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[Cornbread78]

Anyone here live or have freinds or fam in NH? Who they voting for?

So far, there are only two of us GAFfers in NH.

My dad is a "politician" and is about as far right as you can get and supports Cruz. My mother will automatically parrot that choice.

I'm IND, but work in the insurance industry so I tend to lean right because of the big lie, called ACA.

 

[Miles X]

Preliminary exit poll results from ABC. These seem to be trickling out.

Has any other candidate agreed with Trump on that? Cos if not that shows a lot of support for him ...

 

[KuwabaraTheMan]

Preliminary exit poll results from ABC. These seem to be trickling out.

Late decisions would probably be bad for Rubio.

Probably also bad for Trump going by Iowa late deciders, although that second poll would seem to indicate more support for him.

 

[Manmademan]

Has any other candidate agreed with Trump on that? Cos if not that shows a lot of support for him ...

yeah I was about to say. Trump fucking landslide if there's any correlation

 

[RPGCrazied]

For how much you participate in Trump threads I would think you'd dig that. They air Trump stuff for the same reason there are so many Trump threads on gaf.

Dig that? No. They pander. I don't want to see them pander Trump. Who can just call in by phone, and give 40 minute interviews.

 

[numble]

Late decisions would probably be bad for Rubio.

Probably also bad for Trump going by Iowa late deciders, although that second poll would seem to indicate more support for him.

They are polling the same people.

 

[Rubenov]

Any good live coverage streams of this?

 

[Tesseract]

So far, there are only two of us GAFfers in NH.

My dad is a "politician" and is about as far right as you can get and supports Cruz. My mother will automatically parrot that choice.

I'm IND, but work in the insurance industry so I tend to lean right because of the big lie, called ACA.

are you fairly confident in your certainty that aca is poop butt? no judging here, merely curious.

 

[brochiller]

Preliminary exit poll results from ABC. These seem to be trickling out.

Jesus no wonder Trump is doing so well there.

 

[ShadowKingpin]

What time can we expect results?

 

[cpp_is_king]

Has any other candidate agreed with Trump on that? Cos if not that shows a lot of support for him ...

Are you asking fi they agree with him or if they've said they agree with him?

 

[gutter_trash]

So far, there are only two of us GAFfers in NH.

My dad is a "politician" and is about as far right as you can get and supports Cruz. My mother will automatically parrot that choice.

I'm IND, but work in the insurance industry so I tend to lean right because of the big lie, called ACA.

you're not independent, you're a Republican who doesn't have the balls to register as a Republican

 

[Miles X]

Are you asking fi they agree with him or if they've said they agree with him?

Either or? Any indication to the public they're all for banning muslims basically?

 

[Dicer]

So far, there are only two of us GAFfers in NH.

My dad is a "politician" and is about as far right as you can get and supports Cruz. My mother will automatically parrot that choice.

I'm IND, but work in the insurance industry so I tend to lean right because of the big lie, called ACA.

Me here as well, both people here voted Bern

 

[cpp_is_king]

Either or? Any indication to the public they're all for banning muslims basically?

Indication, no. But I suspect a lot of them agree with him deep down, they're just afraid to say anything because only Trump can get away with that.

I honestly think that when Trump says <insert-crazy-thing-here> his polls automatically shoot up, and if the next day Ted Cruz says exactly the same thing, his poll numbers would go down.

 

[Miles X]

Indication, no. But I suspect a lot of them agree with him deep down, they're just afraid to say anything because only Trump can get away with that.

I honestly think that when Trump says <insert-crazy-thing-here> his polls automatically shoot up, and if the next day Ted Cruz says exactly the same thing, his poll numbers would go down.

I think it's because Trump seems honest (I know right) because of the fact he says what he wants. Which means (whether true or not) he can tell the nation he doesn't hate muslims it's just in their best interest. Cruz saying it .. well he couldn't spin it any other way other than vitriol.

 

[Tesseract]

Me here as well, both people here voted Bern

oh, okay. that was quite a scary swerve.

 

[Izuna]

I've whipped a Bern vote.

Thank me later US.

 

[LaserBuddha]

So far, there are only two of us GAFfers in NH.

