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In 10 years, AI will be able to ... ?

mango drank

mango drank

Member
I'm trying to extrapolate from what it can do today, which is already amazing compared to what it could do 5 years ago, and come up with things it'd be able to do a decade from now:
  • Write and generate audio and video for brand new episodes for all your favorite old TV shows. They'll be as good as all the existing episodes, practically indistinguishable from human-created eps. And AI will probably be able to generate infinitely many of them. Seinfeld, Frasier, classic Simpsons, etc. This Episode Does Not Exist.
  • Generate new songs based on an existing artist’s style, with all the vocals and backing. (There's already something similar out there, but iirc it's rough right now.)
  • Write entire new books in the style of your favorite authors, even dead ones.
  • Create a persistent realistic digital human on a screen, that acts and talks like a deceased family member or friend, if you’ve got enough data to train it on. It'll be very natural and fluid, and will seem like actual video of a human. Or a 3D person in VR. Again, this idea is already in the works, but janky right now.
  • Let people cheat on their IRL SOs with persistent and believably human VR side hoes. I guess if this reduces IRL cheating, it's not so bad. It'd be the movie Her x100.
What else?
 
ArtemisClydeFrog

ArtemisClydeFrog

Banned
mango drank said:
I'm trying to extrapolate from what it can do today, which is already amazing compared to what it could do 5 years ago, and come up with things it'd be able to do a decade from now:
  • Write and generate audio and video for brand new episodes for all your favorite old TV shows. They'll be as good as all the existing episodes, practically indistinguishable from human-created eps. And AI will probably be able to generate infinitely many of them. Seinfeld, Frasier, classic Simpsons, etc.
Click to expand...

That's been happening for a while bro.


Animated GIF

robot explaining GIF by South Park
 
T

Taxexemption

Member
I think the better question is if you will be one of the lucky few to still be employed in ten years, or will you be in a homeless shelter almost completely unable to participate in the new paradigm except to the extent that legislation mandates you have access to some new technology (Obama-phone). It will be a living nightmare for hundreds of millions, maybe even billions of people. It might start the final world war, or end up with technology being outlawed and everything being in the hands of a holy order whose mission is to kill anyone capable of technological advancement, a neo-luddite inquisition.


Yeah it all sounds like crazy "Alex Jones" talk now, but what about when humans aren't needed because machines can do 99% of jobs with only minimal input from a couple of engineers and high level programmers? I'm holding onto my job for dear life, saving up every penny I can, and frankly I still won't be surprised if I end up in a homeless shelter and spend all day standing outside of corporate offices with a sign that reads,

"10 years accounting experience and <Insert various credentials here> will do accounting for food."
 
S

ScythD

Member
Taxexemption said:
I think the better question is if you will be one of the lucky few to still be employed in ten years, or will you be in a homeless shelter almost completely unable to participate in the new paradigm except to the extent that legislation mandates you have access to some new technology (Obama-phone). It will be a living nightmare for hundreds of millions, maybe even billions of people. It might start the final world war, or end up with technology being outlawed and everything being in the hands of a holy order whose mission is to kill anyone capable of technological advancement, a neo-luddite inquisition.


Yeah it all sounds like crazy "Alex Jones" talk now, but what about when humans aren't needed because machines can do 99% of jobs with only minimal input from a couple of engineers and high level programmers? I'm holding onto my job for dear life, saving up every penny I can, and frankly I still won't be surprised if I end up in a homeless shelter and spend all day standing outside of corporate offices with a sign that reads,

"10 years accounting experience and <Insert various credentials here> will do accounting for food."
Click to expand...
Yeah, with how much accounting and tax work is already being automated, I'm not sure I want my kids to follow in my footsteps.
 
John Day

John Day

Member
In 10 years i’ll be selling cigarettes, tobacco products and hookas as AI will deem it illegal, so on the streets they’ll be worth something.
 
BlueAlpaca

BlueAlpaca

Member
mango drank said:
I'm trying to extrapolate from what it can do today, which is already amazing compared to what it could do 5 years ago, and come up with things it'd be able to do a decade from now:
  • Write and generate audio and video for brand new episodes for all your favorite old TV shows. They'll be as good as all the existing episodes, practically indistinguishable from human-created eps. And AI will probably be able to generate infinitely many of them. Seinfeld, Frasier, classic Simpsons, etc. This Episode Does Not Exist.
  • Generate new songs based on an existing artist’s style, with all the vocals and backing. (There's already something similar out there, but iirc it's rough right now.)
  • Write entire new books in the style of your favorite authors, even dead ones.
  • Create a persistent realistic digital human on a screen, that acts and talks like a deceased family member or friend, if you’ve got enough data to train it on. It'll be very natural and fluid, and will seem like actual video of a human. Or a 3D person in VR. Again, this idea is already in the works, but janky right now.
  • Let people cheat on their IRL SOs with persistent and believably human VR side hoes. I guess if this reduces IRL cheating, it's not so bad. It'd be the movie Her x100.
What else?
Click to expand...

This sounds like science fiction.

AI generating infinite art as good as humans? As good as Shakespeare and Tolstoy and Mozart? Maybe one day but not ten years or twenty or even thirty, and I still wouldn't bet on it. I refuse to believe it. I'll be shocked and astonished if it happens in my lifetime.
 
