Code:
NES 1985 |
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| GB (sub-NES quality) 1989
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SNES 1991 |
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N64 1996 |
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| GBC (NES+ quality) 1998
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GCN 2001 | GBA (SNES+ quality) 2001
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| NDS (N64+ quality) 2004
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REV 2006 |
| GBE (GCN+/- quality) 2007?
| or GBE (GCN+/- quality) 2008?
Based on the trend since the GBC, it makes sense that GBE would come out in 2007. However, the handheld successors are coming faster than the console successors, so if Nintendo wants to avoid having the same quality on a handheld as on a console (based on past experience that is the case), I'd say 2008 makes more sense from a purely timeline-based analysis. With NDS doing pretty good compared to its competition (i.e. holding the frontline until the next GameBoy can come out), 2008 shouldn't be a detriment to Nintendo's handheld format.
The major question at that point is "Can the GBA remain a viable platform until 2008?" I don't think so, so that could move up the release of the GBE. New software announcements from Nintendo for the GBA could go a ways to extending its lifetime, though. Also, NDS backwards compatibility is a big help for publishers to continue supporting GBA games.
As to what I expect from a GBE ...
1. Obviously from the chart, I'm expecting around GCN power for it.
2. Won't play GCN disks.
3. Will use very large (in storage, not size) cartridges.
4. Download GBC/GB games through Nintendo WFC.
5. Backwards compatible to GBA cartridges-only.
6. $100 at launch (maybe a $150 version with large SD card included).
7. Online-enabled through Nintendo WFC.
8. Still geared towards 2-D graphics, though more 3-D than the NDS.
9. Won't be designed for movies or music.
I don't know whether it'll be backwards-compatible with NDS games or not, but I doubt it. The NDS might not getting a successor until the timeframe that GBC came out for GB (not counting re-designs). Two screens might be included, though, as the DS has shown some really good uses of two screens (persistent maps, expanded play screen), in my opinion. However unless it does have backwards-compatibility with the NDS, it shouldn't have a touch-screen.