Sanders wins Wyoming Caucus; ties pledged delegates; math; rules :(

Status
Not open for further replies.
Your math is off; %62.5 of 14 is 8.75. %56 of 14 is 7.84.

But we're not working with 14. We're working with 8. You explicitly stated earlier in the thread that you felt we should take Sanders' bonus delegate from the poll that decided the destination of eight delegates, so that is what we are doing.


The source of this issue is that there's not one poll for fourteen delegates here, there's three. There's one poll for eight delegates, one poll for four delegates, one poll for two delegates. In Wyoming, it happens that all three votes are contested using the same vote, and in each of those Bernie did not get a sufficiently statistically significant enough win to gain an extra delegate.

For what you're asking for, you have to answer the very important question of which poll do you take that extra delegate for Bernie from? That's not insignificant, there are actual people attached to all this.
I would take one delegate from the first poll. Problem solved.
 
I hate caucuses and the idea of undemocratic institutions outweighing peoples' votes, so I'm not crazy about this particular result. However, Bernie Sanders has ~45% of the pledged delegates despite only having ~43% of the popular vote. So he's actually been the net beneficiary of the slightly undemocratic way delegates have been allocated.

Of course, if you count superdelegates, his delegate take drops to about 38%, which sucks. But I guess I've bought into the notion that the delegates would switch if Bernie actually started winning, just like they did last time.
 
But we're not working with 14. We're working with 8. You explicitly stated earlier in the thread that you felt we should take Sanders' bonus delegate from the poll that decided the destination of eight delegates, so that is what we are doing.

There is still two more polls. I'm looking at it in general.
 
The irony is that no one complained when near losses resulted in Bernie picking up more delegates than he should if we were rounding.

Nor is anyone complaining he's got more delegates proportionally than he has votes.

The system's only broken when it's not working for you, I guess.
In vote count, she's 30% ahead but in pledged delegate count, only 24%.

It's not fair.

Caucuses require hours of time to vote, which is undemocratic, to working folk. If Georgia had a caucus, I wouldn't vote half the time. Somehow, Bernie does better in states with caucuses.

But, yeah.
 
The irony is that no one complained when near losses resulted in Bernie picking up more delegates than he should if we were rounding.

Nor is anyone complaining he's got more delegates proportionally than he has votes.

The system's only broken when it's not working for you, I guess.

Exactly. Rounding and math doesn't have a bias. It benefits and hurts both candidates equally and randomly.

Super delegates could be argued to subvert the will of the people (though I'd argue that they're less undemocratic than the electoral college or caucuses), but it's all just hot air and excuses until Sanders gets a majority of pledged delegates. If he did that and they didn't switch, then people could start crying foul.
 
Not at all.

I got a final message for Bernie peeps:

Remember 2008, if it were rigged like you say: Obama would not have won the nomination then
Black people always get the benefits.

Wait, is this a thread where we claim an election is rigged for a woman?

Yeah, I'm gonna delete my subscription.
 
Arguing about the Democratic nature of a caucus is a bit odd, considering they're about as undemocratic as you could possibly imagine. The winner of a caucus does not always have the most popular vote. The winner of a caucus, or the percentage by which they win, does not always equate to their actual level of support.

Take Texas in 2008. Hillary won the primary, but then lost the caucus to President Obama. Or, in 2008 when Washington had a caucus and a primary. While Hillary lost both, she lost the primary by a far smaller margin.

Caucuses are the worst, but unless the state will spring for a primary, then you're pretty much stuck with them.
 
And what justifies doing that? It's not handled 'in general' in other states, why should Wyoming get special treatment?

I'm arguing that it should be the same for all states. Instead of rounding up the numbers, they should just add them all up. Much more accurate that way.

Again, 62.5% is only for one poll.
 
Congratulations, you've just disenfranchised tons of rural communities.

What? They still have voting power. I'm not sure if we have a misunderstanding here, but If you're going to continue this strawman argument then I won't even bother responding.

The end result would be much more proportional to the number of delegations. Surely that is better for voters?
 
