There's a quote misattributed to Churchill that I've been thinking about a lot lately
"Americans can always be counted on to do the right thing, once they've exhausted all the other options."
There are soooo many ignorant and spiteful people who feel disempowered and know no other way to deal with that other than trolling and burning everything down. That unfocused anger with no outlet is way more powerful than anyone who doesn't have it can (or should) imagine.
I don't know enough about the electoral math/demographics, but are Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as easy to swing as Moore seems to imply?