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[Rymuth]

Oh NPD day, how I've missed thee~

I need to pick up some sweetened popcorn on the way back from the dentist (there is no irony there, shut up!)

 

[Rosur]

Will Shadow of Mordor be mentioned? As it was only out on the last 3 days of September.

 

[Goldmund]

I can't believe the thread about Pachter's predictions has drawn so much interest. Why is it that that thread is huge while the NPD prediction thread (the thread where actual sales predictions and and information are discussed) is so small? After venturing into the other thread for a while I just want to thank all of you in this thread for your logical and well thought analysis. It's always a pleasure conversing and debating the reasoning behind sales number/predictions with you all. Even though I'm sometimes getting schooled it's always great learning more and hearing more about what is going on in the industry in my home country while I'm working abroad. To sum up, these threads are the most fascinating part of GAF imho. So cheers to you all!

I just hope we can continue our reasonable discourse in the NPD results thread amidst the probable plethora of Pachter posts.

Oh and good luck to you all with your predictions! May the best man/woman win!

That thread would have been even worse if Aquamarine hadn't intervened and directed the discussion into the right (or more acceptable) channels.

 

[Conduit]

This is going to be fun.

What does it mean? Some surprises?

 

[Welfare]

Oh boy! NPD day!

Please MS, have some PR.

 

[quetz67]

Oh boy! NPD day!

Please MS, have some PR.

MS PR is easy: "Well know video game market analyst Michael Pachter said XBox One will be top selling console for the month of September"

 

[Miles X]

What does it mean? Some surprises?

I very much doubt it. Status quo. PS4 > XB1 > WiiU

 

[stryke]

What does it mean? Some surprises?

She wrote that hours ago. Probably still hasn't got the report yet.

 

[IAmRandom31]

MS PR is easy: "Well know video game market analyst Michael Pachter said XBox One will be top selling console for the month of September"

Nah it'll be something like, " Xbox One was the top selling standard console SKU this month! "

Something like that I could see lol.

 

[Jimmyfenix]

Hopefully we move into the Full Season this month and not Pre season.

 

[On Demand]

Hopefully we move into the Full Season this month and not Pre season.

Iunderstoodthatreferencegjpeg.

 

[Radec]

Nah it'll be something like, " Xbox One was the top selling standard console SKU this month! "

Something like that I could see lol.

Xbox One was the top selling Xbox console this month!

 

[Welfare]

I very much doubt it. Status quo. PS4 > XB1 > WiiU

But what if PS4 > XB1 > 360 > WiiU?

 

[Jimmyfenix]

Due to smash 3DS might be number 3.

 

[shinra-bansho]

Smash > fifa

Madden x1 > Madden ps4 I am basing this on the x1 version being on sale.

I think hyrule warriors will be number 8 on the software list.

I will write up my top ten later in the day.

The top ten overwhelmingly features multiplatform titles because it's a combined all-formats chart. There are several new multiplats releasing (Destiny, NHL, FIFA, Infinity 2, Mordor) as well as the mainstays/likely holdovers that released in August (Madden, Diablo) or prior (Minecraft, Ghosts, Watch_Dogs, Lego Marvel, perhaps TLOU).

So I really can't see a Wii U exclusive musou game breaking into the bunch.

 

[Aces&Eights]

As I am done with the game, I'm curious to see how the Destiny bundle did. If it brought in crazy numbers that means we will see more and more bundles in the future and that is a good thing. Black and red Bloodborne bundle? Hell, yes!

 

[Into]

Its like a Nightmare on Elm street dream, you will fall sleep in front of your computer waiting for NPD today, then seemingly wake up and walk to the kitchen to get a Xbox sponsored Mountain Dew, as you move toward your kitchen, the floor opens with stars descend into the netherworld, to your shock you will suddenly descend into a boiler room, as steam is coming out of the cold, hard steel floor, a blueish color ever so pervasive, and whispers in the air of ".the last...guardian..", as you try to find the exit, a shadowy figure appears in the distance, cackling, its Kaz Hirai, who you mocked and abused during PS3 days, now back for a vengeance.

Then you wake up, startled, seeing that the PS4 outsold the Xbox One, and your only post is "just wait until Halo MCC", you shut the computer off and go ly down.

 

[Jimmyfenix]

NPD results > Dissertation

 

[theprodigy]

 

[Welfare]

I think I might be asleep when PR rolls around. Going to have to fight the temptation.

 

[Ty4on]

NPD drops 00:30 CEST so my brilliant idea is to wake up at 3 and hopefully get the important stuff with me. I have something to motivate me out of bed

 

[Aquamarine]

Due to smash 3DS might be number 3.

Probably (due to the relative weakness of other systems), but not on its own merits.

We've had many other instances in the past where the release of a huge game didn't really move the needle hardware-wise when it came out for a very-established system.

The 3DS is on its way out...it's reaching saturation point, at least until the New 3DS makes its way onto the shelves.

That's why I didn't predict much of a hardware bump from Smash.

 

[theprodigy]

Due to smash 3DS might be number 3.

3DS has been #3 the whole year (except May) though?

or am I reading this wrong

 

[Jomjom]

Xbox One was the top selling Xbox console this month!

This month is easy.

"Xbox One was the top selling console in September by 75,000 units over its closest competitor." *


* Source: Michael Pachter, Wedbush Securities**





** Predicted numbers.

Their PR should type the double asterisk in incredibly small font and hide it somewhere.

