jack_package_200
Banned
Ah, my town. We're a bunch of deplorables here. Goodluck?
Do you hate minorities, women and lbgt?
If yes, then you are deplorable.
Ah, my town. We're a bunch of deplorables here. Goodluck?
Back to action Thursday.
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Bad enough to elect Donald fucking Trump? Give me a break.
Yep.
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Not only was it a bad optics moment, I think it opens the doorway for further bad optics moments.
Goddamn what a graveyard in here
So then why bother even discussing Clinton or this election anymore? It's wrapped up.
I mean the day-coffin she has to reside in for 24 hours after she's slipped into the flesh of a new lightwalker.Her body double isn't dead yet bro.
That wasn't til after he was elected though, which is a sort of different kettle of fish.Not sure if mentioned before...but Reagan had Alzhiemers and even used it as an excuse during Iran Contra i.e. "I can't remember". But the Right and their double standards still deify the man. lol
Back to action Thursday.
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Did rigby get banned?I'm amazed that this thread is what got jeff_rigby in the end
So... Polls dont seem to suggest that there will be a big swing due to this?
Not sure if mentioned before...but Reagan had Alzhiemers and even used it as an excuse during Iran Contra i.e. "I can't remember". But the Right and their double standards still deify the man. lol
I'm not sure what you're basing this on. The only poll on RCP to include polling data after this incident is showing quite a swing:
LA Times/USC poll 9/7-9/13
This is a week's rolling average, so expect it to keep going up over the next couple of days as most of the data is from before the fall.
The LA Times poll has consistently skewed in Trump's direction.
LA Times should be renamed as OC Times
I'm just looking at the trend, which appears to have more or less followed the two convention bumps and dips, as well as the recent Trump "surge" and subsequent Clinton "re-surge." And I'm not even saying that this has definitively caused a swing, I was just asking what the other poster was basing their statement on.
I'm just looking at the trend, which appears to have more or less followed the two convention bumps and dips, as well as the recent Trump "surge" and subsequent Clinton "re-surge." And I'm not even saying that this has definitively caused a swing, I was just asking what the other poster was basing their statement on.
Actually it was meant as a question.
note: i am NOT a hillary supporter, don't like trump much either but alas its trump, johnson or stein(shudder) for me, johnson needs to get more exposure to get his message out, he needs it.
while the campaign for hillary is not over, the optics and the scenario that caused it was really bad
1- the press was TOLD by the clinton campaign when they were leaving to stop recording- AND THEY DID! (there is a tweet by an NBC guy saying that.) i mean come on. that was real freaking NEWS and...they nicely shut off the cameras and did squat....until the cellphone video came out. if this had happened to trump, camera's would have been going full bore.
2- a guy with a cell phone got hillary getting into the van...well not her getting into the van, her getting pulled/lifted/dragged into the van cuz frankly she was not walking. that piece of metal you see falling, maybe a quarter...if a person you know MAY pass out you give them a coin since the hand relaxes as you go down and it will fall, alerting you to the noice and the situation.
if you goto you tube and watch the reversed video- for some reason the feet show up better, -1' the person with her arm had her arm tight, no way was she going to go down with that grip, then you see another person grab other arm, see the doctor grab under the shoulders, you see the SS guy walk in front- just in case then you see all the peeps move to block the view, if hillary was in control of her actions, that last bit would not have happened, she would have gotten into the van with minimal assistance, not 6 people blocking the view as 4 others get her in the van. and in said video you can SEE hillary's foot being dragged a foot or so off the curb.most likely she was out cold.
hope the woman gets better but damn the whole situation for this was bad for her.
now about the video bit of her leaving the apt- IF she was dehydrated, then sure that was entirely possible once she got an bunch of electrolytes and water into her system.
my son passed out due to being dehydrated a month ago, he was out for MAYBE 20 seconds, then after about a qt of water, a 20oz gatorade, a bag of chips and some vanilla ice cream (we were at hersey park in Penn) 40 minutes post passing out, he was fine (did have a bump on the head as he slid down several steps) and running around like the idiot he is (15yrs old)-park was fun, just not as fun as Cedar Point was the week before..
I'm not sure what you're basing this on. The only poll on RCP to include polling data after this incident is showing quite a swing:
LA Times/USC poll 9/7-9/13
This is a week's rolling average, so expect it to keep going up over the next couple of days as most of the data is from before the fall.