Last edited:
Arkam

Arkam

Member
ricardo_sousa11 said:
Impossible to predict.
Click to expand...
I want to believe this was a very witty way of saying “that’s not what AI does... yet” as most AI is just picking up on patterns and completing “gaps” with logical prediction.

To the OP, no AI won’t be able to create (consistent) quality content in 10 years. It will be able to create content bits though. Would hazard a guess that we are closer to 25 years away from AI that can make anything more than variations on existing data.
 
FreedomOfSpeech

FreedomOfSpeech

Banned
It's all wishful thinking.

Maybe an AI can fool you with a Seinfeld ep. But I'd rather decide for myself whether something is up to par.
 
M1chl

M1chl

Currently Gif and Meme Champion
Hey OP have you heard about GPT-3? Because many things listed is already possible.
 
ricardo_sousa11

ricardo_sousa11

Member
Arkam said:
I want to believe this was a very witty way of saying “that’s not what AI does... yet” as most AI is just picking up on patterns and completing “gaps” with logical prediction.

To the OP, no AI won’t be able to create (consistent) quality content in 10 years. It will be able to create content bits though. Would hazard a guess that we are closer to 25 years away from AI that can make anything more than variations on existing data.
Click to expand...

AI growth is exponential, its literally impossible to predict what it will do in 10 years, but i'd say its literally nothing we can imagine, it will do everything we think it will, even more.
 
Airola

Airola

Member
Well technically a USB thumbdrive can hold whatever music and movie you can imagine. It's all about what the order of 0s and 1s is. So the most wonderful and the most disgusting and completely realistic movie can be put there by just letting the computer switch 0s and 1s around enough time. No need for anyone to copy anything that already exists and no need to personally create anything new.

That's the absolute biggest potential, but someone needs first to code a program that somehow is capable to see when that set of 0s and 1s is extremely coherent and stop the mixing of binaries when the coherency is achieved, and that probably is something that will never be possible.
 
mango drank

mango drank

Member
BlueAlpaca said:
This sounds like science fiction.

AI generating infinite art as good as humans? As good as Shakespeare and Tolstoy and Mozart? Maybe one day but not ten years or twenty or even thirty, and I still wouldn't bet on it. I refuse to believe it. I'll be shocked and astonished if it happens in my lifetime.
Click to expand...
You never know. The saying goes, we tend to overestimate what can be accomplished in one year, and underestimate what can be accomplished in 10 years. AI has made huge leaps these past 5 years. Will the next 10 bring even more exponential improvement, or will it level off? 10 years is an eternity in tech, and in the near term I'm willing to bet there's a lot of runway left in terms of both hardware improvements (raw speed) and software.

M1chl said:
Hey OP have you heard about GPT-3? Because many things listed is already possible.
Click to expand...
Yeah, but from what I've heard, GPT-3 is limited because it doesn't really understand the overall story / structure of the content it's generating. It's just using prediction to guess at what content comes next. If you use GPT to write a long story, you'll notice the plot points drift around a lot, and the AI tends to lose important plot threads and characters randomly. Like it's writing dream logic. That could improve in a big way in the next decade.

Airola said:
So the most wonderful and the most disgusting and completely realistic movie can be put there by just letting the computer switch 0s and 1s around enough time. No need for anyone to copy anything that already exists and no need to personally create anything new.
Click to expand...
The Infinite Monkey Theorem. But it would take forever to generate the ocean of raw gibberish data, that you'd have to go fishing in. Not practical for traditional computers, but I wonder if quantum computers would be better at that--both generating the junk data and judging it. Damn, that's interesting.
 
Skyfox

Skyfox

Member
Make full tv shows? No way but we already have amazing deepfake and vr porn. Gear vr has no wires and the vr videos are not computer generated, they're real.

There are games with chatbot type avatars. Id imagine your prediction here is doable already. Cortana type idea.

Maybe better AI could help police find criminals on social media faster.

AI is already manipulating the stock market (not one individual AI, but the overlapping effect of HFT scripts).

Behavioural prediction (most likely related to advertising).

Cancer diagnosis?

Id appreciate an autoplay mode on consoles for when you get stuck. Just disable the achievements.
 
nkarafo

nkarafo

Member
mango drank said:
Generate new songs based on an existing artist’s style, with all the vocals and backing. (There's already something similar out there, but iirc it's rough right now.)
Click to expand...
I mean, mainstream music is so shit and generic for a while now that i wouldn't be surprised if it's already randomly generated by some AI.
 
Cyberpunkd

Cyberpunkd

Member
mango drank said:
I'm trying to extrapolate from what it can do today, which is already amazing compared to what it could do 5 years ago, and come up with things it'd be able to do a decade from now:
  • Write and generate audio and video for brand new episodes for all your favorite old TV shows. They'll be as good as all the existing episodes, practically indistinguishable from human-created eps. And AI will probably be able to generate infinitely many of them. Seinfeld, Frasier, classic Simpsons, etc. This Episode Does Not Exist.
Click to expand...
Why wait 10 years for something you have right now? http://gardnerworld.com/tom_clancy_plot_generator.htm
 
Reality Czar

Reality Czar

Banned
In 10 years AI will be able to ban books before they are even written. We will simply lock out the writer from being able to publish anything.

It seems pretty naïve to think AI will be used for content creation when it's primary application will be content policing.
 
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