2 Super 2 Tuesday |OT| I'm Really Feeling (The Bern) (3/15, 3/22, 3/26 Contests)

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That's hilarious, thanks for sharing. But I'm really curious what the actual footage is. What spooked him? And what caused his bodyguard to jump into action?

Tyler Pedigo's predictions:
https://tylerpedigo.com/2016/03/15/democratic-primary-projections-super-tuesday-2/

He claims 2 are basically locked for Sanders, 2 are definitely locked for Clinton, and 1 is a coin flip. Let's go, high voter turnout!

No line?

People not feeling the bern?

Wait until after work. Polling places don't get busy until then.
 
No line?

People not feeling the bern?

There was a line, there were probably like 5-6 people in front of me. There were not too many younger voters there; I saw around 2-3 people that looked close to my age (I'm 25). Still, I work evenings, so maybe younger voters will turn up after they get off work/school.

You know, if they show up at all.
 
Candidates staying in helps Trump. He loses one on ones with Cruz. If Kasich takes Ohio and stays in, he keeps doing what he's been doing. Splitting the not-Trump vote and letting Trump amass delegates.

Basically, the only path I see at this point for a Trump loss is this. Rubio drops out after Florida, Kasich wins Ohio, but drops out anyway, since he'll likely be mathematically eliminated tonight. It becomes Cruz v. Trump and voters begrudgingly go for Cruz. It stays a close race, and either one of them wins outright, just barely, or they both go to the convention with ~45% of the delegates each.

Either way, the GOP is stuck with Trump or Cruz.

Is he actually still losing one on one in the polls against Cruz?
 
Voted here in Chicago. In a lot of the races here the Democratic primary is the most important election since the winners of the primary are almost guaranteed to win the general.
 
Tyler Pedigo's predictions:
https://tylerpedigo.com/2016/03/15/democratic-primary-projections-super-tuesday-2/

He claims 2 are basically locked for Sanders, 2 are definitely locked for Clinton, and 1 is a coin flip. Let's go, high voter turnout!
Why so much pandering for this guy? It seems rather silly for a completely random dude on Twitter (250 followers). He posts 5 ridiculously safe numbers for today, with no explanation of, well, anything. Pretty much anyone in PoliGAF could objectively make these estimates and nail it. He doesn't even have a Republican model.

Actually, let me throw up that exactly value for Clinton (51ish give or take a few) in Ohio for the GE right now and I'll probably get it within a few points! My revolutionary statistical model is "duh." Should I start up a blog for this?

And look at this crap:
Though the model seems to fit previous elections extremely well, the GOP elections are just far too volatile for me to have much confidence in the numbers.
"My model is right, unless it's wrong, and because it might be wrong I'm not showing you any of the numbers because it'd make me look bad." Genius!
 
Tyler Pedigo's predictions:
https://tylerpedigo.com/2016/03/15/democratic-primary-projections-super-tuesday-2/

He claims 2 are basically locked for Sanders, 2 are definitely locked for Clinton, and 1 is a coin flip. Let's go, high voter turnout!

I don't have a lot of hope Hillary is going to take Illinois.

Three upsets tomorrow will likely transform Bernie from “challenger” status to “probable nominee”status, and I say this because early numbers indicate to me that Bernie will win (at least) the next eight states in a row, all the way until April 19th.

This guy sure seems confident about this :p Still, I didn't realize this schedule. Looking at the states, he's probably right about him winning the next 8 unless I'm really wrong about Arizona. I wonder if minds will change when everyone sees Bernie winning so many states back to back. I'm not convinced considering the states that will follow, starting with New York.

I suppose this could conceivably drag out until June 7 and California, which has a staggering 546 delegates, which I frankly don't see going for Bernie no matter who has momentum.
 
That's hilarious, thanks for sharing. But I'm really curious what the actual footage is. What spooked him? And what caused his bodyguard to jump into action?

Tyler Pedigo's predictions:
https://tylerpedigo.com/2016/03/15/democratic-primary-projections-super-tuesday-2/

He claims 2 are basically locked for Sanders, 2 are definitely locked for Clinton, and 1 is a coin flip. Let's go, high voter turnout!



