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Media Create Sales: Week 7, 2012 (Feb 13 - Feb 19)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
Let's break this down.
Code:
LTD Target Diff Rate Weeks
3DS 5.026.622 6.000.000 973.378 ~80.000 12
PSV 578.812 700.000 121.188 ~10.000 12It's hard to predict what the sales rate will be. I just lined up the numbers.
It's still a far cry from the original's LTD (around 1.5M). It may get to half of that when it is all sad and done.
BassForever
Member
I can't see either Vita title making an impact, and on the flip side it'll be almost impossible to see what impact if any Harvest Moon will have because Love Plus already gave the 3DS a massive bump
JustAnotherOtaku
Member
I dunno, given how steady it's been selling up to this point, I could see it still trucking along years down the line.
Things are going how I expected honestly.
frankie_baby
Member
The difference is the 3ds actually has games coming out which will keep it selling, vita doesn't
BishopLamont
Banned
High price, no games.
Nintendogs sold 2M eventually. This game could top 1M in the end.
Here's the amazing thing: The Vita is BARELY closer to passing the 360 than the 3DS is to passing the Wii's LTD if this week repeats itself continuously.
Currently the difference between the Wii's sales week and the 3DS's is 86,793 in favor of the 3DS. it would take ~142 weeks for the 3DS to catch up to the Wii at the current rate.
For the Vita, the difference this week with the 360's sales is 11,326. At the current rate it would take the Vita ~137 weeks to pass the 360.
Obviously I think in reality the Vita is going to do it much faster simply because it's a smaller number so even if the Vita picks up a mini boost somewhere it will likely substantially shorten the time. Meanwhile the 3DS is currently having (apparently) a NLP bump. Still puts in perspective the Vita's CURRENT situation.
It's obvious that Sony just doesn't have any system sellers in Japan. Their flagship launch title was Uncharted so it's not surprising it's doing as bad as it is. Gravity Daze is the only Vita title I feel bad for. Seems like Sony robbed it of a decent audience by mishandling Vita in Japan.
Damn, I concur. It is indeed a
demand estimation
OrangeGrayBlue
Member
That definitely won't happen. No way the 3DS is selling 2 million in the time that vita sells 120,000.
The FF III remake practically sold out in its second week.
BassForever
Member
It's already been stated that Theatrhythm has basically sold though it's initial shipment and is currently sold out everywhere.
bigtroyjon
Member
PSP+PSV(YTD)=312K
PSP(2011YTD)=338K
Looking ahead to next week, PSP did 49K last year.
PSP(2011YTD)=338K
Looking ahead to next week, PSP did 49K last year.
Seriously?
I hope they already have it in the works and it'll be ready for the holidays.
Final Fantasy Tactics A3D, I can see it now.
Ugh, that would be a terrible name ... but this is Square we're talking about ...
BishopLamont
Banned
But the 3DS will also get regular big bumps from games and holidays. Its pretty even.
BishopLamont
Banned
Its going to be a big gap real quick. PSP+Vita software this year doesn't compare to PSP software in 2011.
Oops double post, suppose to edit.
AranhaHunter
Banned
There is nothing in the horizon to change Vita's misfortunes in Japan either, I don't see any announced game that will make people want to buy the device over there.
BassForever
Member
I just noticed that Suikoden is still doing well, hopefully the game continues to sell and we get a US/PAL release even if it's just digital.
Well maybe that's just your opinion mang.. Tthe Vita launch lineup is better than the entire 3DS library right now.
Sorry dark10x, nothing against you personally but your post just came to mind when I read this
frankie_baby
Member
Are you so sure? Vita is dropping every week and the 3ds has at least 2 games coming in the next 5 weeks that should bump hardware
Gianni Merryman
Member
When do Animal crossing and Tomodatchi collection release on 3DS again?
If they're scheduled in Q1 it's quite an easy bet methinks.
Fire Emblem comes out a bit after EasterSo will 3DS benefit from Easter this time around?
frankie_baby
Member
So will 3DS benefit from Easter this time around?
It's goldenweek that bumps in japan (end of April) and nintendo always gets good bumps from it, see no reason the 3ds won't
OrangeGrayBlue
Member
For this to happen, and assuming that the Vita averages 10k a week onward, the 3DS will have to sell about 150k a week to get there first.
hardcastlemccormick
Banned
Why does this happen every time someone says "no games?" Goodness gracious.
The games for the Vita are not system sellers. They don't move consoles in Japan. Combine that with a high sticker price and you have a recipe for sub-15k sales.
We're not talking about the subjective quality of the launch lineup. This is a SalesAge thread.
frankie_baby
Member
Assuming vita will average 10k a week is ambitious at the moment
OrangeGrayBlue
Member
If anyone could be bothered, I'd be interested in seeing a graph that charts the LTD sales of the DS, 3DS, PSP, and Vita.
Expecting the 3DS to average 150k is even more ambitious no matter how you look at it. If we turn the Vita average all the way down to 8k/week, the 3DS still has to maintain sales of 120k/week to pull it off. I wouldn't put it in the realm of impossibility, but it is very, very unlikely in my mind.
Frankie_Baby said:
Expecting the 3DS to average 150k is even more ambitious no matter how you look at it. If we turn the Vita average all the way down to 8k/week, the 3DS still has to maintain sales of 120k/week to pull it off. I wouldn't put it in the realm of impossibility, but it is very, very unlikely in my mind.
Sorry for derailing, was uncalled for I know.
Does the PSV have system-sellers for NA and Europe?
I don't see anything in the line-up that would move hardware.
If I remember right, 999 did around 40K LTD.
Well the lack of buzz for release suggests it doesnt.
hardcastlemccormick
Banned
That's a good question. Personally, I see some things that will push it forward collectively (Uncharted, Wipeout, Katamari, LBP), but nothing alone. We've never had an Uncharted game on anything but the PS3, so maybe fans of that series would buy a system for the next iteration. Maybe not.
But as far as Japan is concerned, they're pretty indifferent about everything offered. We can point out that the sales for each Vita game are high enough to indicate the people who already bought a Vita are interested in the software, but nothing to push people to get past the new hardware barrier.
Uncharted is the only thing I would consider a system seller for NA and EU but the fact that it's a non-ND Uncharted also takes away from that.
John Dunbar
correct about everything
Does anyone have the Japanese release schedule for 3DS and Vita? Wikipedia seems to have serious holes in its list.