Talk about disingenuous. I'm actually surprised there is a huge thread on this when this issue was already hashed out in the most recent primary thread when it happened.

But I guess math and logic are parts of the establishment now and so there has to be videos and articles arguing about their place in our voting system.
 
Sadly, these parties are private. Being our only options though, it is destroying democracy in our nation, but that is by design. Super Delegates or Congress's ability to pick the new president if the people don't decide with enough votes. This is an oligarchy, a boys club that picks their own horses and tells us to shut up.


Is this finally the primary cycle that makes people realize that taxpayers shouldn't be funding party primaries? Granted caucuses are usually a little different, but the fact that states have spent ridiculous amounts of money on ballots/software/etc to facilitate them makes me quite angry when you realize that the result will likely be determined not based on the actual results of the primaries (esp for the GOP)
 
What? They still have voting power. I'm not sure if we have a misunderstanding here, but If you're going to continue this strawman argument then I won't even bother responding.

The system the democratic party have set up gives distinct polls for separate congressional districts to ensure each of them gets a separate say. Munging all such polls into one reduces the influence of the less-populous districts. Or if you prefer, in caucus states, overinflates the influence of districts that may be made up of a community who find it inherently easier to participate in a caucus.
 
Talk about disingenuous. I'm actually surprised there is a huge thread on this when this issue was already hashed out in the most recent primary thread when it happened.

But I guess math and logic are parts of the establishment now and so there has to be videos and articles arguing about their place in our voting system.

Aren't you familiar with the modern day news machine. You take a story, add some sensationalism, needlessly amp up the drama to justify repeating it 24 hours then spit out something that only somewhat accurately reflects the truth in some cases
 
I'm going to assume that everyone upset about this is equally upset about the fact that Bernie won more delegates than Clinton in Nevada, a state where she won the popular vote? It seems like both sides are willing to work with this undemocratic process.
 
The system the democratic party have set up gives distinct polls for separate congressional districts to ensure each of them gets a separate say. Munging all such polls into one reduces the influence of the less-populous districts. Or if you prefer, in caucus states, overinflates the influence of districts that may be made up of a community who find it inherently easier to participate in a caucus.

How would it reduce the influence?

The end result would be much more proportional to the number of delegations. Surely that is better for voters?

Or are we going to care about the result of one poll more than the end result?
 
completely rigged system. not only in this but in the elections themselves wher ethe electoral college and not te popular vote wins the election.
 
Where?

When I hear margins discussed on this board, it's always the margin of pledged delegates.

Not all the time, the word is thrown around pretty loosely sometimes, especially on other parts of the internet and occasionally what I hear in conversations among people who aren't more familiar with the process and are recalling infographics they saw in the internet that one time.
 
Math is rigging the system

Will this be the year were the will of the people put math in it's place?

65dos_the_fall_of_math.jpg


YOU DON'T ROUND

The party is putting their support behind someone who has been a lifelong dem, has done amazing work for the downtickets and has the ability to not fold under huge pressure.

So clearly the guy who complains that a 7-6 split on a 12% win is right and everyone else are fucking idiots.

completely rigged system. not only in this but in the elections themselves wher ethe electoral college and not te popular vote wins the election.

Popular vote is mob rule, absolute popular vote is not a good way to decide a democratic republic.
 
Trump is not a Republican and Sanders is not a Democrat. If they want to go third party then all best to each of them. The two party system is fucked up, but they both agreed to be a part of that system when they ran under those banners.
 
completely rigged system. not only in this but in the elections themselves wher ethe electoral college and not te popular vote wins the election.

How was this rigged, please explain with a breakdown of how Bernie should have gotten more delegates.

You do realize 4 of those are super delegates who have only made non-binding pledges that can and have, in the past, changed, right?

