reilo said:
Please continue to ignore my money argument. Hell, even you've said yourself that most automatics aren't as up to snuff as manuals.
I don't see any reason why manuals need to be phased out.
I don't think Manuals need to be phased out, people like them, but because they're inherently more complex than autos and because economies of scale and technology will win out, they will go away.
My main argument is that they are not by
logic, faster. Right now, manual boxes change (when operated by a skilled driver) faster than their auto counterparts. But this is already changing - F1 boxes are often quoted, but there are fast consumer shifters now too. And bluntly, it's not like most drivers shift properly to begin with, which is why there is a large transmission repair industry, and why half the stick shifts you hear are mangled or mistimed (everyone on gaf of course, is a master rally driver, and shifts like robot Colin MacRae - heaven forbid that anyone here is a shitty driver).
Right now they are cheaper to make, but that's changing. When auto clutches in consumer cars inevitably beat manual changes - even the hand-eye speed of hand-to-paddles will make the stick slower (and more dangerous and inconvenient, since hands are off the wheel - the main reason F1 moved to paddles).
My personal preference is irrelevant.
Sticks will go away, except perhaps in collector and retro cars and kits. Let's call it 20 years - but in that time - a lot of gasoline systems will go away too, in the US at least - and gearing is going to change more dramatically than the shift between auto clutch and manual.
I don't particularly want them to take away your toy, but they are going to. Clock is ticking.
Stick fans just like them. Which is fine. Convertibles aren't pratical either, but nobody is suggesting they should go away.