Wii comparisons: At 42 weeks, Wii is where GCN was at 171.4 weeks (December 21, 2004), where GBA was at 36.9 weeks (December 1, 2001), where DS was at 49.8 weeks (November 11, 2005), where PS2 was at 54.6 weeks (March 14, 2001), and where PSP was at 80.5 weeks (June 21, 2006).
PS3 comparisons: At 45 weeks, PS3 is where PS2 was at 5.1 weeks (April 2, 2000), where PSP was at 17.2 weeks (April 4, 2005), where GCN was at 20.3 weeks (January 29, 2002), and where Wii was at 6.3 weeks (January 9, 2007).
DS vs PSP: Weekly shares of 45.6 / 54.4, bringing the total shares to 76.3 / 23.7. This reversal in PSP's favor brings the total shares back to where they were the week of June 16. At this week's rates, PSP catches up to DS in 860.7 weeks (March 16, 2024) at ~88.2 million apiece. If DS stopped selling and PSP continued at this rate, it would catch up in 139.7 weeks (May 21, 2010).
PS3 vs Wii: Weekly shares of 33.3 / 66.7, PS3's best share since the week of March 5 during Gundabump. This brings the total shares to 24.3 / 75.7. If Wii stopped selling and PS3 continued at this week's rate, it would catch up in 184.7 weeks (April 1, 2011).
PSP vs Wii: Of course, at this week's rates Wii never catches up to PSP. Or as the calculations say, it catches up in -35.3 weeks (January 13, 2007).
PS2 vs DS: At this week's rates, DS catches up to PS2 in 20.6 weeks (February 6, 2008) at ~21.0 million apiece.
Thanks to recent low weeks,
DS 2007 has fallen behind DS 2006 through week 37.
At week 37,
Nintendo reaches 8 million YTD. Last year it took until week 49.
So the thing of most interest to me right now is the Wii dip, and whether this means Wii might not pass GCN's LTD within one year as most of us had been assuming it would. It's certainly becoming more difficult, but I think is still possible. I'm going to go with Famitsu numbers here since as I've said before it seems to match better with Nintendo's shipment numbers. To pretend it's for MC's couple-hundred-thousand-higher total, though, add 20K to each week.
Wii needs another ~520K in 11 remaining Famitsu weeks, averaging ~47K a week. I'll assume this low period will continue for a while, so alternately it could be achieved by something like...
2007-09-10: 30K
2007-09-17: 30K
2007-09-24: 30K
2007-10-01: 30K
2007-10-08: 30K
2007-10-15: 30K
2007-10-22: 30K
2007-10-29: 100K
2007-11-05: 80K
2007-11-12: 60K
2007-11-19: 80K
In short, as long as Super Mario Galaxy bumps things back up and they don't heavily dip back down before SSBB, it can pretty much make up for a few slow months.
brokenwatch said:
Has the 360 ever gone under 1000?
According to MC the week of 2006-09-11 it hit 928. Famitsu has it below 1K that week and the one before.
tanod said:
So how long has it been since DS was under 100k?
One week.
tanod said:
Can I get the non-smart ass answer, plz?
Okay, okay. Before this recent dip, the last time was the week of March 26, 2007.
Izzy said:
Wii numbers are disappointingly low considering PSP used to sell in the 30-40k bracket - and usually without games.
In its first year, PSP was below 30K 24 times. More specifically, it was lower than this week's Wii sales 18 times.