This thread is what happens when people simply believe the media narrative and don't actually know the details, because they contradixt thr headlines. It's actually been eye opening. If reasonably smart and logical people like GAF generally is can be duped by a hyperbolic headline, it's no wonder we have less educated people believing crazy shit because of conservative talk radio and Fox News
 
It is so hard to take Bernie supporters seriously anymore when they cry wolf about every little thing. What happened in Wyoming is a 100% non-issue except for them spreading BS by combining Pledged and Super delegates. Pledged are locked and can't be changed and Supers can change all the way up to the convention.

There are so many things they can focus on to gain ground and instead you see this BS. Literally just throwing everything and anything hoping something sticks. I can't wait to see what they say once New York results come in.
 
It is so hard to take Bernie supporters seriously anymore when they cry wolf about every little thing. What happened in Wyoming is a 100% non-issue except for them spreading BS by combining Pledged and Super delegates. Pledged are locked and can't be changed and Supers can change all the way up to the convention.

Agree, even as a Sanders supporter this is a non-issue aside from the way it was reported. I still have a huge problem with state taxpayers funding 'private' party primaries. If they want to set their own rules, they should pay for the entire fucking thing themselves.
 
i am getting sick and fucking tired of bernie supporters showing a complete ineptitude at basic math and blaming everything except actually bernie himself for losing.

i see it on facebook, reddit, instagram, twitter, and even here. i can't get away from bernie supporters blaming delegates, superdelegates, voters for not knowing what's best for themselves, different states getting a different number of votes, the two party system, or even blaming the fact that political parties exist at all. it's like the closer sanders gets to losing the nom, the more mathematics are ignored and the blame distribution leaks further and further away from the candidate himself.

i guess hillary having more votes should also, somehow, magically, mean sanders should be winning, too. it's everything else's fault under the sun except saint sanders if hillary wins
 
Fucking super delegate system is the worst.

*Sees Bernies's momentum

"Nah, we good. We'll stick with Hillary, thanks."

RIIIIIIIIGGED. Thankfully he's had a few super delegates change or pledge. I hope he SMASHES her in NY. Because they say the balace will begin to shift. Or, we'll see the system for what it is. Establishment favoritism where special interests win.

i am getting sick and fucking tired of bernie supporters showing a complete ineptitude at basic math and blaming everything except actually bernie himself for losing.

i see it on facebook, reddit, instagram, twitter, and even here. i can't get away from bernie supporters blaming delegates, superdelegates, voters for not knowing what's best for themselves, different states getting a different number of votes, the two party system, or even blaming the fact that political parties exist at all. it's like the closer sanders gets to losing the nom, the more mathematics are ignored and the blame distribution leaks further and further away from the candidate himself.

i guess hillary having more votes should also, somehow, magically, mean sanders should be winning, too. it's everything else's fault under the sun except saint sanders if hillary wins
#NotAllSupporters

And yeah, there's some impossible Hillary supporters, too. Sorry you feel that way.

Also, the discussiom is about the shit super delegate system.
 
Aaaaand Joe Scarborough succeeds in using misleading information to rile up Bernie Sanders supporters in an attempt to hurt Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party.
 
i am getting sick and fucking tired of bernie supporters showing a complete ineptitude at basic math and blaming everything except actually bernie himself for losing.

i see it on facebook, reddit, instagram, twitter, and even here. i can't get away from bernie supporters blaming delegates, superdelegates, voters for not knowing what's best for themselves, different states getting a different number of votes, the two party system, or even blaming the fact that political parties exist at all. it's like the closer sanders gets to losing the nom, the more mathematics are ignored and the blame distribution leaks further and further away from the candidate himself.

i guess hillary having more votes should also, somehow, magically, mean sanders should be winning, too.

nobody is ignoring the math. old people who can't use the internet have cnn and such to tell them what's going on, get the heck outta here.

joking, of course.
 
Or, we'll see the system for what it is. Establishment favoritism where special interests win.

or the candidate who gets the most votes getting the nomination.

the super delegates are there prevent a left version of trump (or someone worse / out of control), so that at the end of the day, the democrats do influence who the nominee is. but you're absolutely ignorant if you don't think they would give it to sanders if he got more delegates than hillary. he's losing, plain and simple. you can blame it on other voters, the system, what bernie had for dinner, jupiter aligned with mars, it doesn't matter. she's getting more votes
 
In this thread we learn that Bernie's supporters don't understand what Democratic primaries are for or how they work. There's no conspiracy here! Bernie knew the rules going in, and if anything he's been helped by tiny open caucuses that boosted his delegate counts beyond what his national standings would dictate anyway.

