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[Aquamarine]

When Chartzzzz inevitably sources this post, please quote me as "Aquamarine" not "from NeoGAF" like you usually do.

Also, please stop complaining about me and Creamsugar. We do this for obfuscation purposes. Thank you. <3


PS4 - 190K

I was absolutely, positively dead-on this month with my PS4 prediction.


My predictions:

Here are my tentative predictions...subject to change dramatically depending on further retail indications.

[PS4] 190K
[XB1] 149K
[3DS] 104K
[WIU] 70K
[360] 51K
[PS3] 29K

I'm proud of this fact.



GAF, you already know about the 30K differential. Don't make me confirm it.

 

[DjRalford]

Where the numbers at,

 

[maabus1999]

software was disappointing.

190 PS4 and 160 X1 is also disappointing. Next month of course will have a boost, so we'll have to see how Oct looks.

 

[Jimmyfenix]

Numbers pls

 

[wigwag85]

Lol at applying outliers when the console hasn't even been out a year yet. Come back in year 2 and 3. These doom and gloom forecasts based on short term data is getting boring to see every NPD.

One point out of nine that is more than five times different than almost all the rest is definitely an outlier.

 

[Thunder Monkey]

I wouldn't necessarily attribute that solely on the leader, but sales aren't great all around when we draw back from how things used to sell in tyr past.

It's true across the board.

Yes.

Last gen the 3rd place home console didn't even sniff sales as low as 40,000 units until its seventh year on the market. This gen the 3rd placer saw that level of sales in its first year.

 

[allan-bh]

Xbox One- ~160k

 

[Nightengale]

190 and 160 huh?

 

[JaggedSac]

So pretty much what we had heard give or take 5 or 10k.

 

[Vanillalite]

Look no NCAA means shitty summer sales compared to the past decade. That sold decently well every year.

I am worried about overall console sales though.

 

[theprodigy]

PS4=190k
XB1=160k

MOAR

 

[Kagari]

Stop begging for numbers.

 

[Jimmyfenix]

Pachter told me ps4 sales decreased.

 

[Relaxed Muscle]

Where are the numbers Jason!

PS4 is definetly not very good either.

 

[Cow Goes Moo]

was expecting 170k-190k tbh

looking subpar ~ okay

 

[Sakura]

When Chartzzzz inevitably sources this post, please quote me as "Aquamarine" not "from NeoGAF" like you usually do.

Also, please stop complaining about me and Creamsugar. We do this for obfuscation purposes. Thank you. <3


PS4 - 190K

I was absolutely, positively dead-on this month with my PS4 prediction.


My predictions:



I'm proud of this fact.



GAF, you already know about the 30K differential. Don't make me confirm it.

So only 350 between both the XB1 and PS4? Pretty disappointing for new consoles, in a market like the USA in my opinion.

What about Wii U numbers, how were your predictions on that?

 

[Fallout-with-swords]

Any consoles that weren't fads other than the PS4, XB1 and WiiU?

Not denying the low monthly sales of the PS4, just saying the PS2 was a lot of people's first DVD player. No idea if that was only a tiny fraction of PS2 sales but, anecdotally, it felt like a lot.

 

[wigwag85]

Good God no!

Not in my case at least.

To be selling that many units a month they'd have tapped into a heretofore unseen gaming market. Making dedicated gaming systems, not only huge, but the defacto standard for a gaming style I happen to love.

I'd be singing praises.

Jesus, the types of games we'd be getting instead of the alternating FPS/GTA games we're getting now. It'd be heaven.

 

[maxiell]

GAF, you already know about the 30K differential. Don't make me confirm it.

Probably a lot of people opted for the white PS4.

No way Wii U hit 70k though right.

 

[Aquamarine]

So only 340 between both the XB1 and PS4? Pretty disappointing for new consoles, in a market like the USA in my opinion.

What about Wii U numbers, how were your predictions on that?

I over-predicted :-(

 

[allan-bh]

Stop begging for numbers.

We were anxious, sorry.

 

[Iacobellis]

Good point. TBH, Madden didn't become completely tied to Xbox until about 2009.

Madden on the 360/PS3 was in a funk for the first half of the gen which kept the PS2 version of Madden relevant for a longer amount of time than originally expected.

I so remember this. Madden was literally 30FPS, or even lower, for the first two or three seasons on 360 and PS3. I remember playing '06 soon after the 360 came out and wishing I had still my PS2 copy.

 

[And_Gignac]

Lmao Nintendo would have killed for n64 sales to be as good as ps4 sales.

The N64 was the market leader in the US during its first year or so. I can't find the chart, but I remember it having bigger monthly averages than the ps4 post launch has had.

 

[Usobuko]

Last month was this.

PS4 - 187K
XBO - 131K

I over-predicted :-(

 

[catmario]

I over-predicted :-(

Oh......................................................... Sad. ;(

 

[Mory Dunz]

I over-predicted :-(

Uh oh.

 

[idlewild_]

I'm hoping they're up about 72% gen/gen, purely for my predictions, lol.
To nearest 5K:
70% ~ 255K
71% ~ 295K
72% ~ 335K

70% on the dot would be bad, anything about 72% or higher is at or above my expectations.

I doubt he'd say 75% as "over 70%, so we're probably at 74% up at max.

PS4=190k
XB1=160k

MOAR

So around 72.4% then.

 

[FinalStageBoss]

When Chartzzzz inevitably sources this post, please quote me as "Aquamarine" not "from NeoGAF" like you usually do.

Also, please stop complaining about me and Creamsugar. We do this for obfuscation purposes. Thank you. <3


PS4 - 190K

I was absolutely, positively dead-on this month with my PS4 prediction.


My predictions:



I'm proud of this fact.



GAF, you already know about the 30K differential. Don't make me confirm it.

Thx

 

[theprodigy]

I over-predicted :-(

Wii U<70k confirmed

(god damn it I knew it would drop, why didn't I move it down more)

 

[Sakura]

I over-predicted :-(

Oh well, not surprising I guess. No major releases since MK8 right?

 

[JaggedSac]

I over-predicted :-(

Oh my.

 

[allan-bh]

I bet on 65k for Wii U.

Maybe I'm in the game.

 

[Busaiku]

Pachter told me ps4 sales decreased.

Wasn't August a 5 week month?
If so, it did.

 

[Ty4on]

I mean, the numbers are so sad....that are funny.

Vita is a gigantic failure that everyone predicted.

It's still the only handheld not stuck in the 90s.

And Cerny's first piece of HW


Wheee 175k average so I was both right and wrong in saying it was closer to 150k than 200k. (aqua pls )

 

[ethomaz]

Wii U < 70k? That is ok I guess.

 

[Team Top Hat]

I over-predicted :-(

Wii U less than 70k. So sad.

But this comes from the company who punished me for buying multiples of all their games.

 

[maxiell]

Nice bump for Xbox. They have to be pleased with how the changes in strategy have worked in the marketplace. They've done a great job offering the console at a price that undercuts the PS4 here in the U.S., too.

 

[allan-bh]

I guess Madden bundle helped Xbox One a little.

 

[Lexxism]

I'm 6k and 3k off for XB1 and PS4. Sweet. That's a good start for me

 

[eddfromtheriver]

Next month is where it's truly going to be at. Destiny is going to sell a shit load of PS4s.

*awaits with bated breath*

 

[Ty4on]

Stop begging for numbers.

Why haven't I got media markt gifs available?

Wasn't August a 5 week month?
If so, it did.

God, no they weren't that bad!

September is a five week month. Knowing that and that four months need to be five weeks you now know the others (March, June and December)

 

[ascii42]

Last month was this.

PS4 - 187K
XBO - 131K

So the Madden bundle was good for about a ~30k boost. About what I was expected.

 

[shinra-bansho]

Wii U < 70k? That is ok I guess.

Depends on how much less than 70K.

My predictions for the month are pretty screwed though.

 

[StoopKid]

The N64 was the market leader in the US during its first year or so. I can't find the chart, but I remember it having bigger monthly averages than the ps4 post launch has had.

I wanna see the receipts.

 

[wigwag85]

Wii U less than 70k. So sad.

But this comes from the company who punished me for buying multiples of all their games.

They punished you for gaming the coin system.

 

[SparkTR]

After the wii fad yes.

I remember Opiate arguing that the industry growth provided by the Wii was around the same proportion as the industry growth provided by other leading consoles the prior generations (PS2, PS1, SNES etc), which means that this is the first generation where that growth failed to transfer over. Or something like that. Either way I found it interesting.

 

[Nirolak]

Well it's a bit down from 2007:

PlayStation 3 130.6K
Xbox 360 276.7K

Next month is Destiny though it's also the hard comp to Halo 3:

PlayStation 3 119.4K
Xbox 360 527.8K

 

[vpance]

Fastest selling non-wii for now but the streams will cross with PS2 in the first half of next year at the latest. If you look at it's performance since January it's simply been doing good numbers, but nothing amazing: certainly nothing that inspires confidence in the console market as a whole.

Whether or not it can match or beat the PS2 in HW sales isn't really a good barometer of industry health I think, especially when PS2 was sold at a loss for quite a while. Revenue should be a better indication, and with online subs and DD a reality now it's totally different than before. More dollars will be milked out of the average consumer. Not worried at all at the moment.

 

[theprodigy]

I'm 6k and 3k off for XB1 and PS4. Sweet. That's a good start for me

yeah well your Wii U=77k prediction means I'm ahead of you on 3 the next-gen consoles