Superman00
Liverpool01
Possible $400m before 3rd weekend. That is just crazy. Fastest to $450m is in the bag, probably gonna be the fastest to $500m.
Wkd Box Office 054-612 -Whedon smash comic-to-film opening record, Nolan stays mad
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Superman00
Liverpool01
Beside the Avengers 2, what movie do you think can do that? The record it set isn't just by a couple millions. It beat HP7.5 by $38m, gonna beat 2nd weekend by $20+m.
Escape Goat
Member
Yeah, Avengers 2 is going to be awesome.
Yeah, Avengers 2 will most likely have Black Panther regulating shit. Records will be broken.
Official Friday estimate for Avengers is $29.124M. It missed the $300M milestone by less than $1M. The Avengers will still break the $300M barrier after 9 days (1 day quicker than TDK) and the $350M barrier after 10 days (4 days quicker than TDK).
Avengers also has a real shot to reach $400M before next weekend. It made $62.5M during the weekdays this past week. Assuming ~$370M after this weekend, the Avengers would break $400M on Thursday if its weekday drops are less than 52%. That would be 14 days. At worst it hits $400M after 15 days. The Dark Knight took 18.
The fun records will be $450M and $500M. The Dark Knight took 28 days to reach $450M and Avatar took 32 days to hit $500M. With good holds and Memorial Day weekend in the future, the Avengers should easily beat both of those records.
EDIT: Friday increased by 135%. Right in line with Thor and Iron Man 2 from the past two years. If it follows the Saturday increases and Sunday decreases of those two films, the weekend total will be between $100-110M.
Avengers also has a real shot to reach $400M before next weekend. It made $62.5M during the weekdays this past week. Assuming ~$370M after this weekend, the Avengers would break $400M on Thursday if its weekday drops are less than 52%. That would be 14 days. At worst it hits $400M after 15 days. The Dark Knight took 18.
The fun records will be $450M and $500M. The Dark Knight took 28 days to reach $450M and Avatar took 32 days to hit $500M. With good holds and Memorial Day weekend in the future, the Avengers should easily beat both of those records.
EDIT: Friday increased by 135%. Right in line with Thor and Iron Man 2 from the past two years. If it follows the Saturday increases and Sunday decreases of those two films, the weekend total will be between $100-110M.
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
You don't understand, between Avengers and TDKR, whoever holds the OW record is the good one. By not holing the OW record, TDKR will suck, because the OW record is the only marker of quality between the two.
KuwabaraTheMan
Banned
Following Iron Man 2 for the weekend (which it did for Friday's increase) should get the second weekend right up to $100m. Crazy numbers. It will be the #1 film of the year by the middle of next week, and it should pass Spider-Man next weekend.
There will be FOUR $400M films this year.
It's third, fourth, fifth, sixth and seventh weekend records aren't going anywhere for a LONG time.
It's third, fourth, fifth, sixth and seventh weekend records aren't going anywhere for a LONG time.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
Hey guys, the record isn't a guarantee yet! According to Variety
Now, Variety is obviously a long running and trusted source, so I'm not really how they managed to come up with that.
KuwabaraTheMan
Banned
Wow. They took the Friday-Friday drop and extrapolated it to the entire weekend. Because that's how the Box Office works. A round of applause for Variety, everyone.
I haven't jumped on the Hobbit hype train yet, so I am not ready to say $400M is locked. However, it also would come at zero surprise to me if it passed that threshold. I am just more sure that TDKR will pass $400M than I am the Hobbit. At the very least, we should get a new December opening record this year from the Hobbit.
Also, Avatar's run was ridiculous, so it goes without saying that weeks 4-7 are not being surpassed in the near future.
According to Variety's math, Harry Potter 7.5 should have had a $27M second weekend based on its 84% Fri-Fri drop. It scored $47M instead. Great legs confirmed!
Superman00
Liverpool01
This is stupid, there was midnight opening last friday. The TDK had a 65% drop fri to fri.
Phoenician_Viking
Banned
Avengers made 29.9$ million and had 64 percent drop from last Friday.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3441&p=.htm
Holly shit. Dark Shadow´s budget is $150 million. Dat Johnny Depp tax.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3441&p=.htm
Holly shit. Dark Shadow´s budget is $150 million. Dat Johnny Depp tax.