But some other recent polls that include interviewing conducted over the weekend arent as bad for Clinton. The Ipsos-Reuters tracking poll, based on interviews through Monday, shows the race having moved to and fro but with no clear trend toward either candidate over the past week. Gallups tracking poll of candidate favorability ratings not used in our model because it doesnt contain a head-to-head result, but useful for context shows Trumps favorability rating having improved slightly over the past week but Clintons steady instead of declining. The Google Consumer Surveys national tracking poll showed little change, and YouGovs national poll the most recent of the bunch, having been conducted Saturday through Tuesday had both Clinton and Trump gaining ground at the expense of third-party candidates.
note: i am NOT a hillary supporter, don't like trump much either but alas its trump, johnson or stein(shudder) for me, johnson needs to get more exposure to get his message out, he needs it.
while the campaign for hillary is not over, the optics and the scenario that caused it was really bad
1- the press was TOLD by the clinton campaign when they were leaving to stop recording- AND THEY DID! (there is a tweet by an NBC guy saying that.) i mean come on. that was real freaking NEWS and...they nicely shut off the cameras and did squat....until the cellphone video came out. if this had happened to trump, camera's would have been going full bore.
2- a guy with a cell phone got hillary getting into the van...well not her getting into the van, her getting pulled/lifted/dragged into the van cuz frankly she was not walking. that piece of metal you see falling, maybe a quarter...if a person you know MAY pass out you give them a coin since the hand relaxes as you go down and it will fall, alerting you to the noice and the situation.
if you goto you tube and watch the reversed video- for some reason the feet show up better, -1' the person with her arm had her arm tight, no way was she going to go down with that grip, then you see another person grab other arm, see the doctor grab under the shoulders, you see the SS guy walk in front- just in case then you see all the peeps move to block the view, if hillary was in control of her actions, that last bit would not have happened, she would have gotten into the van with minimal assistance, not 6 people blocking the view as 4 others get her in the van. and in said video you can SEE hillary's foot being dragged a foot or so off the curb.most likely she was out cold.
hope the woman gets better but damn the whole situation for this was bad for her.
now about the video bit of her leaving the apt- IF she was dehydrated, then sure that was entirely possible once she got an bunch of electrolytes and water into her system.
my son passed out due to being dehydrated a month ago, he was out for MAYBE 20 seconds, then after about a qt of water, a 20oz gatorade, a bag of chips and some vanilla ice cream (we were at hersey park in Penn) 40 minutes post passing out, he was fine (did have a bump on the head as he slid down several steps) and running around like the idiot he is (15yrs old)-park was fun, just not as fun as Cedar Point was the week before..
PoliGAF can argue until their faces turn red, but Hillary's national poll numbers this month have been terrible, even before she caught pneumonia and the 'box of deplorables' comment: many have her only 1-3% over Trump and some losing to him. It's happening in the state polls as well.Down to 64% at FiveThirtyEight.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=mobilebar&v=1
Terrifying. If Trump wins, I throw in the towel and accept a miserable existence for the rest of my life.
What's the point in being optimistic in her winning? All that promotes is complacency, in my book.
It was always going to be close. The country is the most partisan it has ever been, and that rift gets worse and worse each cycle. There are no true landslide elections anymore (not in the traditional sense anyway). People expecting her to win with 400 EVs are deluding themselves.PoliGAF can argue until their faces turn red, but Hillary's national poll numbers this month have been terrible, even before she caught pneumonia and the 'box of deplorables' comment: many have her only 1-3% over Trump and some losing to him. It's happening in the state polls as well.
No one should be diablosing but don't completely disregard what polls are saying. She's still very likely to win but it's frustrating how close it is currently.
What's the point in being optimistic in her winning? All that promotes is complacency, in my book.
Complacency/status quo or a gigantic step backwards. And not just 4-8 years. The Supreme Court impacts generations.
Is it close regarding the electoral votes? No, Hillary still has the same advantage she has had for months now (and arguably any Democratic candidate has by default). A Trump victory would be squeaking past 269. Are the poll numbers close? At the national level most definitely, but state polling matters more, and she has shown some weakness there.But...it's not that close currently really. Most of the electorate polling sites still show Clinton winning by nearly 100 electorate votes. It seems the last few weeks she's fallen, but that's still a pretty solid lead. It could tighten more, but once Hillary gets back on the campaign, and now that we have the Obamas campaigning for her, I don't think we'll see a major Trump surge with 50-odd days to election. You never know, of course, but unless something goes horribly wrong or something I don't know if we'll see it getting that much closer.
Trump may be coming to Hillary's rescue in the polls. He clearly jabbed at Hillary's health issues (and the "overheating" thing) by saying that she probably couldn't withstand how hot the room is.
I remarked how incredibly odd it was how he didn't make a single crass remark about it. I guess he was just going to wait 3 days, lol
So I'm not the only one who thought that was odd. Good to know.did you just compare your 15 year old to a 68 year old?
Is it close regarding the electoral votes? No, Hillary still has the same advantage she has had for months now (and arguably any Democratic candidate has by default). A Trump victory would be squeaking past 269. Are the poll numbers close? At the national level most definitely, but state polling matters more, and she has shown some weakness there.
People like to move the goal posts depending on the situation between these two distinctions. The better Trump polls the higher likelihood he pulls off a Bush '00 victory: that's what people should have a level of concern about.