My dad is a "politician" and is about as far right as you can get and supports Cruz. My mother will automatically parrot that choice.

I'm IND, but work in the insurance industry so I tend to lean right because of the big lie, called ACA.

I work in the insurance industry too and all I can say is BWAHAHA.

 

[RPGCrazied]

I've whipped a Bern vote.

Thank me later US.

Was there a lot of them there? Bernie supporters I mean.

 

[Dicer]

oh, okay. that was quite a scary swerve.

My ward was quite busy as well. And it was pre let out of work time...

 

[Spoiled Milk]

My prediction for NH Dems: Sanders wins with less than a 5% spread.

 

[Izuna]

Was there a lot of them there? Bernie supporters I mean.

Mind you, I did this from the UK over Skype. I wouldn't know for the rest.

http://abcnews.go.com/live <-- live streamssszzz (watchable outside US)

 

[RPGCrazied]

Mind you, I did this from the UK over Skype. I wouldn't know for the rest.

http://abcnews.go.com/live <-- live streamssszzz (watchable outside US)

Oh. I bet foreigners are having a time with our election this year. Does it seem like reality TV?

 

[Aurizen]

is th Microsoft polling gonna be available? or one similar to it?

 

[Miles X]

Oh. I bet foreigners are having a time with our election this year. Does it seem like reality TV?

No it's just, much more entertaining. I know more about how US politics work than my own country's.

 

[Dicer]

My prediction for NH Dems: Sanders wins with less than a 5% spread.

No way he doesn't get a double digit win here, also we had a lone trump guy outside...

 

[Izuna]

Oh. I bet foreigners are having a time with our election this year. Does it seem like reality TV?

Everyone is aware of Trump.

And the left-wing here are interested in Bernie at least.

I probably pay more attention than the average American. XD

 

[Acosta]

Oh. I bet foreigners are having a time with our election this year. Does it seem like reality TV?

It´s absolutely fascinating, I know more of elections and politicians in USA that my own country.

 

[danm999]

My prediction for NH Dems: Sanders wins with less than a 5% spread.

I would be shocked if Sanders win fell into a single digit lead.

 

[Linkyn]

Oh. I bet foreigners are having a time with our election this year. Does it seem like reality TV?

50 / 50 split between entertainment and hoping whoever gets the gig doesn't mess up international affairs.

 

[Kyosaiga]

I would be shocked if Sanders win fell into a single digit lead.

If Sanders doesn't win by Double Digits I would advise him to throw in the towel.

Seriously.

 

[Manmademan]

I would be shocked if Sanders win fell into a single digit lead.

I wouldn't. independents breaking to vote for republicans in big numbers could absolutely do it. Given that the democratic race is supposed to easily go to sanders and the republican race (well...for #2 at least) is competitive, this could absolutely be a thing.

 

[ivysaur12]

If Sanders doesn't win in double digits, that would pretty much be the end of his campaign. He's also built an expectation game where has sort of has to run train, or else his win becomes sort of meaningless in its impact in states that are not as friendly towards him.

 

[Spoiled Milk]

I would be shocked if Sanders win fell into a single digit lead.

No way he doesn't get a double digit win here, also we had a lone trump guy outside...

Prepare to be shocked!

 

[CitizenCope]

Anyone here live or have freinds or fam in NH? Who they voting for?

My dad and his wife live up there. They are Sanders supporters, bumper sticker and all.

 

[Damaniel]

Prepare to be shocked!

Nah, I'm a Hillary supporter and I don't think she has much of a chance of getting it to single digits. That said, if she does then Bernie's campaign is on shaky ground. In what should be Bernie's strongest state, anything less than a double digit win is underperforming.

 

[Izuna]

I've learnt that ABC live streams are always late...

EDIT: It's up!

 

[nib95]

If Sanders doesn't win in double digits, that would pretty much be the end of his campaign. He's also built an expectation game where has sort of has to run train, or else his win becomes sort of meaningless in its impact in states that are not as friendly towards him.

Was Sanders leading Hilary by double digits in all polls in the last few months or something?

