I would put vegas money on it.
Wkd Box Office 054-612 -Whedon smash comic-to-film opening record, Nolan stays mad
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I would put vegas money on it.
Avengers will pass Spider-man 3 on Saturday to have the highest foreign gross ever for a comic book film. It should pass the Dark Knight by Wednesday or so to become the highest grossing comic book movie ever worldwide. All within 3 weeks of release (and less than 2 domestically)
EDIT: I thought Spider-man 3 had 570M or so overseas. Turns out it made 554M. Avengers will pass it today.
I wanted to watch Avengers tonight, it was sold out. Went to another theater, an hour earlier mind you, sold out while waiting in line. This is its third weekend here goddamn it.
Anyway, I will be skipping the TDKR box office shenanigans unfortunately, the movie opens one week later here, I have to avoid spoilers at all costs. Surely tards will post unmarked spoilers, bootleg gifs, and such other crap.
Anyway, I will be skipping the TDKR box office shenanigans unfortunately, the movie opens one week later here, I have to avoid spoilers at all costs. Surely tards will post unmarked spoilers, bootleg gifs, and such other crap.
la flama blanca
Banned
SPOILER: The movie is awesome.
Superman00
Liverpool01
If it can hit $800m international then it is very much possible to beat HP7.5
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I'd say it's a lock, both domestically and worldwide. Remember that it still has Japan coming up.
TheKaeptain
Banned
I'm going to back Joss in this fight right now and say he had no call in going post 3D. That is all Marvel knowing where the money is at.
Edit: Forgot to quote.
Just imagine if this had the same 3D split as Avatar .. Whedon boss king should just go with A2 native 3D.
Japan might not be worth much, other than Spider-man, super hero films do really poorly there. The Iron Man films made less than $10M, the Dark Knight made about $15M. Maybe the Avengers will break out, but even $40-50M would be optimistic. Compare that to HP7.5 which made close to $125M in Japan.
However, the Avengers are now slightly ahead of Pirates 4 overseas after the same time period. Pirates made $69M in its third overseas weekend for a $600M total. Avengers will match that as long as it doesn't drop more than 55% this weekend (drops for holdovers last weekend average 44%). Since Pirates hit 800M I think the Avengers will finish with at least that number.
If the Avengers makes 800M overseas, it will pass HP7.5 for third place worldwide if it passes TDK for third place domestically. Seems like a pretty good bet at this point.
Superman00
Liverpool01
Yeah, I think it's gonna over perform again like last weekend. I knew people that went to see it again. Personally, I can't watch a movie twice in a short period of time.
I went twice last weekend, and while I still liked the film the second time, the experience wasn't nearly as good. Didn't help that I went from a midnight premiere crowd to a Sunday at noon crowd. Either way, I think I will avoid seeing the film again until at least next May (on Blu-ray)
Superman00
Liverpool01
I have never seen a movie in theater more than once. Usually I only watch comedies several times.
I think what will hurt Japan the most is that 3 months from now the movie still won't be open there. It won't benefit at all from the worldwide hype.
I go for second/third viewings in theatres only for event movies and that too if different groups of my friends force me to.
Just like clock work. Nikki's numbers are now up at 27M and 95M weekend.
100M is lock like a motha fucking RPG on a helicarrier.
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
All valid points, but I think it can be pretty big there for the same reasons it's been everywhere else.
It's kind of hilarious just how severely the Spider-Man films slaughter every other SH film in Japan. SM3 made $58m.
Japan seems to often get blockbuster long after others (having to do with national holidays in July, I believe), but never seemed to harm BO receipts in Japan before. We'll see though.
Holy shit.Nikki updated her estimates, 100M now.
Second weekend drop of only 52%- virtually identical to the Dark Knight. Wow. Time for me to readjust my lifetime gross estimates.
600M domestic is looking wildly realistic at this point.
sonycowboy
Member
Nikki updated her estimates, 100M now.
She's not known for being so great at projecting the full weekend this early. To be more exact, she's projecting that Friday was ~28M.
sonycowboy
Member
That tweet was made yesterday at 9pm EST before the evening showings were even started on the west coast.
Current estimates are pointing towards 29-30M as I predicted on Thursday from the Wednesday numbers. I think that Disney will bump up the Friday gross if it is short of $30M but over $29.5M. If Avengers gets $30M on Friday they can brag about hitting $300M in 8 days. TDK took 10.
