Super Tuesday 4. I'm really feeling (The After Bern) March 22, 26 contests

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Ada County, Idaho
 
And, technically, Puerto Rico, but we all know how that one's going to go based on demographics and last cycle.

Hillary? I hope so as it's 60 delegates.

Bernie is literally going to land one hard blow to Hillary this entire election and that's Washington.
 
Caucuses are big fat mistakes

I'm not opposed to caucuses (as archaic as they are), but I am opposed to open caucuses (and open primaries for that matter). Democrats should be the ones to select the Democratic nominee. Open caucuses are allowing non-Democrats to select the non-Democratic nominee.
 
Hillary? I hope so as it's 60 delegates.

Bernie is literally going to land one hard blow to Hillary this entire election and that's Washington.

Yes. Hillary will take PR by a fairly decent margin.

Washington will be Bernie's biggest win, delegate wise. His biggest prize.
 
Our country is crazy.

How can Hillary win some States by 50 points and then Bernie do the same in others?

Insanity.

Bernie's wins are coming in open caucuses in very small states with disproportionate numbers of white people.

For comparison:

Arizona (diverse state with high Hispanic population), 44% reporting - 363k votes cast
Utah (one of the whitest states around), 10% reporting - 7k votes cast

Hillary may win Arizona by more than the total number of Democratic caucusers in Utah. This has been repeated in every caucus state - the turnout is larger than normal, but still *very* small compared to primary states. It only takes a relatively small number of devoted supporters to sway the numbers far in one direction when the total turnout is so small overall.

Washington will be an exception - it has a significantly larger population, and delegate count. Bernie will easily win it, but I seriously doubt it will be 75/25. Even if it is, he gains 45 delegates or so, and the rest of the large states don't look good for him (closed primaries, demographics that would lean toward a Hillary win).
 
Caucuses are the worst thing in politics today. It's some shit straight from the 1800s and has no place today. No respect for states that still use them.
 
With that Arizona win, It's now passed unethical for Sanders to be fleecing College Students of money.
 
Sanders will win Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming guranteed


But! :P :P :P :P

New York will crush all that by gazillion times for Hilldawg

I'm not willing to give him Hawaii, but I'm on board with Alaska, Washington and Wyoming. Wisconsin is a primary not a caucus, so while he may win, he won't maintain his caucus margins.

If we give Bernie 75% of the vote in every caucus from now until NY on April 19th, as well as a 15 point win in Wisconsin, he'll manage to cut her lead down to around 223 delegates.
 
Caucuses are big fat mistakes



http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

Not the fastest, but it's easy to read and you can look at county by county.

What? Caucuses are great. They help break through the media hype by allowing potential voters to talk things through. While they can be slow and intimidating, a caucus is more democratic than a straight-up primary.

Remember that voting for your leaders is simply the easiest mechanism of democracy, and not the defining trait of democracy.
 
What are the chances of Kasich getting the nomination via brokered convention, given the onslaught of Trump, and how unelectable Cruz is?
 
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