2 Super 2 Tuesday |OT| I'm Really Feeling (The Bern) (3/15, 3/22, 3/26 Contests)

Status
Not open for further replies.
Bernie staying in is fine. He has to know that Hillary is the presumptive nominee, that cannot be lost on him. At the same time, the campaign gives him the stage to keep his topics in the national conversation, which is frankly a national service. It pulls Hillary leftward. He can stay in as long as he wants.

Now, given that Hillary is going to be the nominee, of course Bernie has to be careful not to provide ammunition for the other side, or to do or say things that would otherwise diminish Hillary in the general election. But assuming both candidates remain cordial and respective from here on to the inevitable end, let Bernie keep running. It's fine.

neither bernie nor his supporters gaf about that, this is a fight for human rights

the next debate is in april, dws shenanigans abound
 
I can't believe you guys grossly underestimate Trump so much. You seem to all assume Hillary will beat Trump - perhaps even by a landslide.
Remember when everyone said

"No way Trump is serious about running for president it's just a publicity stunt", and then later
"No way Trump will sustain his high poll numbers it will all collapse eventually like all joke candidates before him" and then
"No way Trump is coming back after losing Iowa. The so called "winner" is already a loser LOL" and then
"Trump is finished now after flirting with the KKK".
The list goes on and on... You could also mention the muslim ban or insulting John McCain. The normal rules of politics just don't seem work on Drumpf.

As an outsider not from the USA, with a degree in Political Science, Trump seems like the typical charismatic Right-wing populist combined with an unique skill to dominated the news cycle. Remember Trump has been in show business for decades now and understands how the media works better than any politician.
Clever democrats are not underestimating Trump and neither should you: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/democrats-on-donald-trump-threat-220118

Trump is a master at framing his opponent when he really wants to. "Low energy Jeb", "Little Marco", "Lyin Ted" etc. He will relentlessly go after Hillary with some childish nickname which will eventually stick.
In my life, besides Putin, I have never seen a more Machiavellian politician than Trump. I also think the rumours, that Trump learned about public speaking by keeping a collection of Hitler speeches by his bedside, are true.

There is still a long time until the General election. Most voters in the country are not paying attention right now or have a short memory and will have forgotten Trumps scandals by November. Of course democrats will do everything to remind voters of the KKK stuff etc. The truth is there still is plenty of time for him to pivot towards the General Election. Sure Trump has burned his bridges with liberals, but there still is plenty of time to mend the fences with moderates and conservatives sceptical of him.

I suspects it is correct when Trump claims he can put Rust-belt states like Michigan and Minnesota in play and increase turnout among white voters. I would not be surprised if Trump dramatically boost turnout with Republican leaning White working class voters. This is a group which has been drifting gradually away from the Democrats during Obama.

Will minorities rally around the Dems to stop Trump? Maybe. Will highly educated voters flee the vague promises of Trump towards the technocratic Clinton? It certainly is possible.
In my estimation there is at least a 30-40 % chance Trump defeats Hillary in a general election match up. Any one that thinks this will be a walk in the park victory is a bit of a fool imo. There only way democrats can win in the fall is if they start mobilizing all the passion and urgency they mustered in 2008.
Right now I'm not sure they are up to the task.
 
war

crimes

One can make a very cogent argument that decrying and tearing apart trade deals with little to no nuance is likely to negatively affect more lives across the World than errant drone strikes (which is what I think you're referring to when you say "war crimes"?)
 
I can't believe you guys grossly underestimate Trump so much. You seem to all assume Hillary will beat Trump - perhaps even by a landslide.
Remember when everyone said

"No way Trump is serious about running for president it's just a publicity stunt", and then later
"No way Trump will sustain his high poll numbers it will all collapse eventually like all joke candidates before him" and then
"No way Trump is coming back after losing Iowa. The so called "winner" is already a loser LOL" and then
"Trump is finished now after flirting with the KKK".
The list goes on and on... You could also mention the muslim ban or insulting John McCain. The normal rules of politics just don't seem work on Drumpf.

As an outsider not from the USA, with a degree in Political Science, Trump seems like the typical charismatic Right-wing populist combined with an unique skill to dominated the news cycle. Remember Trump has been in show business for decades now and understands how the media works better than any politician.
Clever democrats are not underestimating Trump and neither should you: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/democrats-on-donald-trump-threat-220118

Trump is a master at framing his opponent when he really wants to. "Low energy Jeb", "Little Marco", "Lyin Ted" etc. He will relentlessly go after Hillary with some childish nickname which will eventually stick.
In my life, besides Putin, I have never seen a more Machiavellian politician than Trump. I also think the rumours, that Trump learned about public speaking by keeping a collection of Hitler speeches by his bedside, are true.