 

[teruterubozu]

If Sanders doesn't win in double digits, that would pretty much be the end of his campaign. He's also built an expectation game where has sort of has to run train, or else his win becomes sort of meaningless in its impact in states that are not as friendly towards him.

The media won't let it happen. Even if he wins by a small margin the story will be that Hillary's in trouble or whatever. I bet they even have the articles pre-loaded and ready to go.

 

[Cornbread78]

are you fairly confident in your certainty that aca is poop butt? no judging here, merely curious.

Briefly/generally:

As it's currently constituted, yes.

Reform was needed, but it was not done correctly and fully. The band-aid approach instituted, rather than attacking/fixing the full issue has created more issues as seen by most major carriers pulling out of the exchanges.

For example, until "for-profit" hospitals and pharmaceutical companies are held accountable for their part of it, there will continue to be issues. Also, some of the changes (no pre-x, etc) have opened a ton of fraud/exploitation of Obama care from non US citizens. Non-profits playing Robin Hood do not help the situation, lol.

Tough to articulate in short form, but yeah, change was needed, we just didn't get it the right way.

 

[Veritigo_X]

Was Sanders leading Hilary by double digits in all polls in the last few months or something?

Yeah, he was leading by a good amount.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-presidential-democratic-primary

 

[KuwabaraTheMan]

Was Sanders leading Hilary by double digits in all polls in the last few months or something?

Not all polls, but most of them have had him leading by double digits. A few even had the lead over 30.

Single digit lead would be a bad outcome for Sanders. Anything over 10% is good for him, and 20+ would be great.

 

[Blader]

I wouldn't. independents breaking to vote for republicans in big numbers could absolutely do it. Given that the democratic race is supposed to easily go to sanders and the republican race (well...for #2 at least) is competitive, this could absolutely be a thing.

Why would Independents breaking for GOP put Sanders into a single-digit margin of victory? Wouldn't those independents, if they vote Dem, be more likely to go for Hillary than Sanders?

 

[Nipo]

Preliminary exit poll results from ABC. These seem to be trickling out.

Preliminary exit polls (ones out before poll closing) aren't always a good indicator since people who are able to vote before 5PM are significantly different than those who have to vote after work.

 

[AlphaDump]

Briefly/generally:

As it's currently constituted, yes.

Reform was needed, but it was not done correctly and fully. The band-aid approach instituted, rather than attacking/fixing the full issue has created more issues as seen by most major carriers pulling out of the exchanges.

For example, until "for-profit" hospitals and pharmaceutical companies are held accountable for their part of it, there will continue to be issues. Also, some of the changes (no pre-x, etc) have opened a ton of fraud/exploitation of Obama care from non US citizens. Non-profits playing Robin Hood do not help the situation, lol.

Tough to articulate in short form, but yeah, change was needed, we just didn't get it the right way.

How has your company performed on the market since the ACA was enacted? Genuinely curious.

Was the mass pullout of providers politically motivated or was it in response to the market?

 

[besada]

The OP for these things ought to try and incorporate streaming links into the OP.

 

[Nipo]

Why would Independents breaking for GOP put Sanders into a single-digit margin of victory? Wouldn't those independents, if they vote Dem, be more likely to go for Hillary than Sanders?

NH is weird. Independent doesn't correlate with moderate as highly as it does in other states. I haven't checked the data recently but "independent" was the largest group for a long time because people in NH like being able to chose which primary they'll vote in. For example my leftist friends are going to vote for Trump instead of Sanders because A) Sanders polling make it look like he is asure thing in the state and B) Trump seems easy to beat in the fall.

 

[Spoiled Milk]

Nah, I'm a Hillary supporter and I don't think she has much of a chance of getting it to single digits. That said, if she does then Bernie's campaign is on shaky ground. In what should be Bernie's strongest state, anything less than a double digit win is underperforming.

She was closing ground up until the last poll. I have faith in that velocity.

Bernie Sanders pulled a similar surprise with that tie in Iowa despite the polls.

 

[Damaniel]

Was Sanders leading Hilary by double digits in all polls in the last few months or something?

He's been up by 20 or more in some polls. It's tightened quite a bit, but there's still a huge gap between them.