Do you get what a Congress is and what the Congress can do?
And Trump was the Republican candidate and ran on an extreme Republican platform.
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Realistically, what can Trump and his Republican Congress do?
- Thread starter maxcriden
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Do you get what a Congress is and what the Congress can do?
And Trump was the Republican candidate and ran on an extreme Republican platform.
For financial regulation, I would imagine Dodd Frank is going to be repealed, or at least substantially changed. Not sure about Sarbanes Oxley, that was a bipartisan act and has been in place since 2002. I could see him making small changes to Sarbanes Oxley, like removing 404b (requiring an external auditor's opinion on management's assertions about its internal controls), more exemptions for small businesses and startups, or decreased fines and penalties for executives.
I think Obamacare is gone. The premium increases along with decreases in coverage and a raise in deductibles and copays has hit the middle class too hard. I can only hope that something sensible is put in its place. Hillary was right that there are a lot of good parts to Obamacare that need to stay.
I think you've been in the GAF bubble a little too long. (That and I'm not sure if you read my comment about him potentially doing it just to be spiteful. Specifically I never said he necessarily wanted to achieve goals that fit a particular political philosophy. But he will definitely do whatever trick he can to achieve whatever goal he feels like pursuing.)
wild wild rice
Member
I read an article that attempted to answer this very question. I am going to reread it today.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/09/26/president-trumps-first-term
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/09/26/president-trumps-first-term
gamechanger87
Member
Correct. Now that the election is out of the way, I'm fairly sure Trump the Social Democrat will come back out.
Croatoan
They/Them A-10 Warthog
Trump is a businessman, he is going to govern in that way. What that means is he will likely ignore any social issues that don't effect the countries "Bottom line".
Gay Marriage will be fine
RvW will be fine
Obamacare is that depressed bill in the school house rock video, only instead of sitting on capitol hill, it is sitting on death row.
Gay Marriage will be fine
RvW will be fine
Obamacare is that depressed bill in the school house rock video, only instead of sitting on capitol hill, it is sitting on death row.
Premiums are dramatically higher without Obamacare. Difference is people are just eating the tax penalty which is hurting more people.
I can see gop stripping out the mandate, which effectively kills the ACA.
Ricky Ricardo
Member
Yeah, I'd say this is the situation in the nutshell
I'd like to point out that Republicans typically don't undo social advancements like this. There's more pressing matters to attend to. The hope is that Trump truly does pivot now that he doesn't have to cater to his most fervent base.
Croatoan
They/Them A-10 Warthog
If he has a spine he would kill NAFTA and raise import taxes on goods not made in America to astronomical heights. It would be interesting to see if forcing companies to make stuff in america would work. Theoretically, if it worked, jobs would come back to the US and leave places like Mexico and China.
Kill Your Masters
Member
I'm banking on this one. We are already at the point of no return, but voting this craziness into the most powerful position in the world will pretty much accelerate the process.
They need a majority I believe to rewrite procedural rules. In the past neither side wanted the filibuster gone but due to how extremist the Republican party is now, there's no little benefit for them to not nuke the filibuster and have complete free reign while they run everything.
Croatoan
They/Them A-10 Warthog
Climate change will not lead to humanity's extinction. It'll kill a lot of people, and wipe out species, but humanity will survive.
Tallshortman
Member
The precedent for libel is set by th Supreme Court and can only be changed by them or a constitutional amendment.
It means it is allright, right??????????
Banana Aeon
Member
In reality, Trump isn't going to fuck over himself and his business like this.
Theoretically, this won't work too.
It's not when you control the government. It will be repealed and likely cause to outright ban it will be presented within 2-3 years.
This is the worst possible scenario for the LGBT community in a century. And that's putting it lightly.
Good news then that he's choosing future judicial nominees!
Zaraki_Kenpachi
Member
How will it be repealed? List the steps.
The richest of humanity.
Tallshortman
Member
Do you understand what trade wars are?
There is nothing theoretical about this. Hoover tried this in 1930 and it sunk the US into lower depths of the Depression.
teruterubozu
Member
Phew! What a relief!
Agreed.
Pissed me off so much...Clinton's plan was to make public college free to people with less than what, $125k income? That's most of the people in the rural America group. That's a good way to change careers if you were in coal, manufacturing, etc. But no...you instead chose to believe that Trump was going to manage to get your jobs back. Un-fucking-real.