Wait until after work. Polling places don't get busy until then.
guy rushin the stage to attack him but didnt get on the stage . trump said they took him out hard

my favorite part is when they form a diamond around him that is the best gif moment to me

BmljJ9A.gif
needs four heads on them, maybe carson, chris and a couple more, palin
 
But, like Trump, really has no chance in a general election. The math just isn't there.

He just has to win Nevada, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina to win the general.

This is assuming he doesnt also win Iowa, Colorado, NH, Wisconsin.

Only swing states matter. Any republican has at least a 30% chance.
 
He just has to win Nevada, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina to win the general.

This is assuming he doesnt also win Iowa, Colorado, NH, Wisconsin.

Only swing states matter. Any republican has at least a 30% chance.
Doesn't have to win Nevada. And I wouldn't give either good odds to win Wisconsin.
 
voted for bernie in florida!


trump signs everywhere :(

Ohioan here, about to head out to vote! I live in Columbus and the most signs I've seen are either Sanders or Kasich. Although I did see my first Trump sign the other day and threw up a little bit. Those people aren't supposed to be in Columbus!
 
Ohioan here, about to head out to vote! I live in Columbus and the most signs I've seen are either Sanders or Kasich. Although I did see my first Trump sign the other day and threw up a little bit. Those people aren't supposed to be in Columbus!

lolol. i see a †rump bumper sticker everyday here in south florida.
 
Doesn't have to win Nevada. And I wouldn't give either good odds to win Wisconsin.

I mean yeah it depends on the exact split we are assuming for the swing states. My only point was that "nationwide demographics" don't matter that much when all you have to win are some of the swing states to win the general.
 
I'm sure others have done less. But for real, Trump single handily ended it. Same with jeb!

Guys like Scott Walker were smart to get out before the freight train targeted them. They can at least continue on with their lives in some capacity. Little Marco is going to have to run for mayor somewhere in Puerto Rico or something.
 
Just voted for the Sand Man at U of I. I could vote in my dorm so it was convenient. Seemed to be a steady stream of people at around noon.
 
Got my brother to register AND vote for Bernie.

Ridiculous how many states don't have same day registration .. Took like 5 minutes.
 
Let's list all of his legislative accomplishments:
"We'll let me just say, from protecting the people of Florida from eminent domain abuse, to bringing accountability to the VA and the Girls Count Act and sanctioning terrorist groups. I'm proud of my service in the U.S. Senate. I will say, if politics becomes about electing the one who has been in the Senate or congress the longest, we should all rally around Joe Biden"
 
guy rushin the stage to attack him but didnt get on the stage . trump said they took him out hard

my favorite part is when they form a diamond around him that is the best gif moment to me

BmljJ9A.gif
needs four heads on them, maybe carson, chris and a couple more, palin
Trump seemed ready to go fuck someone up those security guys are a mess tho lol
 
The other day I was on the highway and I saw an old car pulled over on the side with a home-made cardboard sign in the rear window that just read "TRUMP" in black marker. It wasn't even a clean sign either, the edges looked like it had been torn out of a larger piece of cardboard rather than cleanly cut with a knife. Plus it was raining that day. There was something so pathetic about the entire thing, it really bummed me out for like 10 minutes or so. It was the perfect summary image of what I imagine the life of a Trump supporter to be like.
 
After the smoke clears, whose political career/running for president again do you think Trump damaged the most?

Rubio, Bush or Cruz?

Rubio.

Cruz is only still in because of the Trump nonsense. During a normal year, he wouldn't have made it past February.

Bush can probably try again, he got whooped and wasted tons of cash with few results but I think the hit is harder if you make it to the big stage and lose. Dropping out early saved him.
 
He sure does talk tough, but turns into a kitten at the slightest problem. He was about to jet out of there so fast without a care in the world.

Never seen a guy sweat like that since Chris Christie called out Rubio. I mean, I've never seen anything like it!
 
Just voted for Bernie in Ohio. Actually rented a van and bussed in some elderly Bernie voters from out in the county who couldn't make it themselves to participate. So, +7 in Lawrence county. (+8 once my brother gets off work.)
 
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