Why? Dark Knight Rises doesn't have 3D, its unreasonable to think it will topple day to day or weekend records. WW though...
With the weekend, the Avenger's is gaining on TDK again.
Edit:
I thought that was clear by it being the title. =P I'll be more explicit next time.
Edit:
I thought that was clear by it being the title. =P I'll be more explicit next time.
Avengers is doing very well WW... I might see it tonight, but i dont expect much.
With the weekend, the Avenger's is gaining on TDK again.
That was always going to be the case. July movies have much stronger weekday numbers, but smaller Friday and Saturday increases than May movies. I am more interested in seeing how much the Avengers can increase its lead by this Sunday (compared to last Sunday). That will determine whether or not we are looking at $600M.
gimmmick
Member
What's the 4th film? Hunger games, avengers and batman...
Hobbit
Speedymanic
Banned
How should I read this graph? Cause Titanic never had a huge opening and not sure why its leading Avengers.With the weekend, the Avenger's is gaining on TDK again.
nvm, got it.
No-3D will hurt TDKR's chances overseas more than it will hurt it domestically. Since the Dark Knight 4 years ago, every film to break $1B worldwide (and almost all of the films that grossed $600M overseas) have featured 3D.
I can see TDKR getting a bit boost overseas from TDK. But I think that boost will be closer to $600-650M than $800-900M.
Had trouble reading it at first as well. It is the Avengers' lead over those three films day-to-day.
Manmademan
Member
spwolf
If this poster agrees with you, you're doing something very wrong.
sometimes those tags are scarily appropriate
Speedymanic
Banned
'cause.
Yeah, fuck Cameron. Gone With The Wind is still #1.
Escape Goat
Member
You guys make Sales Age in Gaming Forum look good.
It's not going to top Snow White in week 5.
Men in Black 3 would have to really underperform for Avengers to take more than 3 weekends. Even with great holds and the Memorial Day boost, I don't think Avengers' fourth weekend will be any more than $40M.
That will still be a better investment of $150M than Mars Needs Moms was.
Speedymanic
Banned
Yeh that damn Snow White movie just might get some attention, but its likely you're right.
And LOL MIB? How do you think that sounds when someone asks for a second/third go around for Avengers or MIB? You'll get laughed at!
ViewtifulJC
Banned
Johnny Depp gotta eat, playa
MIB3 could still flop (relative to expectations) and beat Avengers during Memorial Day weekend. It will be the Avengers' fourth weekend. Even Avatar only made $50M on its fourth weekend.
Rush Hour 3 and The Mummy 3 were both years late threequels that no one asked for and even they made $49 and $40M opening weekend. Will Smith + a Holiday weekend will push MIB3 above Rush Hour 3 regardless of how disappointing the movie is.
Expendable.
Member
MIB3 will beat it.
Phoenician_Viking
Banned
Speedymanic
Banned
Not really, gen pop audiences will want to see something new. Silly to discount MiB3.
And Snow White looks amaze, show some goddamn respect.
Phoenician_Viking
Banned
The info are from BOM.
Ninja Scooter
Member
That doesn't seem that crazy. Depp and Burton are worldwide box office gold. If I were a movie exec I'd greenlight that in a heartbeat.
Their budget numbers arent always accurate.
kame-sennin
Member
I think the point is that with rising ticket prices, most box office records are destined to be broken.
Here's the inflation adjusted top 10 highest grossing domestic releases:
1 Gone with the Wind $1,600,193,400
2 Star Wars $1,410,707,200
3 The Sound of Music $1,127,929,800
4 E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial $1,123,486,300
5 Titanic $1,073,955,900
6 The Ten Commandments $1,037,520,000
7 Jaws $1,014,384,200
8 Doctor Zhivago $983,152,800
9 The Exorcist $875,945,400
10 Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs $863,280,000
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm
An interesting discussion could be had about this list, but it's not really relevant to the discussion about weekend box office numbers. As I said above, new records are going to be constantly broken. That's always going to be the case so long as Hollywood releases dollar figures and not ticket sales.
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