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Official August 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

C

CassSept

Member
Ahh, my first prediction thread
[PS2] 300k
[PSP] 200k
[PS3] 100k
[360] 190k
[GBA 90k
[NGC] 5k
[NDS] 400k
[WII] 450k
 
T

TwinsDad

Member
[Wii] 345,000
[DS] 375,000
[PS2] 200,000
[PSP] 200,000
[360] 229,000
[PS3] 120,000
[GBA] 85,000

Edit: i forgot about the 360 price drop so I upped the numbers.
 
D

donny2112

Member
[NDS] 440K
[WII] 360K
[360] 289K
[PS2] 175K
[PSP] 160K
[PS3] 112K
[GBA] 72K

Software:

1. PS2 MADDEN 08 1150K
2. 360 MADDEN 08 850K
3. 360 BIOSHOCK 458K
4. WII MADDEN 08 285K
5. PS3 MADDEN 08 280K
:p
6. WII PLAY W/REMOTE 240K
7. WII METROID PRIME 3: CORRUPTION 220K
8. XBX MADDEN 08 165K
9. PS2 GUITAR HERO ENCORE 145K
10. NDS POKEMON DIAMOND 135K


WII TIGER WOODS PGA TOUR 08 125K
360 TIGER WOODS PGA TOUR 08 105K
PS2 TIGER WOODS PGA TOUR 08 95K


360 NCAA FOOTBALL 08 90K
PS2 NCAA FOOTBALL 08 70K
PS3 NCAA FOOTBAL 08 42K


PS2 GUITAR HERO 2 W/GUITAR 130K
360 GUITAR HERO 2 W/GUITAR 102K


PSP MADDEN 08 100K
GCN MADDEN 08 60K
NDS MADDEN 08 15K


WII MARIO STRIKERS CHARGED 120K
WII BOOGIE 82K
WII MARIO PARTY 8 80K
NDS BRAIN AGE 2 124K
NDS POKEMON PEARL 90K
Click to expand...
 
S

SuperBanjo

Member
My first time doing this...

[PS2] 230,000
[PSP] 200,000
[PS3] 130,000
[360] 225,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NDS] 400,000
[WII] 390,000
 
F

Frillen

Member
[Wii] 445k
[NDS] 430k
[360] 280k
[PS2] 215k
[PSP] 170k
[PS3] 155k
[GBA] 75k

Edit: I decreased the PSP number 'cause of the release of the Slim version this month.
 
chemicals

chemicals

Member
just doing current gen consoles:

Wii: 360k
360: 210k
PS3: 120k

as for software... those of you thinking Metroid will chart high are in for a rude awakening.. the game will bomb. Bad news for serious gamers who own the Wii.

1. Madden (360)
2. Bioshock (360)
3. Madden (PS2)
 
B

Brakara

Member
[WII] 425,000
[NDS] 400,000
[360] 255,000
[PS2] 210,000
[PSP] 175,000
[PS3] 130,000
[GBA] 75,000

I guess there will be slower sales for PSP (due to forthcoming slim version), and 360 will surpass PS2 (for the first time since April 2006), while also being back to having twice the sales of PS3.

Edit: thanks, donny.
 
D

donny2112

Member
I find it hilarious that some people are predicting 360 Madden > PS2 Madden. I think 360 Madden was just over 50% of PS2 Madden last year and that was just in the first week. By the end of the year, it was more like 2.5:1 in favor of the PS2 version.

Brakara said:
360 will surpass PS2 (for the first time since ...?)
Click to expand...

April 2006
 
F

felipeko

Member
donny2112 said:
I find it hilarious that some people are predicting 360 Madden > PS2 Madden. I think 360 Madden was just over 50% of PS2 Madden last year and that was just in the first week. By the end of the year, it was more like 2.5:1 in favor of the PS2 version.
Click to expand...
This is neogaf...

But we will show them :D

Madden Wii FTW (over PS3 :lol)
 
S

Sho_Nuff82

Member
donny2112 said:
I find it hilarious that some people are predicting 360 Madden > PS2 Madden. I think 360 Madden was just over 50% of PS2 Madden last year and that was just in the first week. By the end of the year, it was more like 2.5:1 in favor of the PS2 version.



April 2006
Click to expand...

Did you see the NCAA sales last month?

