Taker666 said:
It wouldn't matter at launch. They will easily sell the first million in each region at $450-$500. Then just drop to $399 when they catch up with demand.
The question is, is $399 low enough once they caught up with demand?
And going from $499 to $299 in a few months to catch up with Xbox 360 would be a disaster, thus they define their later price range with their launch price.
If they drop the price to $399 in Spring 2007, the PS3 will still be $100 more expensive than the Xbox360. Will costumers really be inclined to pay that much... for what?
- Will the first generation PS3 games really look that much better than the graphics Xbox 360 developers come up with after one year into the lifecycle?
- Will BRD movies be a selling point at all?
- Will there be enough exclusive killer-apps, now that almost every developer is going multiplatform?
I don't say these factors won't come true, I just think it'd be quite arrogant for Sony to expect customers to pay $100 more (maybe even after the launch price dropped once!) than for an Xbox 360, not to mention there's still a huge wild card, the Revolution.
Until we see games for PS3 and Revolution in motion and get a better picture of the launch lineups, all this discussion is mood, because
it's all about the games.
Still, in comparison to the PS1 launch, where everyone and their mother wanted Nintendo and their pricing structure to fail, and the PS2 launch, where they had a one year head start (considering the financial situation of Sega, the Dreamcast was bound to failure) and Squenix as an exclusive (FFCC doesn't count, does it?), and even the PSP launch, where they "only" had Nintendo as competition, this will be the hardest, most important lauch for Sony, ever.
I don't say they won't succeed, but the general opinion here seems to be that Sony is sure to finish the next generation first and I think this is the most uncertain starting position of a console lifecycle ever, with three consoles all having unique advantages and a real chance to win.