Wkd BO 0908-1017 - Beep beep, Reese. I- I- I- I- It floats. Oh , yes. It floats.

Ghal, now you understand why I have decided to cease talking SW on this forum.

Every single thread, regardless of the topic, eventually becomes a TFA deconstruction with the same arguments.

Also, on topic, IT was great and I am looking forward to Chapter 2.

That Episode 9 thread was a lot of fun

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I swear to got my eyes were gonna start bleeding.
 
Update on:
boxoffice.com predicts a sub $10 million weekend for mother! (their latest long term one had it at $11 million).
mojo predicts $12 million:
Industry expectations are for an opening in the low teens and our forecast is right on the edge at $12 million, largely attributed to the fact the film's marketing has relied heavily on the more horrifying aspects of the film's dramatic narrative, which is effective marketing, but may slightly result in smaller returns as it vies for an audience already being consumed by It.

Leading up to release, mother! debuted at the Venice and Toronto Film Festivals to strong reviews and it currently holds a positive, 76 rating on Metacritic. While some of the conversation surrounding the film has been polarizing, the effect appears to be an overall positive when looking at IMDb page view comparisons. The film saw significant interest following the trailer release, and when comparing to previous Jennifer Lawrence films it's been out-performing both Joy and Passengers leading up to release. It has also seen far better results compared to Guillermo del Toro's Crimson Peak, which opened with $13.1 million in October 2015. Again, the big question mark is It, and how much it will affect the film's debut and whether or not what may end up being a smaller opening weekend will still deliver stronger holds over subsequent weekends throughout the Fall frame.
If this ends up in single digits it is a disaster, hope Aronofsky & co can pull through.

edit: Deadline has this take: The Method To The Madness Of ‘Mother!'s Marketing
Typically whenever a distributor goes wide with what appears to be an arthouse film, it's because they need to make their cash back fast, with a platform play quite risky. But that's not exactly the case for Paramount with mother! which cost per insiders around $30M before P&A.
However, Paramount feels it has something wild in mother! and that the best way to pull the string open on this pic is to go big, hopefully triggering a huge conversation on social.
Rival distribs have rubbed their chins over Paramount's brave move to open what looks to be a horror film in the wake of New Line's behemoth It which will cross $200M and take No 1 in its second weekend with $50M-plus. But while mother! looks and smells like a horror film, it's essentially something crazier, Lynchian, and completely Aronofsky-esque. After Blumhouse's PG-13 horror pic Happy Death Day moved on to mother!‘s original release date of Friday, Oct. 13, Paramount moved mother! up to Sept. 15 as they saw that both titles were competing for under 25 females.

Tracking has mother! at $11M. If Paramount can get the movie to $15M, it would be considered a decent start with anything higher being fantastic.
Typically a studio will test their campaign materials, but Paramount decided to go with their gut. In addition, mother! wasn't tested either, rather screened only to friends and families. Aronofsky is known to get final cut.
 
I'm not feeling American Assassin or mother! making much money this weekend. I wouldn't be surprised if IT's second Friday is bigger than both openers OWs combined
 
I just noticed that Leap! is down only 4% week-to-week and Spider-Man is down 3%(!!). Both are not losing many theaters this weekend, so they should have fantastic drops.
 
I just noticed that Leap! is down only 4% week-to-week and Spider-Man is down 3%(!!). Both are not losing many theaters this weekend, so they should have fantastic drops.

Leap! has done alright for what it is.


It looks likely that Kingsman 2's opening weekend will be under IT's second weekend.

So much for that matchup!
 
May/June of 2019 is s fairly stacked (not as stacked as May/June 2018), and actually stays so all the way until Lion King. Things only open up after that. From Box Office Mojo:

May (Details)
• Untitled Avengers (BV) - 5/3
• The Rosie Project (TriS) - 5/10
• Uglydolls (STX) - 5/10
• John Wick 3 (Lionsgate) - 5/17
• Aladdin (2019) (BV) - 5/24
• Minecraft (WB) - 5/24

June (Details)
• Charlie's Angels (2019) (Sony) - 6/7
• The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Uni.) - 6/7
• Untitled Fox/Marvel Film I (2019) (Fox) - 6/7 (the timing would suggest either FF of some sort or a sequel to something that came out this year [Logan])
• Untitled DC Film (June 2019) (WB) - 6/14
• Toy Story 4 (BV) - 6/21
• Cowboy Ninja Viking (Uni.) - 6/28 (currently starring Chris Pratt, IIRC)
• Transformers 7 (Par.) - 6/28

July (Details)
• Spider-Man: Homecoming 2 (Sony) - 7/5
• Top Gun (2019) (Par.) - 7/12
• The Lion King (Live Action) (BV) - 7/19

John Wick 3 just added itself to this logjam in what was really the only open spot for it (unless Paramount backs off of that Transformers date, which is theoretically possible if they haven't figured out their reboot direction in enough time next year).
 
cut better promos.
mother!'s promos are super weird in that, I have no fucking clue what it's gonna be about. And that's fine, in fact I welcome it, but they're cut up so weird the trailer felt like a straight up TV ad.

For what it's worth, I saw the trailer for the first time in front of it, so I'm basing this off of what little marketing I've seen beyond the initial poster.
Doing my part and seeing mother! Saturday
It's all about those PREVIEW NUMBERS

You gonna let our Lord and Savior, Aronofsky, down like that?
 
John Wick 3 just added itself to this logjam in what was really the only open spot for it (unless Paramount backs off of that Transformers date, which is theoretically possible if they haven't figured out their reboot direction in enough time next year).

What exactly is the logic behind John Wick trying to fight it out in summer? Are they hoping the franchise gets a boost? Just seems odd to me. That movie could've been the star attraction of an August or February.
 
Yeah, Wick seems like the sort of thing you drop in a month that isn't crowded as hell. Yes, its awareness is way higher than it was on the first, and people really like these movies, but throwing it into the summer blockbuster grinder seems...

...I dunno. Then again, Baby Driver cleared 100mil in basically the same position. So who knows.
 
What exactly is the logic behind John Wick trying to fight it out in summer? Are they hoping the franchise gets a boost? Just seems odd to me. That movie could've been the star attraction of an August or February.

Yeah, Wick seems like the sort of thing you drop in a month that isn't crowded as hell. Yes, its awareness is way higher than it was on the first, and people really like these movies, but throwing it into the summer blockbuster grinder seems...

...I dunno. Then again, Baby Driver cleared 100mil in basically the same position. So who knows.

Aren't they still developing that spin-off series about the Assassin's Guild or something like that? I feel like the move to summer may be about setting up the whole "John Wick universe" more prominently to help get something like that off the ground.
 
We thinking this announcement about IT getting a director's cut w/ 15 minutes reinstated is basically how they excuse the re-expansion at the end of Halloween?

Or will they not have it ready by then.

Probably won't have it ready by then.

But if they did...
 
We thinking this announcement about IT getting a director's cut w/ 15 minutes reinstated is basically how they excuse the re-expansion at the end of Halloween?

Or will they not have it ready by then.

Probably won't have it ready by then.

But if they did...

I've not heard about this? Any links?
 
Why did Disney want Episode 9 out in May that year when they already had all that? It would have been overkill
They've been trying to get Star Wars in May since the beginning, and it made sense to me exactly once (TLJ initially targeting the 40th anniversary).

It still blows my mind that fucking Han Solo is the one that will finally do it, given its ridiculous production and the fact that they seem hellbent on getting Howard enough footage to stamp out Lord and Miller's director credits.
 
We thinking this announcement about IT getting a director's cut w/ 15 minutes reinstated is basically how they excuse the re-expansion at the end of Halloween?

Or will they not have it ready by then.

Probably won't have it ready by then.

But if they did...

The movie will still be kicking around in theaters by that time and I'd imagine they wouldn't stick in an all new version of the movie while the original is only a month old.

Hold that stuff for a year and get everyone to double dip on Bluray purchases Rogue Cut-style.
 
We thinking this announcement about IT getting a director's cut w/ 15 minutes reinstated is basically how they excuse the re-expansion at the end of Halloween?

Or will they not have it ready by then.

Probably won't have it ready by then.

But if they did...

You've got leatherface and jigsaw in mid- to late-October. Maybe it gets a re-expansion around Halloween but it has much stiffer genre competition.
 
We can get a Transformers renaissance if Travis Knight manages to knock Bumblebee out of the park (or at the very least make it bearable). Not sure if getting Michael Bay's stink off of the franchise for the first time in over a decade is enough to get people's attention, but at the very least it'll be different.

Side-note: is Laika dead? Wikipedia's got them pegged for a 2018 movie but there were some troubling things going around a while back.
 
I bet Kswistion's Canadian citizenship Ryan Reynolds will
be a clone/copy of Harrison Ford.
in Bomb....I mean Bladerunner
 
I think there's definitely room in the marketplace for a version of The Shining that adheres more to the book (which the miniseries tried, but couldn't really pull off for other reasons).

Any future Shining adaptation would probably end up veering closer to Kubrick's version anyways. Much to King's chagrin.
 
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