything they can in terms of selling their console, but they had huge competition from xbox since the 360 if xbox was still good competition i think we can expect to see sales more split and you see ps5 taking a much bigger decline in the US at least. it's just a observation that console sales are slowing down.
 
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I'm not trying to put sony down they have done everything they can in terms of selling their console, but they had huge competition from xbox since the 360 if xbox was still good competition i think we can expect to see sales more split and you see ps5 taking a much bigger decline in the US at least. its just a observation that console sales are slowing down.
The consoles are way more expensive today and the economic is in a really bad state. That's expected.
 
What's funny to me is when the PS5 wins, YOY numbers are deflated. When Nintendo wins, YOY numbers are up, generally speaking. Too bad Sony ceded Japan to Nintendo, which has been an absolute anchor for Nintendo. Can't wait to see those Resident Evil numbers.
 
I'm not trying to put sony down. they have done everything they can in terms of selling their console, but they had huge competition from xbox since the 360 if xbox was still good competition i think we can expect to see sales more split and you see ps5 taking a much bigger decline in the US at least. it's just a observation that console sales are slowing down.
This is the first generation since SNES without a GTA of their own. I'd wait to November to bury the current gen machines.
 
clark kent GIF

You think a remaster of PS3's MGS4 can make people buy PS5 consoles, even though it's also releasing on both Switch consoles, PC and Xbox Series?

Ain't no one buying a 450/500 piece of hardware to play MGS4 in 2026.
You'll be surprised, MGS4 was a big deal for it's core audience .

I''m not saying it's going to set the world on fire but MGS4 can sell some PS5's because it's been stuck on PS3 for a long time .
 
This is the first generation since SNES without a GTA of their own. I'd wait to November to bury the current gen machines.
That the thing right GTA6 will save current gen probably but what about ps6? games are taking too long and we will start seeing huge declines that generation, and there won't be a GTA 7 to save it. it's inevitable consoles are gonna start seeing huge declines.
 
I don't think that GTA6 is coming this year.
Even if it doesn't come out this year (which we have no indication of) it will eventually come out and will eventually sell PS5's.

That said...after 2 delays and Rockstar announcing that the promo campaign starts in the summer, feels like they are confident about it releasing this year. They wouldn't do this otherwise.
 
What's funny to me is when the PS5 wins, YOY numbers are deflated. When Nintendo wins, YOY numbers are up, generally speaking. Too bad Sony ceded Japan to Nintendo, which has been an absolute anchor for Nintendo. Can't wait to see those Resident Evil numbers.
With the PS6 Portable, i think Sony is taking the right steps. But looking at the panorama the Switch 2 is going to win the 2026 WW sales.
 
As I said: Playstation keep the good numbers even with one of their worst management teams ever.

And Switch 2's narrative of success will gradually beign over.
 
Not a single new release in the overall top 10 is crazy.

Code Vein's Steam release preventing an absolute car crash of a launch.
 
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Even if it doesn't come out this year (which we have no indication of) it will eventually come out and will eventually sell PS5's.

That said...after 2 delays and Rockstar announcing that the promo campaign starts in the summer, feels like they are confident about it releasing this year. They wouldn't do this otherwise.
Looking the data when GTA5 was launched, is not going to be as massive when it comes to move consoles sales as a lot of people want to think.
 
Ghost of Tsushima
Jul - 1st
Aug - 4th
Sep - 12th
Oct - 12th
Nov - 20th

Ghost of Yotei
Sept - 4th
Oct - 3rd
Nov - 7th
Dec - 10th
Jan- 12th

Ghost of Tsushima dropped out of the top 20 by December 2020
Stronger legs for Ghost of Yotei in the United States.
 
You'll be surprised, MGS4 was a big deal for it's core audience .

I''m not saying it's going to set the world on fire but MGS4 can sell some PS5's because it's been stuck on PS3 for a long time .
Look. I was one of the three guys defending that game. Don't tell me how much people love that game because you can't gaslight me with that. People hated that game, and I don't blame them. Later on I pinpointed the problem in the fifth sun. With the four first suns the game would have been an all time classic. Long story short: no.
I don't think that GTA6 is coming this year.
Coming from you I'm not surprised.
That the thing right GTA6 will save current gen probably but what about ps6? games are taking too long and we will start seeing huge declines that generation, and there won't be a GTA 7 to save it. it's inevitable consoles are gonna start seeing huge declines.
PS6 is a different matter.
 
Looking the data when GTA5 was launched, is not going to be as massive when it comes to move consoles sales as a lot of people want to think.
GTAV released when PS4 was about to be released 2 months later and a PS4 version was released in 2014 so yeah...of course it didn't move much PS3 units lol.

GTAVI is releasing in a completely different timing. PS5 is still Sony's focus, when consoles are overall more expensive and have some discounts here and there show there's interest in it since it even outsold Switch 2 during November and the fall quarter WW.
 
I doubt it if GTA6 comes ps5 is gonna win this year easy cause of europe, especially with US sales slowing down.
Pokemon, Japan sales, a new 3D Mario, Zelda or whatever other Nintendo game has prepared for this year is going to offset the impact of GTA6 when it comes to WW Switch 2 sales vs PS5. Like i said before, the impact in hardware sales from GTA6 on the PS5 is going to be great but not massive. But will see.
 
If the Walfare estimates are right, my Switch 2 prediction was on point. I underestimated the PS5 Fortnite bundle by a good margin. Fortnite still massive for Sony.

This was my prediction on Installbase.

[REV] 190M

1. [NS2] 185K
2. [PS5] 165K
3. [XBS] 35K
4. [NSW] 20K
5. [NEX] 10K

You REALLY REALLY low balled Xbox though.
 
Switch 2 + Switch 1 Jan 2026: ~233k (4 weeks)
Switch 1 + Wii U: Jan 2018 275k (5 weeks)

For Nintendo is probably the same. Talking about home consoles.
Switch is not an home console it's an hybrid.

If we include all Nintendo systems (2 systems in 2018 and 2 in 2026):

Switch + 3DS Jan 2018: ~374k (5 week)
Switch + Switch 2 Jan 2026: ~233k (4 week)

Switch (1) is dying much faster than 3DS, this is what make beating PS2 a bit harder.
 
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Switch is not an home console it's an hybrid.

If we include all Nintendo systems (2 systems in 2018 and 2 in 2026):

Switch + 3DS Jan 2018: ~374k (5 week)
Switch + Switch 2 Jan 2026: ~233k (4 week)

Switch (1) is dying much faster than 3DS, this is what make beating PS2 a bit harder.
The price said otherwise… The Switch 2 is selling for 449 and 499 the Switch 1 is more expensive this year compared to last year by a big margin and no discounts. 3DS and 2DS by that time was selling at 119.99 and 89.99. There's not comparison.
 
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It's hard to compare because Switch 2 sold so much at first. The first Switch was a slow burner.

I do think as this year progresses we will see how sales will happen for most Nintendo games. I'm sure another Pokemon, Mario or Zelda game will always move a lot of units for Nintendo.


PSOne is only selling so well because Sega and Nintendo are failing with Saturn and N64
PS2 is only selling because it has a DVD reader
PS3 is just a cheap Blu Ray player since the slim model, that's why it made a comeback
PS4 is only recovering for Sony because Xbox failed with Xbox One.
"ps5 is only selling this good cause xbox is dead"

Consoles are slowing down because...have you seen how the world is right now? Everything is expensive as fuck.

I missed posts like this actually. Sony isn't doing anything right....they don't have promos happening, they aren't working to have those units moved. No...they only sell cause everyone is failing. /s

For 25 years the excuses as to why Playstation has been successful have been what you've seen. Lames can't accept that Sony overall does a great job with the Playstation brand. It's why the screw ups are so glaring.
 
Looks like games on PC don't sell very well in USA and any release can be number 1.
That's quite the leap. There's a lot of overlap between the premium titles sold on both PC and PS5, minus the sports ball slop. Code Vein didn't even crack the list on PS5. Yikes.
 
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Yeah, it will probably be 4K 60FPS+ and have enhanced features.

Think of it similar to GTA V on PS3/360 to GTA V Definitive Edition on PS4/XOne
GTA6 next gen is more important for Sony than the current gen when it comes to hardware sales at this point. And for the Software revenue is a gold mine for this gen.
 
GTA6 next gen is more important for Sony than the current gen when it comes to hardware sales at this point. And for the Software revenue is a gold mine for this gen.
Yeah, GTA VI is going to be what Sony rides on for the PS6.

Wouldn't shock me if Rockstar is working on a PS6 build of GTA VI, to hopefully launch with the console.

There is a strong chance GTA VII will be skipping next gen.
 
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