Either way, $100M should happen. $370M in 10 days. Ridiculous. Avengers will pass HPP7.5's total run by Tuesday. It will over take the Hunger Games for first place this year before its third weekend.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
So this weekend will be like last one: Avengers' numbers will just keep climbing with each estimate. I do hope it does $100 million this weekend. Just for another ridiculous record.
Superman00
Liverpool01
That article was bad for a few reasons. First, if you are going to update your projections throughout the weekend, update your totals. The Avengers is going to be close to $100M this weekend, yet the domestic cume by the end of Sunday will be $355.... interesting math. Secondly, Adding the weekend's projected domestic total to Thursday's overseas number (minus any weekend projection) to get a worldwide total of $888M makes zero sense. Either leave out the worldwide number, or project for overseas grosses as well. The movie will not be anywhere near $888M by the end of Sunday. Maybe $988M.
Superman00
Liverpool01
Usually I just read the first paragraph and scroll to the bottom, cause I can't tell which is the updated info. lol
Just think....., in some nightmarish alternate reality
is doing these amazing numbers at the box office.
Those poor bastards.
But who seriously thought that Dark Shadows was going to any real 'damage' the Avengers even if it hadn't turned into this mega hit?
Even with a sub 30 million dollar opening I can still see Dark Shadows playing well with older and female audiences over the next few weeks. And this feels like a film that will do better with International audiences anyway. Pirates 4 did massive business in Japan and this could well do the same.
Battleship
Those poor bastards.
But who seriously thought that Dark Shadows was going to any real 'damage' the Avengers even if it hadn't turned into this mega hit?
Even with a sub 30 million dollar opening I can still see Dark Shadows playing well with older and female audiences over the next few weeks. And this feels like a film that will do better with International audiences anyway. Pirates 4 did massive business in Japan and this could well do the same.
Dark Shadows will play a lot closer to the Tourist than Pirates 4. That said, the Tourist did alright overseas, and I wouldn't be surprised if Dark Shadows breaks $200M OS as well.
She also hates Disney. There's a rumor of a past between her and Eisner involving kinky shit or something that made her forever want to destroy the company even after he got the boot. Just look at her demonizing of John Carter.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
The next box office thread better have something witty in the title about how Whedon's still casting a dark shadow over all competition or something.
Box Office Mojo: Depp, Burton Open in 'Shadow' of 'Avengers'
DrForester
Kills Photobucket
The next box office thread better have something witty in the title about how Whedon's still casting a dark shadow over all competition or something.
"Your Shadows Are So Puny... And Tiny"
Well Cap does love beheading vampires.
Surely you jest? While the massive amount of cash that the Avengers will bring in (all that merchandising mang!) will mop up all of John Carters red ink the fact the film was such a huge bomb will influence decision making at Disney for the next decade.
If you thought Disney was cautious and risk averse before you ain't seen nothing yet.
The next box office thread better have something witty in the title about how Whedon's still casting a dark shadow over all competition or something.
"When your box office record is ashes..., you have my permission to die."
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
Depp goes pale in his first time sucking at the box office
COZ HE'S A VAMPIRE KEKEKEKE
I also do Wednesdays!
COZ HE'S A VAMPIRE KEKEKEKE
I also do Wednesdays!
Phoenician_Viking
Banned
A 100$ million at the second weekend is nothing short of amazing.
He´ll do well internationally.
Unobtainium.
planar1280
Banned
Next weekends recordis 69 million
Manmademan
Member
not happening, but it'll get close.
sonycowboy
Member
Avengers continues to wipe TDK from the record books...
It had 16 records prior to Avengers opening... It's down to 9 and when all is said and done it will be to 2 or maybe 3 records... (Non-Opening Monday,Tuesday, and ~maybe fastest to 450M if Avengers slows down, though that seems entirely unlikely).
Avengers already has 19 records (some are dubious as they come in clumps by starting as well as it did and 7 day gross is the same as opening week).
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/?page=byrecord&p=.htm
It had 16 records prior to Avengers opening... It's down to 9 and when all is said and done it will be to 2 or maybe 3 records... (Non-Opening Monday,Tuesday, and ~maybe fastest to 450M if Avengers slows down, though that seems entirely unlikely).
Avengers already has 19 records (some are dubious as they come in clumps by starting as well as it did and 7 day gross is the same as opening week).
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/?page=byrecord&p=.htm
sonycowboy
Member
And in a couple of years, another movie will come out and break all the records that the Avengers set. Then a couple of years later the records will be broken again. etc..
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