 

[Bgamer90]

Its like a Nightmare on Elm street dream, you will fall sleep in front of your computer waiting for NPD today, then seemingly wake up and walk to the kitchen to get a Xbox sponsored Mountain Dew, as you move toward your kitchen, the floor opens with stars descend into the netherworld, to your shock you will suddenly descend into a boiler room, as steam is coming out of the cold, hard steel floor, a blueish color ever so pervasive, and whispers in the air of ".the last...guardian..", as you try to find the exit, a shadowy figure appears in the distance, cackling, its Kaz Hirai, who you mocked and abused during PS3 days, now back for a vengeance.

Then you wake up, startled, seeing that the PS4 outsold the Xbox One, and your only post is "just wait until Halo MCC", you shut the computer off and go ly down.

Uh, what? (Haha)

 

[idlewild_]

NPD drops 00:30 CEST so my brilliant idea is to wake up at 3 and hopefully get the important stuff with me. I have something to motivate me out of bed

depends on what you're after. you'd find out which console sold best around that time, but any number leaks won't be for several hours afterwards.

 

[zarmena]

Does anyone know when the results drop?

 

[Loudninja]

Does anyone know when the results drop?

6 hours 43 minutes.

 

[Ty4on]

depends on what you're after. you'd find out which console sold best around that time, but any number leaks won't be for several hours afterwards.

School first starts at 10 so I have plenty of time. Last time I got everything except 3DS before that and 3DS came before I went to bed.

I'm used to the slow pace

 

[AniHawk]

forgot to post my predictions but here's what i think:

great month:
ps4: 500k+
xb1: 300k+
wii u: 120k+

good month:
ps4: 400k-500k
xb1: 250k-300k
wii u: 100k-120k

decent month (should at least hit these):
ps4: 300k-400k
xb1: 200k-250k
wii u: 80k-100k

underwhelming month:
ps4: 250k-300k
xb1: 150k-200k
wii u: 60k-80k

oh my god we're having a fire
sale:
ps4: 200k-250k (or lower)
xb1: 120k-150k (or lower)
wii u: 40k-60k (or lower)

i expect the ps4 to have a good month and the xb1 to have a decent one. the wii u should have a decent one too, but it could also be underwhelming. kind of depends what the bundles did and if hyrule warriors raised any interest among zelda fans who didn't buy the console last year.

 

[shinra-bansho]

forgot to post my predictions but here's what i think:.

What about bizzarro-world month?

xb1: 300k-400k
ps4: 200k-250k
wii u: 80k-100k

 

[Bluekaveli]

Oh NPD day, how I've missed thee~

I need to pick up some sweetened popcorn on the way back from the dentist (there is no irony there, shut up!)

Lol!

 

[allan-bh]

If Pachter is right (0.0000001% of chance), the world will collapse.

 

[jayu26]

If Pachter is right (0.0000001% of chance), the world will collapse.

If Pachter is right I will never trust my instincts ever again...probably.

 

[womfalcs3]

I actually have a feeling Pachter is right. Xbox sales in the US are bound to explode. I think a lot of 360 owners were waiting for a worthwhile deal.


It's not probable but wouldn't be surprising.

 

[Blanquito]

I actually have a feeling Pachter is right. Xbox sales in the US are bound to explode. I think a lot of 360 owners were waiting for a worthwhile deal.


It's not probable but wouldn't be surprising.

Uh... ok.

 

[Crimson_Fate]

If Pachter is right (0.0000001% of chance), the world will collapse.

 

[Jimmyfenix]

But Yusuf told me other wise.

 

[2thepoint]

If Xbox One outsells PS4, the Earth's magnetic field will shift.

 

[idlewild_]

Will Shadow of Mordor be mentioned? As it was only out on the last 3 days of September.

Shadow of Mordor had 5 days in this tracking period, it will probably make the top 10 list.

 

[JetBlackPanda]

This is it folks, this is the big one.

 

[Tubie]

If Pachter is right (0.0000001% of chance), the world will collapse.

The results thread will be a bloodbath if that happens.

Spoiler

I really hope it happens.

 

[IAmRandom31]

If Pachter is right (0.0000001% of chance), the world will collapse.

If he is right I will sign off the internet and only come back when I need help from Gamefaqs

Hell I dont even expect it to be close. Like, 150-200K difference type not even close.

 

[barit]

It´s coming

 

[Birgitte2004]

I actually have a feeling Pachter is right. Xbox sales in the US are bound to explode. I think a lot of 360 owners were waiting for a worthwhile deal.


It's not probable but wouldn't be surprising.

The issue with Pachter's results isn't his Xbox One total. It's his PS4 total. He gives no real reason why the weekly average outside of Destiny week would go down for the month of September.

So Xbox sales being "bound to explode" has nothing to with whether Pachter is right or not.

 

[Friend of Sonic]

I'm rather excited for NPD this month. I kind of want Xbox One to be on a downward spiral to make for some exciting deals on Black Friday

 

[Devilgunman]

It will be fun if PS4 comes up on top and Sony PR takes a little jab on Pachter's prediction.

 

[TrebuchetGames]

This is going to be an exciting NPD, just because we are now heading into the busy period, and this is where sales should improve across the board.

This should be our first indication of how the next few months might go... cannot wait, shame it will be around 11.30 at night in the UK when the first data comes out, because I really need to go into work early tomorrow...doh.

 

[Welfare]

So I guess you could say this months NPD will be, at the very least, interesting.

 

[Shadow_FFVI]

I actually have a feeling Pachter is right. Xbox sales in the US are bound to explode. I think a lot of 360 owners were waiting for a worthwhile deal.


It's not probable but wouldn't be surprising.

But on Destiny month? That´s the part that makes that scenario shocking.