It is bad that Obama expanded presidential power significantly.
It is good no one ever got rid of the filibuster.
Filibuster is going to be the first big fight of the new Senate.
Glad I have all those billions stored up to live aboard the luxury cruise liner Fuck You Got Mine.
it doesnt work. go and do some reading about what would happen. its not pretty.
tkscz
Member
Not really. Congress still kept slapping down his plans (took about 6 years before Obama care became a thing as congress refuted it so many times). At this point, it's less about parties and more about who likes or hates Trump in Congress (let's be honest though, it's always been that way with Congress). Hopefully, majority of Congress aren't behind him
tearsintherain
Member
Roe v. Wade - safe, SCOTUS does not overturn past decisions lightly and it will require decades of small rulings chipping away at it first. Most of the anti abortion work has been done at the state level and has been undone by federal courts.
Gay Marriage - safe, Trump doesn't really care at all and is smart enough to know enough Americans support it
Obamacare - who knows, something is gonna happen
immigration - DACA (dream act for kids who came as refugees) repealed as it was done by executive order by Obama. The full effects are really hard to untangle.
Muslims - all bullshit talk, he can't really do much except tell the FBI/DHS/TSA/etc to screen anyone brown a little bit more, deny more visas to citizens from Muslim countries
Trade agreements - who knows. TPP dead, NAFTA unchanged, Brexit means new agreements with England over 10 years. China, big question mark
Wall to mexico - never was gonna happen, more money spent on border patrol and possibly tarriffs/trade war with Mexico is real though
Affirmative action - there isn't that much at the federal level anyways, maybe less at the outsourcing level but most of this was rigged anyways - big companies were subcontracting jobs to minority companies to win bids and keeping most of the money
Social Security, medicaid - untouched
Federal Budget - who knows?
Gay Marriage - safe, Trump doesn't really care at all and is smart enough to know enough Americans support it
Obamacare - who knows, something is gonna happen
immigration - DACA (dream act for kids who came as refugees) repealed as it was done by executive order by Obama. The full effects are really hard to untangle.
Muslims - all bullshit talk, he can't really do much except tell the FBI/DHS/TSA/etc to screen anyone brown a little bit more, deny more visas to citizens from Muslim countries
Trade agreements - who knows. TPP dead, NAFTA unchanged, Brexit means new agreements with England over 10 years. China, big question mark
Wall to mexico - never was gonna happen, more money spent on border patrol and possibly tarriffs/trade war with Mexico is real though
Affirmative action - there isn't that much at the federal level anyways, maybe less at the outsourcing level but most of this was rigged anyways - big companies were subcontracting jobs to minority companies to win bids and keeping most of the money
Social Security, medicaid - untouched
Federal Budget - who knows?
Lagspike_exe
Member
People thinking GOP will be able to control Trump are wrong. If anything, he spearheaded the triple-win night and has shown a remarkable ability to neutralize politicians who oppose him. The party, aside from the neo-con wing, will fall in line with his strategy. Or he'll just destroy them.
It's impossible to untangle it and it's a losing issue for Republicans. They may do something to chip away and pass "religious freedom" BS but the right to marriage will stay.
But wouldn't then those countries rates import taxes on our goods which could result in the US producing less?
VendettaRed07
Member
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DragonSworne
Banned
We won't be exploring space any time soon.
T
thepotatoman
Unconfirmed Member
Roe v Wade and Gay Marriage requires either Kennedy or a liberal justice retiring.
Everything else requires a nuke of the filibuster, which will probably happen, and there's nothing democrats can do to stop it.
Everything else requires a nuke of the filibuster, which will probably happen, and there's nothing democrats can do to stop it.
Master Thespian
Member
RBG is on her last leg.
Giant Panda
Member
Social Security and Medicare won't be touched for current or near seniors. They're the ones voting Republican and that say stuff like "keep government hands off my medicare". It could be reduced for millennials though.
Jag
Member
His appointments will have a massive affect on the morality laws of this country for decades. One of his few explicit promises was to stack the court with 2nd Amendment conservatives, who will most likely have strong religious beliefs as well. Probably throw a pro big business Judge or two in also. It will be much more devastating than his 4 year term.
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