There is still a long time until the General election. Most voters in the country are not paying attention right now or have a short memory and will have forgotten Trumps scandals by November. Of course democrats will do everything to remind voters of the KKK stuff etc. The truth is there still is plenty of time for him to pivot towards the General Election. Sure Trump has burned his bridges with liberals, but there still is plenty of time to mend the fences with moderates and conservatives sceptical of him.

I suspects it is correct when Trump claims he can put Rust-belt states like Michigan and Minnesota in play and increase turnout among white voters. I would not be surprised if Trump dramatically boost turnout with Republican leaning White working class voters. This is a group which has been drifting gradually away from the Democrats during Obama.

Will minorities rally around the Dems to stop Trump? Maybe. Will highly educated voters flee the vague promises of Trump towards the technocratic Clinton? It certainly is possible.
In my estimation there is at least a 30-40 % chance Trump defeats Hillary in a general election match up. Any one that thinks this will be a walk in the park victory is a bit of a fool imo. There only way democrats can win in the fall is if they start mobilizing all the passion and urgency they mustered in 2008.
Right now I'm not sure they are up to the task.
The difference between counting out Trump in the primary and counting him out in the general election can be summed as this:

To believe Trump would lose the primary would be to deny that the polls are right.

To believe Trump would win the general election would be to deny that the polls are right.

Everything you said is based on nothing but gut feeling. Look at the numbers.

Minnesota voting for Trump come the fuck on

For the record I never once counted out Trump as the GOP nominee.
 
One can make a very cogent argument that decrying and tearing apart trade deals with little to no nuance is likely to negatively affect more lives across the World than errant drone strikes (which is what I think you're referring to when you say "war crimes"?)

You're not wrong but I don't think anyone would (or could) just straight up cut out everybody without a moment's notice. Well, not Bernie anyway.

You can look at it another way, too. Even if Bernie gave literally no fucks about the rest of the world, such a thing would be very unlikely to get passed.

More errant drone strikes (a mild way to put it, but sure), on the other hand? Nobody's gonna stop that shit. /:
 
There aren't enough white male voters to elect Trump even if they all turned up.
You're forgetting the Hispanics. He gets the most votes from the Hispanics, he employees thousands of them in his hotels. He has the best hotels, he just opened a few new ones all across the nation. Negotiated very well.
 
IWait, making provably false statements about Bernie is being "fair"?

Interesting.

If Hillary wanted to, she could have been hammering in how Bernie Sanders is a Castro-loving socialist who wants to raise taxes on the working poor.

So yeah, she's been pretty fair.
 
Bernie's campaign spent $8 million in the last 5 days in FL, NC, OH, NC and MO.

He's kinda proving the point that there's too much money in politics.

He also spent $1.4 million in Missouri to her $400,000.
It's straight from the socialists playbook. Take from the poor and the dependent class, while giving money to enrich corporate oligarchs and the elites.
 
I think the immediate dogpile to dismiss me and tell me to "get over it" for implying that it's not a good look for super ardent Clinton supporters to be so smug and dismissive of everyone who isn't 5000% onboard with her says more than I ever could.
 
You're not wrong but I don't think anyone would (or could) just straight up cut out everybody without a moment's notice. Well, not Bernie anyway.

You can look at it another way, too. Even if Bernie gave literally no fucks about the rest of the world, such a thing would be very unlikely to get passed.

More errant drone strikes (a mild way to put it, but sure), on the other hand? Nobody's gonna stop that shit. /:

So you're saying "oh Bernie doesn't actually mean the things he says about trade deals"? You actively don't believe your preferred candidate on some of the things he says and/or you know/hope Congress will reign in the policy positions or preferences he has you might not like? I dunno, I can't say that is a very encouraging outlook?

With regards to foreign policy oveerall, my issue is that though Clinton has misstepped in the past, its been VERY obvious over the course of the debates and town halls and her experience as Secretary of the State that her understanding of foreign policy is very extensive. The same is not true of Bernie and I feel he has demonstrated a slowness to learn. He has pretty consistently fumbled the ball on FP questions. The only real plus I can give him is that he didn't vote for the Iraq War. I think Clinton is much better connected and experienced to actually handle potential foreign policy issues that may come up.

"She could have been a monster, but since she was only a liar, she was being fair."

Full stop, Clinton has been treating Sanders with kid-gloves. The GOP would unleash hellfire upon the man.
 
