GribbleGrunger
Dreams in Digital
When do the results actually drop?
September 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes October 13th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
Trust me. I'm a PhD
Member
Late! The 19th according to the OP.
archnemesis
Member
[3DS] 145k
[PS4] 345k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 245k
[PS4] 345k
[WIU] 75k
[XB1] 245k
Giriath_89
Member
[3DS] 112k
[PS4] 307k
[WIU] 83k
[XB1] 243k
First time prediction!
[PS4] 307k
[WIU] 83k
[XB1] 243k
First time prediction!
XB1 is really doomed if will sell under 1k this month.
That's the japanese prediction.
Whaaat?! Where did that 100% increase come from?
1% of China invaded Japan.
Being a bit more IT: anyone else thinking that there's not that much enthusiasm before Assassin's Creed: Syndacate's release? I don't want to judge its sales 11 days before the release, especially by using Amazon.com only as an index, but I thought we would've seen one SKU in top 100 already.
I think Assassins Creed's popularity is waning big time especially after the disastrous launch of Unity. The concept and gameplay are starting to feel stale to a lot of people. They're getting tired of the same old Ubi open world formula. The series will need a major overhaul if they expect it to continue being a cash cow for them.
Welfare
Member
I think how this title will do will be almost dependant on word of mouth and good reviews. Initial wave of sales will be big, but the legs will be hit if this game is not seen as an improvement over Unity.
Lol I think Gaf's hivemind for AC syndicate not doing great is extremely exaggerated. Did folks not see the Nielsen most anticipated games thread where AC syndicate ranked third or something?
People love these annual releases and will be quick to forget gripes that happened last year with AC.
KillerMan91
Member
[3DS] 155k
[PS4] 360k
[WIU] 70k
[XB1] 270k
[PS4] 360k
[WIU] 70k
[XB1] 270k
slavesnyder
Member
Also, there is not much 3rd person open world (GTA formula).
Nearest would be
Fallout (not 3rd person and too much RPG),
Drake Collection (not open world + exclusive)
Tomb Raider (not open world + exclusive)
rest seems to be FPS
AC will not be game of the season, but will do fine.
agreed. Pretending to be cool while murdering virtual people in expensive 3d environments is why people play retail aaa games, and that is what asscreed is all about. Moreover, the only people bored of asscreed were born before 1995 and that isn't who determines the success of these games.
Man-is-Obsolete
Member
[3DS] 111k
[PS4] 365k
[WIU] 51k
[XB1] 250k
This could be just anecdotal but I don't think Halo has anywhere near the hype many here have concluded. It will do big numbers, but from what I have seen Destiny, Battlefront, COD, and Fallout (for the WRPGers) seem to be outstripping the discussion for Halo.
[PS4] 365k
[WIU] 51k
[XB1] 250k
This could be just anecdotal but I don't think Halo has anywhere near the hype many here have concluded. It will do big numbers, but from what I have seen Destiny, Battlefront, COD, and Fallout (for the WRPGers) seem to be outstripping the discussion for Halo.
Yeah. TBH AC Syndicate is offering something pretty unique compared to the other holiday games. Sure the gameplay/story/world etc is stale as old bread but I think mainstream is just happy to be an assassin for 20-30 odd hours.
Bingo. Let's not kid ourselves, Ubi struck gold with their game design for the franchise and its adoption in the mainstream.
Sales may dwindle but it's still a top dog on the charts.
panda-zebra
Member
[3DS] 111k
[PS4] 333k
[WIU] 55.5k
[XB1] 222k
[PS4] 333k
[WIU] 55.5k
[XB1] 222k
Hmm I thought it said "we almost have as many orders for Halo 5 as we do for COD on XB1" He then states that PS4 order are higher.
We really won't know much until after this month.
PanicFreak
Member
I guess that's correct. I didn't read it very carefully.
slavesnyder
Member
Then it should be:
Halo 5 = COD Xbox
Halo 5 < COD PS4
COD Xbox < COD PS4
so
Halo 5 < 1/2 COD
that does not sound very much.