My vote is going to the candidate that will make the country so bad that there is no choice other than action.

This shit right here disgusts me. Your plan here will literally kill people - it must be nice to be privileged enough to not have to care.

While I do not think there is a full-blown conspiracy going on, it is an un-mitigated fact that he garners a lot less media coverage than, say, Trump.

And Bernie should be happy about that, since every time he does get coverage he manages to fuck it up and show just how unprepared he is (having no clue how to implement the policy proposal that serves as the backbone of your campaign? Seriously?) Besides, Bernie has had more representative coverage on the Sunday morning news shows than any other candidate (Trump included), and he gets plenty of coverage elsewhere - just not enough for his supporters, who practically demand 24/7 coverage for things to be considered 'fair'.
 
Can we all agree that caucases are fucking stupid and should be ended? It's horribly time consuming and goes against the popular vote... And I want Bernie Sanders to get the nomination.

It's a downright stupid system.
 
Fucking super delegate system is the worst.

*Sees Bernies's momentum

"Nah, we good. We'll stick with Hillary, thanks."

RIIIIIIIIGGED. Thankfully he's had a few super delegates change or pledge. I hope he SMASHES her in NY. Because they say the balace will begin to shift. Or, we'll see the system for what it is. Establishment favoritism where special interests win.

What are you talking about? What momentum? Hillary has 2.5 million more votes than Bernie and she's leading in pledged delegates.

Bernie has won a lot of caucuses that he was expected to win. He's not expected to win big states like New York or California. If he does, then you'll see a shift. But supers are not going to switch back and forth between Hillary and Bernie after every other primary or caucus depending on whoever has the wind at their back at a given moment, they'd look like idiots. They don't need to cement their support for either candidate until the convention, so "momentum" is meaningless. What matters is who's ahead by then. If it's Bernie, the supers will change to him, as they did to Obama eight years ago.
 
*Sees Bernies's momentum

It's amusing to see this line of reasoning considering the size of states that Bernie has won and most being cacuses; that promote intensity of support, not wide breadth.

What's not amusing is seeing Democrats detach themselves from data driven reality and cling to the MSM horserace and skewered polls bubble.

It's getting louder as reality swells like a wave over the heads of the people in the bubble echo chamber.

Don't be the drowned.
 
Fucking super delegate system is the worst.

*Sees Bernies's momentum

"Nah, we good. We'll stick with Hillary, thanks."

RIIIIIIIIGGED. Thankfully he's had a few super delegates change or pledge. I hope he SMASHES her in NY. Because they say the balace will begin to shift. Or, we'll see the system for what it is. Establishment favoritism where special interests win.


#NotAllSupporters

And yeah, there's some impossible Hillary supporters, too. Sorry you feel that way.

Also, the discussiom is about the shit super delegate system.

There's no momentum, Hillary is ahead in popular votes and delegates.
 
Can we all agree that caucases are fucking stupid and should be ended? It's horribly time consuming and goes against the popular vote... And I want Bernie Sanders to get the nomination.

It's a downright stupid system.

It seems completely alien to me on paper, but I've read plenty of accounts from the people who participate in caucuses who think it's actually more democratic than a primary because it involves open discuss and for people to more actively engage with a candidate and their platform than what is required for participating in a primary. So, I don't know.


Alright, take the lead, commander.

The irony is that posts like that come from people who wouldn't take any action anyway.
 
Can we all agree that caucases are fucking stupid and should be ended? It's horribly time consuming and goes against the popular vote... And I want Bernie Sanders to get the nomination.

It's a downright stupid system.

Agreed. I also want a national primary day to stop the stupid horse race nonsense. Although I don't think the dog and pony show will be going anywhere.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom