Wkd Box Office Est. 03•23-25•12 - audiences hungry for Games

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If Hunger Games is anything like the Twilight films it will finish with $300-$325 million domestically.

Return of the King grossed $483 million (adjusted for inflation) domestically without the benefit of IMAX or 3D ticket prices. Even if The Hobbit loses a third of the ROTK audience it should still pass Hunger Games.
 
The Avengers is being treated with an heavy dose of shitty marketing by Disney. Also, Joss Whedon making the movie look like shit when living people are on screen isn't helping.
 
LOTR series adjusted for inflation:

Fellowship of the Ring : $429,078,400
The Two Towers: $451,989,000
Return of the King: $482,638,800
 
The Avengers is being treated with an heavy dose of shitty marketing by Disney. Also, Joss Whedon making the movie look like shit when living people are on screen isn't helping.

I thought the theatrical trailer was pretty well done. I'm still convinced the movie will be mediocre, though.
 
the hobbit will have the lord of the rings legacy and 3d ticket prices going for it.

there's no way it won't outgross the hunger games. or tdkr for that matter.
 
I'm going to add to The Hunger Games' total tomorrow. There's a theater in West Palm Beach that's showing this in their IMAX screen with the D-Box setup. I'm buying the tickets now.
 
Avengers won't do shit. I'm calling 70ish opening, and that's being nice.

I'll let you pick the laughing .gif for this one. That film is going to do great.

Not TDKR numbers, not ASM numbers, but if it isn't at least 2nd in terms of Marvel Studios grosses, well, I'll be damned.
 
Done. At the end of the theatrical run for each, if The Hobbit has a higher domestic B.O than THG, then I get to choose an avatar for you to wear for two months. If THG is higher, then the reverse.

Deal?

I'm willing to do a similar deal for Spider-Man outgrossing both TDKR and Avengers (worldwide).
 
I'll take either Good Job Bob's bet or Kusaragi's. Whichever one gets back to me first. Avatar choosing bet for 2 months. Shit, let's make it 6 months.
 
I think Spider-Man does better than most think especially OS but does not top TDKR WW.

Nah, Spider-Man will definitely be a huge bomba (relatively speaking). It looks to be a remake of the Spider-Man movie from 10+ years ago. Do we really need that? And given that SP3 was utter dog shit, people do not forget and it will affect the gross on this film.
 
I'll take that deal too. TDKR will outgross Spidy and The Avengers..
This seems like a smart bet.

The Avengers looks more cliched every time I see any media about it. But Spiderman. Oh, Spiderman. I like you Andrew Garfield, but I hope this doesn't deflate you too much.
 
Nah, Spider-Man will definitely be a huge bomba (relatively speaking). It looks to be a remake of the Spider-Man movie from 10+ years ago. Do we really need that? And given that SP3 was utter dog shit, people do not forget and it will affect the gross on this film.

SP3 did very well OS (better than TDK). Spidy will do well OS while not being as big as a hit domestically.
 
SP3 did very well OS (better than TDK). Spidy will do well OS while not being as big as a hit domestically.
I like that every time we justify a shitty movie doing well overseas, we're basically saying "foreigners eat up shitty action movies."

And, the thing is, I can't dispute that.
Korean
 
I really do think everyone is underestimating Spiderman. It's fucking Spiderman. Every little kid in the world knows and loves him. There has never been a time since the 80's that there wasn't some type of Spider toy on shelves.
 
I really do think everyone is underestimating Spiderman. It's fucking Spiderman. Every little kid in the world knows and loves him. There has never been a time since the 80's that there wasn't some type of Spider toy on shelves.

I think ASM will make very decent bank indeed. I just don't for a second believe it will outgross TDKR.
 
Domestic gross:

Iron man 2: $312,433,331
Thor: $181,030,624
Captain America: $176,654,505
The Incredible Hulk: $134,806,913

Total = $804,925,373

Throw in a few other characters and The Avengers should gross around $850M domestic. Don't laugh at my logic.
 
Domestic gross:

Iron man 2: $312,433,331
Thor: $181,030,624
Captain America: $176,654,505
The Incredible Hulk: $134,806,913

Total = $804,925,373

Throw in a few other characters and The Avengers should gross around $850M domestic. Don't laugh at my logic.

Can't argue with that.
 
Domestic gross:

Iron man 2: $312,433,331
Thor: $181,030,624
Captain America: $176,654,505
The Incredible Hulk: $134,806,913

Total = $804,925,373

Throw in a few other characters and The Avengers should gross around $850M domestic. Don't laugh at my logic.

Multiply that by the combined domestic gross of Samuel L Jackson's entire filmography.
 
Domestic gross:

Iron man 2: $312,433,331
Thor: $181,030,624
Captain America: $176,654,505
The Incredible Hulk: $134,806,913

Total = $804,925,373

Throw in a few other characters and The Avengers should gross around $850M domestic. Don't laugh at my logic.

The same people who saw Thor also saw Captain America and Hulk. All 3 of them basically had the same audience. Iron Man is really the only character that has any appeal to the general audience. No way in hell does it do $850m.
 
No way Spider-Man outgrosses TDKR. It's still going to post fantastic box office numbers, but TDKR is an event movie, and is being marketed as one.

ASM isn't being pushed by Sony in a very intelligent manner because they're caught at the cross roads between promoting it as a new story, but also acknowledging that it's the origin being told again. It's leading to a very luke warm reception. People know about it, will watch it, but there isn't that fevered pitch of enthusiasm for it to be found in most places.
 
Are you asking if I think ASM will outgross The Hobbit? No.

If you're asking whether I think TDKR will outgross The Hobbit? Domestic, probably. WW? Nope.

I think TDKR has a shot of outgrossing The Hobbit WW. Sequels tend to do better when their predecessors were well-received (even the terrible Spiderman 3 made more than 2). Also The Hobbit is still a question mark for me. It could do better than the LOTR movies but I wouldn't be surprised at all to see it do less (<1 billion).
 
The same people who saw Thor also saw Captain America and Hulk. All 3 of them basically had the same audience. Iron Man is really the only character that has any appeal to the general audience. No way in hell does it do $850m.

No but see, he added up the box office for each of those movies, so total, it's the amount that The Avengers will probably make. It's simple math.
 
The same people who saw Thor also saw Captain America and Hulk. All 3 of them basically had the same audience. Iron Man is really the only character that has any appeal to the general audience. No way in hell does it do $850m.

No but see, he added up the box office for each of those movies, so total, it's the amount that The Avengers will probably make. It's simple math.

How can you read that and possibly think he was being serious?
 
Domestic gross:

Iron man 2: $312,433,331
Thor: $181,030,624
Captain America: $176,654,505
The Incredible Hulk: $134,806,913

Total = $804,925,373

Throw in a few other characters and The Avengers should gross around $850M domestic. Don't laugh at my logic.

LOL

Those figures suggest that $312M is the ceiling for the Avengers film. And since the movie will be a disjointed piece of shit with way too many characters and no development of said characters, the reviews will be awful and people like people who pay such close attention to reviews will not see it. So I'm guessing it'll end under the Hulk numbers. Let's say $125M all-in.
 
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