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when will N Korea explode their first nuke - and what will U.S. do about it ?

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S

Space Age Playboy

Banned
I think the US will do nothing and wait for NK's next move. Kim Jong Il has an irrational fear that the US will invade and restart the Korean War at any moment.

My guess is he'll blow one up and decide that he's scared us off for good, and go back to kidnapping Japanese celebrities.
 
SantaC

SantaC

Member
as long as US dont attack them, North Korea wont probably launch any nukes towards a country. They should just play it calm. We dont want a fucking nuclear war. I am afraid that US could push too far and North Korea could let it slip. I hope they can solve this in a safe way.
 
K

Kung Fu Jedi

Member
Wasn't there some speculation that it was a nuclear device that was tested late last year when there was some major siesmic activity in North Korea? I know it was denied, but the speculation was that it was their first test.

When this does happen, the US will most likely just urge a return to the table for six way talks to help diffuse and issues that might arise. Invasion is not an option in this case.
 
G

Groder Mullet

Member
Kung Fu Jedi said:
Wasn't there some speculation that it was a nuclear device that was tested late last year when there was some major siesmic activity in North Korea? I know it was denied, but the speculation was that it was their first test.

When this does happen, the US will most likely just urge a return to the table for six way talks to help diffuse and issues that might arise. Invasion is not an option in this case.
Click to expand...

There wasn't any radiation detected from the explosion.
 
Phoenix

Phoenix

Member
NK will explode their first nuke within the next 60 days and the US will do nothing except note their outrage with the UN and push for punishing sanctions and blockades and such.
 
P

Poody

What program do you use to photoshop a picture?
havn't they already detonated their first nuke some time last year or was that a "train accident caring hazardous materials"?
 
P

Pimpwerx

Member
Poody said:
havn't they already detonated their first nuke some time last year or was that a "train accident caring hazardous materials"?
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I doubt even crazy ass KJI would test a nuke on his population. Didn't that train wreck happen in a populated area? I don't think they've detonated one yet. But when it happens, the US will try for sanctions or something, but there's really nothing they can do. Risking a strike would be too dangerous. PEACE.
 
S

scorcho

testicles on a cold fall morning
if NK tests a nuke, Japan will attempt to bring about sanctions to NK through the UN, which might get vetoed by China. the US will only launch a military strike against NK if, and only if they receive China's approval; as such, the US will not launch a military strike against NK.

probably the scariest scenerio - Japan decides to forgo the NPT and decide that it needs to build a nuclear deterrent itself as both China and NK are potential threats.
 
P

Pimpwerx

Member
scorcho said:
if NK tests a nuke, Japan will attempt to bring about sanctions to NK through the UN, which might get vetoed by China. the US will only launch a military strike against NK if, and only if they receive China's approval; as such, the US will not launch a military strike against NK.

probably the scariest scenerio - Japan decides to forgo the NPT and decide that it needs to build a nuclear deterrent itself as both China and NK are potential threats.
Click to expand...
I thought Japan had already developed nukes. I guess that whole WWII thing wouldn't have made that a good idea, huh? ;) I still believe in Mutually Assured Destruction. I don't think anyone is actually dumb enough to pull the trigger when steering down the barrel of a gun. PEACE.
 
B

Boogie

Member
Pimpwerx said:
I don't think anyone is actually dumb enough to pull the trigger when steering down the barrel of a gun. PEACE.
Click to expand...

I definitely don't agree. That depends too much on acting rationally, and us humans have to strong a tendancy not to do so.
 
S

scorcho

testicles on a cold fall morning
Pimpwerx said:
I thought Japan had already developed nukes. I guess that whole WWII thing wouldn't have made that a good idea, huh? ;) I still believe in Mutually Assured Destruction. I don't think anyone is actually dumb enough to pull the trigger when steering down the barrel of a gun. PEACE.
Click to expand...
no, Japan and Germany post-WWII are technically not allowed to pursue any nuclear armaments. the US has helped soften this blow by leaving large military presences in both countries to offset any potential security concerns of either countries as both of their historical adversaries (france and china respetively) are nuclear countries.

and MAD is a theory i would never want tested out again. anyone who's studied risk theory knows that any situation could eventually escalate to where a nuclear state will utilize its arms as a last resort. risk theory is based on the premise that rational actors eventually make irrational decisions as escalating 'costs' (often times in war) mandate the use of riskier means to pull 'even'.
 
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