Oh yeah, you'll be good for a while. LmaoIm pretty lucky so I should hopefully be OK.
Office pc is
14900ks
Rtx 4090
32gb memory
Front room console pc
9800X3D
9070xt
64gb memory
Spend all my money on tech stuff and my car and that's it
China is certainly working on it, not even by choice, but we, primarily the US, forced them to. And they made some progress in manufacturing, i think they are at 7nm, without EUV- I think Huawei aims at 3nm, still without EUV-, and chip design itself, where GPUs were so far terrible but I think their ARM chips are not really bad anymore. Much like solar panels and smartphones in the past years, EV cars right now ... imho it is inevitable that they catch up, because they go all in and financing it will be a state task pratically without any limit. So imho the opposite of very low! And that as well will be a huge thread to thousands of jobs. Maybe it would have happened anyway with how profitable it is, but the ASML restrictions forced them to engineer it themselves and not come to that goal just by an economic decision.
China would become no1 public enemy among every1 having any electronic devices(including phones), basically modern day nazi germany
In china, technology now seems to be making rapid progress. Maybe something will come from there.
They can imitate, which means offering same thing as tsmc just few(5-6-7?) years later for cheaper, coz of no patent laws, but to actually compete they would literally have to invade taiwan/destroy tsmc physically.
patentpc.com
I don't think samsung and Intel are far when putting things into perspective. 5 years from they have improved yields and face same high pricing problems.They can imitate, which means offering same thing as tsmc just few(5-6-7?) years later for cheaper, coz of no patent laws, but to actually compete they would literally have to invade taiwan/destroy tsmc physically.
Closest competitor we had back in 2020/2021 was samsung, they were bit behind but not crazy behind, otherwise nvidia wouldnt make 30xx series cards on samsung 8nm process back in 2021.
Not anymore, tsmc has lead big enough over samsung/intel that all major players order from them, even at much inflated cost its still worth it, technological advantage is simply that big atm.
Its enough to quote one sentence from conclusion in this big up to date (25th may 2025) article:TSMC, Samsung, and Intel: Who’s Leading the Semiconductor Race? (Latest Market Share Data)
Who leads the semiconductor race? Get the latest market share data on TSMC, Samsung, and Intel with our guide.
5 years ago that was strongest gaming gpu tho:
Well, potentially WWIII. I am not sure how gaming would go in post nuclear war apocalypse.
Samsung, Intel and Global Foundries are lagging much far behind
SMIC lost legal battles against TSMC and paid penalties ... so "no patent laws" is certainly some China equals wild west myth.
China would become no1 public enemy among every1 having any electronic devices(including phones), basically modern day nazi germany
China is full of scammers and no1 cares :
As a polish guy who lives 60miles away from russian border- barely any1 in the world cared about russian invasion to ukraine, same way barely any1 cares about whats happening in palestine right now, for the simply reason it doesnt really affect our daily life for the most part.
China isn't going to wait, IMO. They are getting ready to be able to launch around 2027-2028.As a polish guy who lives 60miles away from russian border- barely any1 in the world cared about russian invasion to ukraine, same way barely any1 cares about whats happening in palestine right now, for the simply reason it doesnt really affect our daily life for the most part.
China invading Taiwan and loss of tsmc would impact every1 in the world(well lets say 95% of the world, there are exceptions like some tribes in africa, aborigenal tribes in australia and such) in such a negative way that every1's quality of daily life would get visibly worse and not even after few years- ppl would notice huge impact likely in a matter of weeks
If China was sure they can take over Taiwan they would do it by now, Russia(Putin) but even many western countries too were sure they could conquer Ukraine in a matter of days, worst case scenario 2-3weeks.
I actually thought China gonna invade Taiwan just before US presidential elections so late summer/early autumn 2024, but looks like for some reason China wasnt sure they could do it- predicted some nasty consequences for themselfs of such actions- they are not stupid, if they decide to go peaceful route they know stuff- like for example that next decade/in 2 decades their situation gonna keep improving vs the US hegemony so its fine to wait.
I think inflation since 2013 also had a big impact on that cost along with the AI boom. Over time though they would build it on the latest node as the wafer cost gets somewhat offset by the ability to have more chips per wafer at a lower node and the material cost of cooling blocks becomes lower due to the efficiency gain. There is just way too much demand by the bigger players now though so everybody is charging too much, not just TSMC, because they know the big tech companies would pay. Unfortunately the less lucrative markets take a back seat and have to wait for it to become cheaper.
nah.
And it is a giant wafer space gobbling die that eats 600W because of it.
Nope. The issue with node shrinking slowing down is that the whole stack keeps their prices much longer stable because older nodes are much much longer viable.
3NM node may be doable for say PS6 in 2028. It's not going to be $500 for "Digital" model though, more like $700 I am thinking. Basically Pro pricing.
Just need everyone on Gaf to subscribe to the special Fab Gold tier.
And what would that change? They'd still need to have them fabricated