Welfare
Member
CoD on Xbox always outsells Halo. They will probably be closer this year though.
PanicFreak
Member
Well is Call of Duty sells 15 or 20 million copies, 1/2 of that isn't anything to scoff at.
In the US, i think Halo will outsell both COD for PS4 and XB1. WW, COD PS4 will probabily win.
Straight Edge
Member
[3DS] 110k
[PS4] 380k
[WIU] 70k
[XB1] 265k
[PS4] 380k
[WIU] 70k
[XB1] 265k
BlackBuzzard
Banned
[3DS] 105k
[PS4] 394k
[WIU] 82k
[XB1] 312k
[PS4] 394k
[WIU] 82k
[XB1] 312k
slavesnyder
Member
Well, abdiel said something else.
But he is just one sample of course.
About COD PS4 selling more than Halo worldwide ... I think that's a given.
Probabily haha, but never say never!
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Member
thanks for bumping the thread
slavesnyder
Member
You are welcome.
Let's hear your opinion about September 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions.
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Member
hmm lately ive been off with the numbers but september's NPD i have no doubt is sony's (posted/edited my numbers in page 2)
slavesnyder
Member
Pew, just checked your numbers out of curiosity (page 3).
Such low WiiU numbers. It saddens me to see this.
Even sadder: you might be right.
Nevertheless i hope mario can lift WiiU above 70k or so.
Or: will WiiU sales in September be higher than the gap between PS4 and XB1?
No, PS4 / XB1 is gonna be >100k this month, Mario Maker will boost Wii U, but not so much.
For fun, here the months with PS4 at >50% marketshare ( Or, PS4 > XB1 + WIU )
November 13: 50.1%
January 14: 58.8%
April 14: 54.8%
May 14: 58.8%
September 14: 59.2%
October 14: 56.6%
March 15: 51.5%
slavesnyder
Member
Skipping through the predictions, there is a bunch of people who predict
PS4 - XBOX < WiiU
slavesnyder
Member
Are the years correct?
None in '15?
Well, they may be right they may be wrong haha, personally, i really don't see Wii U and XB1 beat PS4, can happen, but i don't see Wii U at 100k or XB1 at 300k, and i think PS4 will be above 400k, so seem hard for me PS4 < XB1 + WIU... but hey, we'll see.
Woops, my bad, March 2014 is March 2015 haha. March 2014 has PS4 with 49.3% marketshare.
theprodigy
Member
oh yeah? Wii U had a full year of 100% marketshare!
Kappa
(also just for fun, Xbox One had one month of >50% marketshare, November 2014)
IAmRandom31
Banned
always horrible at these but meh, why not
[3DS] 120k
[WIU] 89k
[XB1] 250k
[PS4] 450k
Think MGSV and Destiny will bump the PS4 pretty good.
Next month will be real interesting. I've been watching all the major sporting events / show premieres going on and see tons of PS4 commercials all the time. Between the taco bell golden PS4 thing and the Nathan Drake collection, seen the commercials during MLB playoffs, NFL games, sunday night football, the voice, Walking Dead, etc.
[3DS] 120k
[WIU] 89k
[XB1] 250k
[PS4] 450k
Think MGSV and Destiny will bump the PS4 pretty good.
Next month will be real interesting. I've been watching all the major sporting events / show premieres going on and see tons of PS4 commercials all the time. Between the taco bell golden PS4 thing and the Nathan Drake collection, seen the commercials during MLB playoffs, NFL games, sunday night football, the voice, Walking Dead, etc.
Wii U domination.
Wonder if XB1 will even beat again PS4 and Wii U combined in a month. Some months ago i thought October was a given with Halo 5, but now with the PS4 pricedrop i'm not even sure if XB1 will beat PS4 alone, no way it beat both Wii U and PS4 haha.
slavesnyder
Member
Okay, already thought something like that.
But you see that 2014 was really heavily towards PS4, while 2015 so far was not as extreme. Call it hardselling Xbox, weak PS4, off season or saviour spencer.
Personally, I also predicted a 100k+ gap, but it's not for sure.
Similar threads
- Poll