Here we go again.
Time to put a cap on an exciting year of mixed martial arts with a pair of exciting events. (Okay, one awesome event, and one event full of bizarre matchups).
A reminder to spoiler tag any talk of the Pride results until the event has aired in North America on Jan. 2. Dont bother spoiler-tagging K-1 results, since it isnt airing in N.A.
Ill start with Pride:
Anderson Silva (12-2) vs. Ryo Chonan (7-4)
Both events have a lot of fighters that Im not very familiar with, and Chonan is one such fighter. He has wins over Hayato Sakurai, and Carlos Newton. Anderson Silva, however, is one of the fighters who could probably lay claim to the title of #1 in the 185-pound division. Hes almost definitely the best striker at that weight, and hes fairly slick on the ground as well. I predict that Silva will win this fight by TKO in round 3.
Yoji Anjo (0-4-1) vs. Ryan Gracie (4-2)
Okay, I never said that EVERY matchup in this event was stellar. Anjos record speaks for itself. Gracie by submission, round 1.
Paulo Giant Silva (1-3) vs. Mu Bae Choi (4-0)
Its hard not to like Silva because of his pleasant personality. However, he has minimal skill and does not belong in Pride. I was really disappointed that Chois fight last Pride wasnt broadcast, but hes been fairly impressive thus far. I pick Choi by submission, round 1.
Stefan Leko (0-1) vs. Ikuhisa Minowa (26-20-8)
Well get to the good matchups soon, I promise. Lets see, Leko is a K-1 fighter, whose MMA debut may have been a work. Minowa is over 40 pounds lighter than Leko. Oh yeah, and the betting websites arent putting up odds on this fight. Minowa by submission in a fishy fight.
Makoto Takimoto (0-0) vs. Henry Sentoryu Miller (1-1)
Takimoto is an MMA newbie, but is an Olympic gold medallist in Judo. Miller is another minimal-skilled fighter like Giant Silva. Takimoto by submission, round 1.
Mirko Cro Cop Filipovic (13-2-2) vs. Kevin Randleman (15-9)
Ah, here we go. The rematch of the years biggest upset. (Okay, maybe second biggest next to Hughes-Penn). Was Randlemans knockout a fluke? Again, I believe that Filipovic shoud win. My head and heart says that he should. He is the best striker in MMA, his takedown defence is amazing, and he has been improving his ground skills with top-notch trainers.
Randleman, however, is an enigma. He has lightning quick reflexes, heavy hands, and amazing takedowns. But he is such a hot and cold fighter. After knocking out Cro Cop, he turns around and loses to Ron Waterman. Mirko has the skills to beat Randleman. He should be able to outstrike him, his takedown defence should be good enough to keep the fight on the fight long enough, and his ground skills have been improving enough that he should be able to defend well if Randleman gets a takedown. But Mirko has to fight smart, and be more aggressive with punches and low kicks. I will be cheering for Mirko, but will be nervous all the way until he manages to connect with his home run kick. Mirko by KO, round 1.
Takanori Gomi (17-2) vs. Jens Pulver (18-4-1)
Pride has announced that they are going to create a lightweight division, and this is an awesome match to help usher it in. Pulver has had amazing success recently in the 145 pound division, so going back up to 155 means he could have problems with Gomi having a size advantage over him. Both of these fighters are amazing, but I do think that Pulver has the tools to beat Gomi. Pulver has developed an excellent striking game, and I think that he has the wrestling skills to keep the fight standing where he should have the advantage, but it is by no means a sure thing. Pulver by decision.
Dan Henderson (15-3) vs. Yuki Kondo (43-14-5)
Heres another matchup that promises tons of excitement. Henderson has heavy punches,
awesome wrestling and submission defence, while Kondo is a dangerous striker himself, with solid submission skills. I see tons of action both standing and on the ground, with Henderson eventually going for the takedown and winning by TKO in round 3.
Wanderlei Silva (27-3-1) vs. Mark Hunt? (1-1. 16-7 Kickboxing)
Well, this is good news. Sakuraba is injured, and (thankfully) cannot fight Silva. So instead, we get this interesting matchup. Silvas style is devoted to beating people in the stand-up game. But Mark Hunt is a K-1 Grand Prix champion who has never been KOd and known for his solid chin. Plus hell be 30-40 pounds heavier than Silva. So where does that leave us? Well, for starters, Silva has at least been training for a fight, while Hunt may not have been. However, Silva has been training for a smaller opponent who he has been able to beat standing up. He now has to come up with a different gameplan for Mark Hunt. Also, Silva has faced K-1 stars before. He fought Cro Cop under special rules in 2002, and fared very well. And Silva is a BJJ black belt, even though he rarely needs or chooses to show those skills.
I believe that Silva will win. He will be aggressive in the standup to put Hunt off balance, and will eventually get a takedown, where he will either work his vicious stomps and soccer kicks, or pull off a submission. Ill say Silva by submission, round 3.
Hidehiko Yoshida (4-1-1) vs. Rulon Gardner (0-0)
Yet another MMA newbie and gold medallist. Rulon Gardner won the Olympic gold medal in
2000, beating wrestling legend Karelin. He has been training with Dan Henderson for the last three months to get ready, but is three months enough to adapt to MMA? I have my doubts. He will have a considerable size advantage over Yoshida, however. His best strategy may be to use his wrestling skills to keep the fight standing and beat Yoshida with punches. I have to believe, though, with Yoshidas greater experience that he will manage to get the fight on the ground at some point and apply a submission. Yoshida by sub, round 3.
Pride Heavyweight Championship, Grand Prix Championship, This ones for all the marbles bout:
Antonio Rodrigo Minotauro Nogueira (24-2-1) vs. Darth Fedor Emelianenko (19-1)
All right, lets do this again. I felt so cheated in August when Fedor got cut on his forehead. Now we get to see it again, and I will be praying for no freak cuts or cheap endings. I really hope that Fedors forehead is all healed up so that he doesnt get cut again.
These are the best two fighters in the world. Period. Even though Cro Cop may have a chance against both of them, right now, they are the best. The only question is, how closely matched they are. As far as their second fight went, Nogueira had shown a lot of improvement in
defending against Fedors attacks from guard, and was far more aggressive with his submission attempts. Nonetheless, I still feel that Fedor was winning the fight when it was stopped. I said in an earlier thread that I felt they were closely matched so that if they fought 100 times, Fedor would win 70, Nog would win 30, and for now I stand by that statement. Nonetheless, I believe that Fedor is better and that he will win, by decision.
Im also going to do a quick run down of the K-1 event, though Im not really impressed by it and havent been following its development.
Time to put a cap on an exciting year of mixed martial arts with a pair of exciting events. (Okay, one awesome event, and one event full of bizarre matchups).
A reminder to spoiler tag any talk of the Pride results until the event has aired in North America on Jan. 2. Dont bother spoiler-tagging K-1 results, since it isnt airing in N.A.
Ill start with Pride:
Anderson Silva (12-2) vs. Ryo Chonan (7-4)
Both events have a lot of fighters that Im not very familiar with, and Chonan is one such fighter. He has wins over Hayato Sakurai, and Carlos Newton. Anderson Silva, however, is one of the fighters who could probably lay claim to the title of #1 in the 185-pound division. Hes almost definitely the best striker at that weight, and hes fairly slick on the ground as well. I predict that Silva will win this fight by TKO in round 3.
Yoji Anjo (0-4-1) vs. Ryan Gracie (4-2)
Okay, I never said that EVERY matchup in this event was stellar. Anjos record speaks for itself. Gracie by submission, round 1.
Paulo Giant Silva (1-3) vs. Mu Bae Choi (4-0)
Its hard not to like Silva because of his pleasant personality. However, he has minimal skill and does not belong in Pride. I was really disappointed that Chois fight last Pride wasnt broadcast, but hes been fairly impressive thus far. I pick Choi by submission, round 1.
Stefan Leko (0-1) vs. Ikuhisa Minowa (26-20-8)
Well get to the good matchups soon, I promise. Lets see, Leko is a K-1 fighter, whose MMA debut may have been a work. Minowa is over 40 pounds lighter than Leko. Oh yeah, and the betting websites arent putting up odds on this fight. Minowa by submission in a fishy fight.
Makoto Takimoto (0-0) vs. Henry Sentoryu Miller (1-1)
Takimoto is an MMA newbie, but is an Olympic gold medallist in Judo. Miller is another minimal-skilled fighter like Giant Silva. Takimoto by submission, round 1.
Mirko Cro Cop Filipovic (13-2-2) vs. Kevin Randleman (15-9)
Ah, here we go. The rematch of the years biggest upset. (Okay, maybe second biggest next to Hughes-Penn). Was Randlemans knockout a fluke? Again, I believe that Filipovic shoud win. My head and heart says that he should. He is the best striker in MMA, his takedown defence is amazing, and he has been improving his ground skills with top-notch trainers.