Head to head numbers between Hillary and Trump means nothing right now. He has barely started attacking her. Everyone Trumps attacks goes down in the poll. It is not just luck it as a very potent skill Trump has.

And btw "there is not enough white males to elect Trump" just isn't true. The electorate is going to be 72 % white and those numbers is without the increase in white working class voters which I think will happen. The record number participants in the GOP primary could be a sign of things to come. Also a lot of minorites are concentrated in California and New York where the Dems already has a big majority.

Sure it is a short sighted strategy - and will not work in the long run - but right now in 2016 Trump can win by running up the white vote. Especially because unions have been fatally wounded in recent years in many Midwestern states. A lot of these people will be receptive to the nationalism and protectionism of Trump. States like Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconson aren't necessarily solid democratic states anymore.
 
I still have a feeling a brokered convention is coming and Trump gets pushed aside. I don't think he'll reach 1237 delegates, and then they'll find a way to dispose of him at the convention.

Doing this would destroy the Republican Party. There's no way Trump wouldn't immediately declare he was running as an Independent and split the Republican vote in two, guaranteeing a Hillary Presidency. The Republicans know this. Trump knows this. It's not happening.
 
I think the immediate dogpile to dismiss me and tell me to "get over it" for implying that it's not a good look for super ardent Clinton supporters to be so smug and dismissive of everyone who isn't 5000% onboard with her says more than I ever could.

Are you still talking about the avatars? Surely you're talking about some other offense
 
Doing this would destroy the Republican Party. There's no way Trump wouldn't immediately declare he was running as an Independent and split the Republican vote in two, guaranteeing a Hillary Presidency. The Republicans know this. Trump knows this. It's not happening.
Trump running guarantees a win as well. They have no option that doesnt create a Deathwing scar across the party.
 
"She could have been a monster, but since she was only a liar, she was being fair."

how often did she call Sanders a communist?

Trump already did like 10 times. The word "Socialism" wasnt even brought up as a negative point against him by her
 
If Hillary wanted to, she could have been hammering in how Bernie Sanders is a Castro-loving socialist who wants to raise taxes on the working poor.

So yeah, she's been pretty fair.

Speaking of, for such an honest politician, it was interesting to watch him evade the Castro question at the recent debate. "What I'm saying is that I wouldn't advise to invade a small country"; again and again. That wasn't the question. Why not own up to the fact that you have a more positive view of Castro than the average American?

I know I'm late with this complaint, but it would have been nice for Bernie to go all the way with the honesty thing. There was some definite misguidedness in what he said about Castro/Cuba, but I didn't think it was that bad.
 
I think the immediate dogpile to dismiss me and tell me to "get over it" for implying that it's not a good look for super ardent Clinton supporters to be so smug and dismissive of everyone who isn't 5000% onboard with her says more than I ever could.


I mean, it was a classic move, but way too obvious.

Post passive agressive shit, act super righteous after the obvious reactions.

That shit ain't sticking, lol
 
Yeah, how dare they!!

there's no need to be upset

Lmao, relax

I do not understand these posts, considering GAF is full of Hillary supporters who are pretty toxic, while at the same time decrying about Sander's extreme supporters on reddit.

You saying he can not call out Hillary supporters smugness? You guys realize that the way you treat opposition supporters also have an impact on who they may vote, right? Even if I do not believe they are in enough numbers to be worried about.


If Hillary wanted to, she could have been hammering in how Bernie Sanders is a Castro-loving socialist who wants to raise taxes on the working poor.

So yeah, she's been pretty fair.

Really? That is a strange position to take. Lying or trying to deceive others about one's character and their accomplishments is not "pretty fair", even if it was accidental. They both did well in trying not to attack each other and staying on the issues in my opinion. I would not say someone doing white lies and misinforming others is "pretty fair" even in politics.
 
I think the immediate dogpile to dismiss me and tell me to "get over it" for implying that it's not a good look for super ardent Clinton supporters to be so smug and dismissive of everyone who isn't 5000% onboard with her says more than I ever could.

There's not being on board with her, and then there's calling for third party runs to hand the election to the GOP, outright saying they'll vote for Trump, or calling her names like "witch" or "hag" - all of which I've seen posted on this forum tonight. So stop playing like the Bernie supporters are all some angelic voting block being maligned by the horrible Clinton-contingent.
 
I do not understand these posts, considering GAF is full of Hillary supporters who are pretty toxic, while at the same time decrying about Sander's extreme supporters on reddit.

You saying he can not call out Hillary supporters smugness? You guys realize that the way you treat opposition supporters also have an impact on who they may vote, right? Even if I do not believe they are in enough numbers to be worried about.