360 version was almost 3:1 over PS2 version.
 
O

Odysseus

Banned
Sho_Nuff82 said:
Did you see the NCAA sales last month?

360 version was almost 3:1 over PS2 version.
Click to expand...

eh, not quite. off the top of my head, it was ~400k:~240k. something like that, at least.
 
G

Gahiggidy

My aunt & uncle run a Mom & Pop store, "The Gamecube Hut", and sold 80k WiiU within minutes of opening.
[Wii] 420,001
[PS3] 150,000
[360] 239,999
[PS2] 225,000
[PSP] 210,000
[DS] 400,000
[GBA] 75,000
 
O

Odysseus

Banned
Sho_Nuff82 said:
I must've been thinking of the PS3 version then.

Still, it is precedent.
Click to expand...

oh, it was startling, to be sure. the ps2 drop from the prior year was not overcome by increases in the 360 sku and the introduction of a ps3 sku. call that the wii factor, i imagine.

it's going to be interesting to see how madden plays out.
 
S

Sharp

Member
Unofficially I'm going to predict Madden and Boogie bomba for Wii. Not that it's too big a stretch to do so.
 
B

Brakara

Member
donny2112 said:
I find it hilarious that some people are predicting 360 Madden > PS2 Madden. I think 360 Madden was just over 50% of PS2 Madden last year and that was just in the first week. By the end of the year, it was more like 2.5:1 in favor of the PS2 version.
Click to expand...

NCAA last month, anecdotal pre-order reports, Amazon sales, and the beginning of the perfect storm. Believe.
 
F

felipeko

Member
Odysseus said:
oh, it was startling, to be sure. the ps2 drop from the prior year was not overcome by increases in the 360 sku and the introduction of a ps3 sku. call that the wii factor, i imagine

it's going to be interesting to see how madden plays out.
Click to expand...
This image from Gamasutra is really telling:
ncaa-history-small.gif

PS2 NCAA sales more than halved from last year... The only way Madden PS2 get outsell is if it happens the same..
With a Wii sku (and Madden being much more important than NCAA) it's really unpredictive, but it may happen..
Sharp said:
Unofficially I'm going to predict Madden and Boogie bomba for Wii. Not that it's too big a stretch to do so.
Click to expand...
:(
 
D

donny2112

Member
Sho_Nuff82 said:
Did you see the NCAA sales last month?

360 version was almost 3:1 over PS2 version.
Click to expand...

Jul-06:
PS2 NCAA ~490K
360 NCAA ~330K

Aug-06 (1 week of sales):
PS2 Madden ~900K
360 Madden ~500K

By end of 2006, PS2 over 360 by ~2.5:1.

Jul-07:
PS2 NCAA ~240K
360 NCAA ~400K

Aug-07 (3 weeks of sales):
PS2 Madden ?
360 Madden ?
 
F

FrankT

Member
donny2112 said:
Jul-06:
PS2 NCAA ~490K
360 NCAA ~330K

Aug-06 (1 week of sales):
PS2 Madden ~900K
360 Madden ~500K

By end of 2006, PS2 over 360 by ~2.5:1.

Jul-07:
PS2 NCAA ~240K
360 NCAA ~400K

Aug-07 (3 weeks of sales):
PS2 Madden ?
360 Madden ?
Click to expand...


I think the one wild card in all this is the advertising blitz for the 360 version. I mean everywhere. Particularly with all the talk about the 360 versions being the definitive version. I believe it could go either way, but of course, the PS2 still has the significant base advantage.
 
G

Gwanatu T

Junior Member
First time poster, long time lurker in these parts:

[NDS] 390,000
[WII] 410,000
[360] 270,000
[PS2] 220,000
[PSP] 120,000
[PS3] 140,000
[GBA] 70,000
 
D

dextran

Member
I cannot believe it's NPD time again. I feel like I just picked myself up off the floor after Sony continued knockdown. As a celebration I will do my first prediction ever. I think 360 will have a huge month and PSP will be low.

[Wii] 445,000
[DS] 387,000
[360] 350,000 #360 outsells PS2!
[PS2] 300,000
[PSP] 145,000 #pre relaunch drought
[PS3] 132,000
[GBA] 125,000
 
G

Ganondorf>Link

Member
Hardware

[DS] 435,000
[Wii] 410,000
[360] 220,000
[PS2] 212,000
[PSP] 205,000
[PS3] 169,000
[GBA] 84,000

Software

1. 360 Madden NFL 08 - 1,180,000
2. PS2 Madden NFL 08 - 800,000
3. 360 BioShock - 443,000
4. PS3 Madden NFL 08 - 265,000
5. Wii Wii Play - 242,000
6. Wii Metroid Prime 3: Corruption - 180,000
7. Wii Mario Strikers Charged - 150,000
8. PS2 Guitar Hero Encore - 138,000
9. Wii Mario Party 8 - 130,000
10. DS Pokemon Diamond - 120,000

Wii Madden NFL 08 - 108,000
Wii Tiger Woods PGA Tour 08 - 90,000
Wii Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition - 78,000

360 Two Worlds - 115,000
360 Tiger Woods PGA Tour 08 - 109,000
360 Blue Dragon - 100,000
Click to expand...
 
A

_Alkaline_

Member
[PS2] 221K
[PSP] 212K
[PS3] 155K
[360] 237K
[GBA] 81K
[NDS] 401K
[WII] 384K

[360] MADDEN 08 - 872K
[PS2] MADDEN 08 - 716K
[360] BIOSHOCK - 415K
[WII] PLAY W/REMOTE - 237K
[PS2] GUITAR HERO ENCORE: ROCKS THE 80'S - 221K
[PS3] MADDEN 08 - 187K
[WII] METROID PRIME 3: CORRUPTION - 183K
[360] NCAA FOOTBALL 08 - 167K
[PS2] NCAA FOOTBALL 08 - 139K
[WII] MARIO PARTY 8 - 126K
Click to expand...
 
A

AlteredBeast

Fork 'em, Sparky!
[360] Madden 08 - 750k
[PS2] Madden 08 - 700k
[360] Bioshock - 400k
[Wii] Madden - 350k
[Wii] Metroid Prime 3 - 280k
[360] Tiger Woods 08 - 250k
[PS3] Madden 08 - 220k
[Wii] Wii Play - 205k
[PS2] Guitar Hero Encore: Rocks the 80's - 200k
[360] NCAA Football 08 - 190k
[Wii] Tiger Woods 08 - 170k
Click to expand...

Top 11!
 
D

donny2112

Member
Alkaliine said:
[360] MADDEN 08 - 872K
[PS2] MADDEN 08 - 716K
[360] BIOSHOCK - 384K
[WII] PLAY W/REMOTE - 237K
[PS2] GUITAR HERO ENCORE: ROCKS THE 80'S - 221K
[PS3] MADDEN 08 - 187K
[WII] METROID PRIME 3: CORRUPTION - 183K
[360] NCAA FOOTBALL 08 - 167K
[PS2] NCAA FOOTBALL 08 - 139K
[WII] MARIO PARTY 8 - 126K
Click to expand...

You're going to want to put those software predictions in "quote" tags. Otherwise, your Wii prediction will be 126K, PS2 would be 139K, etc.
 
G

GhaleonEB

Member
[PS2] 190,000 - down a touch
[PSP] 145,000 - no clue
[PS3] 125,000 - trending down after the cut, with $600 SKU on shelves again
[360] 325,000 - just under doubling. It showed surprising strength in July, should do so again in August
[GBA] 81,000 - no clue
[NDS] 415,000 - pretty much flat
[WII] 420,000 - same
 
K

Kafel

Banned
simExchange August NPD estimates :

Xbox 360 - 255,000 units
PLAYSTATION 3 - 172,000 units
Wi - 436,000 units
Nintendo DS - 441,000 units
PlayStation Portable - 209,000 units


Madden NFL 08 (Xbox 360) - 1,120,000 units
BioShock (Xbox 360) - 520,000 units
Metroid Prime 3: Corruption (Wii) - 338,000 units
Madden NFL 08 (PS3) - 306,000 units
Brain Age 2 (DS) - 136,000 units
Blue Dragon (Xbox 360) - 112,000 units
Madden NFL 08 (Wii) - 106,000 units
Tiger Woods PGA Tour 08 (Xbox 360) - 104,000 units
Tiger Woods PGA Tour 08 (Wii) - 81,000 units
Click to expand...
 
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