Randleman, however, is an enigma. He has lightning quick reflexes, heavy hands, and amazing takedowns. But he is such a hot and cold fighter. After knocking out Cro Cop, he turns around and loses to Ron Waterman. Mirko has the skills to beat Randleman. He should be able to outstrike him, his takedown defence should be good enough to keep the fight on the fight long enough, and his ground skills have been improving enough that he should be able to defend well if Randleman gets a takedown. But Mirko has to fight smart, and be more aggressive with punches and low kicks. I will be cheering for Mirko, but will be nervous all the way until he manages to connect with his home run kick. Mirko by KO, round 1.
Takanori Gomi (17-2) vs. Jens Pulver (18-4-1)
Pride has announced that they are going to create a lightweight division, and this is an awesome match to help usher it in. Pulver has had amazing success recently in the 145 pound division, so going back up to 155 means he could have problems with Gomi having a size advantage over him. Both of these fighters are amazing, but I do think that Pulver has the tools to beat Gomi. Pulver has developed an excellent striking game, and I think that he has the wrestling skills to keep the fight standing where he should have the advantage, but it is by no means a sure thing. Pulver by decision.
Dan Henderson (15-3) vs. Yuki Kondo (43-14-5)
Heres another matchup that promises tons of excitement. Henderson has heavy punches,
awesome wrestling and submission defence, while Kondo is a dangerous striker himself, with solid submission skills. I see tons of action both standing and on the ground, with Henderson eventually going for the takedown and winning by TKO in round 3.
Wanderlei Silva (27-3-1) vs. Mark Hunt? (1-1. 16-7 Kickboxing)
Well, this is good news. Sakuraba is injured, and (thankfully) cannot fight Silva. So instead, we get this interesting matchup. Silvas style is devoted to beating people in the stand-up game. But Mark Hunt is a K-1 Grand Prix champion who has never been KOd and known for his solid chin. Plus hell be 30-40 pounds heavier than Silva. So where does that leave us? Well, for starters, Silva has at least been training for a fight, while Hunt may not have been. However, Silva has been training for a smaller opponent who he has been able to beat standing up. He now has to come up with a different gameplan for Mark Hunt. Also, Silva has faced K-1 stars before. He fought Cro Cop under special rules in 2002, and fared very well. And Silva is a BJJ black belt, even though he rarely needs or chooses to show those skills.
I believe that Silva will win. He will be aggressive in the standup to put Hunt off balance, and will eventually get a takedown, where he will either work his vicious stomps and soccer kicks, or pull off a submission. Ill say Silva by submission, round 3.
Hidehiko Yoshida (4-1-1) vs. Rulon Gardner (0-0)
Yet another MMA newbie and gold medallist. Rulon Gardner won the Olympic gold medal in
2000, beating wrestling legend Karelin. He has been training with Dan Henderson for the last three months to get ready, but is three months enough to adapt to MMA? I have my doubts. He will have a considerable size advantage over Yoshida, however. His best strategy may be to use his wrestling skills to keep the fight standing and beat Yoshida with punches. I have to believe, though, with Yoshidas greater experience that he will manage to get the fight on the ground at some point and apply a submission. Yoshida by sub, round 3.
Pride Heavyweight Championship, Grand Prix Championship, This ones for all the marbles bout:
Antonio Rodrigo Minotauro Nogueira (24-2-1) vs. Darth Fedor Emelianenko (19-1)
All right, lets do this again. I felt so cheated in August when Fedor got cut on his forehead. Now we get to see it again, and I will be praying for no freak cuts or cheap endings. I really hope that Fedors forehead is all healed up so that he doesnt get cut again.
These are the best two fighters in the world. Period. Even though Cro Cop may have a chance against both of them, right now, they are the best. The only question is, how closely matched they are. As far as their second fight went, Nogueira had shown a lot of improvement in
defending against Fedors attacks from guard, and was far more aggressive with his submission attempts. Nonetheless, I still feel that Fedor was winning the fight when it was stopped. I said in an earlier thread that I felt they were closely matched so that if they fought 100 times, Fedor would win 70, Nog would win 30, and for now I stand by that statement. Nonetheless, I believe that Fedor is better and that he will win, by decision.
Im also going to do a quick run down of the K-1 event, though Im not really impressed by it and havent been following its development.