The original post was mocking the gall of people to have Hillary-themed avatars.

If you want to call out people for being smug, call them out. No need to make some sort of bizarre blanket statement on the nature of the picture people frame below their username.
 
I do not understand these posts, considering GAF is full of Hillary supporters who are pretty toxic, while at the same time decrying about Sander's extreme supporters on reddit.

You saying he can not call out Hillary supporters smugness? You guys realize that the way you treat opposition supporters also have an impact on who they may vote, right? Even if I do not believe they are in enough numbers to be worried about.

Calling Hillary supporters out on their smugness is one thing, if evidence allows, accusing Hillary supporters of smugness for sporting avatars showing their support for their candidate is ridiculous and deserves to be called out.
 
I do not understand these posts, considering GAF is full of Hillary supporters who are pretty toxic, while at the same time decrying about Sander's extreme supporters on reddit.

name a Clinton supporter who's been acting smug and dismissive and I'll name two Sanders supporters who have posted anything from borderline sexist trash to insinuations that we're fundamentally selling out liberalism because of slight policy disagreements

it's comparable only in the most Wolf Blitzer of senses, where a 15-percentage-point difference is a dead heat
 
Calling Hillary supporters out on their smugness is one thing, if evidence allows, accusing Hillary supporters of smugness for sporting avatars showing their support for their candidate is ridiculous and deserves to be called out.

The original post was mocking the gall of people to have Hillary-themed avatars.

If you want to call out people for being smug, call them out. No need to make some sort of bizarre blanket statement on the nature of the picture people frame below their username.

Good points, I didn't notice anyone here with a Hillary-themed avatar, unless I am missing something. I agree with what you are saying. He went overboard lol.

name a Clinton supporter who's been acting smug and dismissive and I'll name three Sanders supporters who have posted anything from borderline sexist trash to insinuations that we're fundamentally selling out liberalism because of slight policy disagreements

it's comparable only in the most Wolf Blitzer of senses, where a 15-percentage-point difference is a dead heat

We would only be proving there are extreme supporters on both sides you know. Not worth it, my point (until the others clarified), was there are such supporters on both sides.
 
Good points, I didn't notice anyone here with a Hillary-themed avatar, unless I am missing something. I agree with what you are saying. He went overboard lol.

Adam and Royalan and that's it really. Not some rediculous number considering the size of GAF.
 
We would only be proving there are extreme supporters on both sides you know. Not worth it, my point (until the others clarified), was there are such supporters on both sides.

pretty much. and yeah, definitely in agreement on that point (hence the "name one" - I do acknowledge they exist :P)

His new plan is to convince super delegates to vote against the will of the elected delegates and hand him the nomination.

Yup....

ah yes, the ol' Ted Kennedy maneuver
 
Really? That is a strange position to take. Lying or trying to deceive others about one's character and their accomplishments is not "pretty fair", even if it was accidental. They both did well in trying not to attack each other and staying on the issues in my opinion. I would not say someone doing white lies and misinforming others is "pretty fair" even in politics.

Yes really.

Or are you implying that Bernie Sanders has been completely fair and honest in his characterization of Hillary Clinton and her policy positions?

The point is, Hillary Clinton could have been a LOT harder on Bernie is she wanted to. And if you don't believe that, then you should be glad he got shut out of the nomination tonight, because he'd be damn near unrecognizable to you after the Republican attack machine got done with him.
 
The Bernie brand is finally over, maybe at the next primary!

It's over, period. Bernie lost his latest night, and that's the end of their primary hopes and dreams.

It's not hyperbole, it's not pundit drivel. It is LITERALLY it for Bernie. His campaign has nothing left, nothing they can reveal tomorrow would fix the hole now created. There is no reason for any one, liberal or conservative, to spend time campaigning for Bernie. Except if they want to throw away their vote. Which will also be cast for Hillary in November.

Hllary took away the last chance Bernie NEEDED to win over her (EXCEPT POLITICAL REVOLUTION LOL POLITICS), and the cavalcade of the handful of delegates he's gonna get in the future are gonna be nice but they're not gonna salvehis overspending and populist political campaign.

There may be some redditors that are gonna stick around. Some did it for Hillary. But the last bell bolled. Maybe next decade.

The age of Bernie is done.
 
Calling Hillary supporters out on their smugness is one thing, if evidence allows, accusing Hillary supporters of smugness for sporting avatars showing their support for their candidate is ridiculous and deserves to be called out.
Agreed. And more to the point it's dumb and a big waste of everyone's time. If you have a complaint about another poster, the proper avenue is to contact a moderator, not throw a fit in a thread.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom